Optimization of nonconventional wells under uncertainty using statistical proxies     

Vincent Artus  Louis J. Durlofsky  Jérôme Onwunalu  Khalid Aziz 《Computational Geosciences》2006,10(4):389-404

The determination of the optimal type and placement of a nonconventional well in a heterogeneous reservoir represents a challenging optimization problem. This determination is significantly more complicated if uncertainty in the reservoir geology is included in the optimization. In this study, a genetic algorithm is applied to optimize the deployment of nonconventional wells. Geological uncertainty is accounted for by optimizing over multiple reservoir models (realizations) subject to a prescribed risk attitude. To reduce the excessive computational requirements of the base method, a new statistical proxy (which provides fast estimates of the objective function) based on cluster analysis is introduced into the optimization process. This proxy provides an estimate of the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the scenario performance, which enables the quantification of proxy uncertainty. Knowledge of the proxy-based performance estimate in conjunction with the proxy CDF enables the systematic selection of the most appropriate scenarios for full simulation. Application of the overall method for the optimization of monobore and dual-lateral well placement demonstrates the performance of the hybrid optimization procedure. Specifically, it is shown that by simulating only 10% or 20% of the scenarios (as determined by application of the proxy), optimization results very close to those achieved by simulating all cases are obtained.  相似文献   

福建省山仔水库浮游植物特征与水体富营养状况分析     

苏玉萍  陈娜蓉  林婉珍  梁晓丹 《福建地理》2006,(4)

采用浮游植物指示法评价了福州省山仔水库2005年不同季节水体的富营养状况,结果表明:冬、春季库区水体处于中—富营养水平,夏季发生水华微囊藻(Microcystis flos-aquae)“水华”,水体处于富营养水平,秋季水体处于中营养水平.由于浮游植物的生长状况受到多因素的影响,有必要进一步结合其他评价方法对整个水体的富营养状态做出综合判断.  相似文献   

Transparency: aid or obstacle to effective defence of vulnerable environments from reservoir construction? Dam decisions and democracy in North East England     

Christine S McCulloch 《Area》2006,38(1):24-33

Public participation in transparent decisionmaking has been proposed as a panacea for environmental protection. Bargaining theory suggests drawbacks to transparency such as hardening of attitudes and intransigence. Yet achievement of consensus on environmental values for integrated water resource management demands public involvement. Historical study of attempts to prevent reservoir construction in upland valleys designated for protection of nature suggests that 'closed-door' bargaining proved more effective for environmentalists than open, public debate. Records now open for analysis of disputes over Teesdale and Farndale, 1950–1970, allow comparisons to be made between behind-the-scenes deliberations and 'open-door' public discussion. The ambition of progressing from public participation to devolution of environmental decisionmaking and responsibility to the local scale demands more conceptualization of the process of decisionmaking on water resource development.  相似文献   

新疆巴喀勒萨依地区含铜砂岩及其铜矿床特征     

凌联海  楼法生  刘春根  肖晓林  程春华  于成涛 《华东地质学院学报》2006,29(2):115-120

近年来在新疆巴喀勒萨依地区发现一套含少量火山碎屑岩的含铜砂岩地层,由于该地层位于近东西向的断裂夹块中,其含矿层位的确定就成了难题。在该地层中发现了一些腕足类、珊瑚、腹足类、植物化石,经中国科学院南京地质古生物研究所鉴定,时代属晚石炭世晚期。介绍了巴喀勒萨依地区晚石炭世伊什基里克组含铜砂岩剖面及铜矿特征,并获得铜资源量19 797 t,银铜资源量371 t,提出了该区铜、银富集在红色含铜砂岩中有机质聚集处的新观点。  相似文献   

Semi-Analytic Modelling of Subsidence   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Peter A. Fokker  Bogdan Orlic 《Mathematical Geology》2006,38(5):565-589

This paper presents a forward model for subsidence prediction caused by extraction of hydrocarbons. The model uses combinations of analytic solutions to the visco-elastic equations, which approximate the boundary conditions. There are only a few unknown parameters to be estimated, and, consequently, calculations are very fast. The semi-analytic model is applicable to a uniform and layer-cake stratigraphy, with visco-elastic parameters changing per layer, and an arbitrary depletion pattern. By its capabilities to handle a multi-layered visco-elastic subsurface, the semi-analytic model fills the gap between the analytic single-layered elastic models available to date and the more elaborate numerical, e.g. finite element, models.  相似文献   

