中国传统农区过去300年耕地重建结果的对比分析   总被引：12，自引：4，他引：8  

何凡能  李士成  张学珍  葛全胜  戴君虎 《地理学报》2012,67(9):1190-1200

土地覆被变化是气候与生态效应模拟研究的重要参量。SAGE和HYDE两个全球历史土地利用数据集在相关研究中得到广泛应用, 但在区域尺度上的应用, 其可靠性如何, 至今少有论及。以我国学者重建的传统农区历史耕地数据集(CHCD) 为基础, 从全区、省区和网格(60 km×60 km) 三个空间尺度, 对SAGE (2010) 和HYDE3.1 数据集中有关中国传统农区历史耕地重建结果进行对比分析, 结果表明:(1) SAGE (2010) 数据集对中国传统农区耕地数量重建是以单一线性插补而得, 其中1700-1950 年是以0.51%的年均增长率线性递增, 1950 年后是以0.34%年均速率线性递减, 这种“标准化”变化趋势不能客观反映传统农区土地垦殖的真实历史, 耕地面积也明显高估, 与CHCD数据集不具有可比性;(2) HYDE3.1 数据集吸纳了区域性研究成果, 使其在总量上与CHCD数据集较为接近, 具有较好的可比性, 但其在省区和网格尺度上与CHCD存在显著差异, 其中相对差异率超过70% (< -70%或> 70%) 的网格占比高达56%~63%, 超过90% (< -90%或> 90%) 的网格占比也高达40%~45%;而相对差异率介于-10%~10%的网格占比仅为5%~6%, 介于-30%~30%的网格占比也仅为17%左右;(3) 充分利用我国丰富的历史文献, 建立更高精度的中国区域历史土地利用数据集, 是提高区域气候与生态效应模拟研究质量的重要保障。  相似文献   

Effects of mesoscale eddies in the active mixed layer: test of the parametrisation in eddy resolving simulations     

M. V. Luneva  C. A. Clayson  M. S. Dubovikov 《地球物理与天体物理流体动力学》2015,109(3):281-310

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Genetic algorithm for fitting a mixed Bingham distribution to 3D orientations: a tool for the statistical and paleostress analyses of fracture orientations          下载免费PDF全文

Atsushi Yamaji 《Island Arc》2016,25(1):72-83

The clustering of fracture orientations is important for tectonic studies and for geotechnical engineering. In this study, a real‐coded genetic algorithm was adopted to fitting a mixed Bingham distribution to orientation data by maximizing the log‐likelihood function of the distribution. The maximization is a difficult problem, because the function has multimodality and singularity. It was found that the algorithm was effective for this problem. Given the orientations of dilational fractures, the present method determines not only the stress axes and stress ratio of each of the fracture groups but also the maximum non‐dimensionalized fluid pressure at the time of their formation. In addition, the software calculates the 95 % error ellipses of the concentration axes. The present method found that the orientations of ore veins of the Akenobe Mine, SW Japan, should be partitioned into three clusters. It is shown that two of the groups had distinctive Zn and Sn contents, and that the ore fluids had overpressures only slightly greater than the minimum principal stress at the time of the deposition of Zn‐ and Sn‐rich veins.  相似文献   

Q系统法在甘肃北山岩体质量评价中的应用研究——以BS03号孔为例     

徐健  王驹  马艳  钟霞 《铀矿地质》2009,25(6):366-372,379

利用岩体质量评价Q系统的特点,对Q系统各参数进行赋值,根据Q值对BS03号孔附近岩体进行质量分级,给出定性结论。与利用RQD值所得岩体质量评价结果对比,一致性良好。  相似文献   

新疆和田南部地区矿产地质特征及成矿潜力分析     

王兆成  王邦全  文建华  唐辉  李胜伟  晋红展 《四川地质学报》2009,29(Z1)

新疆和田南部地区地质矿产工作程度低,已有的矿产信息十分有限,2008年以矿产路线调查为主的找矿工作取得了一定进展,新发现的矿(化)点对了解本区的成矿特征具有重要意义,并展示出了形成矿集区的成矿潜力.  相似文献   

Spatio-temporal evaluation of global gridded precipitation datasets across Iran   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Seyed-Mohammad Hosseini-Moghari  Kumars Ebrahimi 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(11):1669-1688

ABSTRACT

In this work, the accuracy of four gridded precipitation datasets – Climatic Research Unit (CRU), Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC), PERSIANN-Climate Data Record (PCDR) and University of Delaware (UDEL) – is evaluated across Iran to find an alternative source of precipitation data. Monthly, seasonal and annual precipitation data from 85 synoptic stations for the period 1984–2013 were used as the basis for the evaluations. Our results indicate that all datasets underestimate and overestimate precipitation in stations with annual precipitation greater than 600 and less than 100 mm, respectively. However, all datasets correctly recognize regimes of precipitation, but with a bias in amount of precipitation. Our spatio-temporal assessments show that GPCC is the most suitable dataset to be used over Iran. Both UDEL and CRU can be considered as the second and third most suitable datasets, while PCDR showed the weakest performance among the studied datasets.  相似文献   

