Could baseline establishment be counterproductive for emissions reduction? Insights from Vietnam’s building sector     

Maryna Karavai  Søren E. Lütken  Daniel Puig 《Climate Policy》2018,18(4):459-470

This article provides insights into the role of institutions involved in climate governance working towards a future low-carbon society at the national level, within the global climate change governance architecture. Specifically, it contributes to understanding the fragmented governance of energy efficiency policy in developing countries by focussing on Vietnam’s building sector, identifying key institutions related to underlying discourses, national and international power relations, resource distribution and coalitions. It uses the case of baseline setting in developing Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs) to illustrate institutional dynamics, nationally and transnationally, as well as to question whether demands for baseline setting achieve the ideal trade-off between actual GHG emissions reduction and institutionalized demands for accountability. The analysis reveals that, in addition to domestic efforts and challenges, the international agenda greatly influences the energy efficiency policy arena. The article presents lessons to be learnt about policy processes from the specific Vietnamese case, reflecting on the role of international actors and discourses in it. Finally, it argues for the abolition of baselines in favour of adequate monitoring and evaluation, from the perspective that requirement for deviation from fictitious baselines is unproductive and only serves an international techno-managerial discourse.

POLICY RELEVANCE

Baseline establishment is commonly considered an initial step in developing NAMAs, in order to facilitate the demonstration of a deviation from such baselines. The requirement to produce baselines is traditionally not questioned by policy practitioners. Thus, significant development resources are allocated to the establishment of baselines and the bridging of data gaps, often without consideration as to whether baselines are a necessary instrument for NAMA implementation. We suggest omitting the lengthy and resource-consuming practice of establishing baselines and recommend proceeding forthwith to the planning and implementation of mitigation and energy efficiency policies. As conditions vary significantly in different contexts, it would be more appropriate to measure the initial situation, establishing the ‘base point’, and monitor development from that point. The present article might serve as motivation for policymakers to question traditional approaches to policy development and consider alternatives to maximize the cost efficacy of NAMA programmes and facilitate their implementation.  相似文献   

Experimental evidence for flexibility of a building foundation supported by concrete friction piles     

M. D. Trifunac  S. S. Ivanov  M. I. Todorovska  E. I. Novikova  A. A. Gladkov 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》1999,18(3):375

This article explores the possibility to measure deformations of building foundations from measurements of ambient noise and strong motion recordings. The case under study is a seven-storey hotel building in Van Nuys, California. It has been instrumented by strong motion accelerographs, and has recorded several earthquakes, including the 1971 San Fernando (M_L=6.6, R=22 km), 1987 Whittier–Narrows (M_L=5.9, R=41 km), 1992 Landers (M_L=7.5, R=186 km), 1992 Big Bear (M_L=6.5, R=149 km), and 1994 Northridge (M_L=6.4, R=1.5 km) earthquake and its aftershocks (20 March: M_L=5.2, R=1.2 km; 6 December, 1994: M_L=4.3, R=11 km). It suffered minor structural damage in 1971 earthquake and extensive damage in 1994. Two detailed ambient vibration tests were performed following the Northridge earthquake, one before and the other one after the 20 March aftershock. These included measurements at a grid of points on the ground floor and in the parking lot surrounding the building, presented and analyzed in this article. The analysis shows that the foundation system, consisting of grade beams on friction piles, does not act as a “rigid body” but deforms during the passage of microtremor and therefore earthquake waves. For this geometrically and by design essentially symmetric building, the center of stiffness of the foundation system appears to have large eccentricity (this is seen both from the microtremor measurements and from the earthquake recordings). This eccentricity may have contributed to strong coupling of transverse and torsional responses, and to larger than expected torsional response, contributing to damage during the 1994 Northridge, earthquake.  相似文献   

提高月降水量预报精度的一种尝试     

张永革  王延贵 《气象》1999,25(10):35-37

用原始数据建立的多元自回归预报模型,虽然对气压,气温,绝对湿度的预报精度很高,但对月降水量的预报粗度较低,改用自典型相关因子建模,大大提高了月降水量的预报精度,对气压,气温,绝对湿度的预报亦有所改进。  相似文献   

