湖北省乡镇温度预报方法初探   总被引：11，自引：2，他引：9  

黄治勇  张文  陈璇  孟英杰  王继竹 《气象》2011,37(12):1578-1583

为了提高精细站点温度预报水平,本文在中尺度模式精细化温度预报的基础上,结合MOS分县客观预报结果,采用带海拔高度的距离权重温度插值方法,经过灰色预测模型修正温度预报误差,对湖北省717个四要素自动观测站的72小时内日高低温度进行了精细化预报,并且利用乡镇自动站温度观测进行了检验。结果显示：对于没有历史观测资料的站点,采用此预报方法,预报效果明显高于模式预报结果,基本接近客观预报方法,可以进行业务应用。对湖北的四要素自动观测站温度检验的结果还表明：鄂西北的预报误差最大,江汉平原的预报效果最好;从分月预报情况来看,高低温度都是夏季和初秋预报效果最好,低温预报冬春季预报效果最差,湖北各个区域趋势基本都一致,而高温的预报却没有一致的趋势。  相似文献   

地球同步卫星资料的一种云地分离综合处理技术     

王昌雨  孔玉寿  强学民  李利国 《气象科学》2011,31(1):40-45

利用多通道地球同步卫星资料,采用多通道阈值、基于晴空合成底图和云图时间序列的阈值和相似检测、有限区域动态阈值检测等方法,运用分步决策思路,对(60°S～60°N、45～165°E)区域内卫星云图分中高云和低云进行云地分离综合处理。经人工判断与自动云地分离结果对比分析表明,准确率达到90%以上。分析表明,考虑云和地(海)表在不同通道的亮温差异和随时间演变特点,建立并运用多种云地分离方法,有利于云地分离信息量的增加;提出的考虑云系分布时变特性的相似检测法,以及从有云和无云两个角度优先选择高可信度方法逐步检测,有利于云地分离准确率的提高。  相似文献   

CSRMT measurements in the frequency range of 1–250 kHz to map a normal fault in the Volvi basin, Greece     

M. Bastani  A. Savvaidis  L.B. Pedersen  T. Kalscheuer 《Journal of Applied Geophysics》2011,75(2):180-195

In order to gain a better understanding of the geometry of surface faults, five Controlled Source/Radio Magnetotelluric (CSRMT) profiles were measured across the Volvi basin, 45 km northeast of the city of Thessaloniki in Greece. The data were collected in two frequency ranges: a) 1–12.5 kHz using a remotely controlled double horizontal magnetic dipole transmitter (CSAMT measurements), and b) 15–250 kHz using the signal from distant radio transmitters (RMT measurements). The transition from the RMT band to the CSAMT band was smooth and continuous allowing us to combine both datasets for plane-wave modeling. The surface geology shows a predominantly 2D structure, and therefore we planned the survey into profiles perpendicular to the geological strike. We have used a 2D interpretation tool to model the data in TE, TM, TE + TM and determinant modes. Using a 4% error floor on the impedance, 2D resistivity models from inversion of the determinant data provide lower RMS data fits (4.2 and 1.2 for resistivity and phase, respectively) compared to the combined TE + TM data (4.4, 2.8, overall resistivity and phase, respectively). 2D inversion of the measured tensor data shows a sharp change in the depth to the top of resistive gneiss–schist basement that is overlain by a less resistive overburden at southern basin flanks. The change in depth to the bedrock is clearly seen in all 2D models along the measured profiles suggesting the existence of normal faults with strike directions of NE–SW to E–W. The 2D electrical resistivity models suggest that the bedrock deepens towards south-west. The resistivity models are also compared with the existing borehole information in the area and show a reasonable correlation. For example the sharp change of depth to the bedrock towards the center of the basin as seen in the resistivity models are also confirmed by the borehole data.  相似文献   

福建省区域地震前兆观测技术系统及特点     

陈懿德  陈智勇  陈彩虹  刘坚刚  林木金 《东北地震研究》2011,27(4):20-25

本文根据福建地震前兆观测台网技术系统的观测仪器、观测类型、数据格式、数据库结构等说明其观测技术系统的特点,特别对数据格式及数据库结构进行了技术分解;并结合福建地震前兆台网的实际情况对台网的统一观测技术平台提出了设想。  相似文献   

基于Hilbert-Huang变换和随机减量技术的模态参数识别   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

韩建平  李林  王洪涛  钱炯 《世界地震工程》2011,27(1)

傅里叶分析的信号处理方法对非线性、非平稳信号的处理能力差,传统的模态参数识别方法也存在阻尼比识别精度不高的问题。基于Hilbert-Huang变换和随机减量技术提出了一种新的、实用的模态参数识别方法,首先对结构振动信号进行滤波处理和经验模态分解,得到若干阶本征模态响应,然后利用随机减量技术提取自由衰减响应,进而由Hilbert-Huang变换得到信号的瞬时特性,最后结合模态识别的基本理论识别结构的模态频率和模态阻尼比。为了验证这一方法的有效性,对12层钢筋混凝土框架模型振动台试验一测点的加速度记录进行了处理,识别了模态参数,识别结果与其它识别方法及有限元分析结果的对比表明该方法识别模态频率是可靠的,而模态阻尼比识别的精准性仍然难以确认。  相似文献   

