On the Integrability of Limited-Area Numerical Weather Prediction Model ALADIN over Extended Time Periods     

Huth  Radan  Mládek  Richard  Metelka  Ladislav  Sedlák  Pavel  Huthová  Zuzana  Kliegrová  Stanislava  Kyselý  Jan  Pokorná  Lucie  Halenka  Tomáš  Janoušek  Martin 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》2003,47(4):863-873

This note summarizes results of the first integration of regional numerical weather prediction model ALADIN in a climate mode. The ALADIN model, developed in an international cooperation led by Météo France, is operationally used for weather prediction. The grid step of the model is 12 km; the integration domain covers a major part of Europe. A one-month-long run has been performed with this model on observed boundary conditions (represented by assimilations by the global model ARPEGE). It is demonstrated that no excessive error is generated and accumulated in the model during the integration; hence the model is integrable for extended time periods and may serve a basis for a development towards a regional climate model.  相似文献   

New M-Type Variables in Galactic Dark Clouds     

N. D. Melikian  C. Magnan  J. M. Sarkissian  A. A. Karapetian 《Astrophysics》2003,46(1):10-17

The results of the spectral classification of newly discovered M-type variables obtained as part of an H-alpha survey of Galactic dark cloud regions are presented. The survey was carried out with the 40 Schmidt camera of Byurakan Observatory, and the spectra of the variable stars for the classification were obtained with the Observatory's 2.6-m telescope. The observational material allowed register of late M-type variables as well as their brightness variations. Among the 97 newly discovered M-type stars, 22 show brightness variations. The results of the spectral classification of these new variables show that 21 out of 22 are red giants, and in all probability they are Mira Ceti type long period variables.  相似文献   

辽宁小佟家堡子金矿床成矿时代探讨   总被引：12，自引：2，他引：10  

刘国平 《矿床地质》2002,21(1):53-57

小佟家堡子金矿床位于辽东金矿集中区,为产于古元古代变质岩系中的微细粒浸染型金矿,矿床类型独特。文章采用了绢云母^40Ar/^39Ar法对样品从450℃进行了8个阶段的加热分析。从绢云母石英交代岩型金矿石中挑选出与金矿化密切共生的绢云母单矿物,通过^40Ar/^39Ar快中子活化阶段加热法获得坪年龄为167Ma。绢云母^40Ar/^39Ar法测年结果与矿床的控矿构造特征、区域岩浆活动的演化规律相吻合,进一步证明了该金矿床为燕山期成矿。同时,绢云母^40Ar/^39Ar的马鞍形年龄谱还表明,在绢云母石英交代岩形成过程中,可捕获部分“过剩剩氩”,这可能是造成K－Ar法年龄值高、范围较大的原因之一。  相似文献   

Influence of long‐period filter cut‐off on elastic spectral displacements     

Sinan Akkar  Julian J. Bommer 《地震工程与结构动力学》2006,35(9):1145-1165

The effect of the long‐period filter cut‐off, T_c, on elastic spectral displacements is investigated using a strong ground‐motion database from Europe and the Middle East. The relation between the filter and oscillator responses is considered to observe the influence of T_c for both analogue and digital records, and the variations with site classification, magnitude, filter order and viscous damping. Robust statistics are derived using the re‐processed European data to generalize the effects of the long‐period filter cut‐off on maximum oscillator deformation demands as a function of these seismological and structural features. Statistics with a 95% confidence interval are derived to suggest usable period ranges for spectral displacement computations as a function of T_c. The results indicate that the maximum period at which spectral displacements can be confidently calculated depend strongly on the site class, magnitude and filter order. The period range where reliable long‐period information can be extracted from digital accelerograms is twice that of analogue records. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

陕西秦巴地区"十五"期间矿产勘查主要进展评述   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

侯满堂 《陕西地质》2006,24(1):93-100

陕西秦巴地区“十五”期间矿产勘查主要进展为:对陕西省主要成矿区(带)和成矿系列进行了统一划分,扬子地台北缘震旦系铅锌矿的勘查取得重大突破,南秦岭志留系铅锌矿的勘查取得重大成果,金、铜、铀、钒等种矿有重要发现,提交了一批铅、锌、金、铜、钒、锑等资源量,地球化学普查圈出一批有找矿价值的异常,物探在有色金属找矿中发挥了重要作用。  相似文献   