Seismic vulnerability of reinforced concrete buildings with discontinuity in columns     

Payal Gwalani  Yogendra Singh  Humberto Varum 《地震工程与结构动力学》2023,52(1):204-225

Irregular reinforced concrete (RC) buildings constitute a significant portion of the existing housing stock. A common type of irregularity is in the form of discontinuity in the vertical framing elements, which can exacerbate their seismic vulnerability. The design guidelines available in seismic design codes essentially cater to only regular buildings, and the safety of such buildings, even when the other guidelines of the codes are followed, is doubtful. This article evaluates the vulnerability of RC frame buildings with discontinuity in columns designed for modern seismic codes, in the form of seismic collapse capacity, collapse resistance against maximum earthquake demand level, and failure mechanism. The adequacy and limitations of the provisions of the seismic design codes are evaluated for such buildings. Analysis results show that the sequential analysis of buildings considering the construction staged effects, considerably affects the design and hence the collapse failure mechanism of even low- and mid-rise buildings. The results also underline the importance of strong column–weak beam design in the seismic performance of the floating column buildings. The vertical component of ground motion is also observed to be relatively more crucial in floating column buildings.  相似文献   

考虑震害因子耦合作用的砌体建筑群破坏概率模型研究          下载免费PDF全文

(孙海    刘孟佳  姜慧  阮雪景  邢启航  高惠瑛) 《世界地震工程》2023,39(2):031-41

砌体建筑群在地震中往往破坏严重损失巨大,合理评估地震作用对不同种类砌体结构造成破坏的风险变得至关重要。传统基于后验概率的地震危险性分析方法忽略了砌体建筑个体差异性的影响,未深入考虑多种震害因子的耦合作用。本文以华南地区砌体建筑群为例,开发了一种集成概率方法来对城市砌体结构的破坏风险进行建模,考虑建筑年代、层数、使用用途和墙厚四类震害因子的耦合影响,采用(Kolmogorov-Smirnov)K-S检验,在设定地震动参数下选取Gaussian分布、Log-Normal分布、Gumbel分布和Beta分布四种概率分布对该地区砌体建筑物的破坏状态概率分布参数进行拟合。通过均方根误差(Root Mean Square Error)RMSE进行拟合优度评价,最终建立基于Gaussian分布和Log-Normal分布的砌体建筑物破坏联合概率模型。最后,以华南地区三个城市典型砌体建筑物为例进行实例对比验证,将基于本文建立的建筑破坏概率模型推算出的砌体建筑群震害矩阵与基于单体结构分析得到的震害矩阵进行对比,与理论值最大偏差为0.033 3。研究表明：本文构建的集成概率方法能够获得更加合理的城市砌体建筑...  相似文献   

基于深度学习的倾斜摄影建筑物表面损毁信息提取     

罗嘉琦  帅向华  李继赓 《中国地震》2023,39(2):271-281

建筑物受损信息是地震受灾程度评估的基础,针对传统建筑物表面信息识别人工成本高、效率低等问题,受深度学习提取建筑物影像的启发,提出利用无人机倾斜摄影模型与深度学习相结合的方法提取震后建筑物表面破损信息。以2019年长宁6.0级地震为例,选用双河镇震后倾斜摄影模型切片图为数据源,对比分析面向对象分类方法、VGG-16模型和DeeplabV3+模型对建筑物表面损毁信息的提取结果。分析结果表明,针对建筑物表面破损信息的提取,尤其是细小裂缝的提取,语义分割网络DeeplabV3+模型具有较强的优势(准确率96.93%、召回率96.85%、总体精度96.89%),可实现建筑物表面破损信息的有效提取,具有较强的应用价值。  相似文献   

太湖典型植物氨基酸组成特征及其对水环境的影响   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘丹  白画画  朱元荣  林樱  吴丰昌 《湖泊科学》2015,27(1):119-127

