苏州市一次重霾污染天气过程的数值模拟   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

吴珂  包云轩  蔡敏  金建平  牛利  严明良 《气象科学》2019,39(1):104-116

本文对苏州地区2015年12月13—15日发生的一次典型的重霾污染天气过程进行了数值模拟,分析了颗粒物及其组分的时空变化特征及其气象影响因子,以期为该区域空气污染治理和预防提供科学依据。结果表明:(1)利用WRF-Chem模式对此次重霾污染天气过程的污染气体成分进行数值模拟后发现,小时平均的PM_(2.5)、PM_(10)、CO、SO_2、NO_2模拟值与实测值的相关系数较高,达到0.68以上,通过了P0.01的显著性检验,且日变化过程对应也较好。(2)通过分析此次污染过程的天气背景,发现污染形成期高空环流比较平直,中层为均匀的弱高压控制,地面受弱高压脊控制,这种形势容易导致颗粒物的堆积。后期地面等压线密集时,风速大,有利于污染物的输送与扩散。(3)通过分析此次污染过程期间气象要素的变化发现,有逆温、风速小、相对湿度大等不利的气象条件是导致此次污染过程发生的重要原因之一。(4)HYSPLIT轨迹分析显示,此次重霾过程主要受北方大范围灰霾颗粒物南下影响,北方污染气团逐步南推,14至15日本地大气扩散条件差、污染物累积,最终导致本地污染加重,从而发生重霾事件。(5)火点图的分布进一步验证了此次重霾污染过程是由外来污染气团输入所导致。  相似文献   

2017年江西汛期设区市城区暴雨回波特征分析   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0  

邓虹霞  智海  马中元  张瑛  何文 《气象科学》2019,39(2):274-284

使用江西WebGIS雷达拼图和自动站雨量、雷电监测、强天气监测等数据,以及MICAPS常规天气图资料,对2017年3—7月江西汛期11个设区市26次城区暴雨过程的雷达回波特征进行分析。结果表明:2017年江西汛期共出现52日暴雨过程,其中江西11个设区市所在地城区出现26次暴雨。在这26次城区暴雨个例中,有23次伴随出现短时强降水,有3次降水比较均匀。暴雨维持时间长短不一,最长的有15 h,最短只有3 h,平均是10 h。有5次出现大风天气,21次没有大风出现。雷达回波特征主要有3种:块状(强单体、超级单体)、带状(飑线、回波带)、絮状(絮带、絮团)。这3种回波形态特征,出现率最高的是絮状回波,即比较宽、嵌有中等强度的对流单体絮带状回波带,强度40～55 dBz,出现16次,概率62%;其次是窄而长、紧密排列由强单体组成的飑线回波带,强度50～60 dBz,出现8次,概率30%;块状(强单体、超级单体)回波强度最强,中心强度达到60～70 dBz,出现2次,概率8%。  相似文献   

江苏省夏季浓雾的时空分布特征及气象影响因子分析     

宗晨  钱玮  包云轩  袁成松  周林义  崔驰潇  王宏斌 《气象》2019,45(7):968-977

利用江苏省70个国家基本站逐10 min连续观测资料,对江苏省夏季浓雾的时空分布特征及影响因子进行分析研究。结果表明:(1)夏季浓雾易在气温小于29℃、风速低于3 m·s~(-1),且盛行偏东风的条件下形成;低温高湿的梅雨期是夏季浓雾在6月高发(42.4%)的可能原因。(2)夏季浓雾生消时间与秋、冬季显著不同,主要发生于00—06时,消散集中于05—08时,持续时间主要在6 h以内。(3)夏季浓雾以辐射雾为主,辐射雾、平流雾和锋面雾分别占58. 1%、35. 5%和6.4%。(4)夏季浓雾发生频次呈现从东北部沿海地区向西南部内陆地区递减的趋势,淮北地区夜间降温幅度高于苏南地区是出现这一现象的主要原因。(5)成雾前6～24 h出现的弱降水为近地层提供水汽,此后天气转晴,静稳的大气层结下有利于夏季浓雾的出现。  相似文献   

