当代气候研究计划   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

李崇银 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2002,25(5):1-4

就气候系统问题，国际上与气候及其变化有关的重要科学计划、尤其是气候变化及可预报性研究（CLIVAR）计划，作了简要介绍，同时还就气候预测问题作了讨论。  相似文献   

近十年来我国气候变暖影响研究的若干进展   总被引：51，自引：12，他引：51       下载免费PDF全文

王馥棠 《应用气象学报》2002,13(6):755-766

近年来，我国政府和科技界十分关注气候王馥棠变暖对我国经济发展可能影响的评估, 开展了许多重大项目和课题的研究。该文仅就气候变暖对我国自然植被、农业、森林、水资源、能源利用和区域海平面上升等领域影响评估研究的若干有意义的初步结果简要归纳和评述如下:取自不同GCM模型的未来气候变化情景下的影响评估模拟表明，我国的特征性自然植被类型将会发生明显的变化。同当前气候（1951~1980年）下的模拟分布相比，到2050年我国几乎所有地方的农业种植制度均将发生较大变化；气候变暖将导致复种指数增加和种植方式多样化，但降水与蒸散之间可能出现的负平衡和土壤水分胁迫的增加以及生育期的可能缩短，最终将导致我国主要作物的产量下降。气候变暖对我国水资源最明显的影响将会发生在黄淮海流域，这个区域的水资源供需短缺将大大提高。同时，气候变暖将改变我国室内取暖和降温的能源需求关系:北方冬季取暖的能源消耗将减少, 而南方夏季降温的能源消耗将会增加。海平面的上升将使我国三个主要沿海低洼脆弱区，即珠江三角洲、长江三角洲和黄河三角洲，面临部分遭受海水淹没的威胁。  相似文献   

古—中生代之交的全球变化与生物效应   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

彭元桥  殷鸿福 《地学前缘》2002,9(3):85-93

古—中生代之交是显生宙以来最大的一次生物绝灭期 ,其形成机制一直是地学界长期探讨的热点课题之一。地史重大转折期是地球内、外各圈层长期作用下 ,各种量变达到阀值 ,加之可能的外因激化 ,在短时间内以连锁反应形式相继质变 ,形成了全球变化 (包括生物绝灭 )的地球突变期。文中从可能的外因 (外星体撞击事件 )及内因 (岩石圈的变化 ,地球表层的变化和生物圈的变化 )两个方面探讨了古—中生代之交的全球变化与生物效应  相似文献   

Labour markets in transition. The experiences of women in two border regions of East Germany     

Bettina van Hoven  Carmella Pfaffenbach 《GeoJournal》2002,56(4):261-269

The political turning point in the former GDR and the transformation processes that have been observed since then have significantly affected economic and social structures in the new Federal States. Gender roles, however, were subjected to even more dramatic changes. Whilst many women experienced the employment policies of the GDR era as beneficial, social researchers often designate them as the losers of unification nowadays. This is largely because the abundance of State support measures for employed women and mothers has been drastically reduced and women as a group have been hit hardest by the crisis on the East German labour market. Using two cases (Mecklenburg-Westpommerania and Thuringia), this paper aims to illustrate the impact of the transformation process on the everyday (working) lives of women. We are particularly concerned with a comparative analysis of how women experience and deal with regional disparities in East Germany. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

The eastern Tonale fault zone: a ‘natural laboratory’ for crystal plastic deformation of quartz over a temperature range from 250 to 700 °C     

Michael Stipp  Holger Stünitz  Rene Heilbronner  Stefan M. Schmid 《Journal of Structural Geology》2002,24(12)

Near the eastern end of the Tonale fault zone, a segment of the Periadriatic fault system in the Italian Alps, the Adamello intrusion produced a syn-kinematic contact aureole. A temperature gradient from 250 to 700 °C was determined across the Tonale fault zone using critical syn-kinematic mineral assemblages from the metasedimentary host rocks surrounding deformed quartz veins. Deformed quartz veins sampled along this temperature gradient display a transition from cataclasites to mylonites (frictional–viscous transition) at 280±30 °C. Within the mylonites, zones characterized by different dynamic recrystallization mechanisms were defined: Bulging recrystallization (BLG) was dominant between 280 and 400 °C, subgrain rotation recrystallization (SGR) in the 400–500 °C interval, and the transition to dominant grain boundary migration recrystallization (GBM) occurred at 500 °C. The microstructures associated with the three recrystallization mechanisms and the transitions between them can be correlated with experimentally derived dislocation creep regimes. Bulk texture X-ray goniometry and computer-automated analysis of preferred [c]-axis orientations of porphyroclasts and recrystallized grains are used to quantify textural differences that correspond to the observed microstructural changes. Within the BLG- and SGR zones, porphyroclasts show predominantly single [c]-axis maxima. At the transition from the SGR- to the GBM zone, the texture of recrystallized grains indicates a change from [c]-axis girdles, diagnostic of multiple slip systems, to a single maximum in Y. Within the GBM zone, above 630±30 °C, the textures also include submaxima, which are indicative of combined basal a- and prism [c] slip.  相似文献   

