PRELIMINARY STUDY OF BAROTROPIC STOCHASTIC DIFFERENCE MODEL APPLIED TO WEATHER PREDICTION          下载免费PDF全文

Zhu Shengming  Cao Hongxing 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1991,5(1):90-100

In order to consider both the deterministic and the stochastic property of atmospheric motion simul-taneously,in this paper,the weather prediction is proposed as the problem of the evolution of meteorologicalfield.The historical viewpoint of atmospheric motion is emphasized here.Based on time series analysis te-chnique,a stochastic-dynamical model with multiple initial fields is derived.Thus,weather forecasting is sum-meal up as a problem of solving a set of stochastic difference equations.For the barotropic atmosphere,thenumerical solutions of the equations are obtained by using the method of empirical orthogonal functions(EOF),and examples of medium-range weather prediction are given here.Meanwhile,selecting the order oftime series,i.e.,determining the number of initial fields properly,is also discussed.  相似文献   

Theoretical research on intensity envelope function of strong ground motion     

金星  瘳振鹏 《地震学报(英文版)》1994,7(4):637-644

（金星，瘳振鹏）Ｔｈｅｏｒｅｔｉｃａｌｒｅｓｅａｒｃｈｏｎｉｎｔｅｎｓｉｔｙｅｎｖｅｌｏｐｅｆｕｎｃｔｉｏｎｏｆｓｔｒｏｎｇｇｒｏｕｎｄｍｏｔｉｏｎ￥ＸｉｎｇＪＩＮａｎｄＺｈｅｎ－ＰｅｎｇＬＩＡＯ（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＥｎｇｉｎｅｅｒｉｎｇＭｅｃｈ...  相似文献   

试用极轨气象卫星遥感监测土壤墒情   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

赵玉金 《气象》1994,20(4):37-40

讨论了用极轨气象卫星资料监测表层土壤湿度的方法。在建立土壤湿度与卫星遥感资料的关系时，为了消除土壤条件的影响，把全省分为４个区域来研究。考虑了气候条件，植被状况不同的影响，并给出了简单的订正方法，同时也给出了卫星资料的重新地理校正，资料的输出及存储方法等。  相似文献   

Some aspects on the variations in depositional flux of excess Thorium-230 in the Central Indian basin during Late Quaternary     

N. P. Sukumaran 《Journal of Earth System Science》1994,103(4):489-497

Examined in this paper is the tentative history of the depositional flux of²³⁰Th_xs (the unsupported fraction of²³⁰Th scavenged from the overlying water column), for the Late Quaternary period from a sediment core of the Central Indian Basin (CIB). The measured depositional flux of²³⁰Th_xs is found substantially higher than that of the possible theoretical flux from the overlying water column. Historical records, reconstructed from the²³⁰Th_xs chronology suggests that the depositional flux has varied considerably with time, reflecting an enhanced scavenging during the Holocene and the preceding interglacial periods whereas, comparatively lower flux than the predicted one occurred during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) period. The average ratio of the measured depositional flux to that of the predicted flux from the overlying water column, indicates that the core site acts as a sink for²³⁰Th_xs and based on the existence of bottom current activity; the²³⁰Th_xs could be the result of focusing of younger sediments. The depositional index (Di) has also been calculated to quantify the extent of lateral supply throughout the core with time. The estimated (Di) suggests that bottom focusing and feeble deposition and/or winnowing processes had occurred and that the former was most prevalent during the Holocene and the preceding interglacials, whereas the latter was observed at the LGM period.  相似文献   

湖北省栖霞组沉积环境-沉积旋回及层序地层划分   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：5       下载免费PDF全文

颜佳新  方念乔 《地球科学》1994,3(5)

根据岩石结构、构造及生物碎屑含量等特征,将本区栖霞组分为3类微相:A.生物碎屑灰岩;B.灰泥岩;C.具水平层纹的含炭质泥质细生物屑灰岩(泥灰岩).在剖面上,这3类微相组合成CA、CB或以C微相为主的韵律.不同韵律纵向上有规律的叠置常构成厚约10余米的沉积旋回.根据沉积旋回在垂向上的更替,在本区栖霞组内可识别出4次较大的海平面变化,周期约3My.通过与同期泛大陆北方各大陆上所发育的旋回层的对比,作者认为本区栖霞组内的4次海平面变化属三级海平面变化,对应4个三级层序,为全球冰川性海平面变化的结果,可与同期北美大陆上海平面变化曲线对比.  相似文献   

华南二叠-三叠系的成因地层序列及古特提斯海重建   总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10       下载免费PDF全文

夏文臣  葛立刚 《地球科学》1994,19(5):663-675

总结各类沉积盆地的沉积和地层格架，厘定出６类等时性地层界面和５个级别的成因地层单位，在分析地层界面性质和各类成因地层单位沉积构成的基础上，将华南二叠－三叠系划分为７个沉积幕、３个构造沉积幕和２个沉积盆地域、恢复了华南板块二叠－三叠纪的演化过程，论述了板块构造运动，海平面升降和源区侵蚀作用对各级成因地层单位的控制意义，证明了华南的古特提斯海经历了陆表海和伸展裂谷海两个演化阶段。  相似文献   

伊通地堑层序构成及层序地层格架样式   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：5  

解习农  刘耀宗 《现代地质》1994,8(3):246-253

伊通地堑充填白垩系、下第三系、上第三系和第四系碎屑沉积物，厚约２０００～６０００ｍ。地堑内主要发育冲积扇体系、扇三角洲体系和湖泊体系，在地堑不同演化阶段分别构成６种沉积体系域类型．层序地层格架主要受控于构造、物源体系、湖的扩展及萎缩旋回和沉积中心分布。层序地层格架样式显示南北向隆回相间、东缓西陡的不对称式充填特征。  相似文献   

新疆北天山地区震磁预报研究     

王瑞琴 《内陆地震》1994,8(3):229-233

采用统一的分析方法和标准从北天山地区的地磁场总强度资料中提取异常信息．结果表明，在区内发生的一些中强地震前，震中周围的台站存在较明显的中、短期异常．  相似文献   

对应分析的原理和数据预处理     

张克权  郭仁忠 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》1986,(4)

本文对多元统计分析中目前应用的对应分析方法的原理公式作了重新推导,提出 z_(ij)=(p_(ij)/p_(i.)p_(.j))-1的数据变换公式;并对原始数据作了严格的预处理。最后应用一个实例计算和作图,与简单的因子分析及原用的对应分析成果作了比较。理论和算例都说明本文介绍的对应分析的数据预处理和分析方法较原用方法原理上更正确,应用上更合理,并克服了变量中对各种数据原有的局限性。  相似文献   

东海西湖凹陷始新统平湖组沉积层序特征及控相机制讨论   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

陈琳琳  王丽顺 《上海国土资源》1995,(2)

西湖凹陷平湖组(E_2~(2-3)系海陆过渡相沉积。海平面升降变化控制了不同成因类型砂体的空间展布。在钻井剖面上,可识别多种沉积层序。作者从岩心、测井、古生物诸方面分析了各种沉积层序的形成过程,揭示了海平面升降对沉积过程的控制作用。  相似文献