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51.
52.
针对单一模型对城市机动载体运动状态估计不足的问题,本文在标准交互式多模型算法的基础上引入强跟踪滤波器,并以“当前”模型和“CV”模型作为基础模型进行交互式模型滤波。利用信号源仿真动态数据分析对比了利用单一模型算法、标准交互式多模型算法和引入强跟踪滤波器的交互式多模型算法的定位解算性能。实验结果表明:本文提出的基于强跟踪滤波器的交互式多模型算法相比于“当前”模型滤波和标准IM M 算法径向误差方差分别从19.11和16.78降低到13.24.  相似文献   
53.
A statistical study of the dependence between various critical fusion temperatures of a certain kind ofcoal and its chemical components is carried out.As well as using classical dependence techniques(multiple,stepwise and PLS regression,principal components,canonical correlation,etc.)together withthe corresponding inference on the parameters of interest,non-parametric regression and bootstrapinference are also performed.  相似文献   
54.
丁志华  崔月菊  唐杰 《中国地震》2022,38(3):494-502
基于高光谱遥感数据,通过RST算法提取2020年7月12日唐山5.1级地震前不同参数异常信息,发现震前CH4、CO、H2O、O3均出现了高值异常,且异常均位于震中附近,异常幅度高于2倍均方差,CH4、CO、H2O异常机理不同于O3。通过统计2018—2020年CH4、CO、H2O三种气体出现频次,发现同步异常具有可靠性,认为高光谱多参数异常出现的同步性,可提高异常性质判定的信度。通过对不同参数进行连续跟踪观测,提取多参数同步异常信息,对地震短临预报具有一定参考意义。  相似文献   
55.
异质性是岩体的重要属性之一,从岩体的物质组成到结构特征,再到微宏观力学行为表现,异质性现象普遍存在。本文在梳理已有研究成果的基础上,从岩体的细微观异质性、结构面异质性和宏观异质性3个不同的尺度,对异质性的产生原因、表现特征、力学效应和时空演化规律等进行阐述,并介绍了相关研究方法以及异质性在不同尺度上的差异表现。岩体异质性的研究,是岩体工程地质力学理论体系的延伸,而多尺度的研究方法也成为全面揭示岩体变形破坏机制的一种有效手段。  相似文献   
56.
The Tibetan Plateau in Western China is the world’s largest alpine landscape, sheltering a rich diversity of native flora and fauna. In the past few decades, the Tibetan Plateau was found to suffer from grassland degradation processes. Grassland degradation is assumed to not only endanger biodiversity but also to increase the risk for natural hazards in other parts of the country which are ecologically and hydrologically connected to the area. However, the mechanisms behind the degradation processes remain poorly understood due to scarce baseline data and insufficient scientific research.We argue that remote sensing data can help to better understand degradation processes and patterns by: (1) identifying the distribution of severely degraded areas and (2) comparing the patterns of key spatial attributes of the identified areas (altitude above sea level, aspect, slope, administrative districts) with existing theories on degradation drivers. Therefore, we applied four Landsat 8 images covering large portions of the three counties Jigzhi, Baima and Darlag in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau. The dates of the Landsat scenes were selected to cover differing phenological stages of the ecosystem. Reference data were collected with a remotely piloted aircraft and a standard consumer RGB camera. To exploit the phenological information in the Landsat data as well as deal with the problem of cloud cover in multiple images, we developed a straightforward PCA-based procedure to merge the Landsat scenes. The merged Landsat data served as input to a supervised support vector machine classification which was validated with an iterative bootstrap procedure and an additional independent validation set. The considered classes were “high-cover grassland”, “grassland (including several stages of grassland vitality)”, “(severely) degraded grassland”, “green shrubland”, “grey shrubland”, “urban areas” and “water bodies”. Kappa accuracies ranged between 0.84 and 0.93 in the iterative procedure, while the independent validation led to a kappa accuracy of 0.76. Mean producer’s and user’s accuracies for all classes were higher than 80%, and confusion mainly occurred between the two shrubland classes and between the three grassland classes.Analysis of the slope, aspect and altitude values of the vegetation classes revealed that the degraded areas mostly occurred at the higher altitudes of the study area (4300–4600 m), with no strong connection to any specific slope or aspect. High-cover grassland was mostly located on sunny slopes at lower altitudes (less than 4300 m), while shrubland preferred shady, relatively steep slopes across all altitudes. These observations proved to be stable across the examined counties, while the proportions of land-cover classes differed between the examined regions. Most counties showed 5–7% severely degraded land cover. Darlag, the county located at the edge of the permafrost zone, and featuring the highest average altitude and lowest annual temperature and precipitation, was found to suffer from larger areas of severe degradation (14%).Therefore, our findings support a strong connection between degradation patterns and climatic as well as altitudinal gradients, with an increased degradation risk for high altitude areas and areas in colder and drier climatic zones. This is relevant information for pastoral management to avoid further degradation of high altitude pastures.  相似文献   
57.
