集合预报风场扰动的物理结构及演变特征          下载免费PDF全文

张瑜  时洋  周勃旸  马旭林 《大气科学学报》2022,45(2):268-279

初始扰动结构和振幅的合理性直接影响到集合预报的质量和整体性能,合理的初始扰动结构是确保集合预报扰动质量的关键.本文基于欧洲中期天气预报中心数据、我国T639全球集合预报系统以及GRAPES区域集合预报系统的预报场,针对模式初值不确定性,主要研究了风场初始扰动结构及其集合离散度、扰动能量等结构和演变特征,分析了集合预报风...  相似文献   

A numerical study of the orbits of second species of the planar circular RTBP     

Joaquim Font  Ana Nunes  Carles Simó 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》2009,103(2):143-162

We present a numerical study of the set of orbits of the planar circular restricted three body problem which undergo consecutive close encounters with the small primary, or orbits of second species. The value of the Jacobi constant is fixed, and we restrict the study to consecutive close encounters which occur within a maximal time interval. With these restrictions, the full set of orbits of second species is found numerically from the intersections of the stable and unstable manifolds of the collision singularity on the surface of section that corresponds to passage through the pericentre. A ‘skeleton’ of this set of curves can be computed from the solutions of the two-body problem. The set of intersection points found in this limit corresponds to the S-arcs and T-arcs of Hénon’s classification which verify the energy and time constraints, and can be used to construct an alphabet to describe the orbits of second species. We give numerical evidence for the existence of a shift on this alphabet that describes all the orbits with infinitely many close encounters with the small primary, and sketch a proof of the symbolic dynamics. In particular, we find periodic orbits that combine S-type and T-type quasi-homoclinic arcs.  相似文献   

地球物理台网仪器维修信息管理的研究与实现     

刘高川  滕云田  庞晶源  瞿旻  杨正纲 《地震研究》2021,44(1):121-128

针对地球物理台网仪器维修信息化薄弱的现状,提出一个规范的地球物理台网仪器维修流程,并对故障仪器的流通和维修订单的处理动作等信息进行研究,设计了满足地球物理台网仪器维修信息管理的数据库结构,设计和实现了基于B/S架构的仪器维修管理系统,并在全国地球物理台网业务中部署使用。该系统具有可视化流程操作、维修资源弹性可扩展、维修信息共享和维修资源协同化的特点,满足地球物理台网仪器维修信息化管理需要,并为其它地震仪器信息化管理系统的设计提供了借鉴。  相似文献   

基于假三元模型的透辉石-硬玉固溶体热力学性质计算     

刘鑫  陆现彩 《岩石矿物学杂志》2019,38(1):104-112

自然界中矿物多以固溶体形式存在,据其晶体化学特征计算热力学性质是开展矿物成因理论研究的基础。本文引入描述二元矿物固溶体热力学性质的假三元模型,计算得到了透辉石-硬玉固溶体系列的热力学性质。该模型通过构造一种高度有序的中间相,同时考虑长程和短程有序效应,基于热力学平衡态矿物固溶体自由能最低的规律,可以计算特定组分下矿物的平衡自由能、焓和熵等热力学参数。本文针对透辉石-硬玉固溶体体系,取绿辉石为其中间有序态,计算了其活度-成分关系和温度-组分相图等,发现绿辉石随温度升高的有序无序相变为一级相变,相变温度为1 148±25 K,与实验研究结果一致。本文获得的透辉石-绿辉石-硬玉体系的热力学参数可用于视剖面图方法研究MORB成分的岩石的榴辉岩相变质作用过程。  相似文献   

一阶弹性波交错网格时间高阶差分格式及稳定性分析     

田雪丰 《中国煤炭地质》2019,(5):70-78

弹性波模拟或逆时偏移时,对空间偏导数采用高阶差分格式可提高计算精度,但这种算法的稳定性条件过于严格,要求差分离散的时间步长必须足够小以确保算法稳定。在常规空间高阶差分格式的基础上,将速度(应力)对时间的高阶导数转化为不同精度的应力(速度)对空间的差分,得到了一种新的基于交错网格的时间高阶、空间高阶差分格式。通过对交错网格时间高阶差分格式稳定性的分析,认为该算法的稳定性条件较常规算法宽松,在弹性波场的求解过程中可以采用更大的时间步长。  相似文献   

Dynamic,discontinuous stream networks: hydrologically driven variations in active drainage density,flowing channels and stream order          下载免费PDF全文

S. E. Godsey  J. W. Kirchner 《水文研究》2014,28(23):5791-5803

Despite decades of research on the ecological consequences of stream network expansion, contraction and fragmentation, surprisingly little is known about the hydrological mechanisms that shape these processes. Here, we present field surveys of the active drainage networks of four California headwater streams (4–27 km²) spanning diverse topographic, geologic and climatic settings. We show that these stream networks dynamically expand, contract, disconnect and reconnect across all the sites we studied. Stream networks at all four sites contract and disconnect during seasonal flow recessions, with their total active network length, and thus their active drainage densities, decreasing by factors of two to three across the range of flows captured in our field surveys. The total flowing lengths of the active stream networks are approximate power‐law functions of unit discharge, with scaling exponents averaging 0.27 ± 0.04 (range: 0.18–0.40). The number of points where surface flow originates obey similar power‐law relationships, as do the lengths and origination points of flowing networks that are continuously connected to the outlet, with scaling exponents averaging 0.36–0.48. Even stream order shifts seasonally by up to two Strahler orders in our study catchments. Broadly, similar stream length scaling has been observed in catchments spanning widely varying geologic, topographic and climatic settings and spanning more than two orders of magnitude in size, suggesting that network extension/contraction is a general phenomenon that may have a general explanation. Points of emergence or disappearance of surface flow represent the balance between subsurface transmissivity in the hyporheic zone and the delivery of water from upstream. Thus the dynamics of stream network expansion and contraction, and connection and disconnection, may offer important clues to the spatial structure of the hyporheic zone, and to patterns and processes of runoff generation. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Solid–fluid transition modelling in geomaterials and application to a mudflow interacting with an obstacle     

