Seismic potential of Southern Italy   总被引：1，自引：2，他引：1  

S. Jenny  S. Goes  D. Giardini  H.-G. Kahle 《Tectonophysics》2006,415(1-4):81-101

To improve estimates of the long-term average seismic potential of the slowly straining South Central Mediterranean plate boundary zone, we integrate constraints on tectonic style and deformation rates from geodetic and geologic data with the traditional constraints from seismicity catalogs. We express seismic potential (long-term average earthquake recurrence rates as a function of magnitude) in the form of truncated Gutenberg–Richter distributions for seven seismotectonic source zones. Seismic coupling seems to be large or even complete in most zones. An exception is the southern Tyrrhenian thrust zone, where most of the African–European convergence is accommodated. Here aseismic deformation is estimated to range from at least 25% along the western part to almost 100% aseismic slip around the Aeolian Islands. Even so, seismic potential of this zone has previously been significantly underestimated, due to the low levels of recorded past seismicity. By contrast, the series of 19 M6–7 earthquakes that hit Calabria in the 18th and 19th century released tectonic strain rates accumulated over time spans up to several times the catalog duration, and seismic potential is revised downward. The southern Tyrrhenian thrust zone and the extensional Calabrian faults, as well as the northeastern Sicilian transtensional zone between them (which includes the Messina Straits, where a destructive M7 event occurred in 1908), all have a similar seismic potential with minimum recurrence times of M ≥ 6.5 of 150–220 years. This potential is lower than that of the Southern Apennines (M ≥ 6.5 recurring every 60 to 140 years), but higher than that of southeastern Sicily (minimum M ≥ 6.5 recurrence times of 400 years). The high seismicity levels recorded in southeastern Sicily indicate some clustering and are most compatible with a tectonic scenario where the Ionian deforms internally, and motions at the Calabrian Trench are small. The estimated seismic potential for the Calabrian Trench and Central and Western Sicily are the lowest (minimum M ≥ 6.5 recurrence times of 550–800 years). Most zones are probably capable of generating earthquakes up to magnitudes 7–7.5, with the exception of Central and Western Sicily where maximum events sizes most likely do not exceed 7.  相似文献   

Earthquake generation in Cyprus revealed by the evolving stress field     

Eleftheria E. Papadimitriou  Vassilios G. Karakostas   《Tectonophysics》2006,423(1-4):61

Strong earthquake occurrence (M ≥ 6.0) onshore and offshore the Cyprus Island constitutes significant seismic hazard because they occur close to populated areas. Seismicity is weak south of the Island along the Cyprean Arc and strong events are aligned along the Paphos transform fault and Larnaka thrust fault zone that were already known and the Lemessos thrust fault zone that defined in the present study. By combining the past history of strong (M ≥ 6.0) events and the long-term tectonic loading on these major fault zones, the evolution of the stress field from 1896 until the present is derived. Although uncertainties exist in the location, magnitude and fault geometries of the early earthquakes included in our stress evolutionary model, the resulting stress field provides an explanation of later earthquake triggering. It was evidenced that the locations of all the strong events were preceded by a static stress change that encouraged failure. The current state of the evolved stress field may provide evidence for the future seismic hazard. Areas of positive static stress changes were identified in the southwestern offshore area that can be considered as possible sites of future seismic activity.  相似文献   

Aftershocks series monitoring of the September 18, 2004 M = 4.6 earthquake at the western Pyrenees: A case of reservoir-triggered seismicity?     

M. Ruiz  O. Gasp  J. Gallart  J. Díaz  J.A. Pulgar  J. García-Sansegundo  C. Lpez-Fernndez  J.M. Gonzlez-Cortina 《Tectonophysics》2006,424(3-4):223

On September 18, 2004, a 4.6 mbLg earthquake was widely felt in the region around Pamplona, at the western Pyrenees. Preliminary locations reported an epicenter less than 20 km ESE of Pamplona and close to the Itoiz reservoir, which started impounding in January 2004. The area apparently lacks of significant seismic activity in recent times. After the main shock, which was preceded by series of foreshocks reaching magnitudes of 3.3 mbLg, a dense temporal network of 13 seismic stations was deployed there to monitor the aftershocks series and to constrain the hypocentral pattern. Aftershock determinations obtained with a double-difference algorithm define a narrow epicentral zone of less than 10 km², ESE–WNW oriented. The events are mainly concentrated between 3 and 9 km depth. Focal solutions were computed for the main event and 12 aftershocks including the highest secondary one of 3.8 mbLg. They show mainly normal faulting with some strike-slip component and one of the nodal planes oriented NW–SE and dipping to the NE. Cross-correlation techniques applied to detect and associate events with similar waveforms, provided up to 33 families relating the 67% of the 326 relocated aftershocks. Families show event clusters grouped by periods and migrating from NW to SE. Interestingly, the narrow epicentral zone inferred here is located less than 4 km away from the 111-m high Itoiz dam. These hypocentral results, and the correlation observed between fluctuations of the reservoir water level and the seismic activity, favour the explanation of this foreshock–aftershock series as a rapid response case of reservoir-triggered seismicity, burst by the first impoundment of the Itoiz reservoir. The region is folded and affected by shallow dipping thrusts, and the Itoiz reservoir is located on the hangingwall of a low angle southward verging thrust, which might be a case sensible to water level fluctuations. However, continued seismic monitoring in the coming years is mandatory in this area to infer more reliable seismotectonic and hazard assessments.  相似文献   

