卡尔曼滤波法在西峰雷达估测降水中的应用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

徐燕 《干旱气象》2008,26(1):78-82

应用卡尔曼滤波校准法,利用地面自动雨量计的降水量值,对庆阳市2007年7月和9月2次降水过程中的2个雨量较明显时段的雷达估测值进行了校准分析,并与雨量计测量的雨量值进行了误差比较分析。结果显示：混合降水过程的校准效果要优于均匀降水过程。校准后,混合降水过程的相对误差从166.4%下降到了7.6%,均匀降水过程的相对误差从284.3%下降到了56.9%。由此可以看出卡尔曼滤波校准法能有效消除雷达估测降水过程中的各种随机噪声,并能提高雷达定量估算区域降水量的精度,同时还较好地保留了雷达探测降水的精细结构。  相似文献   

兰州新一代天气雷达数据误差来源分析     

刘维成  尚大成  张宇飞  姚正楠 《干旱气象》2008,26(1):89-94

新一代天气雷达目前已经成为对兰州市及周边地区短时强烈天气进行监测的主要手段之一。为了方便资料的处理和分析,提高观测资料准确度,为预报员和科研人员分析资料提供方便,通过对雷达数据前端生成和后端处理传输2个过程的分析,找出兰州新一代多普勒天气雷达数据误差的来源,并进行分析,发现地物回波、雷达天线增益、测量距离等因素和数据插值、坐标转换、远距离多终端传输等因素分别是前端数据产生过程中和后端数据处理传输过程中数据误差的主要来源。  相似文献   

IMPROVEMENT OF NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF TYPHOON RANANIM (0414) BY USING DOPPLER RADAR DATA     

余贞寿  钟建锋  赵放  冀春晓 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2008,14(2):89-92

Typhoon Rananim (0414) has been simulated by using the non-hydrostatic Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS) from Center of Analysis and Prediction of Storms (CAPS). The prediction of Rananim has generally been improved with ARPS using the new generation CINRAD Doppler radar data. Numerical experiments with or without using the radar data have shown that model initial fields with the assimilated radar radial velocity data in ARPS can change the wind field at the middle and high levels of the troposphere; fine characteristics of the tropical cyclone (TC) are introduced into the initial wind, the x component of wind speed south of the TC is increased and so is the y component west of it. They lead to improved forecasting of TC tracks for the time after landfall. The field of water vapor mixing ratio, temperature, cloud water mixing ratio and rainwater mixing ratio have also been improved by using radar reflectivity data. The model’s initial response to the introduction of hydrometeors has been increased. It is shown that horizontal model resolution has a significant impact on intensity forecasts, by greatly improving the forecasting of TC rainfall, and heavy rainstorm of the TC specially, as well as its distribution and variation with time.  相似文献   

应用多普勒天气雷达资料分析强对流天气的垂直廓线特征   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

赵瑞金  史锐  董保华  李岩 《气象科学》2008,28(Z1)

利用石家庄多普勒天气雷达资料,对2004-2007年的22次冰雹和39次短时强降水天气过程中的各要素进行了对比分析.结果表明:在单体对流云和积层混合型对流云中,冰雹回波的强度、高度均强(高)于短时强降水,并且单体对流云型冰雹和短时强降水的回波强度和顶高均强(高)于积层混合型,积层混合型对流云出现短时强降水比例高于冰雹.在回波中层,短时强降水主要为偏东风和偏南风,冰雹主要为偏西风、偏北风;冰雹平均风速大于短时强降水,在3～6 km的高度风速显著增加.强对流天气出现前均呈现低层辐合,高层辐散;都有较强的上升运动,在天气过程出现后冰雹的下沉运动更强;当高层辐散量大于低层辐合量时,对流云发展加强,反之减弱.  相似文献   

层状云数值模式与实际观测研究   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

杨洁帆  雷恒池  胡朝霞  郭学良  肖稳安 《气候与环境研究》2007,12(5):618-628

改进了一维层状云雨滴分档模式,利用雨滴分档模式在计算雨滴粒子谱型及数浓度自然演变方面中的优势,对吉林省长春市6月21日3个不同时刻的降雨进行了模拟,并与实测资料进行了比较。结果表明,改进后的模式计算稳定,可以模拟出与实际降水谱型相接近的雨滴谱;对于层状云中上升气流速度难以直接测量的问题,通过选用不同的上升气流速度方案,并将计算所得的雷达回波反射率廓线与实际地面雷达观测值相拟和的方法,从而为实现通过雷达回波与模式计算相比较来测量定量降水提供一个新的思路;与实际观测结果比较可知,暖区碰并过程对本次降水的贡献在10%左右,与上升气流的速度有关。  相似文献   

