基于统计动力反演的东亚亚热带季风变化驱动机制研究     

侯立春  林振山  刘翔  罗虎明 《地理科学》2017,37(3):445-454

利用观测数据,运用非线性统计-动力学方法,反演系统各因子之间的相互关系,建立了东亚亚热带季风变化的动力方程,为研究东亚亚热带季风的驱动机制提供了量化参考。研究发现：过去2 000 a东亚亚热带季风是多因子通过反馈机制相互作用影响且具有耦合效应的复杂非线性动力系统,其驱动力主要来源于普若岗日冰芯δ¹⁸О代表的青藏高原热力作用强迫、太阳黑子活动、ENSO、温室气体单因子CO₂和CH₄浓度、北极温度和CH₄及北极温度与7月太阳辐射的耦合作用机制;反馈调节作用主要源于7月太阳辐射与太阳黑子活动、CH₄浓度、中国陆地地表温、CH₄与7月太阳辐射以及CO₂和CH₄的耦合调节作用。并通过动力反演机制推论热带西太平洋对亚热带季风有一定驱动作用,但并不是主要驱动力,即驱动亚热带季风变化的主源地并不在热带西太平洋海区,石笋δ¹⁸О指代的也主要是夏季风信息。  相似文献   

贵州洞穴空间格局及影响因素分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张绍云  周忠发  熊康宁  田衷珲  陈全  闫利会  谢雅婷 《地理学报》2016,71(11):1998-2009

以贵州水文地质图和地形图为基础,利用ArcGIS对境内近5000个洞穴洞口海拔、经纬度提取及所在地层、岩性、水系、构造划分,并运用最邻近指数、空间分析与耦合分析处理,研究了贵州全省4960个洞穴的分布特征,探讨了洞穴空间格局与地理要素之间的关系。通过对贵州洞穴进行点格局分析,得出最近邻指数为0.53,泰森多边形检验其变异系数达72.469%,符合凝聚分布模式;并采用点密度函数将全省洞穴划分为4个集聚区和1个弱影响区,即遵义—铜仁强影响区、毕节强影响区、黔西南—六盘水强影响区、贵阳—安顺—黔南强影响区和黔东南弱影响区。其中贵阳—安顺—黔南强影响区是洞穴最主要的分布区,占全省洞穴总量的36.63%,该影响区面积占全省面积的24.67%。贵州洞穴分布呈西密东疏的分布特征,形成明显的“片状”格局。在其研究背景下,地层、岩性、构造、气候、水文、海拔等因素主要制约洞穴的分布、数量、空间格局及其发育。  相似文献   

Precise dating of the Dansgaard-Oeschger event 4 and its sub-cycles: Evidence from a stalagmite from Xianyun Cave in Longyan City,Fujian Province     

Che Yin-Ping  Xiao Hai-Yan  Jiang Xiu-Yang  Cai Bing-Gui 《古地理学报》1999,22(2):377-384

The Dansgaard-Oeschger event 4(DO4 event) is a significant warming event that occurred in the late Marine Isotope Stage 3. At present,there are different understandings about the detailed characteristics and internal structures of the DO4 event. Based on 6 precisely-dated ²³⁰Th ages and 188 oxygen isotope data of a stalagmite(No.XYⅢ-28)from the Xianyun Cave,Fujian Province,we present δ¹⁸O time series with an average resolution of 7 yr from 29.13 to 27.94 kyr B.P. Our new stalagmites δ¹⁸O records uncover the detailed processes of the DO4 event. The onset and end time of the DO4 event recorded by the stalagmite δ¹⁸O is 28.83±0.06 and 28.46±0.06 kyr B.P.,respectively, and the duration is 0.37±0.06 kyr. Differential with abrupt change of NGRIP ice core δ¹⁸O record at the onset of DO4 based on the GICC05 layer count time scale,the Xianyun Cave δ¹⁸O shows a relatively slow change. The Xianyun stalagmite δ¹⁸O values negatively shift by 0.4‰ within 145±60 yr,which indicates that the Xianyun Cave was likely affected by the ocean-atmosphere coupling of the tropical. In addition,the Xianyun stalagmite δ¹⁸O reveals a series of sub-million-scale summer monsoon enhancement events in and around the DO4 event,corresponding to the NGRIP ice core δ¹⁸O record and the Arabian Sea basin record. Our results suggest that the East Asian summer monsoon is related to the north-high latitude temperature and the ITCZ position changes on the sub-millennium-scale event.  相似文献   

