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101.
102.
In order to consider both the deterministic and the stochastic property of atmospheric motion simul-taneously,in this paper,the weather prediction is proposed as the problem of the evolution of meteorologicalfield.The historical viewpoint of atmospheric motion is emphasized here.Based on time series analysis te-chnique,a stochastic-dynamical model with multiple initial fields is derived.Thus,weather forecasting is sum-meal up as a problem of solving a set of stochastic difference equations.For the barotropic atmosphere,thenumerical solutions of the equations are obtained by using the method of empirical orthogonal functions(EOF),and examples of medium-range weather prediction are given here.Meanwhile,selecting the order oftime series,i.e.,determining the number of initial fields properly,is also discussed. 相似文献
103.
10──20天准双周振荡的经向传播及地理特征 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
本文采用ECMWF1983年7月1日至9月12日逐日200hPa纬向风场资料,用复经验正交方法讨论了10-20天低频振荡的经向传播及地理特征。结果表明:(1)10--2天振荡有三个显著区域:贝加尔湖附近地区;赤道90°E附近以及新加坡、马来西亚地区;80-100°E,22-32°N之间。(2)源于较高纬度地区的振荡与源于赤道附近地区的振荡在105°E,17—23°N附近同位相相遇,在90°E,20°N附近反位相相叠加,振荡相互削弱,在25°N附近同位相相遇。(3)从振荡位相来看,中南半岛东南部、马来西亚北部、菲律宾以西区域的振荡向北传播到中国东南沿海,向西传播到孟加拉湾印度半岛;20°N以南低纬度地区的振荡很少能传播到80°E以东30°N附近地区;位于90-95°E,25-27°N之间的振荡以及贝加尔湖附近地区的振荡可以向南北两个方向传播。 相似文献
104.
THE RESPONSE OF SUMMER DRYNESS/WETNESS PROBABILITY IN NORTH CHINA TO GLOBAL WARMING 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
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Huang Jiayou 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1994,8(1):41-50
Using the data of summer(June—August)precipitation during the period of 1951—1990 in 14 stations over NorthChina,the wetness probability(WP)series based on gamma distribution has been built.Main temporal and spatial char-acteristics for the series of WP in the stations are extracted by using empirical orthogonal functions(EOFs).The spatialpatterns show that the dryness/wetness variations in the stations in the area are consistent with each other and its maincharacteristics can be represented by the WP series in Beijing.Having analysed the WP series of 120 years(1870—1989)in Beijing,the results show that the dry tendency has a re-sponse to the global warming.The variation of the dryness/wetness in the stations is associated with the temperaturevariation in the Northern Hemisphere.Their relation is negative.The degree of the reliance is associated with the centuryvariation of the temperature. 相似文献
105.
地球物理测井是利用各种现代物理学的方法(包括电学、声学、核物理、热学、光学、磁学、力学等)对储层空间的油气水特性、沉积环境、地层层序、构造地质等现象进行定量研究,逐步形成的一门理论性、实用性很强的边缘学科.海洋测井作业环境更为特殊而复杂,不但投资大、作业风险大,而且具有技术高度密集、技术难度大的特点.发展海洋石油勘探事业,必须加强对海洋测井技术的研究,利用现代高新科学技术,开拓海洋测井新领域,为海洋石油勘探提供更丰富、更准确的地质信息. 相似文献
106.
Temporal variations in bedload transport rates that occur at a variety of timescales, even under steady flow conditions, are accepted as an inherent component of the bedload transport process. Rarely, however, has the cause of such variations been explained clearly. We consider three data sets, obtained from laboratory experiments, that refer to measurements of bedload transport made with continuously recording bedload traps. Each data set is characterized by a predominant low-frequency oscillation, on which additional higher-frequency oscillations generally are superimposed. The period of these oscillations, as isolated through the use of spectral analysts, ranged between 0·47 and 168 minutes, and was associated unequivocally with the migration of bedforms such as ripples, dunes, and bars. The extent to which such oscillatory behaviour may be recognized in a data set depends on the duration of sampling and the length of the sampling time, with respect to the period of a given bedform. Several theoretical probability distribution functions have been developed to describe the frequency distributions of (relative) bedload transport rates that are associated with the migration of bedforms (Einstein, 1937b; Hamamori, 1962; Carey and Hubbell, 1986). These distribution functions were derived without reference to a sampling interval. We present a modification of Hamamori's (1962) probability distribution function, generated by Monte Carlo simulation, which permits one to specify the sampling interval, in relation to the length of a bedform. Comparisons between the simulated and observed frequency distributions, that were undertaken on the basis of the data described herein, are good (significant at the 90 per cent confidence level). Finally, the implications that temporal variability, which is associated with the migration of bedforms, have for the accurate determination of bedload transport rates are considered. 相似文献
107.
Anomalous induction across Europe 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Summary Using real induction vector data, collected at 958 European observation sites, together with our data from the Bohemian Massif and the West Carpathians, we have generated a contour map of the transfer function TF1 (corresponding to transfer function A in Wiese's relation). Only the zero contour is retained and shown on the map. It clearly marks the main anomalous induction zones, related to internal structural inhomogeneities, across Europe. 相似文献
108.
109.
采用非线性有限元方法,并借助正交试验原理,以支护最大水平位移为衡量目标,对复合土钉墙设计中的关键技术———土钉设置型式,包括倾角、间距、长度分布规律进行了合理性方面的研究。研究表明:将最长的土钉放于基坑中下部、保持较小的土钉间距和增大基坑中下部土钉倾角是复合土钉支护中土钉设置的最佳型式;在影响基坑变形敏感性程度上,土钉长度分布规律、间距、倾角依次降低。 相似文献
110.
大型抽水试验的水文地质意义 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
本文以山东省东阿县下马头水源地为实例,探讨了大型抽水试验的主要水文地质意义,包括:确定地下水的主要补给来源及方向,抽水影响范围及程度,水源地岩溶含水层的富水性及供水保证能力,水源地附近地下水与地表水之间的水力联系,水源地附近主要断裂构造的水力性质,水源地抽水对下游水源地的影响以及水文地质参数与水源地地下水允许开采量计算。 相似文献