Influence of Changes in Solar Radiation on Changes of Surface Temperature in China          下载免费PDF全文

ZHANG Hu  YIN Qing  Teruyuki NAKAJIMA  Nakata Mukai MAKIKO  LU Peng  HE Jinhai 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2013,27(1):87-97

The long-term trends of total surface solar radiation(SSR),surface diffuse radiation,and surface air temperature were analyzed in this study based on updated 48-yr data from 55 observational stations in China,and then the correlation between SSR and the diurnal temperature range(DTR) was studied.The effect of total solar radiation on surface air temperature in China was investigated on the basis of the above analyses.A strong correlation between SSR and DTR was found for the period 1961-2008 in China.The highest correlation and steepest regression line slope occurred in winter,indicating that the solar radiation effect on DTR was the largest in this season.Clouds and water vapor have strong influences on both SSR and DTR,and hence on their relationship.The largest correlations between SSR and DTR occurred in wintertime in northern China,regardless of all-day(including clear days and cloudy days) or clear-day cases.Our results also showed that radiation arriving at the surface in China decreased significantly during 1961-1989(dimming period),but began to increase during 1990-2008(brightening period),in agreement with previous global studies.The reduction of total SSR offset partially the greenhouse warming during 1961-1989.However,with the increase of SSR after 1990,this offsetting effect vanished;on the contrary,it even made a contribution to the accelerated warming.Nonetheless,the greenhouse warming still played a controlling role because of the increasing of minimum and mean surface temperatures in the whole study period of 1961-2008.We estimated that the greenhouse gases alone may have caused surface temperatures to rise by 0.31-0.46℃(10 yr) 1 during 1961-2008,which is higher than previously estimated.Analysis of the corresponding changes in total solar radiation,diffuse radiation,and total cloud cover indicated that the dimming and brightening phenomena in China were likely attributable to increases in absorptive and scattering aerosols in the atmosphere,respectively.  相似文献   

基于灰区间真值的群体决策方法及应用     

巩在武  郭崇兰  周显信 《南京气象学院学报》2013,5(2):171-177

研究了灰区间偏好的群体决策问题.在专家灰区间偏好群体意见集结过程中,常规的灰区间运算会产生决策信息的失真.为了避免这一缺陷,首先引入了灰区间调节参数的概念,通过建立求解调节参数的二次规划模型,确定专家灰区间判断的真值.建立了专家客观权重求解的二次规划模型,并给出了专家客观权重的最优解.此外,从另外一个角度同时考虑调节参数与客观权重,建立求解灰区间真值与专家客观权重的群体最优决策模型.气象敏感性行业专家群体评估决策的算例表明,决策策略是有效的.  相似文献   

基于标准化降水指数的近51a山东临沂市旱涝时空特征   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

张磊  潘婕  陶生才  赵福年 《干旱气象》2013,(4):695-701

基于1961—2011年临沂市10个气象观测站的逐月降水数据,采用标准化降水指数（SPI）,分析了临沂市旱涝时空分布特征。结果表明：临沂市旱涝变化具有阶段性特征,1960年代初中期和1970年代初中期,雨涝频繁;1960年代中后期和1970年代中后期及整个1980年代,干旱频繁;1990年代到21世纪初早期旱涝交替发生,2003年以后以雨涝为主。冬春季干旱呈弱的减轻趋势,秋旱呈弱加剧趋势,夏季旱涝变化趋势不明显。北部山区、西部丘陵、南部平原的旱涝变化总体上具有相对一致的趋势,但在1960年代中期、1980年代中期、21世纪初早期西部丘陵的旱涝变化幅度较其他2个区域要大。全市旱涝变率在21世纪初早期最大,1970年代中后期最小,3个区域的变率总体上表现出与全市大致相同的趋势,2004年以后南部平原旱涝变率持续增大。  相似文献   

三套NDVI长时间序列植被指数的对比——以玛曲为例     

沙莎  郭铌  李耀辉  韩涛 《干旱气象》2013,(4):657-665

NDVI／MODIS、NDVI／GIMMS和NDVI／NSMC是时间长度不同、空间分辨率相差甚远的3套ND—VI数据集,如何集成应用这些不同时间长度、不同分辨率的数据进行相关研究,数据集间的比较是最基础的工作。本文以甘肃省甘南州玛曲县为例,用直方图、相关分析、趋势分析等方法研究了这3套NDVI产品数据集的相互关系。结果表明：1）NDVI／NSMC与NDVI/MODIS的直方图具有类似的图像分布特征,但是NDVI／MODIS数据分布范围更大;2）3套NDVI在数值上表现为NDVI／MODIS〉NDVI／GIMMS〉NDVI／NSMC;3）3套数据集空间图像特征一致,两两间均具有十分显著的空间相关性,其中1月份相对最弱,5、10月份最强,三者相比NDVIfNSMC与NDVI／MODIS的空间相关性更强;4）1—3月、5—8月及年均的NDVI／GIMMS与NDVI／NSMC值存在显著的时间相关性,但两者逐年变化趋势存在较大差别,两者气候倾向率相差最大的高达5倍之多。NDVIfNSMC数据集在处理过程中可能未进行大气订正及交叉定标,这是造成共同源的NDVIfGIMMS与NDVI／NSMC差异较大的重要原因。  相似文献   

