黄河流域乡镇人口—经济增长与收缩格局及影响因素     

张梦梦  张丽君  秦耀辰  杨小琬  田梦男  刘秀芳 《地理科学进展》2022,41(6):999-1011

增长与收缩是区域转型发展过程中的世界性议题,然而其判别标准与驱动机制研究还比较薄弱。因而,论文构建人口、经济增长与收缩的判别标准和理论(驱动力—结果—响应)分析框架,利用统计数据与NPP/VIIRS系列遥感数据,借助ArcGIS可视化分析工具和广义加性模型探究黄河流域5268个乡镇增长与收缩的格局及影响因素。结果发现：黄河流域乡镇人口、经济增长与收缩并存,人口收缩乡镇主要集中在“几字湾”地区,经济收缩乡镇主要集中在上、中游地区,关中、中原以及山东半岛城市群是人口—经济增长的核心区域。乡镇增长与收缩可分为持续增长型(6.4%)、转型增长型(5.8%)、缓慢增长型(42.4%)与持续收缩型(45.4%)4种,增长型乡镇主要分布在下游地区,收缩型乡镇主要分布在上、中游地区,其中技术密集型、劳动密集型城市的乡镇增长态势明显,资源型城市收缩型乡镇所占比重较大。自然条件的多个阈值表明平原地区、高海拔地区的乡镇均存在增长优势,规模经济与交通区位整体对乡镇增长具有促进作用,但涓滴效应与外部性会造成乡镇的收缩。不同增长与收缩类型的乡镇应当探索因地制宜的增长与转型路径。  相似文献   

Modelling the current and future spatial distribution of NPP in a Mediterranean watershed     

Cenk Donmez  Suha Berberoglu  Paul J. Curran 《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2011

The aim of this study is to use full spatial resolution Envisat MERIS data to drive an ecosystem productivity model for pine forests along the Mediterranean coast of Turkey. The Carnegie, Ames, Stanford Approach (CASA) terrestrial biogeochemical model, designed to simulate the terrestrial carbon cycle using satellite sensor and meteorological data, was used to estimate annual regional fluxes in terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP). At its core this model is based on light-use efficiency, influenced by temperature, rainfall and solar radiation. Present climate data was generated from 50 climate stations within the watershed using co-kriging. Regional scale pseudo-warming data for year 2070 were derived using a Regional Climate Model (RCM) these data were used to downscale the GCM General Circulation Model for the research area as part of an international research project called Impact of Climate Changes on Agricultural Production Systems in Arid Areas (ICCAP). Outputs of climate data can be moderated using the four variables of percent tree cover, land cover, soil texture and NDVI. This study employed 47 MERIS images recorded between March 2003 and September 2005 to derive percent tree cover, land cover and NDVI. Envisat MERIS data hold great potential for estimating NPP with the CASA model because of the appropriateness of both its spatial and its spectral resolution.  相似文献   

2009年武汉市植被净初级生产力估算   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张娜  毛飞跃  龚威 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》2011,36(12):1447-1450

利用CASA模型,结合实测的光合有效辐射（PAR）数据、MODIS归一化植被指数（NDVI）和Land Cover数据、气象数据等资料,估算了2009年武汉市的植被净初级生产力（NPP）。结果显示,武汉市的植被平均单位面积年NPP产量达到464.19gC·m^-2·a^-1。6、7、8三个月NPP积累值最高,占全年的56.8%;12、1、2三个月NPP值最低,仅占5.6%。黄陂区由于林地较广,NPP值较大,在1 000gC·m^-2·a^-1以上;而城市周边由于植被覆盖面积较小,NPP值较低,在400gC·m^-2·a^-1以下。  相似文献   

Estimating Net Primary Productivity and Nutrient Stock in Plant in Freshwater Marsh,Northeastern China     

Junbao Yu  Jingshuang Liu  Franz X. Meixner  Jinda Wang  Yongjun Gao  Yang Wang  Xiaoning Qi  Xiaobing Chen 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2010,38(11):1080-1086

