Statistical testing of the relation between burst of aftershocks and strong earthquakes     

Xiufang Ma  Liping Fu 《地震学报(英文版)》1992,5(2):237-244

According to geological tectonics and seismic activites this paper devided North China (30°–45°N, 105°–130°E) into four areas. We analyzed the North China earthquake catalogue from 1970 to 1986 (from 1965 to 1986 for Huabei, the North China, plain region) and identified forty-two bursts of aftershock. Seven of them occurred in aftershock regions of strong earthquakes and seventeen of them in the seismic swarm regions. The relation between strong earthquakes with the remaining eighteen bursts of aftershocks has been studied and tested statistically in this paper. The result of statistical testing show that the random probabilityp of coincidence of bursts of aftershock with subsequent strong earthquakes is less than six percent. By Xu’sR scoring method the efficacy of predicting strong earthquake from bursts of aftershock is estimated greater than 39 percent. Following the method proposed in the paper we analyzed the earthquake catalogue of China from 1987 to June, 1988. The results show that there was only one burst of aftershock occurred on Jan. 6, 1988 withM=3.6 in Xiuyan of Northeast China. It implicates that a potential earthquake withM _S⩽5 might occur in one year afterwards in the region of Northeast China. Actually on Feb. 25, 1988 an earthquake withM _S=5.3 occurred in Zhangwu of Northeast China. Another example is Datong-Yanggao shock on October 18, 1989 which is a burst of aftershock. Three hours after an expected shock withM =6.1 took place in the same area. Two examples above have been tested in practical prediction and this shows that bursts of aftershocks are significant in predicting strong earthquakes. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 273–280, 1991. Part of earthquake catalogue is from Jinbiao Chen, Peiyan Chen and Quanlin Li.  相似文献   

A closing Ligurian Sea?     

N. Bethoux  J. Fréchet  F. Guyoton  F. Thouvenot  M. Cattaneo  C. Eva  M. Nicolas  M. Granet 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1992,139(2):179-194

Two earthquakes occurred in the Ligurian Sea in December 1989 and April 1990. Both were widely felt along the French and Italian Rivieras, thus reminding us of the seismic risk in this region. The significant increase in the number of seismic stations in the area facilitated the study of these two shocks and their related aftershocks. Using different techniques (absolute and relative hypocentral locations, doublet analysis and waveform modeling), we computed accurate hypocentral locations and estimated the location-error range for earthquakes in this area. We also computed the focal mechanisms for both mainshocks, and we present here a synthesis that integrates previous data. The reactivation in compression of the Ligurian Sea sphenochasm is confirmed, which would eventually result in the closing of an aborted oceanic domain. As the seismic activity is clearly restricted to the northern margin, we suggest it locally results from the lateral expulsion of the south-western Alps along the Apulian indenter.  相似文献   

Contrasts between source parameters of M 5.5 earthquakes in northern Baja California and southern California     

Diane I. Doser 《Geophysical Journal International》1994,116(3):605-617

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Relation between mainshock rupture process and Omori's law for aftershock moment release rate   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

Yan Y. Kagan  Heidi Houston 《Geophysical Journal International》2005,163(3):1039-1048

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The seismic velocity and fault structure of the Erzincan basin, Turkey, using local earthquake tomography   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

M. Aktar  C. Dorbath  E. Arpat 《Geophysical Journal International》2004,156(3):497-505

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Estimation of Site Response in Kachchh,Gujarat, India,Region Using H/V Spectral Ratios of Aftershocks of the 2001 <Emphasis Type="Italic">M</Emphasis><Subscript><Emphasis Type="Italic">w</Emphasis></Subscript> 7.7 Bhuj Earthquake     

Prantik Mandal  R K Chadha  C Satyamurty  I P Raju  N Kumar 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2005,162(12):2479-2504

