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61.
The purpose of this study is to develop landslide susceptibility analysis techniques using an arti?cial neural network and to apply the newly developed techniques to the study area of Yongin in Korea. Landslide locations were identi?ed in the study area from interpretation of aerial photographs, ?eld survey data, and a spatial database of the topography, soil type and timber cover. The landslide‐related factors (slope, curvature, soil texture, soil drainage, soil effective thickness, timber age, and timber diameter) were extracted from the spatial database. Using those factors, landslide susceptibility was analysed by arti?cial neural network methods. The landslide susceptibility index was calculated by the back‐propagation method, which is a type of arti?cial neural network method, and the susceptibility map was made with a geographic information system (GIS) program. The results of the landslide susceptibility analysis were veri?ed using landslide location data. The validation results showed satisfactory agreement between the susceptibility map and the existing data on landslide location. A GIS was used to ef?ciently analyse the vast amount of data, and an arti?cial neural network to be an effective tool to maintain precision and accuracy. The results can be used to reduce hazards associated with landslides and to plan land use and construction. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
62.
京沈高速公路迁-滦连线龙山滑坡成因机理分析及治理   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
对龙山滑坡层状滑体的破坏模式进行了分析,采用Sarma法和直线滑面型边坡分析法对各个滑块进行了稳定性分析计算,结果准确。根据不同的工程地质条件,采用不同的工程措施进行治理,效果良好。  相似文献   
63.
滑带土粘土矿物定向性的x射线衍射及其对滑坡的作用   总被引:6,自引:1,他引:6  
本文首先论述了粘土矿物颗粒定向排列测定的基本原理并提出粘土矿物定向性定量评价方法,然后根据实例—庙上北滑坡的滑带土粘土矿物的X射线衍射结果,进行定向性定量分析计算,得出滑带土粘土矿物颗粒的定向度为弱到中等定向,并以中等定向为主。因而在水的往返作用下,滑带土具一定的胀缩性及胀缩的不均匀性,再加上粘土矿物本身亦具有的胀缩性及胀缩的可逆性和循环性,故导致滑带土抗剪强度和结构强度不断降低,大大影响斜坡的稳定性。  相似文献   
64.
The effects of uncertainty due to the variability of soil parameters on the risk of landsliding in the Himalayan region are investigated using a random field model combined with slope stability analyses. Effects of spatial variability both in horizontal and vertical directions, number of test samples, variations in piezometric level and the influence of earthquake on the reliability of a typical slope in a slide area are investigated. The results show that the reliability of slopes in the slide area is significantly affected by the coefficients of variation of soil parameters, spatial variations of soil parameters, number of test samples and piezometric variations. The results also show that the assumption of isotropic variations to assess slope reliability isconservative. The results of the study are useful in providing guidelines and pointing to remedial measures in the form of sub-surface drainage to improve slope reliability in the area.  相似文献   
65.
Is Prediction of Future Landslides Possible with a GIS?   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
This contribution explores a strategy for landslide hazard zonation inwhich layers of spatial data are used to represent typical settings inwhich given dynamic types of landslides are likely to occur. Theconcepts of assessment and prediction are defined to focus on therepresentation of future hazardous events and in particular on themyths that often provide obstacles in the application of quantitativemethods. The prediction rate curves for different applications describethe support provided by the different data layers in experiments inwhich the typical setting of hazardous events is approximated bystatistically integrating the spatial information.  相似文献   
66.
van Westen  C. J.  Rengers  N.  Soeters  R. 《Natural Hazards》2003,30(3):399-419
The objective of this paper is to evaluate the importance of geomorphological expert knowledge in the generation of landslide susceptibility maps, using GIS supported indirect bivariate statistical analysis. For a test area in the Alpago region in Italy a dataset was generated at scale 1:5,000. Detailed geomorphological maps were generated, with legends at different levels of complexity. Other factor maps, that were considered relevant for the assessment of landslide susceptibility, were also collected, such as lithology, structural geology, surficial materials, slope classes, land use, distance from streams, roads and houses. The weights of evidence method was used to generate statistically derived weights for all classes of the factor maps. On the basis of these weights, the most relevant maps were selected for the combination into landslide susceptibility maps. Six different combinations of factor maps were evaluated, with varying geomorphological input. Success rates were used to classify the weight maps into three qualitative landslide susceptibility classes. The resulting six maps were compared with a direct susceptibility map, which was made by direct assignment of susceptibility classes in the field. The analysis indicated that the use of detailed geomorphological information in the bivariate statistical analysis raised the overall accuracy of the final susceptibility map considerably. However, even with the use of a detailed geomorphological factor map, the difference with the separately prepared direct susceptibility map is still significant, due to the generalisations that are inherent to the bivariate statistical analysis technique.  相似文献   
67.
地质灾害勘查的地球物理方法及其发展趋势   总被引:6,自引:1,他引:6       下载免费PDF全文
郭建强  朱庆俊 《地球学报》2003,24(5):483-486
地质灾害的勘查是地质灾害评估、灾害治理方案设计、防治工程实施的重要保证,其中物探技术可以发挥重要作用。近年来,物探勘探技术在此方面的实验研究工作发展迅速,本文对这种新的应用技术进行了简要的综述,以利于地质灾害勘查工作的进一步发展。  相似文献   
68.
A procedure for validating landslide susceptibility maps wasapplied in a study area in northern Spain and the results obtained compared. Validationwas used to carry out sensitivity analysis for individual variables and combinationsof variables. The validity of different map-making methods was tested, as well as theutility of different types of Favourability Functions. The results obtained show thatvalidation is essential to determine the predictive value of susceptibility maps. Italso helps to better select the most suitable function and significant variables, thus improving the efficiency of the mapping process. Validation based on a temporal strategy makes it possible to derive hazard maps from susceptibility maps.  相似文献   
69.
综合分析和比较了自回归模型和回归模型的特点,提出了采用线性综合模型来预报崩滑体变形的思想,以弥补自回归模型或回归模型预报的不足。实测资料的处理结果表明,综合线性模型具有特别的适用性。  相似文献   
70.
斜坡岩体由小变形到大变形乃至滑坡的发生,实质上是由组成斜坡的各子系统协同作用的结果.将协同学引入斜坡的稳定性预测评价中,并提出了一种新的斜坡失稳时间预测模型──协同预测模型.经实例检验,该模型预测精度较高,可用于滑坡的短期或临滑预报.  相似文献   
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