Assessment of the Intake and the Pretreatment Design in Existing Seawater Reverse Osmosis (SWRO) Plants by Hasse Diagram Technique (HDT)     

Amos Bick  Rainer Bruggemann  Gideon Oron 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2011,39(11):933-940

Seawater desalination is a rising technology intended to overcome water scarcity and is increasingly being used for the production of drinking water. A good quality pretreatment process is prominent to the successful operation of a Seawater Reverse Osmosis (SWRO) plant. The tasks of the intake and the pretreatment modules are to prevent fouling and to extend the lifetime of the reverse osmosis membranes. To practice the method of assessment design, 19 seawater plants with 11 different design strategies have been evaluated. The assessed strategies consist of: (i) Intake treatment, (ii) pretreatment aid (coagulation, flocculation, clarification), and (iii) pretreatment unit. Every possible combination of the design elements has been evaluated by a set of 15 attributes. The comparative evaluation has been conducted by Hasse diagram technique (HDT) using PyHasse software. The result of the HDT application includes 7 favorable incomparable design strategies. In order to solve the incomparability, the Condorcet–Kemeny–Young–Levenglick (C–K–Y–L) ranking procedure was additionally used and rendered the optimal design that is based on subsurface intake and membrane (ultrafiltration) pretreatment facilities. According to the results, both mathematical methods, i.e., the HDT in combination with the C–K–Y–L, procedure can be powerful and helpful tools to assist decisions concerning design strategies.  相似文献   

水中氢氧同位素不同分析方法的对比   总被引：4，自引：4，他引：0  

张琳  陈宗宇  刘福亮  贾艳琨  张向阳  陈立 《岩矿测试》2011,30(2):160-163

采用在线的连续流Gasbench Ⅱ-IRMS和离线的Dual-inlet IRMS分析方法分析水样中氢氧同位素组成.对比两种分析系统结果表明,运用离线的Dual-inlet IRMS测定氢同位素,精密度均小于1‰,比在线的连续流Gasbench Ⅱ-IRMS重现性和精度好;运用离线的Dual-inlet IRMS和在...  相似文献   

Parametric analyses of push-out tests and implications for design of rock-socketed steel H-pile     

Y.D. Zhou  L.G. Tham  X.W. Tang  Y.T. Liu  M.K. Wong 《Computers and Geotechnics》2011

The load response of a rock-socketed steel H-pile can be strongly influenced by the nonlinear interfacial behavior between the grout and the steel H-pile, and between the pile and the rock mass. This paper focuses on the load-transfer mechanism of the former interface through experimental push-out tests and numerical simulation of the tests. The study is divided into two parts. In the first part, a series of push-out tests have been carried out on four types of specimens (with studs + confinement (Case I); no stud + confinement (Case II); no stud + no confinement (Case III); and studs + no confinement (Case IV)). The second part is a numerical study based on three-dimensional finite element technique, which takes into account possible damage and cracking in grout, as well as bond-slip along the interface. It is shown that the numerical predictions of the four cases compare favorably with the corresponding test results, including the load–displacement response and the development of cracks. Furthermore, parametric study has been carried out to investigate the influence of various factors, including the studs, the casing confinement, the grout fracture energy, and the dilation property of steel-grout interface. Lastly, some implications, based on the test and numerical results, on the design of socketed steel H-piles are discussed.  相似文献   

道路融雪除冰技术现状与发展趋势分析   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

喻文兵  李双洋  冯文杰  易鑫 《冰川冻土》2011,33(4):933-940

路面积雪结冰给交通和行车安全造成严重威胁．欧美、日本等国在道路融冰化雪技术研究及应用方面做了大量的工作,我国在这方面的研究非常薄弱．总结分析了国内外道路融冰雪技术的现状及发展方向,可以看出：使用融雪剂和机械除冰雪是普遍的方法,但存在环境污染和不能及时清除的弊端．地热、电热、改进路面材料等主动方法不普遍,处于研究和小范围...  相似文献   

二维EMD方法在物化探数据处理中的应用研究——以云南个旧地区为例          下载免费PDF全文

何丽娟  张毅  张焱 《地质找矿论丛》2011,26(3):311-315

文章采用二维EMD方法对云南个旧地区物化探数据进行非线性的多尺度分析与分解,有效分离了物化探异常,揭示深层次找矿信息.证明了二维EMD分解得到的所有分量都具有实际地质意义,它将是一种新的物化探数据处理方法.  相似文献