从地形变资料探讨丽江7.0级地震的前兆特征   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

周友华  童迎世 《地震研究》1999,22(1):17-25

讨论了地震孕育发生的物理机制是“拉疏隆起－压缩凹陷”模式的形成机理及其特征;根据这一理性认识,应用丽江７．０级地震之前滇西地区的地形变资料,较确切出得出了本区有强震发生,并且可以认为孕震体是在丽江至玉龙雪山东麓地区;根据发震前夕所观测到孕震体的“拉疏隆起－压缩凹陷”的区域大小与幅度值及岩层的弹性应变,可近似计算震级的大小。  相似文献   

窑洞外形特征对结构抗震性能影响研究          下载免费PDF全文

王飞剑  刘如山  马朝晖 《地震工程学报》2018,40(5):910-918

调查发现山西北部农村地区农居窑洞多是独立式土坯窑洞,结构主要受力体系是土坯砌体砌筑拱结构,其建造无统一标准,外形样式存在差异。由于拱结构的内力分布对外形尺寸变化比较敏感,为研究窑洞外形特征对结构抗震性能影响,建立相应的有限元模型进行计算分析,对比不同外形特征窑洞在地震作用下的损伤情况,并结合历史震害,指出窑洞结构的薄弱位置。研究结果表明覆土较厚的窑洞容易损伤,连拱孔数较多窑洞的两侧位置更容易发生破坏,拱的曲线形状对结构抗震性能有一定影响,合理拱曲线窑洞的抗震性能优于一般形状窑洞。  相似文献   

Identifying the accidental-natural mortality of leporids in the archaeological record: insights from a taphonomical analysis of a pitfall without evidence of human presence     

Maxime Pelletier  Emmanuel Desclaux  Jean-Baptiste Mallye  Evelyne CrÉgut-Bonnoure 《第四纪科学杂志》2020,35(5):677-694

Leporids (Lagomorpha, Mammalia), especially the mountain hare (Lepus timidus) and the European rabbit (Oryctolagus cuniculus), have been among the most abundant small game in western Europe since the Pleistocene. These animals are preferred prey for more than 40 predators, which increases the chances of finding their skeletal remains at archaeological or natural sites, and in particular karstic formations alternately occupied by Palaeolithic human societies and other predators. Moreover, specific eco-ethological characteristics for both species also offer the possibility to produce a substantial quantity of their bones accumulated by natural mortality without predation, making it more difficult to identify their origin in the fossil record. Despite this fact, the taphonomic signature of accidental-natural accumulations of leporids in karsts, such as pitfalls, has never been properly characterised. In order to address these issues, we carried out a detailed taphonomic study of leporid remains in a pitfall without any evidence of human activity, namely at Coulet des Roches (Monieux, Vaucluse, south-eastern France). At this site, leporids are the most abundant species throughout the Last Glacial Maximum sedimentary sequence. The bone accumulation was analysed in order to determine the most relevant criteria to identify a natural accumulation that results from the accidental fall of individuals in the pitfall. The relative proportions of each species are consistent with their current ethology, and their mortality profiles are compatible with the structure of a living natural population. The completeness rate of the different skeletal portions for both species is relatively high, bones are less fragmented and, unlike what might be expected, very few anatomical connections were preserved. The observed anatomical representation, breakage, and bone surface modification patterns are discussed and compared with available data concerning accumulations with predation. Taken together, the identified criteria contribute valuable help in the recognition of accidental mortality in the fossil record, as well as to evaluate the proportion of leporid bones accumulated naturally and those accumulated by predation, human or not, in a deposit.  相似文献   