On the identification of ENSO-induced rainfall and runoff variability: a comparison of methods and indices     

ANTHONY S. KIEM  STEWART W. FRANKS 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(5):715-727

Abstract

It is known that the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon induces marked climate variability across many parts of the world. However, in seeking useful relationships between ENSO and climate, several indices are available. In addition to the choice of index, previous studies assessing ENSO effects have employed a range of different methods to classify periods as El Niño, La Niña or Neutral. It is therefore clear that significant subjectivity exists in the adoption of ENSO classification schemes. In this study, several ENSO classification methods are applied to a range of ENSO indices. Each method-index combination is investigated to determine which provides the strongest relationship with rainfall and runoff in the Williams River catchment, New South Wales, Australia. The results demonstrate substantial differences between the methods and indices. The Multivariate ENSO Index (or MEI) is found to provide the best classification irrespective of method. The potential for forecasting ENSO-related effects on rainfall, runoff and river abstractions is then investigated. A “rise rule” to account for dynamic ENSO trends is also assessed. Strong relationships were found to exist with runoff (rainfall) up to nine (eight) months in advance of the Summer/autumn period. Implications for improved forecasting of potential river abstractions are apparent.  相似文献   

基于直方变差图的土地覆盖数据集多尺度精度评价     

朱榴骏  肖鹏峰  冯学智  汪左  蒋璐媛 《遥感学报》2013,17(6):1459-1474

针对目前精度评价尺度单一的问题,提出基于直方变差图的多尺度精度评价方法,分别在像元尺度和亚像元尺度进行土地覆盖数据集精度评价。在像元尺度利用驻点作为采样工具直接评价数据集精度;亚像元尺度上,则利用非严格定义的驻点和驻点直方变差图对不同面积和空间结构的优势类进行精度评价。并以浙江北部典型区域为实验区,Landsat TM/ETM+为参考数据,对UMD、IGBP DISCover、MOD12Q1-2001、GLC2000、GlobCover2009等5种大尺度土地覆盖数据集进行多尺度精度评价实验。结果表明,多尺度精度评价方法能够全面地评价土地覆盖数据集的精度,提供更加丰富的多尺度精度信息。像元尺度精度评价可在一定程度上消除由于参考数据与数据集间的空间匹配造成的误差,评价结果更加客观;亚像元尺度精度评价能有效反映亚像元尺度优势地物面积及空间结构与精度的关系。  相似文献   

近30多年江淮流域极端气温指数的时空变化分析:站点观测和再分析的对比     

吴晶璐  朱红芳  宗培书  惠品宏  汤剑平 《气象科学》2018,38(4):464-476

利用1979—2011年江淮流域的区域站点、NCEP/DOE和ERA-Interim再分析资料中的逐日最高、最低气温资料集,对比分析了近33 a江淮流域极端气温指数的时空变化特征,对再分析资料的再现能力进行检验和评估。结果表明:(1)近33 a来大部分极端气温指数及其趋势系数的空间分布都表现出南北向梯度分布特征,而极端最高、最低气温的极值区分布在长江三角洲地区;(2)夏日指数、作物生产指数、极端最高、极端最低、暖期长度指数和高百分位指数在年际变化中均有上升趋势,而且多次出现异常低值和异常高值;近10多年来,极端气温频率指数和百分位指数的年际变化趋势有所减缓;(3)月最高气温在近30 a中不断被突破,最低气温不断上升,而且高温天气日数也在不断增加,但低温日数逐渐减少;(4)再分析资料能较合理地再现大部分极端指数的时空变化和线性趋势特征,ERA-Interim比NCEP/DOE具有更好的再现能力。  相似文献   

资源三号影像无(稀少)控制下的绝对定位技术     

刘楚斌  李东  陶俊豪  薛楠 《测绘与空间地理信息》2016,(12):4-7

从提高卫星影像在稀少控制点下的定位精度出发,本文构建了卫星影像的RPC模型、像方偏差模型和区域网平差数学模型。在无地面控制点时,利用最小二乘算法解算时迭代难以收敛,采用LM(LEVENBERGMARQUARDT)算法时可以解决这一问题,但难以提高平差后的绝对定位精度。在一个地面控制点时,利用35个连接点,采用LM算法进行无控制点下的自由网平差,再用一个控制点进行误差改正。试验证明,对比直接进行RPC模型区域网平差和误差改正,本文方法能取得较好的定位精度。  相似文献