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951.
The Florida State University (FSU) multimodel superensemble forecast is evaluated against several other operational weather models for the Southeast Asia region. The superensemble technique has demonstrated its exceptional skills in forecasting precipitation, motion and mass fields compared to either individual global operational or ensemble mean forecasts. The motion field investigation for the season of 2001 reveals that the superensemble forecasts are closer to the observed data compared to the other global member operational models through its low systematic errors at the 850 hPa level. The FSU multimodel superensemble forecasts exhibit the lowest root mean square errors (RSMEs), the highest correlation against the best observed data and the lowest systematic errors compared to the other operational model members. These forecasts have the potential to provide better daily weather predictions over the Southeast Asia region, particularly during the early northeast monsoon that often causes heavy rainfall in the equatorial part of the Southeast Asia region. 相似文献
952.
Nassima Atmaoui Nina Kukowski Bernhard Stöckhert Diethard König 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2006,95(2):225-238
Typical pull-apart structures were created in scaled clay experiments with a pure strike-slip geometry (Riedel type experiments). A clay slab represents the sedimentary cover above a strike-slip fault in the rigid basement. At an early stage of the development of the deformation zone, synthetic shear fractures (Riedel shears) within the clay slab display dilatational behaviour. With increasing basal displacement the Riedel shears rotate and open further, developing into long, narrow and deep troughs. The shear displacement and the low angle with the prescribed principal basal fault set them apart from tension gashes. At a more evolved stage, synthetic segments (Y-shears) parallel to the basal principal fault develop and accommodate progressive strike-slip deformation. The Y-shears connect the tips of adjacent troughs developed from the earlier Riedel shears, resulting in the typical rhomb-shaped structures characteristic for pull-apart basins. The Strait of Sicily rift zone, with major strike-slip systems being active from the Miocene to the Present, comprises pull-apart basins at different length scales, for which the structural record suggests development by a mechanism similar to that observed in our experiments. 相似文献
953.
Fred J. Anderson 《Environmental Geology》2006,49(7):1034-1042
Several unfavorable environmental and engineering geologic conditions exist in Fargo, North Dakota. Dominantly, the behavior
of smectitic clays within the proglacial Lake Agassiz sediments of the Sherack and Brenna Formations creates subsoil instability
beneath engineered structures in the Fargo area and slope instability within cutbank meanders of the Red River of the North.
Unfavorable engineering geologic conditions encountered include: the elastic deformation of clayey glaciolacustrine soils,
shrink-swell properties, inadequate bearing capacities, and mass movements. These conditions are responsible for structural
failures including the Fargo Grain Elevator in 1955 and the Northern Pacific railroad grade. Bank failures along the Red River
are common due to the inherent instability of Brenna Formation smectitic clays which are subject to plastic deformation in
the subsurface, with resultant block failure of overlying Sherack Formation. Recent alluvial sediments due to typical fluvial
action and the continued seasonal saturation of cutbank meanders within the floodplain also add to soil instability. 相似文献
954.
Potential of High-Resolution Satellite Data in the Context of Vulnerability of Buildings 总被引:1,自引:2,他引:1
High-resolution space-borne remote sensing data are investigated for their potential to extract relevant parameters for a
vulnerability analysis of buildings in European countries. For an evaluation of large earthquake scenarios, the number of
parameters in models for vulnerability is reduced to a minimum of relevant information such as the type of building (age,
material, number of storeys) and the geological and spatial context. Building-related parameters can be derived from remote
sensing data either directly (e.g. height) or indirectly based on the recognition of the urban structure type in which the
buildings are located. With the potential of a fully- or semi-automatic inventory of the buildings and their parameters, high-resolution
satellite data and techniques for their processing are a useful supporting tool for the assessment of vulnerability. 相似文献
955.
The computation of electromagnetic (EM) fields, for 1-D layered earth model, requires evaluation of Hankel Transform (HT)
of the EM kernel function. The digital filtering is the most widely used technique to evaluate HT integrals. However, it has
some obvious shortcomings. We present an alternative scheme, based on an orthonormal exponential approximation of the kernel
function, for evaluating HT integrals. This approximation of the kernel function was chosen because the analytical solution
of HT of an exponential function is readily available in literature. This expansion reduces the integral to a simple algebraic
sum. The implementation of such a scheme requires that the weights and the exponents of the exponential function be estimated.