民丰县近48年霜冻特征分析及防御对策     

吾加阿布拉·白地  买提斯地克·买提克日木  阿瓦提汗·买吐肉孜  Wujiaabula·BAIDI  Maitisdike·MAITIKERIMU  Awatikai·MAITUROUZI 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2006,29(4):19-20

利用民丰县近48a霜冻气候资料,分析了初、终霜冻日及无霜期历史演变特征,提出了相应防御对策措施熏分析结果呈示:民丰县近48a来初霜期呈偏晚趋势,终霜期略偏早趋势,无霜期呈延长趋势。这种变化趋势与气候变暖理论相一致。  相似文献   

梅雨期中国东部降水的时空变化及其与大气环流、海温的关系   总被引：17，自引：7，他引：17  

宗海锋  张庆云  陈烈庭 《大气科学》2006,30(6):1189-1197

利用1961～2000年中国台站降水资料、 NCEP/NCAR再分析资料以及扩展重建海平面温度 (Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperatures, ERSST) 资料, 采用EOF、小波变换、合成及相关方法探讨中国东部梅雨期降水的时空变化及其环流、水汽输送和海温异常特征.分析指出中国东部梅雨期 (6月11日～7月10日) 降水存在三种主要空间型: 江南北部多雨型、长江流域多雨型和江淮平原多雨型.三种降水型都存在多时间尺度特征, 由于年际和年代际振荡的周期和强度随时间的变化有不同表现, 三种雨型旱涝年出现的年份有所不同.三种雨型对应的东亚夏季风环流各子系统的强度、位置、水汽输送等也存在明显差异.梅雨期三种雨型与冬季海温的研究表明:赤道东太平洋海温偏高有利于出现江南北部降水型; 赤道印度洋、南海和西太平洋黑潮海温偏高有利于出现长江流域降水型; 北太平洋中纬度海温偏高则有利于出现江淮平原降水型.  相似文献   

A tectonic stress map of China and adjacent regions from earthquakes occurred during 2000～2004     

郑中华  陈永顺 《地震学报(英文版)》2006,19(3):344-349

Earthquake focal mechanism solutions provide the basic information about the present-day regional tectonics stress distribution, which controls the activities of crustal faults. Therefore, continued efforts for updating the da-tabase of earthquake focal mechanism solutions are quite valuable and important. The international lithosphere program initiated the ″world stress map project″ (Zoback, 1992) since 1980′s. During this project, worldwide studies and measurements of present-day regional…  相似文献   

Earthquake catalogues and modelling strategies. A new testing procedure for the comparison between competing models     

G. Grandori  E. Guagenti  L. Petrini 《Journal of Seismology》2006,10(3):259-269

In this paper we consider the procedures that, on the basis of an earthquake catalogue, yield the magnitude distribution function F _M (F _M generators). In particular, our attention is focused on the F _M generators that are currently used in the frame of the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis at a site. From an engineering point of view, the behaviour of F _M in the range of strong earthquakes is of crucial importance. On the other hand, in general, the statistical validation of F _M in that range is not feasible because of an insufficient number of strong earthquakes in available catalogues.Our investigation is limited to the problem of the comparison between competing F _M generators. We show that a simple empirical F _M generator (called the CFP generator) can be more reliable than generators based on mathematical models. The numerical experiments that support this statement regards two test-sites and two mathematical models of magnitude distribution, namely the truncated-exponential and the characteristic-type models.The main conclusion is the suggestion of a test (called the CFP-test) that can be summarized as follows. Let X be a site for which, with current criteria, a specific F _M ^X generator based on a mathematical model has been selected. At this point, following the comparison approach described in the paper, the F _M ^X generator is compared with the empirical CFP generator. It can happen (actually it happens in many of our numerical experiments) that this test indicates the CFP generator as more reliable than the selected F _M ^X generator.  相似文献   

本站剖面图资料与前汛期降水的探讨   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王位德 《广西气象》2006,27(4):24-26

通过统计分析1991～2005年剖面图资料，发现某些气象要素的特殊变化、一些图形的出现或转换与前汛期降水关系密切，特别是对大雨以上降水预报有一定的帮助作用。  相似文献