兰州形变台水管倾斜仪映震能力的分析研究   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

沈旭章  常千军  梅秀苹 《地震工程学报》2004,26(4):368-370,364

以兰州形变台FSQ水管倾斜仪1987年以来的观测资料为研究对象,从非潮汐和潮汐两个方面,利用形态分析法、曲线拟合、残差分析、潮汐因子动态分析、半日波大潮椭圆以及潮汐偏角分析等方法对数据进行了系统分析,研究了观测异常与地震的关系。结果表明该台的水管倾斜仪对邻区的中强地震有很好的中、短期响应。  相似文献   

Earthquake Triggering along the Xianshuihe Fault Zone of Western Sichuan,China   总被引：19，自引：0，他引：19  

Eleftheria?PapadimitriouEmail author  Xueze?Wen  Vassilios?Karakostas  Xueshen?Jin 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2004,161(8):1683-1707

Western Sichuan is among the most seismically active regions in southwestern China and is characterized by frequent strong (M 6.5) earthquakes, mainly along the Xianshuihe fault zone. Historical and instrumental seismicity show a temporal pattern of active periods separated by inactive ones, while in space a remarkable epicenter migration has been observed. During the last active period starting in 1893, the sinistral strike–slip Xianshuihe fault of 350 km total length, was entirely broken with the epicenters of successive strong earthquakes migrating along its strike. This pattern is investigated by resolving changes of Coulomb failure function (CFF) since 1893 and hence the evolution of the stress field in the area during the last 110 years. Coulomb stress changes were calculated assuming that earthquakes can be modeled as static dislocations in an elastic halfspace, and taking into account both the coseismic slip in strong (M 6.5) earthquakes and the slow tectonic stress buildup associated with major fault segments. The stress change calculations were performed for faults of strike, dip, and rake appropriate to the strong events. We evaluate whether these stress changes brought a given strong earthquake closer to, or sent it farther from, failure. It was found that all strong earthquakes, and moreover, the majority of smaller events for which reliable fault plane solutions are available, have occurred on stress–enhanced fault segments providing a convincing case in which Coulomb stress modeling gives insight into the temporal and spatial manifestation of seismic activity. We extend the stress calculations to the year 2025 and provide an assessment for future seismic hazard by identifying the fault segments that are possible sites of future strong earthquakes.  相似文献   

Landslide incidence zonation in the Rio Mendoza valley,Mendoza Province,Argentina     

Stella M. Moreiras 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2004,29(2):255-266

This paper presents a landslide incidence zonation map showing the percentage of underlying material involved in mass‐movement processes in the Rio Mendoza valley, Argentina. The landslide incidence zonation map was derived from an inventory map of landslides and reveals that many areas of the Rio Mendoza valley are implicated in this kind of process. A correlation has been found between the occurrence of landslides, earthquakes, and rainfall. The relation between lithology and landslides is clear: areas covered by friable sedimentary and volcanic rocks of the Choiyoi Group are prone to debris ?ows and complex landslides. The slope map has been ranked and a general relation between slope and type of event is shown. Falls commonly develop in high‐angle slopes. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

旱涝周期和海震调温假说的新证据   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

杨学祥  杨冬红 《地震工程学报》2005,27(4):400-400,382

据中新社兰州10月21日电,中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所蓝永超研究员根据代表黄河上游流域径流动态变化的唐乃亥水文站1920年至2004年的径流系列统计资料,以及此间数十个气象站四十余年的降水观测数据,分析得出的初步结论显示,从上世纪20年代初到90年代,黄河大体上经历了5个枯水期和4个丰水期。每个丰、枯水期段持续的时间长短不一,枯水期持续时间为4~15年,平均为9年;丰水段持续时间为7~14年,平均为9.25年。总体上黄河上游每个丰、枯水周期平均持续时间基本相同,一个完整的丰枯循环周期大约在18年左右[1]。18.6年是典型的潮汐周期。月…  相似文献   

The Characteristic Analysis and Seismic Triggering Study of the M6.2 and M6.1 Dayao Earthquake Sequences in 2003     

Hua Wei 《中国地震研究》2006,20(4):371-384

INTRODUCTIONTheM6·2 andM6·1 earthquakes occurred successivelyin Dayao,Yunnan Province on July 21and October 16 ,2003 and bothinduced human casualty and economic loss to some extent .Adequatehistorical information reveals that ,earthquakes bigger thanM6·0 in Yunnan are distributed mainlyalong some active tectonic faults and seismic belts . Dayao and Yao an are in the Dianzhong tectonicblock andthere are noapparentfaultsthere(Su Youjing,2004) .Seismic activitylevel inthisregioniswea…  相似文献   

Implications for the water level change triggered moderate (M ≥ 4.0) earthquakes in Lake Van basin, Eastern Turkey     