Extension spatiale de la salinisation des ressources en eau et modèle conceptuel des sources salées dans la plaine des Triffa (Maroc nord-oriental)     

Mimoun Boughriba  Abderrahmane Melloul  Yassine Zarhloule  Abdelillah Ouardi 《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2006,338(11):768-774

The succession of drought years and excessive abstraction in the plain of Triffa caused deterioration in water quality and endangers future exploitation of groundwater resources. A combination of geophysical surveys, including electrical resistivity and hydrochemical data has been used to identify the geographical extension of salinization and identify its origin. Electrical conductivity measurements are used to show the history of salinization in space and time. In this paper, a first conceptual model of the brackish springs has been established. To cite this article: M. Boughriba et al., C. R. Geoscience 338 (2006).  相似文献   

Powder factors in asymmetric blast patterns     

A. T. Spathis 《Fragblast: International Journal for Blasting and Fragmentation》2006,10(3):97-109

A cell powder factor defines the local powder factor in a simple geometric procedure that accounts for the charge in each blast hole and the triangulation formed by blast hole collars in a blast pattern. In the case of asymmetric blast patterns, the cell powder factor deviates from the global powder factor. Poor drilling of blast hole collars produces significant variation in the cell powder factor, more so, than does poor blast hole charging. The cell powder factor does not account for timing within a blast and does not easily handle non-parallel blast hole configurations. The cell powder factor is best used as a design or audit tool before blast holes are loaded. It gives the opportunity to correct for poor drilling and/or poor charging practices prior to firing a blast.  相似文献   

虚拟现实技术在矿物数字博物馆中的应用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

聂俊丽  朱杰勇  陈刚 《云南地质》2005,24(1):122-129

详细介绍基于照片的虚拟现实技术在矿物数字博物馆中的实现方法和应用,并对VRML与基于照片的虚拟现实技术进行分析研究,进而对两种实现方法的发展方向和应用前景提出见解。  相似文献   

普朗铜矿找矿标志及找矿模型   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

李光军  谭康华  张世权  黄定柱  孟青 《云南地质》2005,24(2):175-185

普朗铜矿矿体形态简单,以铜为主,伴生金、硫等多种有益组份。找矿标志为深大断裂旁侧的次级两组断裂交汇部位;特别是多种岩类的杂岩体,裂隙发育地段;斑岩体靠沟谷部位(负地形)等。土壤化探异常Cu>400×10-6和Mo>10×10-6异常叠加部位;视极化率大于10%的激电异常,磁异常约50～100nT的部位等。初步建立找矿模型,运用该模型,在矿区外围已发现普上、亚杂等一批铜(多金属)矿体,矿化体,具有明显的找矿指导意义。  相似文献   

河北大麻坪宝石级橄榄石物理化学性质及成因     

唐雪莲 《云南地质》2005,24(2):218-224

对河北大麻坪宝石级橄榄石物理化学及宝石学特征进行研究后，初步提出矿床成因模式，对于相似地区的碱性玄武岩地区的橄榄石宝石矿床的勘探有指导意义。  相似文献   

电子地图的数据结构与模型   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

钱程扬  龙毅  柳青  张亮 《现代测绘》2005,28(4):9-12

电子地图是集地图表达、数据处理、地图分析为一体的新型地图产品，其数据组织形式直接关系到电子地图的质量与性能。本文对几种数据结构和模型进行了分析、比较，并探讨了它们在电子地图领域的应用前景。  相似文献   

Effects of detailed soil spatial information on watershed modeling across different model scales     

Trevor Quinn  A.-Xing Zhu  James E. Burt   《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2005,7(4):324-338

Hydro-ecological modelers often use spatial variation of soil information derived from conventional soil surveys in simulation of hydro-ecological processes over watersheds at mesoscale (10–100 km²). Conventional soil surveys are not designed to provide the same level of spatial detail as terrain and vegetation inputs derived from digital terrain analysis and remote sensing techniques. Soil property layers derived from conventional soil surveys are often incompatible with detailed terrain and remotely sensed data due to their difference in scales. The objective of this research is to examine the effect of scale incompatibility between soil information and the detailed digital terrain data and remotely sensed information by comparing simulations of watershed processes based on the conventional soil map and those simulations based on detailed soil information across different simulation scales. The detailed soil spatial information was derived using a GIS (geographical information system), expert knowledge, and fuzzy logic based predictive mapping approach (Soil Land Inference Model, SoLIM). The Regional Hydro-Ecological Simulation System (RHESSys) is used to simulate two watershed processes: net photosynthesis and stream flow. The difference between simulation based on the conventional soil map and that based on the detailed predictive soil map at a given simulation scale is perceived to be the effect of scale incompatibility between conventional soil data and the rest of the (more detailed) data layers at that scale. Two modeling approaches were taken in this study: the lumped parameter approach and the distributed parameter approach. The results over two small watersheds indicate that the effect does not necessarily always increase or decrease as the simulation scale becomes finer or coarser. For a given watershed there seems to be a fixed scale at which the effect is consistently low for the simulated processes with both the lumped parameter approach and the distributed parameter approach.  相似文献