2010—2016年江西省暖季短时强降水特征分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

付超  谌芸  朱克云  单九生  曾智琳 《气象》2019,45(9):1238-1247

利用江西省2010—2016年5—9月1597个观测站逐小时降水资料对江西省短时强降水进行统计分析。采用REOF将降水场划分为5个区域：赣北南部（Ⅰ区）,抚州市及赣州中部（Ⅱ区）,赣北北部（Ⅲ区）,赣南南部、北部（Ⅳ区）以及赣中西部（Ⅴ区）。短时强降水高频区主要分布在山地及河谷附近,分别为湘赣交界罗霄山脉东侧、武夷山西侧、信江河谷、乐安河谷和昌江河谷。河谷附近短时强降水频次以昌江河谷最高（16.9次/a）,山地附近最高在罗霄山脉东侧（12.6次/a）,极端短时强降水分别位于上饶市东北部山区（3.7次/a）及九岭山南侧的锦江河谷（3.3次/a）。短时强降水主要发生在5月第3候,6、7月第3~4候以及8月第2~3候。Ⅳ、Ⅴ区具有单峰型的日变化特征;Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ区具有双峰型的日变化特征。主峰基本集中在下午17时;次峰在上午08—10时。短时强降水对暴雨贡献率基本在40%以上,Ⅰ、Ⅱ区的暴雨天气过程将近一半是由短时强降水贡献的。信江河谷是暴雨雨量中心,但并不是短时强降水雨量中心;昌江河谷与武夷山西麓既是暴雨中心也是短时强降水中心。  相似文献   

基于最优概率的中期延伸期过程累计降水量分级订正预报     

牛若芸 《热带气象学报》2019,35(6):721-731

采用ECMWF集合预报降水量资料和中国降水量观测资料,研发了基于最优概率的过程累计降水量分级订正预报(OPPF)技术,并在遵循总体技术思路的基础上设计出三种不同的OPPF计算方案(OPPF1、OPPF2、OPPF3),继而选用2015—2017年汛期(5—9月)中国91次区域性强降水过程进行回报试验和预报效果对比评估,结果表明:(1)在中期延伸期预报时效(96~360小时),对强降水和有无降水的预报效果,三种OPPF均明显优于集合平均(EMPF)和控制预报(CTPF);对中等以上或较强以上强度降水的预报效果,OPPF1和OPPF3明显优于CTPF、与EMPF基本接近。(2)三种OPPF相比,OPPF3的预报效果较OPPF1总体略胜一筹,两者均好于OPPF2。(3)预报效果存在明显的地域差异,南方地区强降水预报的TS评分明显大于北方地区,且OPPF3预报效果明显优于EMPF;在96~240小时预报时效,东北地区东部OPPF3强降水的预报效果也明显好于EMPF。   相似文献   

Mass transport triggered by heavy rainfall: the role of endorheic basins and epikarst in a regional karst aquifer          下载免费PDF全文

Maria Dolores Fidelibus  Gabriella Balacco  Andrea Gioia  Vito Iacobellis  Giuseppe Spilotro 《水文研究》2017,31(2):394-408

This study aims at recognizing the mechanisms of mass transport between the karst surface and the saturated zone in a morphostructural relief of the Mesozoic karst carbonate platform of Murgia (Puglia, Southern Italy). The large dimension of the karst aquifer, the regional scale of the flow system, the boundary condition constituted by the sea, and the lack of freshwater springs constrain to the use of wells as monitoring points and limit the study area to the recharge area comprising 986 endorheic basins. The concentrations of non‐reactive tracers (nitrates) in the waters of autogenic recharge (from endorheic basins) have been modeled through the evaluation of effective infiltration, land use, and nitrogen surplus, with reference to a time window, which includes a low precipitation period followed by significant rainfall events. The comparison between the modeled nitrate concentrations and the nitrate concentrations measured in ground waters, coupled with the analysis of groundwater chemograms and records of hydraulic heads (all referred to the same time window), allows inferring the mechanism of mass transport between the karst surface and the groundwater table. The mass transport conceptual model requires the presence of the epikarst. The infiltration of significant rainfall in the endorheic basins after a low precipitation period displaces waters stored in the epikarst toward the saturated zone. Ground waters in the post‐event period show higher concentrations of nitrates, lower concentrations of total organic carbon, and higher Mg/Ca ratios than both those of the pre‐event period and the autumn‐winter recharge period. The post‐event recharge from epikarst storage determines a transient hazard of groundwater pollution with a time lag from the occurrence of the heavy rainfall.  相似文献   

