黑龙江省中尺度数值预报业务系统   总被引：1，自引：4，他引：1  

殷世平  李帅  王明洁  白人海 《黑龙江气象》2003,(4):5-7

黑龙江省气象台于2001年8月引进了MM5模式，并结合业务和服务的实际需要对其有关参数进行了确定，建立了黑龙江省中尺度数值预报业务系统。已经在黑龙江省气象台实时运行，并应用到短期预报的业务工作中。系统运行稳定，预报结果有一定的参考价值。  相似文献   

Amplitude—Phase Characteristics of the Annual Cycle of Surface Air Temperature in the Northern Hemisphere   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Alexey V.ELISEEV  Igor I. MOKHOV 《大气科学进展》2003,20(1):1-16

The amplitude-phase characteristics(APC)of surface air temperature(SAT)annual cycle(AC)in the Northern Hemisphere are analyzed.From meteorological observations for the 20th century and meteorological reanalyses for its second half,it is found that over land negative correlation of SAT ACamplitude with annual mean SAT dominates.Nevertheless,some exceptions exist.The positive correlationbetween these two variables is found over the two desert regions:in northern Africa and in Central America.Areas of positive correlations are also found for the northern Pacific and for the tropical Indian and PacificOceans.Southward of the characteristic annual mean snow-ice boundary (SIB) position,the shape ofthe SAT AC becomes more sinusoidal under climate warming.In contrast,northward of it,this shapebecomes less sinusoidal.The latter iS also found for the above-mentioned two desert regions.In theFar East(southward of about 50°N),the SAT AC shifts as a whole:here its spring and autumn phasesoccur earlier if the annual  相似文献   

干热风年型的模糊综合评判     

郭小芹  王宇春 《干旱气象》1997,(4)

根据武威１９８０—１９９７年春小麦产量和气候资料，利用模糊综合评判对干热风年型进行预测。预报效果好，实用性强。  相似文献   

SLJ型宽频带大动态力平衡三分向加速度计的设计与研制   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

王家行  胡振荣 《地震地磁观测与研究》1997,18(5):46-52

文中详尽介绍了三分向力平衡加速度计的技术性能、工作原理和理论计算，给出了技术指标鉴定实测结果和获取地震记录的时程曲线。  相似文献   

地磁1年周期变化的响应函数     

陈伯舫 《地震地磁观测与研究》1997,18(2):40-44

用通日月均值减去夜均值计算的月均值资料和Ｓｏｍｐｉ谱分析法分析了１４个台站的北向分量１年周期变化的振幅向相位，时段为１９８４－１９８８年。分析结果显示用Ｐ＾０ｎ（ｄｎｄ＝１，…，６）复合模式的估算的Ｃ值较合理。各台的Ｃ值比较一致。  相似文献   

国外中期数值预报业务模式的性能及发展趋势   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

杨学胜 《气象》1997,23(1):3-10

作者简单介绍了国内预报员较为熟悉的欧洲中期天气预报中心，美国国家气象中心和日本气象厅三个中期预报模式的性能及预报效果，包括近几年颇为流行的半拉格朗日时间积分方案，物理过程参数化方案的完善和改进，中期数值预报业务模式的发展趋势等。  相似文献   

参考大气谱方法在国家气象中心谱模式上的应用          下载免费PDF全文

杨学胜  陈嘉滨 《应用气象学报》1997,8(1):109-113

参考大气引入中期谱模式，能有效地减少截谱误差，提高预报精度。文章主要叙述了参考大气在国家气象中心业务预报谱模式上的进一步发展。计算结果表明，引入参考大气后，T63预报质量和降水的TS评分均有一定程度的提高。  相似文献   

CLIMATIC RECORDS FROM ANNUAL LAYERS AND STABLE ISOTOPES OF A STALAGMITE IN BEIJING OVER THE LAST 2300 YEARS     

Tan Ming Qin Xiaoguang Liu Tungsheng Laboratory of Speleothem  Paleoclimatology  Institute of Geology  CAS  Beijing People’s Republic of China 《地理学报(英文版)》1997,(3)

Ｉ.ＩｎｔｒｏｄｕｃｔｉｏｎＳｔａｌａｇｍｉｔｅｓｈａｖｅｂｅｅｎａｐｐｌｉｅｄｔｏｕｓｅａｓｈｉｇｈｒｅｓｏｌｕｔｉｏｎｐａｌｅｏｃｌｉｍａｔｉｃｉｎｄｉｃａｔｏｒｓｓｉｎｃｅｔｈｅａｎｎｕａｌｇｒｏｗｔｈｂａｎｄｉｎｇｗａｓｒｅｃｏｇｎｉｚｅｄｉｎｓｔａｌａｇｍｉｔｅｓ[1,2].Ａｎｎｕａｌｇｒｏｗｔｈｂａｎｄｉｎｇｃａｎｂｅｍａｎｉｆｅｓｔｅｄｉｎｓｅｖｅｒａｌｍａｎｎｅｒｓｄｅｆｉｎｅｄｂｙ1)ａｌｔｅｒｎａｔｉｎｇｆｌｕｏｒｅｓｃｅｎｔａｎｄｎｏｎ-ｆｌｕｏｒｅｓｃｅｎｔｃａｌｃｉｔｅ[3,4];2)…  相似文献   

灰色预测模型在径流长期预报中的应用   总被引：6，自引：3，他引：6  

蓝永超  杨志怀 《中国沙漠》1997,17(1):49-52

基于灰色系统的建模理论，利用河西地区有关河流的径流观测资料，建立了一个ＧＭ（１，１）残差序列周期修正径流预测模型，并用于春旱缺水期３～６月河流来水量的长期预报，经生产部门验证，准确率在８０％以上  相似文献   

Ibex diggings in the Negev Desert highlands of Israel as microhabitats for annual plants. Soil salinity, location and digging depth affecting variety and density of plant species   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Yitzchak Gutterman 《Journal of Arid Environments》1997,37(4):665-681

About 400 Nubian ibex (Capra ibex nubiana) dig many hundreds of temporary night beds, approximately 80 cm × 110 cm and 15 cm deep, on slopes near the edges of the cliffs bordering the Zin valley. The beds are used according to the wind direction and the size of the ibex group, which depends on the ibex social behaviour during the year.The diggings are gradually abandoned and become important microhabitats for seed accumulation and germination, seedling development and annual plant establishment. These are influenced by soil salinity, slope direction and angle, digging depth, and the time since the diggings were abandoned. A greater variety of plant species and plant density were found in these diggings than upslope from the diggings.  相似文献