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151.
利用Threat Score方法,对1991年6月12—15日,6月29日—7月12日江淮持续暴雨的定量预报进行了检验。结果表明,对于大雨和暴雨预报,目前主观预报优于客观预报。数值预报在降雨定量预报的某些方面有了一定突破。 相似文献
152.
153.
本文利用常规探测资料,分析了1983年3月25日发生在珠江三角洲地区的一次强对流天气过程背景流场的几个重要特征,如高空急流的结构与变化、辐散风场及与之相联系的背景次级环流、风场垂直切变和水平切变等. 相似文献
154.
Patricia A. Lockridge 《Natural Hazards》1990,3(4):403-412
While earthquakes generate about 90% of all tsunamis, volcanic activity, landslides, explosions, and other nonseismic phenomena can also result in tsunamis. There have been 53 000 reported deaths as a result of tsunamis generated by landslides and volcanoes. No death tolls are available for many events, but reports indicate that villages, islands, and even entire civilizations have disappeared. Some of the highest tsunami wave heights ever observed were produced by landslides. In the National Geophysical Data Center world-wide tsunami database, there are nearly 200 tsunami events in which nonseismic phenomena played a major role. In this paper, we briefly discuss a variety of nonseismic phenomena that can result in tsunamis. We discuss the magnitude of the disasters that have resulted from such events, and we discuss the potential for reducing such disasters by education and warning systems. 相似文献
155.
局地强风暴云团与中尺度锋面波动 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
本文分析了1982—1988年2—5月份的41例与中尺度锋面波动相关联的局地强风暴云团的活动和演变特征,给出了其强盛期天气系统配置模式及其在天气尺度云系演变中的表现型式,最后对其移动做了一般性讨论。 相似文献
156.
冬季西北太平洋海表温度异常对太平洋风暴轴影响的数值试验 总被引:6,自引:5,他引:6
采用T21L5大气环流模式,详细探讨了冬季西北太平洋海表温度异常对太平洋风暴轴的影响。结果表明:冬季西北太平洋暖海表温度异常能显著增强异常区北侧及下游地区的斜压性,天气尺度扰动方差、扰动动能以及涡动热量通量等也在此风暴轴入口区得到增强,由此揭示出外热源强迫对太平洋风暴轴的维持和发展起重要作用。 相似文献
157.
Field survey of the 1994 Mindoro Island,Philippines tsunami 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Fumihiko Imamura Costas E. Synolakis Edison Gica Vasily Titov Eddie Listanco Ho Jun Lee 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1995,144(3-4):875-890
This is a report of the field survey of the November 15, 1994 Mindoro Island, Philippines, tsunami generated by an earthquake (M=7.0) with a strike-slip motion. We will report runup heights from 54 locations on Luzon, Mindoro and other smaller islands in the Cape Verde passage between Mindoro and Luzon. Most of the damage was concentrated along the northern coast of Mindoro. Runup height distribution ranged 3–4 m at the most severely damaged areas and 2–4 in neighboring areas. The tsunami-affected area was limited to within 10 km of the epicenter. The largest recorded runup value of 7.3 m was measured on the southwestern coast of Baco Island while a runup of 6.1 m was detected on its northern coastline. The earthquake and tsunami killed 62 people, injured 248 and destroyed 800 houses. As observed in other recent tsunami disasters, most of the casualties were children. Nearly all eyewitnesses interviewed described the first wave as a leading-depression wave. Eyewitnesses reported that the main direction of tsunami propagation was SW in Subaang Bay, SE in Wawa and Calapan, NE on Baco Island and N on Verde Island, suggesting that the tsunami source area was in the southern Pass of Verde Island and that the wave propagated rapidly in all directions. The fault plane extended offshore to the N of Mindoro Island, with its rupture originating S of Verde Island and propagating almost directly south to the inland of Mindoro, thereby accounting for the relatively limited damage area observed on the N of Mindoro. 相似文献
158.
Yoshinobu Tsuji Fumihiko Imamura Hideo Matsutomi Costas E. Synolakis Puspito T. Nanang Jumadi Satoshi Harada Se Sub Han Ken'ichi Arai Benjamin Cook 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1995,144(3-4):839-854
A field survey of the June 3, 1994 East Java earthquake tsunami was conducted within three weeks, and the distributions of the seismic intensities, tsunami heights, and human and house damages were surveyed. The seismic intensities on the south coasts of Java and Bali Islands were small for an earthquake with magnitudeM 7.6. The earthquake caused no land damage. About 40 minutes after the main shock, a huge tsunami attacked the coasts, several villages in East Java Province were damaged severely, and 223 persons perished. At Pancer Village about 70 percent of the houses were swept away and 121 persons were killed by the tsunami. The relationship between tsunami heights and distances from the source shows that the Hatori's tsunami magnitude wasm=3, which seems to be larger for the earthquake magnitude. But we should not consider this an extraordinary event because it was pointed out byHatori (1994) that the magnitudes of tsunamis in the Indonesia-Philippine region generally exceed 1–2 grade larger than those of other regions. 相似文献
159.
黄土高原上两次低空东北急流大暴雨的诊断分析 总被引:8,自引:5,他引:8
通过对黄土高原上两次没有低空西南急流参与的区域性大暴雨的分析,发现低空东北急流在两次暴雨中份演了主要角色,因此,称这类暴雨为东北急流暴雨,与西南急流对比分析后认为,两种急流有很大同,东北急流具有自己的特点。文章最后给出了东北急流暴雨的三股气流模式。 相似文献
160.