致密砂岩孔隙度计算方法     

董建刚  范晓敏 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2006,(Z1)

鄂尔多斯盆地北部下二叠系下石盒子组为纵横向变化大,岩性、孔隙结构等复杂的河流相地层,很难用统一的计算公式来完成对孔隙度的计算。采用多元统计分析、散点图和孔隙度对比图来确定其孔隙度。运用上述方法,比较精确地确定鄂尔多斯盆地北部下二叠系下石盒子组的孔隙度,对鄂尔多斯盆地油气储量的估计,提供一个很好的基础资料。  相似文献   

黄骅坳陷北大港构造带古近系沙河街组高分辨率层序地层格架及其对储层非均质性的控制   总被引：9，自引：1，他引：9  

范乐元  朱筱敏  宋鹍  朱之春  谢楠 《地层学杂志》2005,29(4):355-361,367

陆相湖盆层序的发育是在湖盆蓄水量周期性变化的条件下实现的。层序发育过程实际上是基准面旋回变化过程中湖泊冲刷沉积作用彼此消长的过程。北大港构造带古近系沙河街组可划分为2个长期基准面旋回、8个中期基准面旋回和43个短期基准面旋回。在等时地层格架内,基于基准面变化过程中的沉积响应及其伴生的可容空间变化的分析,探讨了基准面旋回变化与储层展布及储层非均质性之间的相关关系:基准面旋回的升降变化对储层的非均质性、空间展布以及有利储层的分布等均具有明显的控制作用;短期基准面旋回控制储层砂体内部的非均质模式,中长期基准面旋回控制了储层砂体的层间非均质性特征;在中长期基准面低位处,尤其是在基准面旋回的转换点处,储层发育良好,砂体厚度、展布面积均较大,物性相对较好;而在中长起基准面较高位处,则出现相反的储层特征。  相似文献   

地震属性分析中水平切片的应用   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

国洪伟  陈勃  刘和芝  刘伟  张秀丽 《物探化探计算技术》2005,27(1):10-15

利用地震数据体中含有的丰富地质信息,可以有效地进行储层预测。层拉平水平切片地层学解释方法是先将地震剖面目的层段做层拉平处理,然后对切片顺地层层面追踪,勾绘出各种地层现象,并以地层学的观点加以解释。该方法在吉林探区扶新南部地区的应用中,对于识别河道的展布趋势取得了较好的效果,而且发现了多期叠置的扇型沉积体。另外,还可指导反演数据体的解释,做到对岩性体从定性到定量的描述。  相似文献   

渤南洼陷罗151块火成岩油藏特征及开发对策   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：2  

金平信  高保国  王乐超 《西北地质》2005,38(2):70-75

罗151块火成岩油藏是近年在济阳坳陷发现的中型油藏，油藏埋深3150m；在研究罗151井区火成岩成因、侵入期次、岩相学及储层非均质性的基础上，建立了火成岩储层概念模型，划分出角岩微孔隙型油藏及辉绿岩溶蚀孔隙-裂缝型油藏两个类型，纵向上分为4个带，平面上分为3个区；预测了火成岩储层发育的有利部位；部署了合理的开发井网，钻探后，完钻新井14口，平均单井日产油27t，取得了显著效果；火成岩油藏初期产能高，产量递减快，弹性产率低，依靠天然能量开采，最终采收率只有14．1％，可以进行注水开发，注水效果较好。  相似文献   

台北凹陷中浅储集层孔隙预测及勘探有效下限探讨     

李森明  宋承文  蔡文新 《新疆地质》2005,23(1):68-72

在系统研究储层物性控制因素的基础上，分析台北凹陷中浅储集层物性分布规律以及压实程度特征，建立孔隙度一深度趋势法和压实减孔量法预测砂岩孔隙度．认为中侏罗统储层压实减孔量整体比较高，表现出“北高南低，生油凹陷内高、周边低”的特征．结合探井试油资料，确定侏罗系储集层有效下限的孔隙度值为9％，压实减孔量为34％，各构造带侏罗系储层深度有效下限总体上表现出“南深北浅、西深东浅”的特征．指出台北凹陷侏罗系储集层在有效下限以下勘探具有较大风险．  相似文献