We have investigated the contributions of three dominant macrophyte species, Deyeuxia angustifolia, Carex lasiocarpa, and Carex pseudocuraica (covering about 10 304 km²), to carbon (C), nitrogen (N), and phosphorus (P) stocks in the largest freshwater marsh (17 300 km²) in China for a 3‐year period (from 2002 to 2004). The monthly biomass, seasonal, and annual net primary productivity (NPP), and nutrient concentrations of three species were measured. All three plant species showed rapid growth in the rainy season. The maximum and minimum production rates in the freshwater marsh were ～36.19 and ～9.92 g m^?2 day^?1, respectively. The total NPP accounts 1900–2700 g m^?2 year^?1 in the studied area. Total organic carbon (TOC), total nitrogen (TN), and total phosphorus (TP) concentrations in roots were higher than those in stem and leaf tissues. The vast beds of the three studied species comprise 80% of the grass covered marsh of Sanjiang plain, contributing annual nutrient stocks of ～10.99 × 10⁶, ～788.36 × 10³, and ～18.10 × 10³ t (tonnes) for TOC, TN, and TP, respectively. Our results suggest that the nutrient bioaccumulation capacity in freshwater marshes depend mainly on plant species, which are decided by hydrological conditions. The nutrient stocks in the Sanjiang plain marsh have been greatly reduced because some of the area occupied by C. lasiocarpa was replaced by D. angustifolia as a result of succession caused by the changes of water table.  相似文献   

ENSO年代际变化对全球陆地生态系统碳通量的影响   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

姜超  徐永福  季劲钧  李阳春 《地学前缘》2011,18(6):107-116

使用动态植被陆面模式AVIM2,以NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction)再分析气象资料作为大气强迫场,模拟了1953-2004年全球陆地生态系统净初级生产力(NPP)和净生态系统生产力(NEP) 的空间分布及时间变化特征。结果得到,1953-2004年陆地生态系统NPP和NEP全球总量52 a的C平均值分别为65 Pg/a和1.2 Pg/a,NPP呈明显的上升趋势,而NEP的上升趋势不明显。虽然NPP和NEP的年代际增长趋势不同,但是在20世纪70年代中期,NPP和NEP的年代际变化都出现了一个明显的突变,突变点后的增长趋势都没有之前的增长趋势高。这是由于太平洋的年代际振荡(PDO)冷暖位相影响了厄尔尼诺与南方涛动（El Nin~o Southern Oscillation,ENSO)的年代际变化,对NPP和NEP的年代际变化也产生了重要的影响。1976年以前PDO处于冷位相年,增加了ENSO冷位相的强度和频率,使热带地区的气候偏凉爽湿润,从而利于NPP和NEP趋势增长,而1976年以后PDO进入暖位相年,El Nin~o发生频繁,赤道地区多为干热的气候异常,会降低NPP和NEP的增长趋势。  相似文献   

长白山森林植被NPP主要影响因子的敏感性分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王培娟  谢东辉  张佳华  朱启疆 《地理研究》2008,27(2):323-331

对影响森林植被净第一性生产力的主要因子进行敏感性分析是准确估计NPP的需要。本文以长白山自然保护区为例,利用敏感性矩阵,对北部生态系统生产力模拟模型的三个主要输入因子——叶面积指数、温度和降水量,分别分析了各单一因子对森林植被NPP的敏感性,并建立敏感性分析矩阵。分析结果表明,在长白山自然保护区,森林植被的NPP与叶面积指数呈正相关 ,与温度呈负相关,与降水量无明显相关关系。同时,还统计了不同森林植被类型的NPP对输入参数的敏感性,得出了针叶林对环境的适应性最强、生长最稳定的结论。  相似文献   

