Parameter sensitivity of three Kalman filter schemes for assimilation of water levels in shelf sea models   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

J.V.T. Srensen  H. Madsen  H. Madsen 《Ocean Modelling》2006,11(3-4):441-463

In applications of data assimilation algorithms, a number of poorly known assimilation parameters usually need to be specified. Hence, the documented success of data assimilation methodologies must rely on a moderate sensitivity to these parameters. This contribution presents a parameter sensitivity study of three well known Kalman filter approaches for the assimilation of water levels in a three dimensional hydrodynamic modelling system. The filters considered are the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), the reduced rank square root Kalman filter (RRSQRT) and the steady Kalman filter. A sensitivity analysis of key parameters in the schemes is undertaken for a setup in an idealised bay. The sensitivity of the resulting root mean square error (RMSE) is shown to be low to moderate. Hence the schemes are robust within an acceptable range and their application even with misspecified parameters is to be encouraged in this perspective. However, the predicted uncertainty of the assimilation results are sensitive to the parameters and hence must be applied with care. The sensitivity study further demonstrates the effectiveness of the steady Kalman filter in the given system as well as the great impact of assimilating even very few measurements.  相似文献   

Theory and Practice of Soft Clay Engineering     

Wei Rulong Prof. Senior Engineer  Geotechnical Engineering Department  Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute  Nanjing 《中国海洋工程》1994,(1)

-The shear strength and deformation properties of soft clay are discussed first. Then some methods for predicting the performance of soft clay foundation are proposed. Finally, case histories are presented to illustrate some discussed aspects of soft clay.  相似文献   

台湾海峡及其西边地区正常地震动态及危险性特征   总被引：1，自引：2，他引：1  

柯龙生  林世敏 《台湾海峡》1994,13(2):190-197

本文从地震的时，空分布特征，区域应力场动态，能量释放方式，ｂ值及震群特征６个方面研究了台湾海峡及其西边地区地震活动的正常动态及异常特征。结果表明，具有前兆意义的变化模式表现为区域地震活动在时间，空间及功能方面的有序性变化，即：（ａ）地震空间分布由分散转为集中，形成条带或空区；（ｂ）断裂活动由多组转为单一，应力场趋向一致；（display status  相似文献   

A Study on Hydroelastic Response of Box-Type Very Large Floating Structures     

王志军  李润培  舒志 《中国海洋工程》2001,(3):345-354

The application of very large floating structure (VLFS) to the utilization of ocean space and exploitation of ocean resources has become one of the issues of great interest in international ocean engineering field. Owing to the advantage of simplicity in structure and low cost of construction and maintenance, box-type VLFS can be used in the calm water area near the coast as the structure configuration of floating airport. In this paper, a 3D linear hydroelastic theory is used to study the dynamic response of box-type VLFS in sinusoidal regular waves. A beam model and a 3D FEM model are respectively employed to describe the dynamic characteristics of the box-type structure in vacuum. A hydrodynamic model (3D potential theory of flexible body) is applied to investigate the effect of different dry models on the hydroelastic response of box-type structure. Based on the calculation of hydroelastic response in regular waves, the rigid body motion displacement, flexible deflection, and the short term and long  相似文献   

渤海、黄海强温跃层数值预报模式     

王宗山  徐伯昌  金梅兵  邹娥梅  李繁华 《海洋科学进展》1996,(3)

文中对前人关于水温垂直结构计算、模拟和预报研究成果进行了评价，并在此基础上建立了考虑海面吸收辐射和透射辐射、地形、风、海流、界面摩擦及其引起的混合作用的强温跃层三维数值预报模式。该模式运行的驱动量仅为风和气温场资料，因而具有较好的实用性；此外，从试报的结果看，效果是令人满意的。  相似文献   

一个基于TOPEX卫星极端海面风速预测的海洋地理信息系统   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：4  

方朝阳  陈戈 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2001,31(5):789-794

在基于 TOPEX卫星数据建立全球极端海面风速预测模型的基础上 ,开发出用于极端海面风速预测和可视化预测结果的海洋地理信息系统 (MGIS)。并论述全球极端海面风速预测的意义和 MGIS在预测过程中的重要性及必要性 ;给出全球极端海面风速预测的统计模型 ;简述极端海面风速预测海洋地理信息系统的结构、工作流程和功能 ;同时 ,对系统的预测结果进行初步分析  相似文献   

台风预报系统     

徐勤爱  张德宇 《海洋湖沼通报》1994,(2):105-112

本文介绍的是一项在微机上实现的台风预报专家系统。该系统可进行台风气候查询、台风路径检索、台风特例查询，并能利用相似加权法制作出１２－７２小时台风路径和中心强度预报，对异常路径台风也可提供一定的诊断预报判据。本系统已在军内外一些气象业务单位得到应用，实践证明它是一种简便有效的台风预报工具。  相似文献   

东营北部凸起带古冲沟储层分布规律研究     

张维冈  刘怀山 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2002,32(4):603-607

在油田勘探与开发中 ,充分认识古冲沟油气藏的勘探与开发是十分重要和有意义的。本文利用东营北部凸起带的地质、钻井、航磁和地震等资料 ,对古冲沟在地震剖面上的特征和古冲沟储层预测方法等进行了研究与探讨  相似文献   

能量分析在台风短期预报业务中的应用     

王风范  耿敏 《海洋预报》1995,12(2):61-66

本文以９４１４、９４１５号两个连续北上台风为例，证明能量场的分布与台风移向有着明显的对应关系。  相似文献   

GIS在处置地下管线突发事件中的应用研究——以苏州市地下综合管网应急处置系统为例     

周旭东  吴明冠  李宏伟 《测绘科学》2008,(Z1)

随着经济社会的不断发展,城市建设步伐不断加快。近几年,各类地下管线突发事件频发。通过"苏州市地下综合管网应急处置系统"项目的开发和实践,本文试图从总体上论述地下综合管网突发事件的处置过程、应用原理及相关的技术实现,重点阐述了基于"12345"便民服务中心工作平台,在充分利用GIS的网络分析技术的基础上,实现城市地下管网突发事件应急处置的自动化和信息化。  相似文献