洪灾风险评价与区划研究进展   总被引：6，自引：1，他引：6  

黄大鹏  刘闯  彭顺风 《地理科学进展》2007,26(4):11-22

洪灾风险评价是洪灾风险管理的首要步骤。洪灾风险区划是在洪灾风险评价基础上的宏 观分区， 有助于更清晰的把握洪灾风险的空间格局与内在规律。文章首先对洪灾风险相关概念进 行了阐述， 试图达到理清和规范的目的。然后对洪灾风险评价常用方法和洪灾风险区划研究进行 了评述。目前主要的洪灾风险评价方法有地貌学方法、水文水力学模型与系统仿真模拟方法、基 于历史灾情数据的方法、基于水灾史料和古洪水调查的方法、遥感与GIS 方法、基于洪灾形成机 制的系统分析方法等。最后对洪灾风险评价与洪灾风险区划研究进行了小结， 并指出了未来在洪 灾风险评价与区划的数据基础、洪灾风险评价的时空尺度、洪灾风险区划的理论与方法、洪灾风 险评价与区划的技术手段等方面的可能发展前景。  相似文献   

An empirical formula to compute snow cover fraction in GCMs   总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10  

WU Tongwen  WU Guoxiong 《大气科学进展》2004,21(4):529-535

There exists great uncertainty in parameterizing snow cover fraction in most general circulation models (GCMs) using various empirical formulae, which has great influence on the performance of GCMs. This work reviews the commonly used relationships between region-averaged snow depth (or snow water equivalent) and snow cover extent (or fraction) and suggests a new empirical formula to compute snow cover fraction, which only depends on the domain-averaged snow depth, for GCMs with different horizontal resolution. The new empirical formula is deduced based on the 10-yr (1978-1987) 0.5°× 0.5° weekly snow depth data of the scanning multichannel microwave radiometer (SMMR) driven from the Nimbus-7 Satellite. Its validation to estimate snow cover for various GCM resolutions was tested using the climatology of NOAA satellite-observed snow cover.  相似文献   

东亚地区夏季大气环流季节循环进程及其在区域持续性降水异常形成中的作用   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

廖清海  陶诗言 《大气科学》2004,28(6):835-846

利用32年(1968～1999年)月平均NCAR/NCEP再分析资料,分析了东亚地区夏季大气环流的季节循环进程, 并以1991/1994年为例,探讨了东亚地区夏季7～8月对流层上层环流的季节循环提前和延迟与气候平均的季节循环的差异,以及在江淮流域持续性降水异常过程中的作用,证实东亚地区季节循环的变异对形成我国东部地区持续性降水异常,特别是7月旱涝起着重要作用,江淮流域旱涝一般是和东亚地区大气环流季节循环的提早或推迟一个月左右相对应.通过波作用量的动力学诊断分析,研究了欧亚大陆沿副热带西风急流传播的异常准静止波的传播特征,并从以副热带西风急流为波导的准静止波(或者遥相关)角度对东亚地区夏季7～8月环流季节循环进程提前和延迟的可能机制作了分析.  相似文献   

Visualization and damage assessment for flooded area     

SUGuozhong YANLi LIUNan LIURenyi 《地球空间信息科学学报》2004,7(3):180-186

A practical method for visualizing flood area and evaluating damage is presented, which consists of two technical approaches: self-programming and adapting commercial GIS platforms. The low-cost and easy-to-use GIS-Based model developed by self-programming can meet current requirements of most local authorities, especially in developing countries. In this model, two cases, non-source flood and source flood, are distinguished and the Seed-spread algorithm suitable for source-flood is discussed; The flood damage is assessed by overlaying the flood area range with thematic maps and other related social and economic data. and all the-matic maps are converted to raster format before overlay analysis. Two measures are taken to improve the operation efficiency of speed seed-spread algorithm. The accuracy of the model mainly depends on the resolution and precision of the DEM data, and the accuracy of registering all raster layers and the quality of attribute data.  相似文献   

宁夏中北部地区沙尘暴频率气候影响指数模型的建立   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李艳春 《干旱气象》2004,22(1):13-16

从形成沙尘暴天气的动力机制、热力条件及物质基础入手,定性地分析了月平均风速、湿润度指数、月地面温差及下垫面沙化程度对沙尘暴频率的影响,在此基础上借鉴最新研究进展,建立适合宁夏中北部地区沙尘暴频率气候影响指数模型,比较深入地分析了宁夏中北部地区气候因素对沙尘暴频率的影响。  相似文献   