Murat Utkucu 《Journal of Seismology》2006,10(1):105-117

The water level in Lake Van has shown alternating rises and decreases in history, causing economical, environmental and social problems over the littoral area. The water level changes were obtained to be in the order of 100 m between 18000 and 1000 B.C., in the order of 10 m between 1000 B.C. and 500 A.D. and relatively stable and fluctuating in the order of a few metres during the past 1500 years. The most recent change of the water level took place between 1987 and 1996, during which the water level increased episodically about 2 m and its altitude changed from approximately 1648.3 m to about 1650.2 m. All these changes were mainly related to climate changes. In this study, the water level changes in the lake after 1860 are compared with the seismic activity of faults lying close to the basin. Temporal correlations of seismicity with the water level changes are very persuasive and dramatic, indicating hydrogeological triggering of the earthquakes. This study shows that 14 M ≥ 5.0 earthquakes and increasing number of 4.0 ≤ M < 5.0 earthquakes accompanied or followed the dramatic (about 1 m or larger) changes of the annual mean of the water level in the lake and that there was a tendency of M ≥ 4 earthquakes to occur between November and February, during which the lake level is low within a year.  相似文献   

Tidal triggering of earthquakes in the subducting Philippine Sea plate beneath the locked zone of the plate interface in the Tokai region, Japan   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：5  

Sachiko Tanaka  Haruo Sato  Shozo Matsumura  Masakazu Ohtake 《Tectonophysics》2006,417(1-2):69

We found a characteristic space–time pattern of the tidal triggering effect on earthquake occurrence in the subducting Philippine Sea plate beneath the locked zone of the plate interface in the Tokai region, central Japan, where a large interplate earthquake may be impending. We measured the correlation between the Earth tide and earthquake occurrence using microearthquakes that took place in the Philippine Sea plate for about two decades. For each event, we assigned the tidal phase angle at the origin time by theoretically calculating the tidal shear stress on the fault plane. Based on the distribution of the tidal phase angles, we statistically tested whether they concentrate near some particular angle or not by using Schuster's test. In this test, the result is evaluated by p-value, which represents the significance level to reject the null hypothesis that earthquakes occur randomly irrespective of the tidal phase angle. As a result of analysis, no correlation was found for the data set including all the earthquakes. However, we found a systematic pattern in the temporal variation of the tidal effect; the p-value significantly decreased preceding the occurrence of M ≥ 4.5 earthquakes, and it recovered a high level afterwards. We note that those M ≥ 4.5 earthquakes were considerably larger than the normal background seismicity in the study area. The frequency distribution of tidal phase angles in the pre-event period exhibited a peak at the phase angle where the tidal shear stress is at its maximum to accelerate the fault slip. This indicates that the observed small p-value is a physical consequence of the tidal effect. We also found a distinctive feature in the spatial distribution of p-values. The small p-values appeared just beneath the strongly coupled portion of the plate interface, as inferred from the seismicity rate change in the past few years.  相似文献   

不同构造环境中地震活动对新疆地震形势的影响     

高国英  李莹甄  王筱荣  聂晓红 《内陆地震》2006,20(2):102-108

在对构造运动差异较大的柯坪块体和天山中部地区地震活动研究基础上,深入分析了这两个不同构造单元的中强地震活动对整体新疆地震形势的影响。不同构造环境下不同构造单元地震活动差异性很大。柯坪块体内构造运动强烈,它是新疆6级地震主要活动区之一。6级地震发生后的1年内,天山地震带是中强地震的主要响应区,在时间上具有短期预测意义。位于特殊构造环境的中天山地区地震少,地震强度低。4次5级地震后的1~3年,新疆地震活动呈明显增强趋势,中天山地区中强地震活动对周边地区中强地震活动会产生触发作用。  相似文献   

应力场演化与强震间相互作用的有限元模拟研究     

王建国  董洪军  陈化然  陈连旺  马宏生 《国际地震动态》2006,(12):24-30

针对川滇地区,在大量搜集前人资料和结果的基础上,建立了包括上地壳、中地壳、下地壳、上地幔等4层结构的三维有限元模型。通过反复调试,确定了其边界条件。然后计算了川滇地区背景应力场、断层蠕动产生的应力场和强震触发的应力场,以及它们的动态变化。结果表明后续地震大多发生在前面地震引发的库仑破裂应力正值区,前一地震对后续地震有一定的触发作用,强震是在较高的应力背景下成组发生的。这对判断、识别地震异常,提高地震预测水平有着很大的意义。  相似文献   

Coastal Gravity Anomalies from Retracked Geosat/GM Altimetry: Improvement, Limitation and the Role of Airborne Gravity Data   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

Cheinway Hwang  Jinyun Guo  Xiaoli Deng  Hsin-Ying Hsu  Yuting Liu 《Journal of Geodesy》2006,80(4):204-216

We process geophysical and waveform data records of the Geosat/GM (geodetic mission) satellite altimeter mission for waveform retracking and applications. An improved threshold retracker is developed. The performances of the Beta-5, threshold and improved threshold retrackers are assessed over waters around Taiwan. The improved threshold retracker outperforms the other two. The improvement in the accuracy of sea surface height (SSH) is investigated according to marine zone and the distance of waters to the shore. The improvement rate increases closer to the land, with the largest improvement rate of about 20% in waters within 10 km of the shore. Over waters around islands and coasts, there are still retracked SSHs with large errors. Least-squares collocation is used to compute gravity anomalies from the Geosat/GM altimeter data. Use of retracked SSHs improves the accuracy of gravity anomalies by about 11%. Adding airborne gravity data further improves the accuracy, especially in the immediate vicinity of the coasts. Tide model errors over coastal waters remain a problem in altimetry applications, even if the waveforms are properly retracked.  相似文献