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61.
铁路沿线灾害性天气监测、预测、预警系统 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
针对铁路三防(防风,防沙,防洪)的需要,结合大风监测系统建设的实际,对恶劣天气气候条件下,如何保障列车运行安全进行了探讨,并提出铁路沿线灾害性天气监测,预测,预警系统。 相似文献
62.
通过在中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所皋兰生态农业试验站1998-1999年的降雨-径流观测实验,利用直线回归模型确定包括自然集水面在内的9种人工集水面的临界产流降雨量值(降雨阀值)。结果表明:在不受前期降雨影响下,自然黄土坡面、清除杂草自然黄土坡面和粘土夯实集水面的临界产流降雨量分别为8.5mm,8.0mm和4.1mm。在受前期降雨影响下,其临界产流降雨量分别为6.0mm,5.0mm和1.9mm。塑料膜、油毡、沥青和混凝土处理集水面的产流过程受降雨量和降雨强度的影响小,平均状态下其临界产流降雨量为0.1~1.5mm。塑料膜、油毡、沥青、塑料+小砾石和塑料+大砾石集水面的临界产流降雨量分别为0.13mm,0.21mm,0.17mm,0.98mm和0.85mm。混凝土集水面在干燥情况下的临界产流降雨量为1.48mm,在不干燥情况下的临界产流降雨量为1.16mm。 相似文献
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We extend to the regional field of distances the procedure of one-station estimation of seismic moments using the mantle magnitudeM
m, as introduced earlier in the case of teleseismic events. A theoretical analysis of the validity of the asymptotic expansion of normal modes in terms of surface waves, which was used in the development ofM
m, upholds the validity of the algorithm for distances as short as 1.5°. This is confirmed by the analysis of a dataset of 149 GEOSCOPE records obtained at distances ranging from 1.5 to 15°, from earthquakes with moments between 1024 and 2.5×1027 dyn-cm. The performance ofM
m as measured in terms of average residual with respect to published values ofM
0, and standard deviation of the residuals, is not degraded in this distance range, with respect to the teleseismic case. This indicates that the mantle magnitudeM
mcan be reliably used at regional distances, notably for tsunami warning applications. 相似文献
65.
J. H. Barrett 《Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics》1992,6(3):151-165
An extreme value analysis of the flow of Burbage Brook is carried out by modelling peaks over a high threshold. The aims are to illustrate recently developed statistical techniques and to report on interesting features of the flow of the brook over a 58-year period. Peak flows are found to show marked seasonal variation and a downward trend. Then-year return level is estimated for various values ofn, and the reliability of the estimates is assessed. 相似文献
66.
泥石流监测预警站利用的是泥石流预警报系统,以便对泥石流进行监测后,作出泥石流预警报。泥石流预警报系统由三个子系统组成,这就是:1.暴雨类泥石流预报子系统;2.泥石流地声报警子系统;3.泥石流规模报警子系统。三个子系统分别用在泥石流监测预警站所属的雨量、地声、泥位三类泥石流监测点上。泥石流预警报系统由中国科学院东川泥石流观测研究站在蒋家沟研制而成,1985年底通过鉴定,获1986年度中国科学院科学技术进步三等奖。 相似文献
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用1989~1998年上海逐日4次气象观测资料,应用美国特拉华大学的SSC天气分类方法确定逐日天气类型,形成了10年逐日天气类型日历。并通过天气类型与死亡率的对比分析,确定MT+类型是上海地区形成热浪的“侵人型”气团,是具有最高死亡率的天气类型。采用逐步回归方法建立了MT+类型下因受热浪侵袭而超正常死亡数的回归方程。在此基础上建立了上海热浪与健康监测预警系统。通过1999年气象和死亡实况资料检验,系统对热浪及因此引起的死亡具有较好的监测和预警效果。 相似文献
70.
Gully erosion of cultural sites in Grand Canyon National Park is an urgent management problem that has intensified in recent decades, potentially related to the effects of Glen Canyon Dam. We studied 25 gullies at nine sites in Grand Canyon over the 2002 monsoon–erosion season to better understand the geomorphology of the gully erosion and the effectiveness of erosion‐control structures (ECS) installed by the park under the direction of the Zuni Conservation Program. Field results indicate that Hortonian overland flow leads to concentrated flow in gullies and erosion focused at knickpoints along channels as well as at gully heads. Though groundcover type, soil shear strength and permeability vary systemat‐ically across catchments, gradient and, to a lesser degree, contributing drainage area seem to be the first‐order controls on gully extent, location of new knickpoints, and ECS damage. The installed ECS do reduce erosion relative to reaches without them and initial data suggest woody checkdams are preferable to rock linings, but maintenance is essential because damaged structures can exacerbate erosion. Topographic data from intensive field surveys and detailed photogrammetry provide slope–contributing area data for gully heads that have a trend consistent with previous empirical and theoretical formulations from a variety of landscapes. The same scaling holds below gully heads for knickpoint and ECS topographic data, with threshold coefficients the lowest for gully heads, slightly higher for knickpoints, and notably higher for damaged ECS. These topographic thresholds were used with 10‐cm digital elevation models to create simple predictive models for gully extent and structure damage. The model predictions accounted for the observed gullies but there are also many false‐positives. Purely topographical models are probably inadequate at this scale and application, but models that also parameterize the variable soil properties across sites would be useful for predicting erosion problems and ECS failure. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献