Atmospheric data assimilation on the equatorial beta plane     

Roger Daley 《大气与海洋》2013,51(4):421-450

Abstract

Kalman filter theory shows great promise when applied to the assimilation of atmospheric observations. Previous work has concentrated on extratropical dynamics, and tropical aspects have not yet been seriously tackled. In this article, a Kalman filter is applied to the linearized shallow water equations on an equatorial beta plane. The system or model error is constructed from the slow eigenmodes of the model and is based on an expansion in parabolic cylinder functions. The resulting second‐moment statistics are discussed in some detail. The Kalman filter is applied to a special observation network that allows the diagonalization of the system. Following Daley and Ménard (1993), it is then possible to obtain the complete space and time solution for the second‐moment forecast and analysis error statistics. The slow (low‐frequency) and fast (high‐frequency) error statistics are examined separately for both the optimal and suboptimal cases.  相似文献   

Bounding the required sample size for geologic site characterization     

Randal J. Barnes 《Mathematical Geology》1988,20(5):477-490

The proposed objective of limited sample geologic site characterization is to minimize the chance of unknown and unexpected extremes. This problem proves to be extremely difficult when the data are spatially correlated. A generalization of the classical one-sided nonparametric tolerance interval, based upon the statistical concept of associated random variables, establishes a rigorous, almost distribution-free, tool for computing the minimum required sample size for site characterization. An upper bound on the required number of samples follows from a heuristic measure for the quantity of information in a spatially dependent sample; the measure presented is the equivalent number of uncorrelated samples and is calculated using an estimated variogram. An empirical check of the upper and lower bounds, using more than 2 million simulations and seven real data sets produces a heuristic rule for quantifying the required number of samples.This paper was presented at Emerging Concepts, MGUS-87 Conference, Redwood City, California, 13–15 April 1987.  相似文献   

Boundary assessment under uncertainty: A case study     

V. Pawlowsky  R. A. Olea  J. C. Davis 《Mathematical Geology》1993,25(2):125-144

Estimating certain attributes within a geological body whose exact boundary is not known presents problems because of the lack of information. Estimation may result in values that are inadmissible from a geological point of view, especially with attributes which necessarily must be zero outside the boundary, such as the thickness of the oil column outside a reservoir. A simple but effective way to define the boundary is to use indicator kriging in two steps, the first for the purpose of extrapolating control points outside the body, the second to obtain a weighting function which expresses the uncertainty attached to estimations obtained in the boundary region.  相似文献   

川滇区域高频地震动地形效应初探          下载免费PDF全文

周田宇  梁富源  马完君  谢志南 《世界地震工程》2022,38(4):026-35

历次强震表明:局域起伏地形对由高频地震动起决定作用的震害存在显著影响。忽略场地浅表土层的影响,凸起地形场地震害高于凹陷地形。然而,由于地形效应影响因素的复杂多样以及公认地形效应表征模型的缺失,已有的宽频带地震动模拟与预测方法并未考虑高频地震动地形效应,这可能导致对地震动时程及参数的错误估计。为此,本文利用当前较具代表性的地形效应量化表征模型,初步分析了川滇区域高频地震动的地形效应。首先,给出了基于量化表征模型的区域高频地震动地形效应计算分析方案;其次,完整地阐述了该方案在川滇地区的应用,并结合漾濞地震震害考察结果初步验证了川滇高频地震动地形效应分析结果的可靠性;最后,讨论了分析结果的局限并给出其应用于宽频带地震动模拟与预测方法中的初步建议。  相似文献   

Introducing a Novel Approach for Oil-Oil Correlation based on Asphaltene Structure:X-ray Diffraction     

Zahra SADEGHTABAGHI  Ahmad Reza RABBANI  Abdolhossein HEMMATI-SARAPARDEH 《《地质学报》英文版》2021,95(6):2100-2119

