A Study of the Extended-range Forecast for the Low Frequency Temperature and High Temperature Weather over the Lower Reaches of Yangtze River Valley in Summer     

Qiuming Yang 《地球科学进展》2018,33(4):385-395

Based on the observational data, the variations of Intraseasonal Oscillation (ISO) of the daily temperatures and its relationships to the high temperature in summer over the lower reaches of the Yangtze River Valley (LYRV) were studied for the period of 1979-2011. It is found that the daily temperatures over LYRV in May-August was mainly of periodic oscillations of 1525, 3060 and 6070 days, and the interannual variation of the intensity of its 3060-day oscillation had a strongly positive correlation with the number of days with daily highest temperature over 35 ℃ in July-August. Low frequency components of daily temperature in the LYRV, and the principal components of the Eastern Asian 850 hPa low frequency temperature, over a time period ranging from 1979 to 2000, were used to establish the Extended Complex Autoregressive model (ECAR) on an extended-range forecast of the 3060-day low frequency temperature over the LYRV. A 11-year independent real-time extended-range forecast was conducted on the extended-range forecast of low frequency component of the temperature over the LYRV in May-August, for the period ranging from 2001 to 2011. These experimental results show that this ECAR model, which is based on a data-driven model, has a good forecast skill at the lead time of approximately 23 days, with a forecast ability superior to the traditional autoregressive (AR) model. Hence, the development and variation of the leading 3060-day modes for the Eastern Asian 850 hPa low frequency temperatures and temporal evolutions of their relationships to low frequency components of the temperature over the LYRV in summer are very helpful in predicting the persistent high temperature over the LYRV at a 20 to 25 days lead.  相似文献   

辽宁抚顺西露天矿南帮滑坡变形与地下水位关系     

贺鑫  崔原  滕超  陈奉川  康丹  李兵 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2018,29(1):72-77

结合抚顺西露天矿的地质环境背景,介绍了抚顺西露天矿南帮滑坡变形监测中地下水监测系统的构建情况。从降水入渗、岩体的透水性等角度对比了汛期及非汛期地下水的监测数据,并利用SPSS统计分析软件对单点地下水位变化值和滑坡位移变化值进行曲线估计回归分析并建立模型。结果表明,汛期持续强降雨是诱发西露天矿南帮滑坡变形的重要因素;强降雨入渗过程中,基岩裂隙水的变化存在明显的滞后性;单点地下水位变化值和滑坡位移变化值符合三次项曲线模型;非汛期,地下水位逐渐降低,滑坡地表变形速率也减缓。  相似文献   

江苏灌河入海口附近重金属元素环境地球化学质量分析     

夏同法  梁胜跃  徐明钻 《江苏地质》2018,42(4):641-650

以往对灌河口附近海域进行地球化学调查发现,海底沉积物及海水质量总体良好,但局部沉积物中Cr含量高于一类标准,Cu、As、Pb、Hg等其他重金属元素含量也明显高于其他地区,个别重金属元素已接近一类标准最高限,存在潜在生态风险。为进一步了解其与人类活动是否有关,对灌河靠近入海口40 km长的河水进行了地球化学调查,发现灌河河水中Hg、Cu、Pb等重金属元素存在一定程度的超标现象。结合其他证据认为,人类活动不仅对灌河下游河水质量产生了负面影响,还对入海口附近的海域环境质量产生了潜在威胁。借鉴内梅罗综合指数评价思路对灌河下游及入海口的重金属元素环境质量进行评价,并对如何降低、消除生态风险提出了若干建议。  相似文献   

额济纳旗灰石山东北铌多金属矿床成矿规律及成因浅析          下载免费PDF全文

刘强  杨富林  袁晓鹏 《地质找矿论丛》2018,33(1):41-45

通过对灰石山东北铌多金属矿床地质特征综合分析表明,矿床的产出受地层和构造的双重制约。矿区的二叠系双堡塘组是矿源层,矿体具有明显的层位控制性;北东东向断裂构造提供了热液通道并进行了叠加改造;矿床成因类型属于沉积变质-热液叠加型。  相似文献   

