Extended survivors analysis: An improved method for the analysis of catch-at-age data and abundance indices   总被引：15，自引：14，他引：1  

Shepherd  J. G. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》1999,56(5):584-591

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Changes in the saltation flux following a step‐change in macro‐roughness          下载免费PDF全文

John A. Gillies  Vicken Etyemezian  George Nikolich  William G. Nickling  Jasper F. Kok 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2018,43(9):1871-1884

The effect of a step change in macro‐roughness on the saltation process under sediment supply limited conditions was examined in the atmospheric boundary layer. For an array of roughness elements of roughness density λ = 0.045 (λ = total element frontal area/total surface area of the array) the horizontal saltation flux was reduced by 90% (±7%) at a distance of ≈150 roughness element heights into the array. This matches the value predicted using an empirical design model and provides confidence that it can be effectively used to engineer roughness arrays to meet sand flux reduction targets. Measurements of the saltation flux characteristics in the vertical dimension, including: saltation layer decay (e‐folding) height and particle size, revealed that with increasing distance into the array, the rate of mass flux change with increasing height decreased notably, and (geometric) mean particle diameter decreased. The distribution of the saltation mass flux in the vertical remains exponential in form with increasing distance into the roughness array, and the e‐folding height increases as well as increasing at a greater rate as particle diameter diminishes. The increase in e‐folding height suggests the height of saltating particles is increasing along with their mean speed. This apparent increase in mean speed is likely due to the preferential removal, or sequestration, of the slower moving particles across the size spectrum, as they travel through the roughness array. Copyright © 2018 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Uncertainty,entropy, scaling and hydrological stochastics. 2. Time dependence of hydrological processes and time scaling / Incertitude,entropie, effet d'échelle et propriétés stochastiques hydrologiques. 2. Dépendance temporelle des processus hydrologiques et échelle temporelle     

《水文科学杂志》2013,58(3)

Abstract

The well-established physical and mathematical principle of maximum entropy (ME), is used to explain the distributional and autocorrelation properties of hydrological processes, including the scaling behaviour both in state and in time. In this context, maximum entropy is interpreted as maximum uncertainty. The conditions used for the maximization of entropy are as simple as possible, i.e. that hydrological processes are non-negative with specified coefficients of variation and lag-one autocorrelation. In the first part of the study, the marginal distributional properties of hydrological processes and the state scaling behaviour were investigated. This second part of the study is devoted to joint distributional properties of hydrological processes. Specifically, it investigates the time dependence structure that may result from the ME principle and shows that the time scaling behaviour (or the Hurst phenomenon) may be obtained by this principle under the additional general condition that all time scales are of equal importance for the application of the ME principle. The omnipresence of the time scaling behaviour in numerous long hydrological time series examined in the literature (one of which is used here as an example), validates the applicability of the ME principle, thus emphasizing the dominance of uncertainty in hydrological processes.  相似文献   

库车盆地铜矿化与盐丘系统的关系   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

曹养同  刘成林  焦鹏程  宣之强  陈永志 《矿床地质》2010,29(3):553-562

库车盆地新近系发育一系列盐丘体,遥感解译和野外地貌调查共发现36个盐丘体,主要分布在南部的秋里塔格构造带和北部的克拉苏构造带,沿近东西向断裂呈带状分布.在盐丘体的发育过程中,盐丘体、围岩及围岩中发育的断裂与破碎带等构成一个盐丘体系统.调查显示铜矿化发育在盐丘体附近,位于盆地南、北两大构造带(背斜带)轴部偏两翼处,共有砂岩型、泥岩型、灰岩型3种类型,主要矿物为氯铜矿,矿化层位于上新统的康村组和中新统的吉迪克组.扫描电镜分析发现,盐丘体中盐岩样品含有自然铜、氯铜矿,表明盐丘体可以为地表铜矿化提供铜源,而卤水中的盐分来自盐丘体中盐、膏的溶解.盐丘系统不但为地表铜矿化提供铜源,而且其卤水对铜的富集、运移起到载体作用.存在于盐丘系统围岩并与后期盐丘体相伴生的断裂、节理、破碎带,为含铜卤水的迁移提供通道,盐丘体后期的构造挤压力,成为含铜卤水的运移动力.因此,盐丘系统发育过程对碎屑岩型铜矿形成起到关键性控制作用.  相似文献   

Numerical Simulation of CO2 Doubling Impacts on Regional Climate in Northwest China          下载免费PDF全文

LI Yaohui  SONG Lianchun  ZHANG Cunjie  GAO Xuejie  ZHAO Jianhua 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2006,20(5):13-22

