Modeling of climate change impacts on Lake Burullus,coastal lagoon (Egypt)     

《国际泥沙研究》2021,36(6):756-769

Coastal lagoons are particularly vulnerable to climate change, in particular, Sea Level Rise (SLR) due to their shallowness. Lake Burullus provides a variety of socio-economic services as the second largest coastal lagoon in Egypt. Recently, it has experienced significant ecological deterioration. Thus, its ecosystem is fragile in the face of anthropogenic induced changes. The main objective of the current study is to investigate the climate change impacts on characteristics of Lake Burullus. A depth averaged hydro-ecological modeling system, MIKE21, was applied to develop an eco - hydrodynamic model for the lake. The developed model was calibrated and verified for two successive years: July 2011–June 2012 and July 2012–June 2013. The model simulations exhibited good agreement with the measurements during the calibration and verification processes. Six different Regional Climate Models (RCMs) were compared, using six different statistical metrics, to determine the most accurate one for the study area. The required meteorological input, including surface air temperature, precipitation, and evaporation were derived from the selected RCM. The meteorological input was extracted for two different years in the 21 ^st century considering one Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenario, based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 5th Report. Regional SLR projections for the Mediterranean Sea for the selected RCP scenario and the two studied years were obtained. These future climate change estimates were used to modify the validated model of the lake. A sensitivity analysis was applied to assess effect of future climatic conditions and SLR, separately. The results revealed that the lake water depths will increase and it will be warmer and more saline. Significant spatial variability of the studied parameters under climate change forcing is expected. Consequently, climate change is going to restrict the lake's ability to preserve the present-day species. An urgent management plan involving adaptation works, should be implemented to reduce such potential species losses in Egyptian lagoons.  相似文献   

武汉市军运会期间空气质量特征及气象条件分析     

岳岩裕  沈龙娇  周悦  柳草  张灵  范进进 《气象》2022,48(1):96-106

利用2019年10月1—30日湖北省及邻近地区的空气质量、气象要素监测数据和再分析资料,分析了第七届世界军人运动会(以下简称军运会)期间和前后时段空气质量变化特征及气象条件的影响.军运会管控期Ⅱ(17—28日)与过去五年(2014—2018年)同期相比颗粒物浓度下降最明显,与长沙等其他城市相比也是最低,相近时间段或相似...  相似文献   

六盘水岩溶地区钢绳冲孔灌注桩施工技术     

许杰 《贵州地质》2004,21(2):121-123,126

介绍在六盘水岩溶地区,钢绳冲孔灌注桩施工一般技术,重点介绍岩溶地层常发生泥浆漏失、塌孔、卡钻、埋钻、偏孔现象的预防和处理方法。  相似文献   

南麂列岛附近海域潮间带水环境质量现状评价与分析     

施青松  周青松  张健  魏琳瑛 《海洋学研究》2004,22(4):51-57

利用2003年3月和6月对南麂列岛附近海域潮间带环境质量调查结果,采用环境质量单项评价标准指数法,对该海域潮间带水环境质量现状进行了评价与分析,结果表明:(1)该海域潮间带水质的pH值、溶解氧、化学需氧量和石油类物质均符合一类海水水质标准,春季时无机氮和活性磷酸盐超标较严重,绝大部分海域水质达不到一类海水水质标准,夏季时仅个别站位水质的活性磷酸盐未超标;(2)该海域营养盐结构中N/P值很高,活性磷酸盐是非常敏感的生源要素,它在海水中含量的变化可能会影响整个海域的生态系统。  相似文献   

Study of a thermal drill head for the exploration of subsurface planetary ice layers     

P. Weiss  K.L. Yung  N. Kömle  E. Kaufmann 《Planetary and Space Science》2008,56(9):1280-1292

The recently discovered water vapor plumes on Saturn's moon Enceladus, the polar caps of planet Mars and the possible ice volcanism on the Jovian satellites call for suitable techniques to explore deep ice layers of the solar system bodies. This paper presents a novel approach to deliver scientific probes into deeper layers of planetary ice. Several existing locomotion concepts and techniques for such probes are presented. After studying the mathematical framework of the melting locomotion process, melting tests with different head forms were done to evaluate the influence of the head's geometry on the melting process. This work led to a novel concept of a thermal drill head, using heat and mechanical drill in combination to penetrate the ice. We compare the performance of such a hybrid concept versus the melting penetration alone by a mathematical model and tests in ice with a prototype of the melting drill head.  相似文献   

季节性Kendall检验及其在三门峡水库水质趋势分析中的应用   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

胡国华  唐忠旺  肖翔群 《地理与地理信息科学》2004,20(3):86-88

选择1997—2002年三门峡库区的龙门、潼关和三门峡3个断面的水质监测资料,运用季节性Kendall检验方法分析三门峡水库水质趋势,结果显示：龙门断面,CODMn、NO2-N及Hg的变化趋势不明显,NH3-N呈显著上升趋势,As、Cd和Cu呈显著下降趋势,而Pb则呈高度显著下降趋势;潼关断面,NH3-N、NO2-N和Hg的变化趋势不明显,CODMn呈显著上升趋势,As、Cd和Pb呈显著下降趋势,而Cu则呈高度显著下降趋势;三门峡断面,CODMn、NO2-N、As及Hg的变化趋势不明显,NH3-N污染呈显著上升趋势,Cd呈显著下降趋势,而Cu和Pb则呈高度显著下降趋势。  相似文献   

福州市区地热井施工提高钻井速度的途径与方法     

王九林 《福建地质》2004,23(3):144-147

通过多年来在福州市区施工地热井的实际经验,阐述了在各种复杂的地层钻进工艺技术,以及在地热井施工过程中的护壁、清渣、防斜孔等问题作分析,提出了提高钻井速度的有效途径和方法。  相似文献   

浅谈地质灾害治理工程项目管理及质量控制     

冯翠娥  魏雄斌 《地质灾害与环境保护》2004,15(3):45-47

将地质灾害治理工程项目管理及质量控制分为4个阶段：策划(可行性研究)阶段,准备阶段,施工阶段．验收审查阶段,分别阐述其管理及质量控制的重点内容。  相似文献   

岩体质量对地下工程开挖效应的影响研究   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

李攀峰  张倬元  陶连金 《地质灾害与环境保护》2004,15(3):82-86

以西北某大型水电站地下厂房洞室群为例．在地质调查的基础上,对洞室群围岩岩体质量进行了分析评价。而后,运用数值模拟手段研究了岩体质量不同时．洞室群开挖效应——二次应力场、位移场和破坏区的差异．较全面地讨论了岩体质量对洞室群开挖效应的影响。  相似文献   

非开挖铺管中定向钻进轨迹设计研究   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

周从明  胥建华  樊腊生 《地质灾害与环境保护》2004,15(1):85-88

对非开挖工程中水平定向钻进轨迹最优化设计进行了深入研究。应用最优化理论的动态规划思想,以钻进台时为优化指标,根据障碍物位置、大小和钻孔参数,建立了轨迹设计的最优化模型;并推导出绕过两个障碍物的局部轨迹最优化函数,通过坐标变换,简化了兰维空间轨迹设计问题;开发了相应的软件实现模型的求解。  相似文献