Al hematites prepared by homogeneous precipitation of oxinates: material characterization and determination of the Morin transition     

G. M. da Costa  E. Van San  E. De Grave  R. E. Vandenberghe  V. Barrón  L. Datas 《Physics and Chemistry of Minerals》2002,29(2):122-131

A novel method for synthesis of aluminium hematites, based upon the homogeneous precipitation of Fe and Al oxinates in various proportions, is presented. The precursor precipitates are heated in air at 700?°C. X-ray diffraction, thermal analyses, BET, FTIR, optical reflection analysis, TEM and Mössbauer spectroscopy at room temperature and 80?K of the resulting products indicate that single-phase hematites are formed with structural Al substitution of up to 10 at%. Interestingly, the particle size (>100?nm) is not substantially reduced by the Al content. Although it remains difficult to obtain a homogeneously distributed Al substitution in the final hematite, this processing line offers a unique opportunity to separate the effects of grain size and Al substitution on the Morin transition temperature (T _M) of Al hematite. From the comparison between the present hematites and a series of Al-substituted hematites with lepidocrocite as precursor, it could be shown that the effect on T _M, associated with a change of a factor 10 in grain size, is about 1/3 of the effect caused by a change of 10 in the degree of substitution. Finally, it is suggested that proper thermal treatments under different conditions of the same precursors are likely to produce spinel phases.  相似文献   

软基上高速铁路路桥过渡段的技术措施研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

杨广庆  彭华  刘建坤 《探矿工程》2002,(5):13-15

通过对高速铁路路基与桥梁过渡段动力特性分析，指出结构物沉降差是导致轨面不平顺的主要因素。分析了沉降差产生的原因，提出了软基上路桥过渡段的结构设计方案，并对其施工方法及质量检测标准进行了探索。  相似文献   

Predicting average annual groundwater levels from climatic variables: an empirical model   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

Zhuoheng Chen  Stephen E. Grasby  Kirk G. Osadetz 《Journal of Hydrology》2002,260(1-4):102-117

On the basis of one-dimensional theoretical water flow model, we demonstrate that the groundwater level variation follows a pattern similar to recharge fluctuation, with a time delay that depends on the characteristics of aquifer, recharge pattern as well as the distance between the recharge and observation locations. On the basis of a water budget model and the groundwater flow model, we propose an empirical model that links climatic variables to groundwater level. The empirical model is tested using a partial data set from historical records of water levels from more than 80 wells in a monitoring network for the carbonate rock aquifer, southern Manitoba, Canada. The testing results show that the predicted groundwater levels are very close to the observed ones in most cases. The overall average correlation coefficient between the predicted and observed water levels is 0.92. This proposed empirical statistical model could be used to predict variations in groundwater level in response to different climate scenarios in a climate change impact assessment.  相似文献   

韧-脆性剪切带构造控矿演化模式--以青海省乌兰县托莫尔日特金矿区为例   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张拴宏  周显强  纪占胜 《矿物岩石》2003,23(1):37-41

通过对青海省乌兰县托莫尔日特金矿区韧－脆性剪切带变形特征、成矿物质与热液来源及运移条件分析，提出了该区构造控矿演化的四阶段模式。该模式认为，早期的韧性剪切变形导致了成矿物质的由深部向浅部、由韧性剪切带外部向韧性剪切带内部的活化迁移，成矿热液在韧性剪切带上部（即韧脆性转换带附近）得以大量聚集。韧性变形后期温压条件降低，韧性变形转化为脆性变形，地表大气降水沿贯通性较强的脆性破裂带大量下渗，到达韧－脆性转换带附近，与该处积聚的成矿热液充分混合，热液性质发生改变，在相对张性或较薄弱的构造有利部位大量沉淀。由于断裂带的周期性活动，成矿物质得到多次沉淀而不断富集，最终形成金矿体。矿体形成后的构造隆升及剥蚀作用，使韧－脆性剪切带出露地表，金矿床也随之出露到近地表处。因此在矿区石英脉型金矿体的下部，可能会存在糜棱岩型金矿体，但品位可能会有所下降。  相似文献   

浅论新疆海相火山热水沉积矿床的分带及其找矿意义   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

王永新  田培仁 《地质与勘探》2003,39(4):6-11

新疆海相火山热水沉积矿床，一般在时间上没有明显的集中生长期。空间上依附于活动大陆边缘火山岛弧带，它在区域上和矿床本身具有矿种转化、类型转换、配套与分带特征。以块状氧化物、块状碳酸盐和块状硫化物转换序次来研究该类矿床。利用铁木尔特铅锌矿上部铅锌下部铜金，预须开普台铁矿上铁下铜；莫托沙拉铁锰矿上锰下铁中间铅锌重晶石等矿种转化规律和由块状氧化物和块状碳酸盐向块状硫化物成生过渡特点，预测诸如蒙库铁矿、赤龙峰火山盆地中铁矿和喀喇昆仑山各铁矿床(点)外围与深部转换、发展成为铜金矿的成矿前景。  相似文献