2013年至今,中国冬季与雾霾相伴的低能见度事件频发,京津冀及周边地区尤为严重。PM2.5浓度与环境湿度是导致低能见度的最关键影响因素。为了深入研究PM2.5浓度与环境湿度对大气能见度的影响,利用2017年1月京津冀及周边地区MICAPS气象数据与PM2.5观测数据,运用天气学诊断分析方法讨论了不同相对湿度下PM2.5浓度、环境湿度对冬季能见度变化的相对贡献,按照地理环境与污染程度差异将京津冀及周边地区划分为北京-天津地区与河北-山东地区,建立了PM2.5浓度与环境湿度(由露点温度、温度代表)对能见度的多元回归方程,并对2015、2016、2018、2019年冬季能见度进行了回算检验。结果显示:相对湿度低于70%、PM2.5浓度低于75 μg/m3时,北京-天津地区与河北-山东地区能见度多高于10 km,PM2.5浓度升高是此时能见度迅速降低的主导因素;相对湿度从70%上升至85%和PM2.5浓度从75 μg/m3升高200 μg/m3的共同作用导致了能见度降低到10 km至5 km;能见度进一步从5 km下降至2 km则更多依赖于相对湿度进一步从85%升高至95%,PM2.5浓度与此时能见度相关减弱;能见度降低至2 km甚至更低主要是由于水汽近饱和状态下(相对湿度95%以上)的雾滴消光引起,与PM2.5浓度的变化关系不大。与不分组直接拟合相比,以相对湿度85%为界线,分别拟合能见度能够很大程度优化多元回归模型,相对湿度高于85%时能见度拟合值的均方根误差从9.2和5.2 km下降至0.5和0.7 km,5 km以下拟合能见度的误差大幅度减小。按相对湿度85%将数据分组所得的拟合方程对2015、2016、2018、2019年1月能见度估算结果较好,观测值与拟合值相关系数均高于0.91,为雾-霾数值预报系统提供了新的能见度参数化算法。   相似文献   
58.
基于MonoRTM模型的微波辐射计反演方法研究   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
黄兴友  张曦  冷亮  李峰  樊雅文 《气象科学》2013,33(2):138-145
基于辐射传输模型MonoRTM计算天空亮温度,使用多元线性统计回归方法和BP神经网络方法分别对大气温度和水汽密度廓线进行了反演,检验并分析了两种方法的反演精度.结果表明,多元线性回归方法反演的温度偏差总体不大于6K,反演的水汽密度偏差小于4 g/m3;神经网络方法反演的温度偏差小于2K,反演的水汽密度误差总体不大于2 g/m3.与探空数据的对比表明,对于大气温度和水汽密度反演,BP神经网络方法的反演结果都要比多元线性回归方法的反演结果更接近探空资料值.  相似文献   
59.
本文以黄河上游某拟建水电站坝址场地为例,论证了圈闭地形内斜坡破坏的多期性和规律性问题。在充分的野外调查和室内研究资料的基础上,将区内的斜坡破坏分为两期,即第一期为已经失稳的老滑坡群;第二期为发育在第一期滑坡群圈闭状破裂壁之后的正处于蠕动和破坏阶段的变形坡体,进而将第一期的滑坡分为两个强度次序。同时,还揭示了圈闭地形内斜坡破坏的规律性,即随着期和序次的增高,斜坡破坏面积增大,滑坡个数增多,规模减小,强度降低,滑距变短,滑体破碎程度变弱。最后指出,上述多期性和规律性应具有普遍性意义。  相似文献   
60.
An operational framework is developed to serve as a guideline for investigating causal relationships between environmental stressors and effects on marine biota. Because of the complexity and variability of many marine systems, multiple lines of evidence are needed to understand relationships between stressors and effects on marine resources. Within this framework, a weight of evidence approach based on multiple lines of evidence are developed and applied in a sequential manner by (1) characterizing the study system which involves determining if target biota are impaired, assessment of food and habitat availability, and measuring contaminant levels in the environment, (2) assessing direct effects of contaminant exposure on target biota using biomarkers and assessing indirect effects of exposure using suites of bioindicators, and (3) applying standard causal criteria based on epidemiological principles and diagnostic health profiling techniques to assess potential causes. Use of multiple lines of evidence should also reduce the risk of false positives (Type I error or falsely concluding that there is a causal relationship when there is none) and false negatives (Type II error or falsely concluding there is not a causal relationship when there actually is). Understanding causal relationships and the mechanistic processes between environmental stressors and effects on biota is important in the effective management and restoration of impaired marine ecosystems.  相似文献   
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