The exponents were estimated through a guided search algorithm while the weights were obtained using Marquardt matrix inversion
method. The algorithm was tested on analytical HT pairs available in literature. The results are compared with those obtained
using the digital filtering technique with Anderson filters. The field curves for four types (A-, K-, H-and Q-type) of 3-layer
earth models are generated using the present scheme and compared with the corresponding curves obtained using the Anderson
sc heme. It is concluded that the present scheme is more accurate than the Anderson scheme 相似文献
956.
The authors identify and describe the following global forces of nature driving the Earth’s climate: (1) solar radiation as a dominant external energy supplier to the Earth, (2) outgassing as a major supplier of gases to the World Ocean and the atmosphere, and, possibly, (3) microbial activities generating and consuming atmospheric gases at the interface of lithosphere and atmosphere. The writers provide quantitative estimates of the scope and extent of their corresponding effects on the Earth’s climate. Quantitative comparison of the scope and extent of the forces of nature and anthropogenic influences on the Earth’s climate is especially important at the time of broad-scale public debates on current global warming. The writers show that the human-induced climatic changes are negligible. 相似文献
957.
Palestinian suicide terrorism has been a key feature in the latest phase of the Israeli–Palestinian conflict. During the past decade, and particularly since September 2000, there has been a substantial increase in the use of this type of warfare. Recent studies suggest that, contrary to common belief, suicide terrorism is highly rational and driven by strategic considerations. This article explores the rationality of Palestinian suicide terrorism from a geographical perspective. It is argued that suicide terrorism works along two parallel paths: rationality and randomness. It complies with geographical fundamentals, and target selection is highly rational, subject to spatial considerations such as distance, agglomeration, and accessibility. As the permeability to Israel became more difficult, suicide bombers and their organizers had to adopt more flexible practices which emphasized other spatial considerations. Timing is of importance both for strategic and tactical reasoning. Obstructing negotiations and peace talks has been a salient objective, but the exact timing of suicide bombings has been influenced by tactical considerations, which aim at maximizing casualties. 相似文献
958.
杨庄截潜工程趾板段建基面以下为弱风化白云岩和含燧石条带白云岩,透水性较强,造成库水漏失严重.为解决建基面以下基岩渗漏问题,采用趾板段帷幕灌浆封堵基岩裂隙而形成防渗帷幕,以减少库水漏失.通过趾板段帷幕灌浆达到封堵基岩裂隙的目的,满足工程设计的防渗要求. 相似文献
959.
滑坡是现代公路、铁路等交通基建工程面临的一个难题。尤其是在重丘、山地等地段修筑公路工程极易出现滑坡地质灾害。这些滑坡的成因以及相关的边坡稳定性分析目前处于半理论、半经验状态。文章基于学堂湾滑坡的地理位置及地质环境条件,从滑坡区地质环境条件、滑坡周界、滑坡体与滑带的物质结构特征、滑床、滑坡变形破坏迹象等,深入分析了学堂湾滑坡的变形特征。在此基础上探讨了滑坡成因,指出大量的雨水和不合理的施工扰动是滑坡发育的外因;坡体本身的地质条件如岩石的裂隙、岩土体的透水性以及水的疏导条件等是其内因。文章将宏观定性分析与定量计算相结合,对滑坡稳定性进行了分析和评价。结合工程实际对滑坡治理措施进行了初步研究,取得了一些满意的效果。 相似文献
960.
江西省宜春城区地面塌陷特征及防治建议 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
宜春城区属岗阜低丘地形,分布石炭系-二叠系覆盖型及裸露型碳酸盐岩,占城区面积近70%。浅部岩溶发育,覆盖层厚度一般小于20m,土洞较多,基岩面起伏大,第四系岩性结构复杂,地下水埋藏浅。由于抽采地下水及建筑施工振动等人为因素影响,诱发地面塌陷12处,造成重大经济损失。在城市规划功能布局时应充分考虑地面塌陷的易发程度及场地建设适宜性;应限制诱发塌陷因素的强度,在易发区须严格控制地下水开采,严禁新建开采井;塌陷治理的主要方法有填堵、跨越、灌注、深基础控制抽排水强度、及其它综合治理或避让方法,同时做好灾害的监测预报工作。 相似文献