在太湖两个不同湖区(东太湖和贡湖)各选择了8种不同类型的典型水生植物和1种陆生植物全株作为研究对象,采用邻苯二甲醛柱前衍生-反相高效液相色谱法对其中15种氨基酸的组成特征进行了分析,并探讨了植物来源氨基酸对湖泊水环境的影响.结果表明东太湖区域植物体中总可水解氨基酸(THAAs)的平均含量为861.6±182.96μmol/g,贡湖区域植物体中THAAs平均含量为700.0±232.3μmol/g;不同类型植物体中THAAs的含量大小依次为:沉水植物、浮叶植物挺水植物陆生植物;其中天冬氨酸、谷氨酸、精氨酸、丙氨酸和赖氨酸是THAAs的主要组成部分,这5种氨基酸的摩尔浓度占氨基酸总量的50%以上;太湖植物中THAAs所含的氮元素对植物总氮的贡献在30.7%~94.7%之间,是植物体氮元素的主要组分,也是内源氮输入的主要来源.东太湖区域采集的植物样品中各氨基酸的浓度比例与东太湖水体氨基酸组成差异较大,但与沉积物氨基酸组成较吻合,表明东太湖植物来源的有机质和氨基酸是沉积物中有机质和氨基酸的重要来源.  相似文献   

从抗震设防类别探讨室内地震应急避难场所的选择   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

姜连艳 《震灾防御技术》2017,12(1):203-209

区分建筑物的抗震设防类别是进行抗震设计的前提和依据。本文针对当前我国室内地震应急避难场所认定面临的现有建筑的抗震安全性问题,根据不同版本的《建筑工程抗震设防分类标准》和《建筑抗震设计规范》,对现有体育、会展、教育建筑等设计、施工时依据的抗震设防类别、标准、规范进行分析研究,以为室内地震应急避难场所的选择提供参考,从而推动室内地震应急避难场所的认定工作。  相似文献   

基于SWAT模型的南四湖流域非点源氮磷污染模拟   总被引：7，自引：2，他引：5  

李爽  张祖陆  孙媛媛 《湖泊科学》2013,25(2):236-242

本文利用SWAT模型结合实测数据,对南四湖流域2001-2010年年均非点源氮磷污染进行模拟,分析了南四湖流域非点源氮磷负荷空间分布特征,计算各河流流域对南四湖湖区污染的贡献率,并对非点源氮磷污染严重的关键区进行识别.研究表明:(1)先模拟湖东和湖西的两个典型小流域的非点源氮磷污染,并将模型推及整个南四湖流域,该方法不仅提高了计算效率,且得到了较好的模拟结果.通过对比发现,湖东的模拟效果要好于湖西,一定程度上说明SWAT模型在起伏较大的地区能取得更高的精度.(2)南四湖流域非点源氮磷污染严重,几乎所有区域的氮负荷超标,40%以上的区域磷负荷超标严重.湖东非点源氮磷污染较湖西严重,其中洸府河流域是南四湖湖区非点源氮磷污染的主要贡献者.(3)通过对径流量、泥沙负荷、氮负荷、磷负荷的相关分析可以得出,南四湖流域非点源氮负荷以溶解态为主,随径流进入水体;非点源磷负荷以吸附态为主,随泥沙进入水体.  相似文献   

大震下村镇建筑砌体结构的抗震性能数值分析          下载免费PDF全文

华建兵  吴韬  蒋敏  易苗苗  王艳华 《地震工程学报》2017,39(1):52-57

为探讨村镇建筑低层砌体结构在大震下的动力响应及损伤分布情况,基于农居结构性能实地调查与检测,在有限元软件ABAQUS中建立了不同抗震构造措施的砌体结构有限元模型,并进行结构动力特性及大震下弹塑性时程的分析,对比它们的自振特性参数、位移响应参数及损伤破坏形态。分析表明,低层砌体结构合理设置构造柱后结构自振周期略有减小,但振型不变;在弹性变形阶段构造柱能有效约束结构的动力位移响应,进入塑性变形后构造柱可提高砌体结构的耗能能力,但值得注意的是,结构刚度退化后构造柱会加剧纵横向抗侧刚度的不均衡性;低层砌体结构合理设置圈梁构造柱可有效抑制承重横墙的裂缝发展及楼屋盖发生支座失效破坏,且可以明显削弱结构的扭转效应。  相似文献