BACKGROUND VALUES AND TREND DISTRIBUTION OF Cu, Zn AND Ni IN SOILS IN CHINA     

王景华 《中国地理科学(英文版)》1992,2(4):357-366

The background values of Cu, Zn and Ni are discussed based on the analytical data of 21 main soil types collected from various regions in China. According to statistics of many samples, the background value of Cu is 23.4±10.2 mg/ kg (482 samples), Zn 77.9±2.39 mg/ kg (474 samples), Ni 30.0±12.8 mg/kg (482 samples).  相似文献   

Trend surface analysis as a special case of IRF-k kriging     

D. Marcotte  M. David 《Mathematical Geology》1988,20(7):821-824

This short note establishes the equivalence between trend surface analysis with polynomials of orderk and IRF-k (intrinsic random function of orderk) kriging with a nugget effect covariance model.  相似文献   

Trend removal in spatially correlated datasets     

Anita Singh  Ashok K. Singh 《Mathematical Geology》1996,28(1):111-132

Typically, datasets originated from mining exploration sites, industrially polluted and hazardous waste sites are correlated spatially over the region under investigation. Ordinary kriging (OK) is a well-established geostatistical tool used for predicting variables, such as precious metal contents, biomass, species counts, and environmental pollutants at unsampled spatial locations based on data collected from the neighboring sampled locations at these sites. One of the assumptions required to perform OK is that the mean of the characteristic of concern is constant for the entire region under consideration (e.g., there is no spatial trend present in the contaminant distribution across the site). This assumption may be violated by dalasets obtained from environmental applications. The occurrence of spatial trend in a dataset collected from a polluted site is an indication of the presence of two or more statistical populations (strata) with significantly different mean concentrations. Use of OK in these situations can result in inaccurate kriging estimates with higher SDs which, in turn, can lead to incorrect decisions regarding all subsequent environmental monitoring and remediation activities. A univariate and a multivariate approach have been described to identify spatial trend that may be present at the site. The trend then is removed by subtracting the respective means from the corresponding populations. The results of OK before and after trend removal are being compared. Using a real dataset, it is shown that standard deviations (SDs) of the kriging estimates obtained after trend removal are uniformly smaller than the corresponding SDs of the estimates obtained without the trend removal.  相似文献   

Comparison and integration of spatial data using covariance matrices     

Daniel F. Merriam  Wolfgang Scherer 《Mathematical Geology》1996,28(5):657-671

A differential approach to map comparison and integration is presented utilizing the variance-covariance matrices of polynomial trend surfaces. The approach is based on the statistics presented in the trend-surface computer program, CORSURF. Examples in south-central Kansas and the Maracaibo Basin in Venezuela are presented to show how the technique could be used in basinanalysis studies.  相似文献   

合肥地区一次小雨过程的W波段云雷达 的云物理特征分析     

吴举秀  马传成  陈庆亮  刘伟  张骞  王锡芳 《气象》2018,44(3):416-424

利用我国自己研制的W波段云雷达地基探测资料,分析了合肥一次小雨云系的微物理过程,然后利用两个不同地区的地基及机载探测资料,初步反演了水云及卷云的微物理参数。结果表明:(1)回波强度增大,多普勒速度、线性退极化比(LDR)、谱宽激增的地方为融化层顶,根据LDR亮带可初步判定融化层的厚度;(2)利用经验关系法,对卷云冰水含量和水云的液态水含量进行了反演,利用推导的公式反演得到冰晶云云粒子的有效半径;(3)利用逐库订正法对水云的回波强度进行订正,得到了衰减订正后的液态水含量,减小了反演误差。  相似文献   

山东省汛期小时降水过程时空分布特征   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

董旭光  顾伟宗  邱粲  曹洁 《气象》2018,44(8):1063-1072

利用山东省74个气象站1961-2012年逐时降水观测数据,分析了山东省汛期(5-9月)短历时和持续性降水过程的时空分布特征。结果表明:(1)过程降水量和过程历时显著增大使得山东省汛期总降水量略有增加,持续性降水过程次数、过程降水量、过程历时的增加对总降水量增加的贡献最大。(2)短历时总降水量以鲁中山区、鲁东南地区最多,鲁东南沿海、半岛东部持续性总降水量最多;短历时过程降水量、平均雨强以鲁东南向西北方向经鲁中山区至德州一带最大,持续性过程降水量、平均雨强在半岛东部和鲁东南部分地区最大。(3)短历时峰值雨强以鲁中山区周边地区较大,持续性峰值雨强以鲁南、鲁东南、半岛东部较大。(4)鲁中山区、鲁南及半岛个别地区短历时降水一般开始于午后(13-18时),鲁中山区周边及半岛沿海一带多以夜雨为主,持续性降水过程开始时间多出现在夜间。  相似文献   