Asphaltenes have always been an attractive subject for researchers. However, the application of this fraction of the geochemical field has only been studied in a limited way. In other words, despite many studies on asphaltene structure, the application of asphaltene structures in organic geochemistry has not so far been assessed. Oil-oil correlation is a well-known concept in geochemical studies and plays a vital role in basin modeling and the reconstruction of the burial history of basin sediments, as well as accurate characterization of the relevant petroleum system. This study aims to propose the X-ray diffraction (XRD) technique as a novel method for oil-oil correlation and investigate its reliability and accuracy for different crude oils. To this end, 13 crude oil samples from the Iranian sector of the Persian Gulf region, which had previously been correlated by traditional geochemical tools such as biomarker ratios and isotope values, in four distinct genetic groups, were selected and their asphaltene fractions analyzed by two prevalent methods of XRD and Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR). For oil-oil correlation assessment, various cross-plots, as well as principal component analysis (PCA), were conducted, based on the structural parameters of the studied asphaltenes. The results indicate that asphaltene structural parameters can also be used for oil-oil correlation purposes, their results being completely in accord with the previous classifications. The average values of distance between saturated portions (dr) and the distance between two aromatic layers (dm) of asphaltene molecules belonging to the studied oil samples are 4.69? and 3.54?, respectively. Furthermore, the average diameter of the aromatic sheets (La), the height of the clusters (Lc), the number of carbons per aromatic unit (Cau), the number of aromatic rings per layer (Ra), the number of sheets in the cluster (Me) and aromaticity (fa) values of these asphaltene samples are 10.09?, 34.04?, 17.42?, 3.78?, 10.61? and 0.26?, respectively. The results of XRD parameters indicate that plots of dr vs. dm, dr vs. Me, dr vs. fa, dm vs. Lc, Lc vs. La, and fa vs. La perform appropriately for distinguishing genetic groups. A comparison between XRD and FTIR results indicated that the XRD method is more accurate for this purpose. In addition, decision tree classification, one of the most efficacious approaches of machine learning, was employed for the geochemical groups of this study for the first time. This tree, which was constructed using XRD data, can distinguish genetic groups accurately and can also determine the characteristics of each geochemical group. In conclusion, the obtaining of structural parameters for asphaltene by the XRD technique is a novel, precise and inexpensive method, which can be deployed as a new approach for oil-oil correlation goals. The findings of this study can help in the prompt determination of genetic groups as a screening method and can also be useful for assessing oil samples affected by secondary processes.  相似文献   

塔河油田碳酸盐岩缝洞型油藏远井储集体定量化表征及动用技术     

梁健  王栋  张鑫 《江苏地质》2021,45(1):29-36

塔河油田奥陶系碳酸盐岩储层主要储集空间为溶洞和裂缝,直接钻遇溶洞比例达50%。针对目前远井储集体特征认识模糊、动用难度大等问题,基于物质平衡原理及注水指示曲线、液面恢复曲线等资料,对远井储集体的规模、裂缝导流系数、地层能量进行定量化研究,形成了一套远井储集体参数定量化表征技术。基于远井储集体特征,运用酸化、高压注水、复合措施等方法提高对远井储集体的动用,并在塔河油田推广应用,高效井占75%以上,有较好的应用前景。  相似文献   

海相辫状河三角洲沉积基准面旋回划分及砂体叠置样式分析：以西江W油田珠江组为例     

梁旭  范廷恩  胡光义  陈飞  王海峰  范洪军 《现代地质》2018,32(5):913

西江W油田珠江组储层为一套海相辫状河三角洲前缘沉积砂体,内部结构复杂,微相类型多样。运用高分辨率层序地层学原理及测井频谱旋回分析技术,综合岩心、测井等资料,在西江W油田珠江组内部识别出5个长期和18个中期基准面旋回,搭建了精细层序地层格架。通过几何参数的统计和砂体发育规律的总结,在精细层序格架约束下,把辫状河三角洲砂体构型样式划分为孤立型、侧叠型、双向迁移型和堆叠型4种。研究表明基准面旋回变化控制了储层构型叠置样式和演化规律,不同的中期基准面旋回位置发育不同的构型样式,在中期基准面旋回上升早期或下降晚期,砂体以堆叠和侧叠为主,而中期基准面旋回上升晚期或下降早期则以双向迁移型和孤立型为主。构型分析成果有效指导了H11层剩余油的挖潜,并为海上油田三角洲储层构型研究提供了一定思路。  相似文献   

