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71.
杨引明  姚祖庆 《气象》2004,30(11):8-13
对近两年来5~8月中国东部地区120多个测站雨量观测资料和对应4400多幅GMS-5四个通道云图的研究发现:红外亮温的时间、空间变率、红外和水汽通道亮温差等云图衍生资料对消除卷云,弥补夜间缺少可见光云图的不足起到明显作用。从而,应用双判据双重MOS多元回归法建立四通道云图因子、衍生因子与降水量之间的回归方程,进行6小时分级降水估计。为了进一步消除厚卷云和特殊地形的影响,提出使用逐日实时资料自动建立多元回归方程估计降水量,从而对双判据双重MOS多元回归法估计结果进行校正。上海中心气象台的业务使用表明,总体估计的准确率达70%左右。  相似文献   
72.
基于能量平衡的蒸散发遥感反演模型研究   总被引:11,自引:1,他引:11       下载免费PDF全文
提出了基于能量平衡方法遥感反演蒸散发的计算模型。采用经验、半经验公式反演计算了模型中各参数。利用提出的净辐射折算系数、波文比,结合Sequin和Itier理论推导了日蒸散发量计算的经验模型,并考虑了温度对瞬时蒸散发量的的影响,提高了全天蒸散发量计算的精度。对于不同地区只要调整净辐射折算系数便可解决由蒸散发瞬时值求算全天值的困难。通过对黑龙江省进行数值试验,证明该模型具有很强的实用性,并且可为旱情监测系统运行提供依据。  相似文献   
73.
Primary economic diamond deposit modelling has rarely been documented in the public domain. This paper presents information collected from significantly diamondiferous kimberlite pipes located near Lac de Gras in the Arctic region of Canada's Northwest Territories. The resource estimation process is widely accepted as a cyclical iteration of data collection and evaluation processes. A resource database is typically assembled from a large inventory of exploration data. These data must be methodically quality checked before accepting the information for interpretive analysis. The foundation of a mineral resource model is based on clear understanding of the geology model along with subsidiary grade, volume, and density models. Defining these models is an iterative process of statistical analyses and interpretation. As a deposit progresses along a path towards development, reducing risk to acceptable levels is critical for identifying and realizing its maximum value.  相似文献   
74.
Estimates of the number of undiscovered deposits on a statewide basis offer a different perspective on the nation's undiscovered resources of gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc. Mean estimates of the number of undiscovered deposits statewide were extracted from the estimates of undiscovered deposits nationwide. More than 50 undiscovered deposits are estimated to occur in Alaska, Arizona, Nevada, and Wisconsin. Estimating the number of undiscovered deposits statewide serves as a measure of a state's total remaining mineral resources in known conventional deposit types.  相似文献   
75.
基于多传感器观测信息抗差估计的自适应融合导航   总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7  
首先利用抗差估计原理构造了基于观测信息的融合导航解,再利用动力学模型信息进行自适应融合,最后利用模拟算例进行多种方案的计算与比较。  相似文献   
76.
基于方差分量估计的自适应融合导航   总被引:23,自引:4,他引:23  
多源传感器观测信息的精度一般不一致,利用方差分量估计理论可以合理地顾及各传感器观测信息在融合导航解中的权比.首先给出基于多源观测信息的融合导航解算模式,进而基于方差分量估计讨论了各传感器观测信息在融合导航解中的合理平衡问题,然后应用自适应因子顾及动力学模型预报信息的贡献,给出了计算过程,并利用模拟数据进行了试算与比较.  相似文献   
77.
用L-曲线法确定岭估计中的岭参数   总被引:15,自引:0,他引:15  
运用L 曲线法来确定岭估计中的岭参数 ,推导了用L 曲线法确定岭参数的基本公式 ,在此基础上实现了其算法 ,并用两个算例 ,比较了新方法和以往方法。结果表明 ,L 曲线法不仅容易收敛 ,而且其计算结果的精度较高  相似文献   
78.
Rainfall regimes with strong spatial and temporal variation are characteristic of many coastal regions of north and eastern Australia. In coastal regions of north eastern Australia, regimes vary considerably over short distances. This occurs because of changes in local topography, including the height and orientation of mountain ranges and the direction of the coastline with respect to the prevailing moist south east air stream. Northern Australia experiences a tropical monsoon climate with rainfall occurring predominantly during the summer months. Areas with a closer proximity to the coast typically experience the heavier rainfalls. While networks of rainfall gauges have been established and continuous records are available for most of these stations from the 1890s, their low distribution density relative to the complexity of rainfall pattern they are required to represent means that there remains a poor understanding of the spatial and temporal distribution of rainfall in the wet tropics. An enhanced knowledge of rainfall distribution in both space and time has the potential to deliver significant economic and environmental benefits to managers of natural resources. This paper reports on the application of a technique for estimating mean annual and mean monthly rainfall across the Herbert River catchment of north east Australia's dry and wet tropics. The technique utilises thin plate smoothing splines to incorporate both location and elevation into estimates of rainfall distribution. We demonstrate that the method can be applied successfully at the meso scale and within the domain of routinely available data. As such, the method has broad relevance for decision making.  相似文献   
79.
Global ocean circulation models usually lack an adequate consideration of high-latitude processes due to a limited model domain or insufficient resolution. Without the processes in key areas of the global thermohaline circulation, the characteristics and flow of deep and bottom waters cannot be modeled realistically. In this study, a high-resolution (~20 km) ocean model focused on the Weddell Sea sector of the Southern Ocean is combined with a low-resolution (2° × 2°) global ocean model applying the state estimation technique. Temperature, salinity, and velocity data on two Weddell Sea sections from the regional model are used as constraints for the large-scale model in addition to satellite altimetry and sea-surface temperatures. The differences between the model with additional constraints and without document that the Weddell Sea circulation exerts significant influence on the course of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current with consequences for Southern Ocean water mass characteristics and the spreading of deep and bottom waters in the South Atlantic. Furthermore, a warming trend in the period 1993–2001 was found in the Weddell Sea and adjacent basins in agreement with float measurements in the upper Southern Ocean. Teleconnections to the North Atlantic are suggested but need further studies to demonstrate their statistical significance.  相似文献   
80.
滑坡滑面的抗剪强度指标往往用反算法确定。分析表明,对已变形位移的滑坡,其推力可不反算滑面抗剪强度指标而直接按现状稳定系数和设计安全系数简易地估算,一般地,滑坡推力等于下滑分力乘以设计安全系数相对于现状稳定系数的提高比例值。进而讨论了其对不同设计工况、各种典型形状滑面的适用条件。这是一条估算滑坡推力的捷径。  相似文献   
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