Site response in the aftershock zone of 2001 Bhuj M_w 7.7 earthquake has been studied using the H/V spectral ratio method using 454 aftershocks (M_w 2.5–4.7) recorded at twelve three-component digital strong motion and eight three-component digital seismograph sites. The mean amplification factor obtained for soft sediment sites (Quaternary/Tertiary) varies from 0.75–6.03 times for 1–3 Hz and 0.49–3.27 times for 3–10 Hz. The mean amplification factors obtained for hard sediment sites (hard Jurassic/Mesozoic sediments) range from 0.32–3.24 times for 1–3 Hz and 0.37–2.18 times for 310 Hz. The upper bounds of the larger mean amplification factors for 1–3 Hz are found to be of the order of 3.13–6.03 at Chopadwa, Vadawa, Kavada, Vondh, Adhoi, Jahwarnagar and Gadhada, whereas, the upper bounds of the higher mean amplification factors at 3–10 Hz are estimated to be of the order of 2.00–3.27° at Tapar, Chopadwa, Adhoi, Jahwarnagar, Gandhidham and Khingarpur. The site response estimated at Bhuj suggests a typical hard-rock site behavior. Preliminary site response maps for 1–3 Hz and 310 Hz frequency ranges have been prepared for the area extending from 23–23.85 °N and 69.65–70.85°E. These frequency ranges are considered on the basis of the fact that the natural frequencies of multi-story buildings (3 to 10 floor) range between 1–3 Hz, while the natural frequencies for 1 to 3 story buildings vary from 3–10 Hz. The 1–3 Hz map delineates two distinct zones of maximum site amplification (>3 times): one lying in the NW quadrant of the study area covering Jahwarnagar, Kavada and Gadadha and the other in the SE quadrant of the study area with a peak of 6.03 at Chopadwa covering an area of 70 km × 50 km. While the 3–10 Hz map shows more than 2 times site amplification value over the entire study area except, NE quadrant, two patches in the southwest corner covering Bhuj and Anjar, and one patch at the center covering Vondh, Manfara and Sikara. The zones for large site amplification values (∼3 times) are found at Tapar, Chopadwa, Adhoi and Chobari. The estimated site response values show a good correlation with the distribution of geological formations as well as observed ground deformation in the epicentral zone.  相似文献   

Source study and tectonic implications of the 1995 Ventimiglia (border of Italy and France) earthquake (M_L=4.7)     

F. Courboulex  A. Deschamps  M. Cattaneo  F. Costi  J. D  verch  re  J. Virieux  P. Augliera  V. Lanza  D. Spallarossa 《Tectonophysics》1998,290(3-4):245-257

We analyse the source process and the aftershock distribution of the April 21, 1995, Ventimiglia, M_L=4.7 earthquake using the records of permanent high dynamic broad-band seismic stations and a temporary network deployed on land and at sea few hours after the earthquake. This event occurred on the western Mediterranean coast, near the border between Italy and France, at a depth of 9 km, at a point where Alpine tectonic units and Late Oligocene extensional structure overlap and are currently undergoing compressional stress. The focal solutions of the mainshock and three aftershocks depict a dominant reverse faulting with an important strike-slip component, which underlines two nodal planes: a NW–SE-dipping north fault and a NE–SW-dipping south fault. We operate a careful re-location of the aftershocks using a master-event technique and data from the temporal network and obtain a predominant NW–SE alignment. Then, we analyse the rupture process using an empirical Green function approach. We find that the mainshock broke a 0.5 to 1 km fault length and that the rupture propagated during 0.1–0.2 s probably in a SE direction. Those two arguments, together with the recent fault trace that exists close to the epicentre, leads us to propose that this event expresses the reactivation of an old transverse NW–SE structure with a dextral movement. This study thus emphasizes the role of inherited, deep-rooted, transcurrent features in the tectonic reactivation of this passive margin. It also underlines the importance of combining short-period and broad-band seismology to better resolve and understand regional tectonic processes in areas of moderate seismic activity and complex geology.  相似文献   

海城地震余震活动的再研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

赵振  谷光裕 《东北地震研究》1996,12(1):1-7

截止１９９５年４月，海城－营口地震区已发生ＭＬ≥３．６级余震４２５次。西方对余震ｂ值随时间的变化、余震时空发展的特点、大余震发生前后的余震特征等做了进一步研究，所得主要结果如下：（１）随着时间的推移，余震ｂ值逐渐增大，并趋于稳定。（２）今后仍有可能发生２－３次ＭＬ５．０级左右的余震。  相似文献   

The temporal distribution of aftershock sequences in the subduction zones of the Pacific     

Theodoros M. Tsapanos 《Geophysical Journal International》1995,123(2):633-636

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近场震级起算函数确定与爆炸余震震级计算   总被引：1，自引：2，他引：1  

李学政  王海军  雷军 《中国地震》2003,19(2):117-124

在天然地震背景下，由于现有的起算函数在0—5km范围内是一个常数，因此，对于震源深度较浅的小地震震级的测定遇到了困难，本文通过理论计算和爆炸地震波实际测量两种方法，确定了近场0—5k瑚范围内的震级起算函数。用本文确定的震级起算函数计算了两次爆炸余震序列事件的震级，绝大多数的余震震级非常小，主要分布在-0．5—1．0级之间，余震序列的M-t图与一般强余震M-t图明显不同，它不仅存在反映较大震级的正向柱状线，而且还存在反映较小震级的负向短柱状线。  相似文献