1966—2015年天山南北坡空气湿度差异及其影响因素     

陈迪桃  黄法融  李倩  李兰海 《气候变化研究进展》2018,14(6):562-572

利用天山地区近50年(1966—2015年)逐日气象资料,采用Mann-Kendall趋势检验法研究了天山南北坡相对湿度(RH)的时空变化特征,分析了天山南北坡RH对平均气温、降水量、平均风速、参考蒸散量、日照时数的敏感性,并探讨了引起RH变化的主导因素。结果表明：(1)整个天山地区RH变化有略微上升的趋势但不显著,北坡RH总体呈下降趋势,南坡RH总体呈上升趋势。(2) RH空间分布呈自北向南递减趋势,南北坡全年及春季以下降趋势为主,而夏、秋、冬三季均以上升趋势为主,且南坡变化趋势的显著性高于北坡。(3) RH对风速、气温、日照时数及参考蒸散量均为负敏感,对降水量为正敏感。北坡RH对各气象因子的敏感程度依次为日照时数>参考蒸散量>风速>气温>降水量,南坡敏感程度依次为日照时数>风速>参考蒸散量>气温>降水量。空间分布上,仅降水量敏感系数高值区位于北坡伊犁河谷,其余要素敏感系数高值区均位于南坡。(4)参考蒸散量是影响天山地区RH变化的主导因子,整个天山地区参考蒸散发贡献率较高,日照时数贡献率高值区集中于北坡伊犁河谷,风速、降水量、气温贡献率高值区均集中于南坡克孜勒苏地区。  相似文献   

三种统计预报模型在江苏省道路低温预警中的应用     

董天翔  包云轩  袁成松  周林义  焦圣明 《气象科技》2018,46(4):773-784

为了更好地开展道路交通低温灾害的预警,减轻道路结冰给车辆行驶造成的危害,本文利用2012—2016年江苏省高速公路网AWMS系统交通气象观测数据,在对路面低温发生规律进行分析的基础上,结合多元线性回归、朴素贝叶斯以及支持向量机3种统计预报方法,开展了路面低温预警的统计建模与预报试验。结果表明:(1)江苏全省高速公路网路面温度出现0℃以下、-2℃以下、-5℃以下的低温频率均呈"北高南低"分布。(2)全省高速公路网路面温度出现0℃以下的低温时次大多在15:00到次日06:00之间。(3)在对京沪高速M9308站的单站建模与预报试验中发现,路面低温预报因子组合中以13:00气温、13:00—18:00气温变温、13:00路面温度、13:00—18:00路面变温、13:00路基温度、13:00—18:00路基变温、18:00相对湿度和18:00风速U分量为自变量组合的预报方程效果最好,3种方法中以朴素贝叶斯模型的预报准确率最高;(4)就全省高速公路网而言,3种统计预报模型的路面低温预报准确率均超过75%,通过对全路网路面低温预报的试验结果对比发现,多元线性回归方法对江苏省北部路网的预报效果最好,预报准确率大多在85%以上;而支持向量机模型对江苏省南部路网的预报效果最好,大部分站点的低温预报准确率达95%以上。  相似文献   

A COMPARISON AND EVALUATION OF TWO CENTENNIAL-SCALE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE DATASETS IN THE CHINA SEAS AND THEIR ADJACENT SEA AREAS     

王庆元  李琰  李清泉  王亚男 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2018,24(4):448-456

Two reconstructed sea surface temperature(SST) datasets(HadISST1 and COBE SST2) with centennial-scale are compared on the SST climate change over the China Seas and their adjacent sea areas. Two independent datasets show consistency in statistically significant trends, with a warming trend of 0.07—0.08 ℃ per decade from 1890 to2013. However, in shorter epochs(such as 1961—2013 and 1981—2013), HadISST1 exhibits stronger warming rates than those of COBE SST2. Both datasets experienced a sudden decrease in the global hiatus period(1998—2013), but the cooling rate of HadISST1 is lower than that of COBE SST2. These differences are possibly caused by the different observations sources which are incorporated to fill with data-sparse regions since 1982. Different data sources may lead to higher values in HadISST1 from 1981 to 2013 than that in COBE SST2. Meanwhile, the different data sources and bias adjustment before the World War II may also cause the large divergence between COBE SST2 and HadISST1,leading to lower SST from 1891 to 1930. These findings illustrate that the long-term linear trends are broadly similar in the centennial-scale in the China Seas using different datasets. However, there are large uncertainties in the estimate of warming or cooling tendency in the shorter epochs, because there are different data sources, different bias adjustment and interpolation method in different datasets.  相似文献   

Relocation optimization of electric cars in one-way car-sharing systems: modeling,exact solving and heuristics algorithms     

Amine Ait-Ouahmed  Didier Josselin  Fen Zhou 《International journal of geographical information science》2018,32(2):367-398

Car-sharing system with electric cars is a very convenient service for urban transportation: it allows users to pick up a vehicle at a station and rent it during a short time. To manage this kind of system in the best way, it is necessary to solve the critical problem of vehicle stock imbalance across the stations. Several decision levels must be considered to balance the car distribution by taking into account the quality of service and the system operation cost. To this end, a linear programming model is proposed to formalize the problem in a mathematical framework, which allows the computation of optimal vehicle distribution strategies. To make our solution time efficient and usable for solving large problems, a greedy algorithm and a tabu search algorithm are proposed. These two algorithms are applied to the Auto Bleue network in Nice and its surrounding (France) using extensive simulations. Besides, an integrated mapping method is provided within the Geographical Information System QGIS to estimate flows and their locations. Numerical results demonstrate that the tabu search algorithm is able to find near-optimal solutions and good compromises between client satisfaction, number of staff agents and vehicles used, and computing time.  相似文献