Noémie Prime  Frédéric Dufour  Félix Darve 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2014,38(13):1341-1361

Given the contrasting behaviour observed for geomaterials, for example, during landslides of the flow type, this contribution proposes an original constitutive model, which associates both an elasto‐plastic relation and a Bingham viscous law linked by a mechanical transition criterion. This last is defined as the second‐order work sign for each material point, which is a general criterion for divergence instabilities. Finite element method with Lagrangian integration points is chosen as a framework for implementing the new model because of its well‐known ability to deal with both solid and fluid behaviours in large deformation processes. A first boundary model considering a sample of initially stable soil, a slope and an obstacle is performed. The results show the power of the constitutive model because the consistent evolution of initiation, propagation and arrest of the mudflow is described. A parametric study is led on various plastic and viscous parameters to determine their influence on the flow development and arrest. Finally, forces against the obstacle are compared with good agreement with those of other authors for the same geometry and a pure viscous behaviour. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

An optimized baseflow separation method for assessment of seasonal and spatial variability of baseflow and the driving factors     

SUN Jiaqi  WANG Xiaojun  Shamsuddin SHAHID  LI Hongyan 《地理学报(英文版)》2021,31(12):1873-1894

Baseflow is an important component of river or streamflow. It plays a vital role in water utilization and management. An improved Eckhardt recursive digital filter(IERDF) is proposed in this study. The key filter parameter and maximum baseflow index(BFImax) were estimated using the minimum smoothing method to improve baseflow estimation accuracy. The generally considered BFImax of 0.80, 0.50 and 0.25 according to the drainage basin's predominant geological characteristics often leads to significant errors in the regions that have complex subsurface and hydrologic conditions. The IERDF improved baseflow estimation accuracy by avoiding arbitrary parameter values. The proposed method was applied for baseflow separation in the upstream of Yitong River, a tributary of the Second Songhua River, and its performance was evaluated by comparing the results obtained using isotope-tracer data. The performance of IERDF was also compared with nine baseflow separation techniques belonging to filter, BFI and HYSEP methods. The IERDF was also applied for baseflow separation and calculation of rainfall infiltration recharge coefficient at different locations along the Second Songhua River's mainstream for the period 2000–2016. The results showed that the minimum smoothing method significantly improved BFImax estimation accuracy. The baseflow process line obtained using IEDRF method was consistent with that obtained using isotope 18 O. The IERDF estimated baseflow also showed stability and reliability when applied in the mainstream of the Second Songhua River. The BFI alone in the river showed an increase from the upstream to the downstream. The proportion of baseflow to total flow showed a decrease with time. The intra-annual variability of BFI was different at different locations of the river due to varying climatic conditions and subsurface characteristics. The highest BFI was observed at the middle reaches of the river in summer due to a water surplus from power generation. The research provided valuable information on baseflow characteristics and runoff mode determination, which can be used for water resources assessment and optimization of economic activity distribution in the region.  相似文献   

地理相似性：地理学的第三定律?     

朱阿兴  闾国年  周成虎  秦承志 《地球信息科学学报》2020,22(4):673-679

定律对知识的理解和传播具有极大的推动作用。本文通过对比地理学中的定律和物理学中的定律的异同之处,认为地理学的定律虽然在形式上和提出的方式上与经典的力学定律有所区别,但仍符合人们对“定律”的定义。在共识地理学定律存在的前提下,本文阐述了地理学的第一定律和第二定律中所体现出的地理学定律的特征——描述性和归纳性。基于这些对地理学定律所具有的特征的认识,本文首先介绍了Zhu等从空间推测的角度将所提出的地理学第三定律,即“地理环境越相似,地理特征越相近”,或称地理相似性定律。本文从普遍性、独立性和应用性3个方面探讨了地理相似性是否可以作为地理学的一个定律,认为地理相似性与地理学第一和第二定律相比,有着同样的普遍性,且与第一和第二定律所涉及的规律有着本质上的区别,在应用上可能解决第一和第二定律所面临的挑战,因此应可作为地理学第三定律。  相似文献   

一种基于元规则的地理国情普查元数据时间顺序自动检查方法     

丁永  项皓东  高利鹏 《测绘与空间地理信息》2017,(6):65-67

元数据作为地理国情普查的重要组成部分,其数据质量决定整个作业流程的可靠性,而元数据的时间顺序检查一直没有自动高效的方法。根据第一次全国地理国情普查对元数据的具体要求,本文提出一种高效准确的检查方法,并得到实践检验,可为地理国情普查质检工作提供技术参考。  相似文献