A numerical study on CO2 doubling effects upon temperature and precipitation in NW China is conducted using an improved regional climate model, with the modeling data from a global climate model (Australian CSIRO R21L9) as the background. Results suggest that the doubling would lead to the rise of surface temperature in the project region, with the maximum occurring in southern Xinjiang Basin and eastern Qilian Mountains in contrast to a relatively smaller increase in northern Xinjiang and southern Shaanxi Provinces. On a seasonal basis the winter temperature warming is most pronounced while the autumn shows a relatively less signi cant rising trend. The study region experiences the greatest warming compared with other parts of the country. With CO2 content doubling, rainfall change varies from place to place in this region, with rainfall increase in the west, particularly in northern Xinjiang, in the vicinity of the Tianshan area, southwestern Qinghai, and Hexi area (west of the Yellow River of Gansu), as opposed to the eastern portion of NW China, where precipitation decreases. If CO2 concentration is doubled, most of the study region would receive more rainfall in spring, implying that spring drought would be alleviated while its eastern part would see varying-degree decreased precipitation in the other three seasons, especially in summer, suggesting that drought there would be intensified in summer and autumn, thereby exerting major influence on rain-fed agriculture there.  相似文献   

X-ray Spectromicroscopy of Mineral Intergrowths in the Santa Catharina Meteorite     

Paul F. Schofield  Andrew D. Smith  J. Frederick W. Mosselmans  Hendrik Ohldag  Andreas Scholl  Simone Raoux  Gordon Cressey  Barbara A. Cressey  Paul D. Quinn  Caroline A. Kirk  Simon C. Hogg 《Geostandards and Geoanalytical Research》2010,34(2):145-159

This work describes the application of microfocus X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) and X-ray photo-emission electron microscopy (XPEEM) to the study of the complex mineralogical intergrowths within the Santa Catharina meteorite. The Santa Catharina meteorite of this study (BM52283 from the meteorite collection of the Natural History Museum, London, UK) primarily comprises a taenite bulk host phase (Fe:Ni ratio = 70.9 ± 0.8%:29.1 ± 0.8%) with a set of oxide-bearing cloudy zone textured regions (Fe:Ni:O ratio = 40.4 ± 0.3%:49.0 ± 0.7%:10.6 ± 0.8% at the core and Fe:Ni:O ratio = 34.4 ± 1.5%:42.7 ± 0.6%:22.9 ± 1.8% towards the rims) and numerous schreibersite (Fe:Ni:P ratio = 38.6 ± 1.6%:38.4 ± 0.9%:23.0 ± 0.5%) inclusions. Between the schreibersite and the taenite are rims up to 50 μm across of Ni-rich kamacite (Fe:Ni ratio = 93.4 ± 0.4%:6.6 ± 0.5%). No chemical zoning or spatial variations in the Fe and Ni speciation was observed within either the schreibersite or the kamacite phases. The oxide-bearing cloudy zone textured regions mostly comprise metallic Fe–Ni alloy, predominantly tetrataenite. Within the oxide phases, the Fe is predominantly, but not entirely, tetrahedrally co-ordinated Fe³⁺ and the Ni is octahedrally co-ordinated Ni²⁺. Structural analysis supports the suggestion that non-stoichiometric Fe₂NiO₄ trevorite is the oxide phase. The trevorite:tetrataenite ratio increases at the edges of the oxide-bearing cloudy zone textured regions indicating increased oxidation at the edges of these zones. The spatial resolution of the XPEEM achieved was between 110 and 150 nm, which precluded the study of either the previously reported ∼ 10 nm precipitates of tetrataenite within the bulk taenite or any antitaenite.  相似文献   

IMPACT OF OIL FIELD EXPLOITATION ONECO—ENVIRONMENT OF THE DAQING LAKES     

YUShao-peng LUJin-fu SUNGuang-you 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2003,13(2):175-181

The Daqing lakes are located in the region with sub-humid continental monsoon climate. Through histori-cal comparison of the environment before and after oil field exploitation in the area, the paper analyses the impact of oilfield exploitation on the eco-environment of the lakes, including the impact of diversion works, drainage works, exploita-tion and utilization of groundwater, dropped crude oil and petrochemical wastewater on the lakes water body. The analy-sis shows that oil field exploitation caused serious pollution to soil in the lakes area and deterioration of the e-co-environment. The impact became more evident with passage of time, and the intensity varied with areas, gettingmore serious from west to east, which meant that the eastern part of the lakes were influenced much more seriously by thehuman activities. To improve the eco-environment of the Daqing lakes and make them sustainable utilization, the effec-tive protection measures should be taken.  相似文献   

