Tempo-spatial rupture process of the 1997 Mani, Xizang (Tibet), China earthquake of MS=7.9   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

许力生  陈运泰 《地震学报(英文版)》1999,12(5)

IntroductionAnearthquakeofMs=7.9occurredinMaul,Xizang(Tibet),Chinaat10:02f55.4(UTC),No')ember8.1997.TheepicenterdeterminedbyChinaNationalSeismographNetwork(CNSN)is87.33"E.3>.26'N,thefocaldepthis40km,andthemagnitudeisMs=7.4.Accordingtothedeterllllnati...  相似文献   

A two-stage time series model for monthly hydrological projections under climate change in the Lim River basin (southeast Europe)     

Milan Stojković  Jasna Plavšić  Stevan Prohaska  Dragutin Pavlović  Jovan Despotović 《水文科学杂志》2020,65(3):387-400

ABSTRACT

Climate change projections of precipitation and temperature suggest that Serbia could be one of the most affected regions in southeastern Europe. To prepare adaptation measures, the impact of climate changes on water resources needs to be assessed. Pilot research is carried out for the Lim River basin, in southeastern Europe, to predict monthly flows under different climate scenarios. For estimation of future water availability, an alternative approach of developing a deterministic-stochastic time series model is chosen. The proposed two-stage time series model consists of several components: trend, long-term periodicity, seasonality and the stochastic component. The latter is based on a transfer function model with two input variables, precipitation and temperature, as climatic drivers. The Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency for the observed period 1950–2012 is 0.829. The model is applied for the long-term hydrological prediction under the representative concentration pathway (RCP) emissions scenarios for the future time frame 2013–2070.  相似文献   

谢通门地震窗活动频次与强震对应关系     

土登次仁  格桑尼玛  格桑卓玛  益西拉姆  次仁多吉 《地震地磁观测与研究》2020,41(2):31-36

采用西藏测震台网记录的2008年1月—2018年12月谢通门区域定位地震,系统分析该区M_L1.5以上地震频度变化及与附近强震的对应关系,发现地震台站建设密度对谢通门地震窗监控能力影响较大,故从2008—2011年和2012年7月—2018年12月2个时段予以分析。分析发现,2012年7月开始,谢通门地震窗小震活动水平在每月20次范围内随机波动,当超过20次以上(含20次)即异常高值出现或结束后1.5年内,在半径100 km以内具有发生M_S 5.0以上地震的可能,在半径1 000 km以内具有发生M_S 6.5以上强震的可能。  相似文献   

硅基毫米波收发前端集成电路研究进展     

邱枫  宛操  罗雄耀  邓帅  徐涛涛  梅术聪  陈嘉文  吴亮  朱浩慎  车文荃  薛泉 《南京气象学院学报》2021,13(4):383-396

随着第五代移动通信技术（5G）逐步向毫米波频段（FR2）部署，以及目前无人驾驶技术对毫米波雷达技术的需求，高性能的毫米波收发前端集成电路成为了目前研究的热点.与此同时，硅基器件工艺的快速发展，极大地提高了晶体管的截止频率，为低成本、高性能的硅基毫米波集成电路设计提供了基础.本文对近年来的毫米波通信和雷达的硅基收发前端集成电路的研究现状和发展趋势进行了综述.  相似文献   

顾及垂直递减率函数的中国区域大气加权平均温度模型     

黄良珂  彭华  刘立龙  李琛  康传利  谢劭峰 《测绘学报》2020,49(4):432-442

大气加权平均温度(Tm)是全球导航卫星系统(GNSS)水汽监测的关键参数。针对中国区域地形起伏较大的特点,本文构建了顾及精细季节变化的Tm垂直递减率函数模型,在此基础上,利用2007—2014年的Global Geodetic Observing System(GGOS)atmosphere格网数据建立了中国区域的Tm格网新模型(简称为CTm模型)。以2015年GGOS格网数据和无线电探空资料为参考值,对CTm模型进行精度检验,并与常用的Bevis公式和GPT2w模型进行比较分析。结果表明:①以GGOS格网数据为参考值,CTm模型的年均偏差和均方根误差(RMS)分别为-0.52 K和3.28 K,相比于GPT2w-5和GPT2w-1模型,精度(RMS值)分别提高了27%和13%;②以探空数据为参考值,CTm模型的年均偏差和RMS误差分别为0.26 K和3.75 K,相对于GPT2w-5和GPT2w-1模型,精度分别提高了21%和16%,尤其在中国西部地区,CTm模型表现出更为显著的优势。此外,将CTm模型用于GNSS水汽计算,其引起的水汽计算RMS误差和相对误差分别为0.29 mm和1.36%。CTm模型不需要实测气象参数,因此,在中国区域的GNSS实时高精度水汽探测中具有重要的应用。  相似文献   

