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71.
72.
An iterative inverse method, the sequential self-calibration method, is developed for mapping spatial distribution of a hydraulic
conductivity field by conditioning on nonreactive tracer breakthrough curves. A streamline-based, semi-analytical simulator
is adopted to simulate solute transport in a heterogeneous aquifer. The simulation is used as the forward modeling step. In
this study, the hydraulic conductivity is assumed to be a deterministic or random variable. Within the framework of the streamline-based
simulator, the efficient semi-analytical method is used to calculate sensitivity coefficients of the solute concentration
with respect to the hydraulic conductivity variation. The calculated sensitivities account for spatial correlations between
the solute concentration and parameters. The performance of the inverse method is assessed by two synthetic tracer tests conducted
in an aquifer with a distinct spatial pattern of heterogeneity. The study results indicate that the developed iterative inverse
method is able to identify and reproduce the large-scale heterogeneity pattern of the aquifer given appropriate observation
wells in these synthetic cases. 相似文献
73.
鉴于目前地震学综合定量预报指标的缺乏和预报工作的急需,尝试使用“对比筛选法(简称CSM方法)”进行地震学定量预报指标的提取试验。较之以往作法的进展在于:1.同时使用“有震”和“无震”两类样本对比筛选;2.对不同地区的地震学参数进行了归一化处理。这样做的显著优点是:1.可以较有效地提取“有震异常”和“正常变化”指标;2.提取的异常和预报指标具有定量化和普适性特点。 试验研究使用大华北地震区资料,研究对象取中强地震。经内符和外推检验,证明该方法提取的异常和预报指标有效性和实用性较高。 相似文献
74.
S. Kasperczuk 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》1994,58(4):387-391
This paper considers the integrability of generalized Yang-Mills system with the HamiltonianH
a
(p, q)=1/2(p
1
2
+p
2
2
+a
1
q
1
2
+a
2
q
2
2
)+1/4q
1
4
+1/4a
3
q
2
4
+ 1/2a
4
q
1
2
q
2
2
. We prove that the system is integrable for the cases: (A)a
1=a
2,a
3=a
4=1; (b)a
1=a
2,a
3=1,a
4=3; (C)a
1=a
2/4,a
3=16,a
4=6. Our main result is the presentation of these integrals. Only for cases A and B does the Yang-Mills Hamiltonian possess the Painlevé property. Therefore the Painlevé test does not take account of the integrability for the case C. 相似文献
75.
Rahul Ray Deepak Kumar Pijush Samui Lal Bahadur Roy A.T.C.Goh Wengang Zhang 《地学前缘(英文版)》2021,12(1):375-383
This research focuses on the application of three soft computing techniques including Minimax Probability Machine Regression(MPMR),Particle Swarm Optimization based Artificial Neural Network(ANN-PSO)and Particle Swarm Optimization based Adaptive Network Fuzzy Inference System(ANFIS-PSO)to study the shallow foundation reliability based on settlement criteria.Soil is a heterogeneous medium and the involvement of its attributes for geotechnical behaviour in soil-foundation system makes the prediction of settlement of shallow a complex engineering problem.This study explores the feasibility of soft computing techniques against the deterministic approach.The settlement of shallow foundation depends on the parametersγ(unit weight),e0(void ratio)and CC(compression index).These soil parameters are taken as input variables while the settlement of shallow foundation as output.To assess the performance of models,different performance indices i.e.RMSE,VAF,R^2,Bias Factor,MAPE,LMI,U(95),RSR,NS,RPD,etc.were used.From the analysis of results,it was found that MPMR model outperformed PSO-ANFIS and PSO-ANN.Therefore,MPMR can be used as a reliable soft computing technique for non-linear problems for settlement of shallow foundations on soils. 相似文献
76.