DO4事件的精确定年及亚旋回特征: 来自福建龙岩仙云洞石笋的证据^*          下载免费PDF全文

车印平  肖海燕  姜修洋  蔡炳贵 《古地理学报》2020,22(2):377-384

DO4事件(Dansgaard-Oeschger event 4,简称DO4事件)是发生在MIS3阶段后期的1次明显升温事件。根据福建仙云洞石笋(编号XYⅢ-28)300~500 mm层段6个高精度²³⁰Th年龄和188个氧同位素数据,获得了29.13~27.94 kyrB.P.时期平均分辨率达7 yr的东亚夏季风强度的演变过程数据。该石笋 δ¹⁸O 记录的DO4事件起止时间为28.83±0.06~28.46±0.06 kyr B.P.,持续时间为0.37±0.06 kyr。相对基于GICC05年层计数时标NGRIP冰芯 δ¹⁸O 记录在DO4开始阶段的突变特征,仙云洞石笋记录的DO4事件开始阶段 δ¹⁸O 值在145±60 yr内偏负0.4‰,表现为相对缓慢的变化特征,这说明仙云洞所处的中国东南沿海地区有可能受到热带低纬海气耦合的影响。此外,仙云洞石笋 δ¹⁸O 记录揭示了在DO4事件内部及附近存在一系列的百年至十年际尺度夏季风增强事件,与格陵兰冰芯 δ¹⁸O 记录、阿拉伯海海盆反照率记录的DO4事件亚旋回结构在定年误差范围内相对应,表明东亚夏季风强度与北高纬温度变化和ITCZ(赤道辐合带)位置移动在百年至十年际尺度上存在紧密的联系。  相似文献   

不同类型洞体应变仪的观测差异性分析          下载免费PDF全文

孙伶俐  蒋玲霞  吕琳  张辉  邓建刚 《地震工程学报》2020,42(1):129-135

运用SPSS中聚类及PCA方法对湖北省7个台站三类基线(石英管、铟钢棒、铟钢管)洞体应变观测记录进行相关统计分析,归纳总结其潮汐参数变化特征差异,并针对观测中自然环境因素影响进行定量分析。结果显示:(1)三类基线中,铟钢棒类M2波潮汐因子、中误差及M1波相对噪声水平较低,铟钢棒管年均漂移量最小;(2)自然环境因素(气压、降水、雷雨、温度)对湖北地区洞体应变观测影响较为显著,等量气压影响下应变量最小的为铟钢管型,等量温度影响下应变量最小的为铟钢棒型。  相似文献   

高台测震新旧台基记录地震及震相特征差异性对比分析          下载免费PDF全文

吴敏  雷正超  唐丽  毛磊  王志栋  李兴坚 《地震工程学报》2020,42(5):1141-1145,1158

使用相同带宽、同类型地震计BBVS-120观测记录数据,对高台地震台新旧观测山洞的台基环境噪声、地震监测能力及震相记录特征进行对比分析,结果表明,高台测震新山洞的地震监测水平优于旧山洞,部分地区新山洞对于核面反射波的记录更加清晰。  相似文献   

会昌台洞体形变观测资料干扰分析     

汤兰荣  曾新福 《防灾减灾学报》2019,35(1):47-51

对会昌台数字化洞体形变观测资料的干扰因素进行了分析。分析结果表明,会昌台大多数洞体形变观测资料稳定可靠,年变动态清晰,受气象因素影响不大,形变与洞温相关性较好,年变受控于洞温变化。雷电击坏仪器导致断记是影响连续率的主要因素,更换仪器可能对形变的趋势变化造成一定影响。  相似文献