Rain-induced debris and mudflow triggering factors assessment in the Santiago cordilleran foothills,Central Chile   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Sergio A. Sepúlveda  Cristóbal Padilla 《Natural Hazards》2008,47(2):201-215

Debris and mudflows are some of the main geological hazards in the mountain foothills of the Chilean capital city of Santiago. There, the risk of flows triggered in the basins of ravines that drain the range into the city increases with time due to the city growth. A multivariate statistical study based on the logistic regression method is presented. The model provides equations that allow the computation of combined meteorological triggering factors associated with a probability of rain-induced flow occurrence. Daily rainfall, accumulated rainfall and the snowfall level, traditionally considered as the relevant factors, are analysed for a 25-year period. The results show a strong relevance of the rainfall on the day of the flow event over the other factors. However, the relatively low probabilities returned for some real flow events suggest that the model does not capture all the significant variables and the problem is more complex than as it has been traditionally assumed, and further investigations are needed to develop predictive models of flow triggering.  相似文献   

Prediction of local scour around circular piles under waves using a novel artificial intelligence approach     

Iman Ahmadianfar  Xuefeng Chu 《Marine Georesources & Geotechnology》2021,39(1):44-55

Abstract

The scour phenomena around vertical piles in oceans and under waves may influence the structure stability. Therefore, accurately predicting the scour depth is an important task in the design of piles. Empirical approaches often do not provide the required accuracy compared with data mining methods for modeling such complex processes. The main objective of this study is to develop three data-driven methods, locally weighted linear regression (LWLR), support vector machine (SVR), and multivariate linear regression (MLR) to predict the scour depth around vertical piles due to waves in a sand bed. It is the first effort to develop the LWLR to predict scour depth around vertical piles. The models simulate the scour depth mainly based on Shields parameter, pile Reynolds number, grain Reynolds number, Keulegan–Carpenter number, and sediment number. 111 laboratory datasets, derived from several experimental studies, were used for the modeling. The results indicated that the LWLR provided highly accurate predictions of the scour depths around piles (R?=?0.939 and RMSE = 0.075). Overall, this study demonstrated that the LWLR can be used as a valuable tool to predict the wave-induced scour around piles.  相似文献   

海洋综合测量声学系统间信号干扰的分析     

王琪  刘雁春  暴景阳 《海洋技术学报》2003,22(4):71-73

针对海洋综合测量多种声学测量系统间的窄带相干声学干扰现象进行了理论分析，并针对克服窄带干扰提出了一些具有实用价值的建议。  相似文献   

Long-Term Effect of TMD on Vibration Control of An MDOF Offshore Fixed Platform     

SHI  Xiang 《中国海洋工程》2003,17(4):481-494

A three-dimensional fixed offshore platform in deep water modeled by the finite element method is studied in this paper. Analysis of the dynamic response of the MDOF structure is realized taking the non-linearity of the wave drag force and the wave-structure interaction into account. The structural response statistics, which have Gaussian distributions, are used to evaluate the vibration effect of the structure without TMD and with TMD. And an optimal method to design TMD controlling the first mode of the multi-mode structure is proposed. Moreover, the probabilities of occurrence of sea states at the platform site are considered for prediction of the long-term effect of a TMD. Simulation results demonstrate that the long-term effect of a well-designed TMD is good and the practical use is possible due to the good stability of its optimal parameters under different sea states.  相似文献   

Standardizing sablefish (Anoplopoma fimbria) long-line survey abundance indices by modeling the log-ratio of paired comparative fishing cpues     

Kimura  Daniel K.; Zenger  Harold H.  Jr 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》1997,54(1):48-59

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Research on the spectral analysis and test method of period signals in monthly mean sea level     

Ma Jirui  Tian Suzhen  Zheng Wenzhen  Chai Xinmin 《海洋学报(英文版)》1995,14(2):181-190

Ｒｅｓｅａｒｃｈｏｎｔｈｅｓｐｅｃｔｒａｌａｎａｌｙｓｉｓａｎｄｔｅｓｔｍｅｔｈｏｄｏｆｐｅｒｉｏｄｓｉｇｎａｌｓｉｎｍｏｎｔｈｌｙｍｅａｎｓｅａｌｅｖｅｌ￥ＭａＪｉｒｕｉ；ＴｉａｎＳｕｚｈｅｎ；ＺｈｅｎｇＷｅｎｚｈｅｎａｎｄＣｈａｉＸｉｎｍｉｎ（Ｒ...  相似文献   

青岛港风暴潮经验统计预报   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

曾德美 《海洋预报》1992,(3)

本文利用青岛港多年实测资料,分析了该港风暴潮概况。而后通过多元回归技术,求取了该港极值增减水的预报公式。经非独立和独立检验,结果令人满意。  相似文献   

面向GIS的线状符号开放式多元设计方案   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

吴自银 《海洋通报》2003,22(1):70-76

提出一种跨越专业限制，用于快速绘制任意曲率曲线的开放式线状符号“组合配置法”设计方案，即用主干线、辅助线、辅助圆和点符号等四种子线型的有机组合描述目标线型，并详细论述了其数据结构、文件结构及子线型的实现方法。同时还提出伪码法用于解决满足国标要求的图廓整饰线，并对裁剪法作了简要阐述。上述线型设计方法已成功设计、实现并应用于“海底地形成图系统(MBChar)”，已服务于大陆架海底成图项目。  相似文献   

对称式布置锚链系统的线性化处理   总被引：6，自引：2，他引：6  

陈徐均  沈庆等 《海洋工程》2002,20(1):75-79

用悬链线方程求解了不同锚链状态的锚链力 ,并用多项式回归了锚链力与锚固点位移的关系 ,由此求得锚链恢复力刚度系数。分析了对称式布置锚链系统的非线性程度 ,阐述对称式布置锚链系统所提供的恢复力作线性化处理的可行性及方法 ,并给出了对称布置锚链系统的线性刚度矩阵。为各类受对称式布置锚链系统约束的浮动结构物的动力分析提供了理论依据  相似文献   

港口靠船桩工作性状计算的双参数法   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

谢耀峰 《海洋工程》2002,20(2):38-42,48

港口靠船桩是承受重复性荷载或多循环荷载的一种横向承载桩。双参数法能较好地描述靠船桩 (单桩、群桩 )的桩土工作性状。用双参数法进行计算时 ,所给的地面条件必须由重复荷载或多循环荷载作用下实测出来。根据现场试桩资料 ,标定桩土参数 ,即k =mx1/n的指数l/n、桩土相对柔度系数α、桩土综合刚度EI等值 ,可以用来设计试桩附近局部地区同类条件下的其它长桩。对于没有进行试桩的某些工程 ,可以联合运用双参数法和p -y曲线法进行桩的分析  相似文献