For his PhD. thesis, Zijderveld (1975) studied the paleomagnetism of the Permian Esterel rocks (southern France). High-quality thermal and alternating-field demagnetization diagrams were interpreted to determine the direction of the characteristic natural magnetization. For the Esterel volcanics, a mean direction of Dec = 206.5°, Inc = –23°, 95 = 5.7°, k = 112 was found for this magnetization. The dispersion in this mean is remarkably low. Only the declination of the Reyran Rhyolite in the Reyran River quarry clearly deviated from this mean. This deviating direction is not found in our samples, taken at the same site. As many faults occur in this quarry, it is suggested that Zijderveld sampled this rhyolite on a small rotated block. To verify whether the small dispersion in the mean paleomagnetic direction of the Esterel rocks has a geomagnetic or a rock-magnetic origin, two conglomerate tests were carried out. One of these might be interpreted as positive. The results of the other conglomerate test (Agay Formation) are ambiguous: four of the six measured boulders show directions close to the mean paleomagnetic direction of the Esterel rocks. Rock-magnetic measurements show that the remanence is carried by a magnetite and a hematite fraction. The low dispersion in the paleomagnetic directions, the conglomerate tests, and hematite as remanence carrier suggest that the characteristic remanence in the Esterel volcanics was not instantaneously acquired during cooling, but might be affected by remagnetization due to weathering. 相似文献
77.
北京地区降水量时空分布规律分析 总被引:30,自引:4,他引:30
通过运用非参数检验方法(Mann-Kendall法),利用北京地区20个气象站点44年(1961-2004)观测的逐月降水资料,分析了北京地区降水量的时空分布规律。结果表明:在时间上,年平均降水量总趋势以每年1.72 mm的变化率减少,这种减少主要是由夏季、冬季降水量减少所引起的,尤以夏季最为显著,变化率为-3.26 mm/a,而在春、秋两季降水量则呈现出增加的趋势,变化率分别为0.34 mm/a和0.77 mm/a。降水期主要集中于夏季(6~8月),可占全年降水量的72.5%。在空间上,年降水量的高值区位于山前迎风坡一带,大致呈带状自西南伸向东北,高值区的西北、东南两侧雨量逐渐减少。市区形成一个明显的下降中心,其中海淀区年均减少3.7mm,降幅最大。 相似文献
78.
Temporal behavior of the background seismicity rate in central Japan, 1998 to mid-2003 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
We studied the temporal behavior of the background shallow seismicity rate in 700 circular areas across inland Japan. To search for and test the significance of the possible rate changes in background seismicity, we developed an efficient computational method that applies the space–time ETAS model proposed by Ogata in 1998 to the areas. Also, we conducted Monte Carlo tests using a simulated catalog to validate the model we applied. Our first finding was that the activation anomalies were found so frequently that the constant background seismicity hypothesis may not be appropriate and/or the triggered event model with constraints on the parameters may not adequately describe the observed seismicity. However, quiescence occasionally occurs merely by chance. Another outcome of our study was that we could automatically find several anomalous background seismicity rate changes associated with the occurrence of large earthquakes. Very significant seismic activation was found before the M6.1 Mt. Iwate earthquake of 1998. Also, possible seismic quiescence was found in an area 150 km southwest of the focal region of the M7.3 Western Tottori earthquake of 2000. The seismicity rate in the area recovered after the mainshock. 相似文献
79.
以某杂货码头和集装箱重力式码头水下地基处理工程为例,介绍了其地基处理的爆夯试验过程,得出了一次性爆破夯实厚层块石抛石基床的爆夯参数,并对其施工过程进行了监测。总结了类似工程施工的经验与教训。 相似文献
80.
我国入境旅游和经济增长关系分析 总被引:37,自引:0,他引:37
文章分析了入境旅游发展的区域差异,并用Granger因果检验来考察入境旅游和各区域经济增长之间是否存在相应的因果关系,Granger因果检验的结果表明在东部地区,入境旅游和经济增长存在单向因果关系。东部地区的入境旅游对区域的经济增长产生显著影响。但是全国和中西部地区的入境旅游与经济增长之间不存在显著的因果关系。类似地,东部地区入境旅游增长是其第三产业增长的Granger原因。但是全国和中西部地区的入境旅游和相应区域第三产业的增长并不存在显著的因果关系。在区域层面上。只有少数区域支持入境旅游是区域GDP增长的Granger原因,它们是东部地区的北京、广东、上海、天津、福建、江苏、浙江、海南和广西;中部地区的黑龙江和湖南以及西部地区的云南和陕西。在这些省区市。入境旅游对区域经济增长产生显著的影响。但总体而言,入境旅游在我国还没有足够的发展。 相似文献