辽宁省农业干旱监测预报业务系统的设计与实现     

李辑  刘东明  李荣平  李雨鸿  张微玮  李晶 《气象科技》2020,48(5):640-647

为了提高农业干旱的监测预测服务能力,减少农业干旱对社会生产生活的影响,通过对干旱信息的采集、存储、加工处理和干旱产品的制作发布等环节进行梳理与完善,构建辽宁省农业干旱监测预报业务系统,实现了对农业干旱的一体化、精细化和定量化监测和预测,实现了干旱产品的标准化、自动化制作和发布。该系统依托农业干旱监测技术、遥感干旱监测技术、农业干旱预报技术等手段,实现了观测数据的收集存储、干旱信息的展示分析和干旱产品的制作发布等功能,并形成了省、市、县一体化干旱服务体系。最终实现对干旱的全方位监测、立体化服务模式,从而提高应对干旱灾害的防灾减灾能力。该系统的业务化应用提高了农业干旱监测预测的定量化、自动化和智能化水平,提升了地面和卫星遥感干旱监测预测的业务能力。该系统构建的省市县一体化服务模式,形成了省级农业气象业务中心统一制作干旱产品,省、市、县3级同时开展精细化干旱指导服务的体系。  相似文献   

The fraction of galaxies that contain active nuclei and their accretion rates     

M.J. Page 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2001,328(3):925-930

We investigate the relationship between the present-day optical luminosity function of galaxies and the X-ray luminosity function of Seyfert 1s to determine the fraction of galaxies that host Seyfert 1 nuclei and their Eddington ratios. The local type 1 active galactic nuclei (AGN) X-ray luminosity function is well reproduced if ∼1 per cent of all galaxies are type 1 Seyferts which have Eddington ratios of ∼10⁻³. However, in such a model the X-ray luminosity function is completely dominated by AGN in E and S0 galaxies, contrary to the observed mix of Seyfert host galaxies. To obtain a plausible mix of AGN host galaxy morphologies requires that the most massive black holes in E and S0 galaxies accrete with lower Eddington ratios, or have a lower incidence of Seyfert activity, than the central black holes of later-type galaxies.  相似文献   

CT-1地震计传递函数测试仪的设计   总被引：6，自引：4，他引：2  

周云耀  蔡亚先  吕永清  程骏玲 《大地测量与地球动力学》2002,22(3):117-121

将计算机控制技术应用到甚宽频带地震计的传递函数测试中。讨论了基本的测试方法和原理，阐述了传递函数测试系统的软、硬件设计，给出了测试系统的应用实例。该测试系统具有正弦波自动扫频、阶跃信号法和脉冲信号法等标定方法，满足了甚宽频带地震计的传递函数测试在观测频带、动态范围和测试精度等方面的要求。  相似文献   

DIAGNOSIS ON LOW FREQUENCY COMPONENT OF ENSO VARIABILITY—PART Ⅱ:ORIGIN OF THE COMPONENT     

邹力  倪允琪 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1997,(1)

Diagnosis is undertaken on the origin for the low-frequency component (LFC) of ENSOvariability in the context of 1979—1990 OLR and u-wind datasets.Evidence suggests that ① apower spectrum-yielded maximum,significant statistically,is derived from the OLR monthlyanomalies in a 3—5-year period range over the tropical central/western Pacific;②compositeanalysis of the signals of the monthly anomaly low frequency component (period>3 years)confirms further the dynamic features of the component as documented in Part Ⅰ:③serving asforcing on ENSO,the related monsoon region represents the source area of the component;④theone-point correlation maps of unfiltered OLR monthly anomalies with zonal wind on a lagged,asimultaneous and a leading basis show clearly the close relation between the u wind-associatedeastward travelling low-frequency wave and the low-frequency oscillation of low-latitude central/western Pacific large-scale convection and the east-moving mode is likely to be excited by theoscillation at a 3—5-year period range.It follows that the large-scale convection oscillation showsup as the origin of the eastward waves,i.e.,ENSO LFC.  相似文献   

用路径积分法求解电子的衍射态     

丁世荣 《地球科学与环境学报》1997,(Z1)

本文用费曼的路径积分方法求解出自由电子经狭缝衍射后的量子态及在观察屏处的几率分布，所得结果与光子的夫琅和费衍射相同。  相似文献