Estimating Climate-Change Impacts on Colorado Plateau Snowpack Using Downscaling Methods     

David L. McGinnis 《The Professional geographer》1997,49(1):117-125

This study develops observed climate-based downscaling transfer functions that are used with general circulation model (GCM) output to assess potential global-change impacts on Upper Colorado Plateau, USA, water resources. Daily automated snow water equivalent stations are used with 700 mb atmospheric circulation to determine empirical transfer functions. Downscaling methodologies using multiple regression and neural networks are evaluated, with the neural network results explaining approximately 70%of the daily snowfall variance. The neural network-based transfer functions are used with the GENESIS GCM to simulate snowfall characteristics in both a 1xCO₂ and a 2xCO₂ climate. While the total precipitation simulated by the 2xCO₂ analysis remains nearly the same as today, less will fall as snow; specifically, snow water equivalence shows significant reduction (except in the Green River Basin) as the snow season is reduced by 58 days on average.  相似文献   

豆芽棚滑坡治理工程及效果          下载免费PDF全文

余雨之  彭光泽  张国权 《探矿工程》1996,(2):5-7

对处于临滑状态的豆芽棚滑坡进行综合治理，实施排水、加固、支档和减载等工程。经多种监测结果证明，工程治理效果良好。  相似文献   

克服低纬度化磁极困难的有效方法     

姚长利  管志宁 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》1997,(2)

低纬度地区（尤其是磁赤道附近）磁场化极是长期以来没有很好解决的问题。这里提出的方法只时常规化极稍加改进，通过时化极因子的频点偏移，避开无界点，使化极结果改善很大，甚至在赤道上也可以化极。它既有很高的精度，又因仍是在频率域内进行，故计算方便、快速，非常适合大面积的资料计算  相似文献   

中国南水北调工程进展综述     

盛海洋 《地球科学进展》2004,(Z1)

论述南水北调工程的调水背景、工程规划、工程特征、环境影响与生态环境保护及其工程综合效益。  相似文献   

Composition of Kerogen in Kupferschiefer from Southwest Poland     

孙玉壮 《中国地球化学学报》2004,23(2):101-111

Thirty-seven Kupferschiefer samples from southwestern Poland were analyzed by microscopy, Rock-Eval approach and instrumental neutron activation analysis to understand the geochemical and morphological characteristics of kerogen present in the samples. The analytical results indicate that there are two different types of kerogens. One type was only subjected to thermal alteration processes, and the other was further oxidized after deposition of the sediment.In the oxidized samples migrabitumen was transformed into pyrobitumen. Rock-Eval analyses show a significant decrease in HI values in the oxidized samples and an increase in OI values in relation to the samples that were not influenced by oxidation. Variations in S2 versus Corg contents indicate a change in kerogen from Type II to Type III with progressing oxidation. The presence of pyrobitumen and the depletion of hydrogen in the altered kerogen allow one to conclude that the kerogen was used as hydrogen donor for thermochemical sulfate reduction(TSR).  相似文献   

Lake Koronia, Greece: Shift from autotrophy to heterotrophy with cultural eutrophication and progressive water-level reduction     

Chrysoula Mitraki  Thomas L. Crisman  George Zalidis 《Limnologica》2004,34(1-2):110

Lake Koronia, a Ramsar site, is shallow, polymictic, hypertrophic and until recently was aerially the fourth largest lake in Greece. Although exceeding 5 m in the past, lake depth has declined progressively from 3.8 m in 1980 to < 1 m in 1997, reducing surface area and water volume by 50% and 80%, respectively. Specific conductivityincreased from 1300 μS cm⁻¹ in 1977 to >6000 μS cm⁻¹ in 1991. Increased phosphate concentrations from the late 1970's (8–45 μg L⁻¹) to the late 1990's (100–1000 μg L⁻¹) document that the previously eutrophic system with a limited littoral zone switched to hypertrophy dominated by massive cyanobacteria blooms. Oxygen saturation of the water column increased progressively from about 80% in 1983 to full saturation about 1993, after which it decreased progressively to only 20% saturation in 1997. In spite of cyanobacteria dominance, community metabolism of the lake switched from progressively increasing autotrophy to rapidly advancing heterotrophy associated with progressive water-level reduction leading to fish extirpation in the lake.  相似文献   

The down-faulted basin zone and high disaster risk zone in Shanxi Province, China     

刘惠敏  苏桂武  邓砚  高庆华 《地震学报(英文版)》2004,17(4):490-499

Introduction Since 1920s, with increasing awareness of disaster prevention and reduction in various as-pects and gradually deepened development of International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction (IDNDR) activities in China, the role and position of disaster risk analysis and risk management work are increasingly prominent. In the final report of the IDNDR activities in 1999, the Science and Technology Committee of IDNDR had presented 5 challenge fields, which the international dis…  相似文献   

Integration, validation and point spacing optimisation of digital elevation models   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Simon J. Buckley  Harvey L. Mitchell 《The Photogrammetric Record》2004,19(108):277-295

  相似文献   

基于强度折减概念的滑坡稳定性三维分析方法(Ⅱ):加固安全系数计算   总被引：13，自引：5，他引：13  

邓建辉  张嘉翔  闵弘  梅松华 《岩土力学》2004,25(6):871-875

结合乌江洪家渡1#塌滑体加固设计工程,探讨了滑动面已知的条件下滑坡稳定性的三维分析方法。首先,模拟了塌滑体在天然状态下处于极限平衡状态时的滑动方向,并使用其应力成果计算了塌滑体的三维安全系数;其次,建议了基于强度折减概念的三维加固安全系数计算方法:最后,提出了加固设计的进一步优化方案。计算结果表明,塌滑体的滑动方向与局部地形等高线近于垂直。主滑方向变化较大,自后缘的NE15°方向逐步过渡到中部的NS向,最终过渡到前缘的NE30°方向,以致很难作出能表征主滑方向的地质剖面。基于应力计算成果的安全系数计算公式不能充分考虑滑坡体的抗滑潜能,也不能充分反映滑坡体的滑动方向,安全系数偏大。基于强度折减概念的三维加固安全系数计算方法具有有限元等方法的优点,较好地克服了上述局限性,可以合理地评价加固后的滑坡稳定性。  相似文献   

关中盆地水资源可持续开发利用对策研究--以渭南市为例   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

张茂省  朱立峰 《陕西地质》2004,22(2):70-77

以关中盆地东部的渭南市为例，概述了水资源的分布特征及其开发利用现状。认为水资源开发利用中存在水资源浪费严重，重复利用率低；行政区块限制，水资源调配不够；不合理开采地下水，出现负环境效应；地下水人工调控力度不够，不能有效的促进生态环境良性循环；对地下水资源的研究、规划和管理滞后等五个方面的主要问题。针对存在的主要问题，提出了六项水资源可持续开发利用对策，包括节水对策、开源对策、改水对策、调水对策、增补对策以及管理对策。  相似文献