四川省中厂铜矿矿床地质特征及成因讨论          下载免费PDF全文

张淑花 《地质找矿论丛》2018,33(1):46-53

四川省中厂铜矿位于扬子地台西南缘的康滇地轴中段,赋矿地层为中元古界下部的通安组,铜矿体赋存在通安组第二段和第三段中,铜矿体呈似层状,矿体围岩分别为白云石大理岩、石英变粒岩和含石英大理岩,地层中层间破碎带、滑动带和裂隙发育,并发生硅化、绢云母化、白云石化和褪色等热液蚀变,地层中碳质含量较高,矿床地质特征上判断,成矿经过沉积成岩期和构造-热液改造期,成矿物质为多期多来源,因此认为中厂铜矿床属于沉积-改造型铜矿床。  相似文献   

湘中基底-盖层W-Au-Sb热液系统的金属分异机制综述          下载免费PDF全文

张勇  马东升  潘家永  伍洪  陈方楠 《地质找矿论丛》2018,33(3):319-334

湘中盆地锑矿床闻名于世,成矿元素在垂直空间上呈现出上锑(泥盆系)、中金锑(震旦系)、下金钨或金锑钨(板溪群),盆地中锑、边缘锑(金/钨)的成矿分布特征。通过系统的成矿地质条件、成矿元素地球化学研究,以及矿物流包裹体地球化学数据分析表明,湘中盆地及其基底的成矿元素分带是成矿流体性质和元素地球化学行为差异等因素相互耦合的结果。湘中地区基底-盖层成矿系统:构造-岩浆岩+盆地-流体作用,基底成矿元素在流体的作用下被萃取迁移到不同部位(基底→盖层不断演化);成矿元素锑的沉淀主要受流体的温度和pH值影响,金的沉淀主要受硫逸度或总硫溶度的控制,钨的沉淀主要受流体的盐度控制,且因物化条件的变化和元素地球化学行为的控制而呈现不同元素组合沉淀成矿。  相似文献   

中国南方古生界碳酸盐岩发育对页岩气成藏和开发控制问题     

淡永  卢炳雄  梁彬  张庆玉  李景瑞 《中国岩溶》2018,37(3):343-350

中国南方古生界有利暗色页岩发育,但现页岩气勘探取得突破较少,主要原因是南方地质条件复杂,尤其是南方暗色页岩与碳酸盐岩间互发育,页岩气勘探开发面临复杂的碳酸盐岩地质问题。文章从国外勘探经验及近年来南方地区页岩气勘探实践中总结并详细分析了碳酸盐岩发育对页岩气成藏和开发控制的5大问题:（1）地表或近地表岩溶地质问题对开采的影响;（2）页岩目的层顶底板及其内部碳酸盐岩层对成藏和开采的影响;（3）页岩中碳酸盐类矿物含量对开采压裂的影响;（4）页岩层中天然裂缝被方解石充填对成藏的影响问题;（5）常规碳酸盐岩储层与非常规页岩共同成藏问题。建议在南方古生界开展页岩气勘探开发中,把碳酸盐岩本身储集成藏和碳酸盐岩对页岩气成藏、开采、钻井施工等的影响综合考虑,以总含油气系统的思路,综合选井,以促进南方古生界页岩气的勘探开发。   相似文献   

Science and Technology of Delimitation of Continental Shelf and Its Application in Maritime Silk Road Cooperation*     

Qiuci Sun  Yinxia Fang  Jiabiao Li 《地球科学进展》2018,33(12):1215-1222

Delimitation of the continental shelf is an emerging interdisciplinary discipline in the field of international marine science and technology. It uses the scientific and technological means to expand the jurisdiction of coastal states based on the international rules of the 《United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea》. Therefore, it is related to the marine sovereignty rights and interests of a country and also a hot topic of science and technology that all countries have competed to develop. China has launched the research in this field simultaneously with the world's maritime powers, and formed its innovative advantages in such aspects as geological models, detection techniques and delimitation systems in the delimitation of continental shelf, which have become the brand new ties for China's cooperation with foreign countries in marine science and technology, and also the important field in the maritime silk road cooperation in the 21^st century. This paper introduced the basic principles and methods in the delimitation of continental shelf beyond 200 nautical miles (370 km), progress in the delimitation of the global continental shelf, and China's innovative science and technology as well as its application in maritime Silk Road cooperation, and provided the prospect of the future scientific and technological cooperation with foreign countries and development in this filed. And it was suggested China should develop the scientific and technological cooperation on the delimitation of the continental shelf along the Silk Road, promote the scientific and technological development of the delimitation of the continental shelf in China, and enhance China's influence and voice in international ocean affairs.  相似文献   