DIAGNOSTIC ANALYSIS OF PERSISTENT DROUGHT/FLOOD EVENTS IN SUMMER OVER THE TWO-LAKE REGION OF CHINA     

吴贤云  丁一汇  叶成志 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2013,19(3):264-275

Based on the daily regional mean rainfall,the Z-index method is used to identify persistent flood and drought events lasting for at least 10 days over a region where Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake sit(referred to as the"two-lake region"hereafter).The National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP)reanalysis data are then utilized to perform a preliminary diagnostic analysis on these events.The results indicate that the composite standardized geopotential height at 500 hPa presents two different meridional wave trains from north to south over the East Asian-Pacific region,i.e.,a"-+-"pattern for the droughts and a"+-+"pattern for the floods,respectively.The developing,maintaining and decaying phases in the drought and flood events are closely related to the intensity and location of a subtropical high and an extra-tropical blocking high.It is shown that the East Asian summer monsoon is strong(weak)with the occurrence of persistent drought(flood)events.Droughts(floods)are accompanied by a weak(strong)tropical convergent system and a strong(weak)subtropical convergent system.Furthermore,the persistent drought(flood)events are associated with a divergence(convergence)of vertically integrated water vapor flux.In the vertical profile of water vapor flux,divergence(convergence)in the mid-and lower-levels and convergence(divergence)in the higher levels are evident in the droughts(floods).Both the divergence in the droughts and the convergence in floods are strongest at 850 hPa.  相似文献   

Climate mitigation finance across developing countries: what are the major determinants?     

Aidy Halimanjaya 《Climate Policy》2013,13(2):223-252

This empirical study assesses the relationship between the characteristics of developing countries and the amount of official climate mitigation finance inflow. A two-part model and robustness checks were used to analyse 1998–2010 Rio Marker data on 180 developing countries. The results show that developing countries with higher CO₂ intensity, larger carbon sinks, lower per capita gross domestic product (GDP) and good governance tend to be selected as recipients of climate mitigation finance, and receive more of it. CO₂ emission is not used as a determinant of mitigation finance until the actual financial disbursement. Poverty aid tends to be allocated to countries with low CO₂ emissions, possibly to avoid diverting aid from poorer developing countries. However, such a diversion is unavoidable if the share of mitigation finance in climate finance and in overall official development assistance (ODA) continues to escalate. This study calls for an equitable allocation of total ODA mitigation and adaptation finance in addition to the 0.7% ODA/gross national income target, and for transparent criteria and the verification of reporting on the allocation of mitigation finance.  相似文献   

CINRAD/SA雷达灯丝电源调试与故障判定     

舒毅  舒童  杨苏勤  李欣  张福贵 《气象科技》2013,41(4):620-625

详细叙述了CINRAD/SA雷达灯丝电源控制电路的工作状态,分析了控制电路中脉宽调制器SG1525A的特性,调试了控制斩波器的脉宽调制电路和振荡器控制电路的关键测试波形,并对灯丝电源输出电压、灯丝电压保护和灯丝电流保护进行了分步调试.根据实际经验总结了在灯丝电源调试过程中出现的故障判定流程和故障排查、排除方法,旨在为雷达灯丝电源的故障处理提供参考和借鉴.  相似文献   

CINRAD/CC型雷达数据传输系统故障分析与改进方案     

梁华  高玉春  张涛  刘永强 《气象科技》2013,41(3)

对甘肃省3部CINRAD/CC型雷达近4年的雷达故障进行统计分析,作为雷达系统的主要故障部件,随着使用年限的增加,雷达数据传输系统的故障有明显的增多趋势.对引起故障的主要因素进行统计分析,提出了改进方法:基于标准网络的数据传输方式舍弃了原来的光纤系统;取消了基于光端机和复分接的通信方式,代以采用标准网络传输的通信方式;采用四创电子研发的终端软件(2.0版本),新增了集成的网络功能、用户权限功能、数据产品和图像产品全自动生成、数据文件的检索能力、语音报警等功能.改进后的雷达数据传输系统运行情况表明:网络型光纤通信系统减少了雷达数据传输故障,增强了系统的可靠性和稳定性;雷达数据的传输率和有效性也得到一定的提高,确保了新一代天气雷达的正常业务观测.  相似文献   

建立WebGIS的月球三维可视化关键技术     

邢丽平  ;左维  ;李春来 《天文研究与技术》2014,(3):299-304

嫦娥工程获得了大量月球探测数据。针对让公众用户通过网络获取月球信息,更好了解月球知识的需求,地面应用系统提出了建立基于WebGIS的月球三维可视化系统的解决方案。首先介绍了国内外三维月球的发展现状,详细分析了开发WebGIS系统的客户端和服务器端技术,重点阐述了月球空间数据模型和三维场景可视化渲染等三维GIS可视化关键技术,为建立我国的三维月球可视化系统提供了理论支持。  相似文献   

A 16 ka climate record deduced from δ^13C and C/N ratio in Qinghai Lake sediments, northeastern Tibetan Plateau     

沈吉汪勇  刘兴起Ryo Matsumoto 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2006,24(2):103-110

1 INTRODUCTION δ13C in organic matters from lacustrine sedi- ments varies with several factors including aquatic plants, vegetation type in the catchment, atmos- pheric CO2 concentration, climate (temperature and precipitation), and properties of water, …  相似文献