Groundwater potential of the Egbe-Mopa basement area,central Nigeria     

C.O. Okogbue  O.V. Omonona 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(4):826-840

Abstract

An investigation on the groundwater potentials of the Egbe-Mopa area in central Nigeria, underlain by the Basement Complex, is presented. The investigation involved mapping of the subsurface by use of vertical electrical soundings; measurement of depth to groundwater; and evaluation of hydraulic conductivity, transmissivity and yield by means of pumping test interpretation. The results indicate subsurface units that range from three to five resistivity layers; depth to groundwater of 0–10 m; overburden thickness of 3–16 m; hydraulic conductivity of 6.2?×?10^?6 to 3.4?×?10^?4 m/s; transmissivity of 4.3?×?10^?7 to 2?×?10^?3 m²/s; and groundwater yield of 0.2–2.5 L/s. The hydraulic head assessments revealed a general northward groundwater flow direction. The study identified three aquifer potential types, of high, medium and low productivity, respectively. Based on the longitudinal conductance of the overburden units, four distinct Aquifer Protective Capacity zones were delineated, namely, poor, weak, moderate and good.

Citation Okogbue, C.O. and Omonona, O.V., 2013. Groundwater potential of Egbe-Mopa basement area, central Nigeria. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 58 (4), 826–840.  相似文献   

地震多属性综合解释的支持向量机方法研究     

赵勇  尹成 《中国煤炭地质》2014,(4):51-57

能够同时对多种属性进行训练,具有优秀推广能力的支持向量机(Support Vector Machine,简称SVM)方法是进行高精度地震参数预测的有力保障。然而,支持向量机中用于构建回归估计函数的参数最优解很难确定。针对该问题,通过建立数学模型进行参数选择研究,总结出了参数ε、C、σ2对样本预测的影响规律。在此基础上提出了求取惩罚因子C和核参数σ2的权系数公式。结合提出的参数求取公式,利用支持向量机方法,以地震属性为输入向量对渤海SZ36-1油田的砂泥岩百分比和孔隙度进行了预测。结果表明,利用该方法对储层参数进行预测具有较高的预测精度;权系数公式的提出极大地缩短了构建回归估计函数所耗用的时间,简化了参数选取的难度。  相似文献   

Comparative Evaluation for Characterization of Produced Water Generated from Oil,Gas, and Oil–Gas Production Fields     

Hale Ozgun  Mustafa Evren Ersahin  Selime Erdem  Burcu Atay  Sema Sayili  Esra Eren  Pelin Hoshan  Doga Atay  Mahmut Altinbas  Cumali Kinaci  Ismail Koyuncu 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2013,41(12):1175-1182

A reliable wastewater characterization is a prerequisite for the selection of an acceptable treatment strategy for produced water which exhibits significant differences due to the varied kinds of wells, seasonal changes, and formation types. A complete characterization of produced water generated from oil, gas, and oil–gas fields in Turkey was performed based on seasonal and locational variations. The results showed that the produced water generated from oil field wells was highly polluted and wastewater volume was higher in comparison to gas and oil–gas field wells. Besides, the characterization of produced water was varying in a wide range based on seasonal and locational variations. Useful relationships were observed between chloride, sodium, bromide, and total dissolved solids concentrations. The results can be used in the design, operation, and optimization of wastewater treatment systems of petroleum and oil industries for future studies.  相似文献