结构双层多重调谐质量阻尼器(DMTMD)控制策略的鲁棒性评价   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

李春祥  韩兵康  杜冬 《地震工程与工程振动》2004,24(5):97-104

基于定义的二类优化目标函数,评价双层多重调谐质量阻尼器(DMTMD)控制策略对漂移频率系数(DFR)摄动的鲁棒性。数值研究表明,使用第二类优化准则设计的DMTMD、双重调谐质量阻尼器(DTMD)和多重调谐质量阻尼器(MTMD)比使用第一类优化准则设计的DMTMD、DTMD和MTMD具有更高的对DFR摄动的鲁棒性。而且,使用第二类优化准则设计的总数为4的DMTMD、DTMD和总数为11的MTMD具有近似相同的对DFR摄动的鲁棒性。  相似文献   

用广义协调元分析复合式多层无孔和开孔矩形薄板的振动     

李自林  王荣霞  刘兴业 《地震工程与工程振动》2004,24(2):64-68

复合式多层无孔和开孔矩形薄板是桥梁结构和建筑等结构中的最重要的组成部分。当研究它们的振动问题时,用解析法求解自振频率十分困难,而采用通用的有限元法求解自由度数目多,收敛也比较慢。本文利用三角形薄板广义协调元分析了复合式多层四边简支、四边固定无孔和开孔矩形薄板的自由振动,求出了前几阶频率系数,其结果与用ANSYS软件算出的结果基本接近,当为单层无孔和开孔板时,与文献[8]的结果完全相同,且与文献[10]的解析解吻合较好,证明了本文理论推导及程序编制的正确性,表明广义协调元与有限元相比具有自由度少、精度高、程序简便以及收敛快等优点。  相似文献   

Effects of frequency and confining pressure on consolidation drainage behavior of soft marine clays     

Yong-Hong Miao  Fan-Bo Zhou  Yan-Chang Sun  Rui-Bing Li  Jian-Fei Lu 《Marine Georesources & Geotechnology》2013,31(6):746-754

Abstract

This article presents an experimental investigation on the dynamic consolidation (DC) drainage behavior of soft marine clays. A sinusoidal harmonic load with different frequencies was applied to simulate the DC method in which the conventional impact load was replaced by the cyclic load. Four geotextile-filter strips were used to form the side drainage channels simulating the wick drain method. A series of loading tests were conducted on soft soil specimens at different confining pressures (i.e., 20, 40, 70, and 100?kPa) and different vibration frequencies (i.e., 0, 0.5, 1, 1.5, 2, and 5?Hz). Test results showed that both confining pressure and frequency have significant influences on the drainage behavior of soft marine clay specimens. The magnitude of drainage volume consistently decreases linearly with increasing confining pressure. Compared to static loading condition, specimens under cyclic loading condition at different frequencies show a better drainage performance. Specimen at applied frequency of 1?Hz exhibits the maximum cumulative drainage volume due to the resonant effect.  相似文献   

First documented southern transatlantic migration of a blue shark Prionace glauca tagged off South Africa     

《African Journal of Marine Science》2013,35(3):639-642

The first documented recapture of a South African-tagged juvenile blue shark Prionace glauca off Uruguay lends weight to the hypothesis of a single blue shark population in the South Atlantic. The presence of neonate blue sharks with umbilical scars and females with post-parturition scars, as well as the high frequency of small juveniles in research longline catches, confirm the existence of a parturition and nursery area off South Africa. The final positions of three tagged sharks suggest that large-scale movement patterns in the South Atlantic are a mirror image of movements in the North Atlantic, with sharks using the north-westerly Benguela Drift to migrate into the tropics and ultimately across into South American waters. The confirmed existence of a parturition and nursery area off the south coast of South Africa and the movement of sharks into both adjacent ocean basins suggest that the southern African blue sharks are part of a single stock that straddles the South Atlantic and Indian oceans, and possibly the entire Southern Hemisphere.  相似文献   

A Technical Note on Development and Performance Study of a Set-up for Imparting Lateral Cyclic Load on Piles     

Sudip Basack 《Marine Georesources & Geotechnology》2013,31(4):322-341

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