黄淮地区两次低涡暴雨的中尺度特征分析     

张一平  王新敏  梁俊平  李周  王东海 《湖北气象》2013,(4):303-313

利用自动站资料、卫星云图、新一代天气雷达资料与NCEP再分析资料,分析了2010年7月17—19日黄淮地区低涡暴雨过程中两次强降水过程（分别简称“7．17”过程和“7．18”过程）的环境条件及其中尺度系统发生、发展演变过程。结果表明：（1）两次强降水均发生在充足的水汽输送、大的不稳定能量和较强的辐合上升运动等有利环境条件下,“7．17”过程热力条件更好,降水强度大,但降水范同小;“7．18”过程动力条件更好、强降水落区范围大,但雨强比“7．17”过程小。（2）“7．17”过程累积暴雨带落区位于气旋中心移动路径两侧约30—80km范围内,“7．18”过程累积暴雨、大暴雨带落区位于气旋中心移动路径两侧约70～100km范同内。（3）中尺度雨团（带）和短时强降水主要出现在地面中尺度气旋周围附近,地面中尺度气旋活动的不同阶段强降水落区不同。（4）卫星云图上,两次过程强降水均由发展旺盛的对流云团自西南向东北移动而产生,对流云顶亮温低至210～220K。（5）雷达回波图上,“7．17”过程涡旋特征更明显,“7．18”过程冷暖切变回波带特征更明显。两次过程中尺度雨带与大于等于43dBz的螺旋回波带对应关系较好,短时强降水和螺旋雨带上大于等于48dBz的强回波有较好的对应关系。  相似文献   

Marine evidence for climatic instability during the last interglacial in shelf records from northwest Europe     

Marit-Solveig Seidenkrantz  Peter Kristensen  Karen Luise Knudsen 《第四纪科学杂志》1995,10(1):77-82

Data from the Greenland ice sheet and continental records from Europe have indicated climatic fluctuations during the last interglacial (Eemian: Oxygen Isotope Substage 5e). Similar fluctuations have not, however, been documented previously from marine environments. Here, we show the existence of two cold events during substage 5e in two marine, benthic foraminiferal, shelf records from northwest Europe and suggest that these cooling events are a result of fluctuations in the strength of the North Atlantic surface-water circulation.  相似文献   

Impacts of Internally and Externally Mixed Anthropogenic Sulfate and Carbonaceous Aerosols on East Asian Climate   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

ZHANG Li  LIU Hongnian  ZHANG Ning 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2011,25(5):639-658

A coupled regional climate and aerosol-chemistry model, RIEMS 2.0 (Regional Integrated Environmental Model System for Asia), in which anthropogenic sulfate, black carbon, and organic carbon were assumed to be externally mixed (EM), internally mixed (IM) or partially internally mixed (IEM), was used to simulate the impacts of these anthropogenic aerosols on East Asian climate for the entire year of 2006. The distributions of aerosol mass concentration, radiative forcing and hence the surface air temperature and precipitation variations under three mixing assumptions of aerosols were analyzed. The results indicated that the mass concentration of sulfate was sensitive to mixing assumptions, but carbonaceous aerosols were much less sensitive to the mixing types. Modeled results were compared with observations in a variety of sites in East Asia. It was found that the simulated concentrations of sulfate and carbonaceous aerosols were in accord with the observations in terms of magnitude. The simulated aerosol concentrations in IM case were closest to observation results. The regional average column burdens of sulfate, black carbon, and organic carbon, if internally mixed, were 11.49, 0.47, and 2.17 mg m⁻², respectively. The radiative forcing of anthropogenic aerosols at the top of the atmosphere increased from −1.27 (EM) to −1.97 W m⁻² (IM) while the normalized radiative forcing (NRF) decreased from −0.145 (EM) to −0.139 W mg⁻¹ (IM). The radiative forcing and NRF were −1.82 W m⁻² and −0.141 W mg⁻¹ for IEM, respectively. The surface air temperature changes over the domain due to the anthropogenic sulfate and carbonaceous aerosols were −0.067, −0.078, and −0.072 K, with maxima of −0.47, −0.50, and −0.49 K, for EM, IM, and IEM, respectively. Meanwhile, the annual precipitation variations were −8.0 (EM), −20.6 (IM), and −21.9 mm (IEM), with maxima of 148, 122, and 102 mm, respectively, indicating that the climate effects were stronger if the sulfate and carbonaceous aerosols were internally mixed.  相似文献