Origin of sandplains in Western Australia: A review of the debate and some recent findings     

D. Newsome 《Australian Journal of Earth Sciences》2013,60(4):695-706

Views on the origin of sandplains in Western Australia remain controversial with debate focusing around three different models of formation. These are in situ, aeolian and in situ formation with local remobilisation by wind or colluvial transport. The only recent work on the subject to date espouses a dominantly aeolian origin. New work from a detailed study on the Victoria Plateau is described and demonstrates the applicability of utilising a range of evidence in understanding the origin of sandplains in Western Australia. Field investigations show a strong association of sandplain with sandstone and an absence of sand on non‐arenaceous geology in similar and adjacent topographic settings. Grainsize, mineral magnetic analysis and heavy‐mineral spectra show the Victoria Plateau to be a heterogeneous body of sand. These findings coupled with a lack of internal sedimentary structures are not consistent with an aeolian origin for the sandplain. Furthermore, scanning electron microscopy, grainsize and heavy minerals also demonstrate a clear link between bedrock and overlying sandplain. These data support the hypothesis that Western Australian sandplains are mostly the product of in situ weathering. Such findings question whether the origin of sandplains can be satisfactorily deduced without such a range of data.  相似文献   

Spatial and temporal distributions of nitrogen, phosphorus and heavy metals in the intertidal sediment of the Chang jiang River Estuary in China   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

QUAN Weimin  SHI Liyan  HAN Jindi  PING Xianyin  SHEN Anglv  CHEN Yaqu 《海洋学报(英文版)》2010,29(1):108-115

Spatial and temporal distributions of nutrients (N and P) and heavy metals (Cu, Zn, Pb and Cd) in the intertidal sediments at Dongtan wetland of the Changjiang River (Yangtze River) Estuary were examined by laying one transect running seaward to landward during January, April, June, August and October of 2005. Total nitrogen (TN) and heavy metal concentrations in the intertidal sediment showed an increasing trend from open bare °at to the high marsh, with the maximum concentrations in the high marsh and the minimum values in open bare °at. In contrast, sediment total phosphorus (TP) concentrations changed little among sampling sites. One-way ANOVA found that there were signiˉcantly temporal variations of nutrients and heavy metals concentrations in the intertidal sediment (P <0.05). The concentrations of heavy metals generally showed an increasing trend from January to October. As compared with other large estuaries, heavy metal contamination in the intertidal sediment of the Changjiang River Estuary was relatively low.  相似文献   

胶州湾水体镉的迁移过程和环境本底值结构     

杨东方  陈豫  王虹  杨春茹  郭军辉 《海岸工程》2010,29(4):73-82

根据1979年的胶州湾水域调查资料,分析重金属Cd在胶州湾水域的水平分布、垂直分布和季节变化。研究结果表明:在整个胶州湾水域,水质没有受到任何Cd的污染。在胶州湾和湾口水域只有两个Cd的来源。一个是来源于地壳岩石风化,通过陆地径流把重金属Cd注入胶州湾水域;另一个是来源于海底,经过海洋水流的作用把重金属Cd注入湾口水域。作者提出了重金属在水域的环境本底值结构:基础本底值、陆地径流的输入量和海洋水流的输入量,并且应用于胶州湾水域。作者认为在来源的迁移过程中,有陆地来源迁移和海底来源迁移。根据杨东方的水域迁移过程研究,陆地径流决定了Cd的表、底层质量浓度变化。  相似文献   

H~+对Cu~(2+)—Me~(2+)二元体系吸附的影响规律研究     

Li Xuqian 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》1989,(4)

土壤对重金属离子的吸附容量严格受H~+浓度的控制。本文通过试验探讨了H~+ 对Cu~(2+)——Pb~(2+),Cn~(2+)——Zu~(2+),Cu~(2+)——Hg~(2+)系统中Cu~(2+)吸附量的影响规律。当pHpH时,Cu~(2+)吸附量随pH值增大而减小。对于酸性土,pH=6.5(初始值)或7.0(平衡值),对碱性土,pH=5.5(初始值)或7.8(平衡值)。在pHpH_(ZPC)时,吸附模式具有完全不同的形式。  相似文献