An overview on the seismic zonation and microzonation studies in India     

M. Yanger Walling  William K. Mohanty   《Earth》2009,96(1-2):67-91

The present study presents a review on the progressive development of the seismic zonation map of India both from official agencies and also from independent individual studies. The zonation map have been modified and updated regularly with the occurrence of major destructive earthquakes over the years in the Indian subcontinent with the addition of new data. This study discusses the criteria chosen for the progressive zonation and the major earthquakes that were responsible for retrospection of the earlier published maps. The seismic zonation maps of India have also been prepared by various independent workers by adopting different approaches to achieve the purpose of the zonation. Despite the endeavors from various sources to provide a solution for the problem of earthquake hazards in India, there were many limitations on the zonation map as it gives the picture at a regional scale mostly on the bedrock level without addressing the local site conditions. But nevertheless, the seismic zonation map gives basic guidelines for any region to know the hazard scenario and if any city or urban population is under threat from seismic point of view, further site specific seismic microzonation may be carried out. In the International scenario, the Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Program (GSHAP) in 1999 prepared a hazard map for world in terms of peak ground acceleration (PGA) with a 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years, but it turned out to be an underestimation of the hazard parameter when compared with the observed PGA. To tackle the problem of seismic hazards, there was a need to have a detail study on the local site conditions in terms of its geological, geophysical and geotechnical properties. With the advent of better instrumentation and knowledge on the mechanics of earthquakes, it was possible to identify zones of hazards at a local level and this gives rise to the study of seismic microzonation. Seismic microzonation work has been carried out in India in some of the strategic important mega cities and industrial build up that has the potential of being damaged from future earthquakes, as has been shown in the past. Though the microzonation map is not the final output map, as it can still be updated at later stage with more input data, it does provide a more realistic picture on the site specific seismic hazard.  相似文献   

Finding common ground? Spaces of dialogue and the negotiation of Indigenous interests in environmental campaigns in Australia   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

Jenny Pickerill 《Geoforum》2009,40(1):66-79

Critiquing the usefulness of cosmopolitanism this paper argues that we need a more nuanced and subtle understanding of how commonalities are found, created and maintained across difference. This paper uses two juxtapositions of perspective (around place and environment) to explore how such boundaries of difference can be negotiated. It uses an examination of the ways in which environmental groups in Australia have sought to negotiate Indigenous interests through creating spaces of dialogue and changing working practices. It is based on 30 interviews with both Indigenous and non-Indigenous activists across two case regions; Cape York (Queensland) and Barmah-Millewa (Victoria/New South Wales). Four issues were identified that have proved particularly contentious in negotiations to build collaborative campaigns: language; power and ownership; scale and timeframes; and economics. There are examples of both successes and ongoing problematic practices across these tensions. However there is also a growing mutual ownership of the issues. Moving beyond a colonial paternal sense of responsibility, to a dynamic and engaged mutuality of concern for both processes and outcomes has resulted in gradual, small, and progressive steps forward in Indigenous/non-Indigenous collaborative environmental campaigning.  相似文献   

Influence of the water layer upon the depth of ground radar investigations in freshwater reservoirs     

M. L. Vladov  A. M. Pyatilova 《Moscow University Geology Bulletin》2009,64(1):59-62

A number of problems associated with detailed investigation of subsurface geological structure below the bottoms of freshwater reservoirs (rivers, ponds, and lakes) arise during the study of the upper portions of geological sections. The present study is aimed at marginal estimation of the penetrating depth of ground radar investigations in freshwater reservoirs (based on bottom reflections), taking into account the complex nature of conductivity and its dependence upon the frequency under ideal conditions with no noise. The same method can be applied for estimating any given dynamic recording range.  相似文献   

Deformation analysis of geocell reinforcement using Winkler model     

Ling Zhang  Minghua Zhao  Xiaowei Zou  Heng Zhao 《Computers and Geotechnics》2009

Geocell reinforcement has been increasingly applied to embankment engineerings. Deformation calculation is one of the major concerns during the design process. Using Winkler foundation model and with consideration of the interface resistance effect, a deformation control differential equation for the geocell reinforced mattress under the vertical symmetric loads is presented in this paper. The corresponding power-series semi analytic solutions for the displacements and the internal forces of geocell reinforcement are also presented. Furthermore, the influence factors such as loads, length and flexural rigidity of geocell reinforcement, coefficient of subgrade reaction and the interface resistance on the stress-deformation characteristic of geocell reinforcement are discussed. Finally, two examples are employed to verify the presented method. This study suggests that the effect of the interface resistance on the deformation of geocell reinforcement should be considered in engineering design.  相似文献   

铁矿床深部矿体定位预测的一种新途径 ———以西藏恰功铁矿为例   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李志华 《地质与勘探》2009,45(2):90-97

恰功铁矿是近几年新发现的矿山,矿体的形态、大小、位置、产状、边界等几何特征还没有清楚的认识,为了弄清这些问题,文章首先通过小渡多尺度分析方法将恰功铁矿磁异常资料进行了位场信号分离,然后应用欧拉反褶积方法反演了异常与其场源深度的对应定量关系,最后把位场分离后的异常场源深度叠加起来,就可以对矿山深部找矿提供一种全新的思路.  相似文献