辽东岫岩地区古元古代花岗伟晶岩锆石U-Pb年龄、地球化学特征及地质意义     

杨仲杰 《地质论评》2021,67(2):523-541

辽东岫岩地区位于胶—辽—吉古元古代造山/活动带内,区域内广泛存在花岗质伟晶岩脉或岩体,对其进行研究具有重要的构造意义。研究区出露大量古元古代花岗伟晶岩,前人将其统一划归到花岗质混杂岩和辽河岩群内。本文通过详细的野外地质调查和室内综合研究,将该套花岗伟晶岩脉解体为出来,重新厘定为新的填图单元。本文对研究区2件花岗伟晶岩样品进行岩石学、岩石地球化学、锆石LA-ICP-MS稀土微量元素和U-Pb定年的综合研究,获得花岗伟晶岩的原岩年龄,并对其岩石地球化学、成因和构造环境进行了探讨。花岗伟晶岩主要矿物组合为钾长石+斜长石+石英±白云母±电气石,花岗伟晶结构,块状构造。岩石地球化学分析结果显示其均匀具有一致的地球化学特征。它们均显示高的SiO2(72.1%~75.3%)、Al2O3(13.5%~16.4%),低CaO(1.42%~2.03%)、MgO(0.15%~0.76%)、P2O5(0.01%~0.02%%)、TiO2(0.06%~0.17%)等含量;稀土元素总量偏低,稀土富集、重稀土亏损,稀土配分曲线右倾型,明显的正δEu异常;微量元素富集大离子亲石元素(Cs、Rb、Ba、U),相对亏损高场强元素(Nb、Ta、Ti)等特征。样品(DST-TW1和WJG-TW1)锆石CL图像强度均较弱,前者大部分锆石不能反映矿物内部结构,后者大部分锆石能显示弱振荡环带,这一特征与锆石U含量均较高(1253.1×10-6~12861.5×10-6、874.5×10-6~5319.1×10-6)相吻合。锆石虽具有岩浆锆石的自形特征,但其Th/U值(0.01~0.26和0.01~0.62)较低,稀土配分模式显示热液锆石特征,在(Sm/La)N—La和Ce/Ce*—(Sm/La)N图解上偏热液锆石区域,此花岗伟晶岩脉可能是母岩浆高度结晶分异后的残余岩浆热液结晶而成,偏热液性质。本文研究的2件样品(DST-TW1和WJG-TW1)年龄分别为1864±20 Ma(MSWD=0.19)和1903.6±4.7 Ma(MSWD=0.041),其侵位时间介于1.9~1.86 Ga之间。从岩石地球化学、形成时代推测其物源与研究区周围~1.87 Ga的S型花岗岩具有亲缘关系。从构造环境来看,研究区内古元古代花岗伟晶岩形成于胶—辽—吉造山带弧陆碰撞结束后伸展的构造体制下,在主期花岗质岩浆上涌之后,地壳在不断伸展和松弛垮塌,大量残余岩浆或岩浆热液上涌形成伟晶岩的岩脉、岩墙或岩体,侵位时代从~1.9 Ga到~1.74 Ga。从而推测胶—辽—吉造山带在碰撞后的构造折返过程中一直处于伸展的构造机制,后造山阶段至少持续了160 Ma。  相似文献   

渤南洼陷沙四下亚段沉积时期古气候演化     

徐琦松  王永诗  马立驰  孟涛  毕俊凤  王天宇 《地质论评》2021,67(Z1):67z1127-67z1128

正全球于古近纪发育PETM、ETM2、EECO、和MECO多个短期热气候事件(雷华蕊等,2018)。受热气候事件影响,渤南洼陷沙四下亚段沉积时期红层沉积发育并记录着热气候事件控制下古气候演化过程。立足于渤南洼陷沙四下亚段红层,恢复古气候演化过程,一方面可以点带面,揭示全球古近纪气候演化;另一方面为研究极端气候条件对湖盆沉积体系的控制作用奠定基础。  相似文献