黑河流域NPP遥感估算及其时空变化特征   总被引：6，自引：3，他引：3  

张福平  冯起  李旭谱  魏永芬 《中国沙漠》2014,34(6):1657-1664

植被的净初级生产力(NPP)是研究陆地各种生态过程的关键参数,对区域NPP的研究有利于人类对自然资源的管理和有效利用.本研究使用气象和遥感等数据,应用修正的CASA模型及其他数理统计方法对黑河流域1999—2010年的NPP进行估算,并对其时空变化特征进行了分析.结果显示:在1999—2010年,黑河流域的年NPP总量以3×10¹¹ g·a^-1的趋势增加;该流域NPP空间分布总体上为南多北少、河流两旁及绿洲地区多于其他地区;各类型中,草地生态系统累计的NPP最多;黑河上游NPP量与太阳辐射和降水量呈正相关关系,与年均气温呈负相关关系,上游地区水分和太阳总辐射量因子共同制约着流域的NPP量;中游地区年平均NPP与年平均气温呈负相关,与年总降水量呈正相关,与年总太阳辐射量呈微弱负相关,水分因子制约着植被NPP的生产;黑河流域下游地区植被NPP的年均累积生产量与年平均气温呈正相关,与年总降水量呈负相关,而与年总太阳辐射量无明显相关性,气温是下游植被NPP生产的制约因素.  相似文献   

基于遥感沿海湿地植被生产力估算研究     

相栋  王云峰  栾青  靳宁  赵永强  田国珍 《山西气象》2010,(4):13-17

植被净第一性生产力是评价地表植被状况的重要指标之一,对分析和评价全球以及区域生态环境、碳循环等变化具有重要作用.植被净第一生产力的研究方法很多,本文主要运用TM影像近红外和红光通道组成的标准化差植被指数（NDVI）,借助CASA模型机理以及气象学方法,建立盐城区域净第一性生产力（NPP）遥感估算模型,并以核心区-丹顶鹤自然保护区湿地为应用案例,分析了核心区2005年间8月份净第一性生产力的变化.分析结果表明,研究区8月份的湿地各种植被NPP分别为：人工芦苇和盐蒿为1184.863266 g/m2,芦苇为1083.435262g/m2,米草为822.766878g/m2.若以NPP为衡量标准,人工芦苇和盐蒿的净第一性生产力最高.  相似文献   

内蒙古草地NPP变化特征及其对气候变化敏感性的CENTURY模拟研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

郭灵辉  郝成元  吴绍洪  赵东升  高江波 《地理研究》2016,35(2):271-284

气候变化及其对植被净初级生产力的影响是全球变化研究的核心内容之一。基于空间化的CENTURY生物过程模型,分析1981-2010年内蒙古草地净初级生产力（NPP）的时空演变规律及其对关键气候因子的敏感性特征。结果表明：近30年内蒙古草地大部分区域NPP呈下降态势但趋势并不显著,全区平均降速约为1.17 g C/m²·a;NPP年代际变化时空差异较大,1980s至1990s约69.65%的区域NPP下降,1990s至2000s NPP下降加剧,下降面积较前者扩大了17.50%;NPP对降水与温度的敏感性特征空间异质性较强,但总体上区域降水减少可能是近30年内蒙古草地NPP下降的主要因素,温度升高同样会导致草地NPP下降,但作用程度较小。  相似文献   

Multilevel modeling of NPP change and impacts of water resources in the Lower Heihe River Basin     

《Physics and Chemistry of the Earth》2015

Net primary productivity (NPP) lays the foundation for provision of various ecosystem services, and understanding the impacts of potential influencing factors on NPP is of great significance to formulating appropriate management measures to guarantee the sustainable provision of essential ecosystem services. This study analyzed the impacts of potential influencing factors on NPP in the lower Heihe River Basin, a typical arid and semi-arid region in China. First, NPP was estimated with the C-FIX model, and then the multilevel model was used to analyze the impacts of potential influencing factors on NPP during 2000–2008. Finally decomposition analysis was used to further analyze the contribution of influencing factors to NPP change during 2000–2008. The average NPP increased by approximately 9.07% during 2000–2008, and results of the multilevel model indicate that both the socioeconomic variables and demographic variables are useful in explaining NPP change. In particular, coefficients of rainfall and evapotranspiration which represent the water availability reached 0.0456 and 0.2956, respectively. Results of decomposition analysis suggested that the water availability played an important role in increasing NPP, with a contribution rate of 44.17%, and it is necessary to carry out some policies that can promote the water use efficiency to increase NPP under the background of climate change and intensified human activities. There are some uncertainties in the results of this study, but these results still can provide valuable reference information for the water resource management to increase the ecosystem service supply in the lower Heihe River Basin.  相似文献