Predicting quantiles of water quality from catchment characteristics     

Danlu Guo  Shuci Liu  Dhananjay Singh  Andrew W. Western 《水文研究》2021,35(1):e13996

Water quality is often highly variable both in space and time, which poses challenges for modelling the more extreme concentrations. This study developed an alternative approach to predicting water quality quantiles at individual locations. We focused on river water quality data that were collected over 25 years, at 102 catchments across the State of Victoria, Australia. We analysed and modelled spatial patterns of the 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th and 90th percentiles of the concentrations of sediments, nutrients and salt, with six common constituents: total suspended solids (TSS), total phosphorus (TP), filterable reactive phosphorus (FRP), total Kjeldahl nitrogen (TKN), nitrate-nitrite (NO_x), and electrical conductivity (EC). To predict the spatial variation of each quantile for each constituent, we developed statistical regression models and exhaustively searched through 50 catchment characteristics to identify the best set of predictors for that quantile. The models predict the spatial variation in individual quantiles of TSS, TKN and EC well (66%–96% spatial variation explained), while those for TP, FRP and NO_x have lower performance (37%–73% spatial variation explained). The most common factors that influence the spatial variations of the different constituents and quantiles are: annual temperature, percentage of cropping land area in catchment and channel slope. The statistical models developed can be used to predict how low- and high-concentration quantiles change with landscape characteristics, and thus provide a useful tool for catchment managers to inform planning and policy making with changing climate and land use conditions.  相似文献   

Changes in hillslope hydrology in a perched,shallow soil system due to clearcutting and residual biomass removal     

Colin P. R. McCarter  Stephen D. Sebestyen  Susan L. Eggert  Randall K. Kolka  Carl P. J. Mitchell 《水文研究》2020,34(26):5354-5369

Sustainable fuels legislation and volatility in energy prices have put additional pressures on the forestry sector to intensify the harvesting of biomass for “advanced biofuel” production. To better understand how residual biomass removal after harvest affects forest hydrology in relatively low slope terrain, a Before-After-Control-Impact (BACI) study was conducted in the USDA Forest Service's Marcell Experimental Forest, Minnesota, USA. Hydrological measurements were made from 2010–2013 on a forested hillslope that was divided into three treatment blocks, where one block was harvested and residual biomass removed (Biomass Removed), the second was harvested and residual biomass left (Biomass Left), and the last block was left as an Unharvested Control. The pre-harvest period (2 years) was 2010–11 and post-harvest (2 years) was 2012–13. Water table elevation at the upslope and downslope position, subsurface runoff, and soil moisture were measured between May–November. Mixed effect statistical models were used to compare both the before-after and “control” treatment ratios (ratios between harvested hillslopes and the Unharvested Control hillslope). Subsurface runoff significantly increased (p < .05) at both harvested hillslopes but to a greater degree on the Biomass Left hillslope. Greater subsurface runoff volumes at both harvested hillslopes were driven by substantial increases during fall, with additional significant increases during summer on the Biomass Left hillslope. The hydrological connectivity, inferred from event runoff ratios, increased due to harvesting at both hillslopes but only significantly on the Biomass Left hillslope. The winter harvest minimized soil disturbance, resulting in no change to the effective hydraulic conductivity distribution with depth. Thus, the observed hydrological changes were driven by increased effective precipitation and decreased evapotranspiration, increasing the duration that both harvested hillslopes were hydrologically active. The harvesting of residual biomass appears to lessen hydrological connectivity relative to leaving residual biomass on the hillslope, potentially decreasing downstream hydrological impacts of similar forestry operations.  相似文献   

Periodic flares in the methanol maser source G9.62+0.20E     

S. Goedhart  M. J. Gaylard  D. J. van der Walt 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,339(4):L33-L36

  相似文献   

Is primordial ⁴He truly from the Big Bang?     

R. Salvaterra  A. Ferrara 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,340(3):L17-L20

  相似文献   

Self-regulated black hole accretion, the M–σ relation and the growth of bulges in galaxies     

Mitchell C. Begelman †  Biman B. Nath ‡ 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2005,361(4):1387-1392

  相似文献   

A robust sample of submillimetre galaxies: constraints on the prevalence of dusty, high-redshift starbursts     

R. J. Ivison  Ian Smail  J. S. Dunlop  T. R. Greve  A. M. Swinbank  J. A. Stevens  A. M. J. Mortier  S. Serjeant  T. A. Targett  F. Bertoldi  A. W. Blain  S. C. Chapman 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2005,364(3):1025-1040

  相似文献   

Dynamical-friction galaxy–gas coupling and cluster cooling flows     

Amr A. El-Zant  Woong-Tae Kim  Marc Kamionkowski 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2004,354(1):169-175

  相似文献   

影响鸢乌贼手钓上钩率的因子探讨     

吴国峰  陈新军 《广东海洋大学学报》2006,26(6):35-38

根据印度洋西北部鸢乌贼（Sym plectoteuthis oualaniensis）作业渔场的现场调查数据．分析了作业水深、作业时段、摄食等级和月相等因子对手钓上钩率的影响。统计表明．晚上、午夜和凌晨3个不同时段和不同作业水深对手钓上钩率均有显著性影响。3个时段中，其摄食等级呈先低后高再低的现象。午夜和凌展，上钩率的变化趋势与摄食等级的变化趋势呈显著的负相关。在月相的影响下．离朔日三四天之前，手钓产量呈上升趋势；离望日五六天之前。手钓产量呈明显的下降趋势。  相似文献   

Oxygen, carbon and nitrogen evolution in galaxies     

Cristina Chiappini  Donatella Romano  Francesca Matteucci 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,339(1):63-81

  相似文献   

Astrometric signatures of self-gravitating protoplanetary discs     

W. K. M. Rice  P. J. Armitage  M. R. Bate  I. A. Bonnell 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,338(1):227-232

  相似文献