Assessment of future runoff trends under multiple climate change scenarios in the Willamette River Basin,Oregon, USA     

Il‐Won Jung  Heejun Chang 《水文研究》2011,25(2):258-277

We investigated trends in future seasonal runoff components in the Willamette River Basin (WRB) of Oregon for the twenty‐first century. Statistically downscaled climate projections by Climate Impacts Group (CIG), eight different global climate model (GCM) simulations with two different greenhouse gas (GHG) emission scenarios, (A1B and B1), were used as inputs for the US Geological Survey's Precipitation Runoff Modelling System. Ensemble mean results show negative trends in spring (March, April and May) and summer (June, July and August) runoff and positive trends in fall (September, October and November) and winter (December, January and February) runoff for 2000–2099. This is a result of temperature controls on the snowpack and declining summer and increasing winter precipitation. With temperature increases throughout the basin, snow water equivalent (SWE) is projected to decline consistently for all seasons. The decreases in the centre of timing and 7‐day low flows and increases in the top 5% flow are caused by the earlier snowmelt in spring, decreases in summer runoff and increases in fall and winter runoff, respectively. Winter runoff changes are more pronounced in higher elevations than in low elevations in winter. Seasonal runoff trends are associated with the complex interactions of climatic and topographic variables. While SWE is the most important explanatory variable for spring and winter runoff trends, precipitation has the strongest influence on fall runoff. Spatial error regression models that incorporate spatial dependence better explain the variations of runoff trends than ordinary least‐squares (OLS) multiple regression models. Our results show that long‐term trends of water balance components in the WRB could be highly affected by anthropogenic climate change, but the direction and magnitude of such changes are highly dependent on the interactions between climate change and land surface hydrology. This suggests a need for spatially explicit adaptive water resource management within the WRB under climate change. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Offline, multidetector intensity interferometers – I. Theory     

Aviv Ofir  Erez N. Ribak 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2006,368(4):1646-1651

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改进角度纹理特征提取高分辨率遥感影像带状道路   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

林祥国  田雷  王家民  朱先志  李开华 《测绘科学》2015,40(5):55-59

针对目前高分辨率遥感影像的道路自动提取算法研究中的不足,该文提出了一种基于并行角度纹理特征的半自动道路提取算法:用户输入完成道路中心线上的起始点、道路方向、道路宽度等初始化工作,利用并行角度纹理特征获取道路前进方向,用抛物线参数方程构建道路轨迹模型来预测道路轨迹点,使用角度纹理特征值构建的紧质度系数和抛物线的曲率变化来约束道路轨迹点,验证失败则转入手工跟踪;往复执行以提取道路中心线。试验证明,本算法是一种稳健的道路半自动提取算法。  相似文献   

经贸视角下中国周边地缘环境分析——基于社会网络分析方法   总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10  

潘峰华  赖志勇  葛岳静 《地理研究》2015,34(4)

周边对一国地区稳定、经济发展等影响重大,中国也一直奉行“邻国是首要”的外交战略,推行“睦邻、富邻、安邻”的邻国政策.主要分析中国及其周边国家贸易网络,在经济依赖度分析等基础上,借助社会网络分析工具进行程度中心性分析、结构同型分析等一系列分析,从而对中国及其周边国家贸易网络进行多方面解剖.结果表明:中国与周边国家存在不平等的经济依赖度;贸易网络存在较为明显的核心—边缘结构;中国在周边贸易网络中占据主导地位,经济影响力不断上升.研究表明,地缘政治研究中引入社会网络分析方法可以实现空间关系的网络化和网络关系的空间化,深化对地缘环境的认识.  相似文献   

Distribution of CMEs with Different Angular Widths and Comparison with the Phase of Sunspot Number in the 23rd Solar Cycle     

MENG Wei-juan  LE Gui-ming  LIN Zhao-xiang  ZHANG Yong  YANG Xing-xing 《Chinese Astronomy and Astrophysics》2014

The variation of the number of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) with different angular widths in the period of 1996-2008 is analyzed statistically in this paper, together with a comparison of the feature of time variation between the number of CMEs with some typical angular widths and the number of sunspots.  相似文献   

Integer‐ambiguity resolution in astronomy and geodesy     

A. Lannes  J.‐L. Prieur 《Astronomische Nachrichten》2014,335(2):198-209

Recent theoretical developments in astronomical aperture synthesis have revealed the existence of integer‐ambiguity prob‐lems. Those problems, which appear in the self‐calibration procedures of radio imaging, have been shown to be similar to the nearest‐lattice point (NLP) problems encountered in high‐precision geodetic positioning and in global navigation satellite systems. In this paper we analyse the theoretical aspects of the matter and propose new methods for solving those NLP problems. The related optimization aspects concern both the preconditioning stage, and the discrete‐search stage in which the integer ambiguities are finally fixed. Our algorithms, which are described in an explicit manner, can easily be implemented. They lead to substantial gains in the processing time of both stages. Their efficiency was shown via intensive numerical tests. (© 2014 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)  相似文献   

Sharp images of young stellar objects     

N. Ageorges  A. Eckart  R. Hofmann 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1995,224(1-2):411-414

We present high resolution infrared images of the pre-main sequence star V536 Aql and polarization maps of the reflection nebula IRN Cha observed with the SHARP camera on the ESO NTT. Extended structures are observed near V536 Aql. The polarization pattern of IRN Cha is typical of a centrally illuminated source but with a central band of anomalously oriented polarization believed to occur in an optically thick disk.  相似文献   

Colour-differential interferometry for the observation of extrasolar planets     

M. Vannier  R. G. Petrov  B. Lopez  F. Millour 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2006,367(2):825-837

We present the high angular resolution technique of colour-differential interferometry for direct detection of extrasolar giant planets (EGPs). The measurement of differential phase with long-baseline ground-based interferometers in the near-infrared could allow the observation of several hot giant extrasolar planets in tight orbit around the nearby stars, and thus yield their low- or mid-resolution spectroscopy, complete orbital data set and mass. Estimates of potentially achievable signal-to-noise ratios are presented for a number of planets already discovered by indirect methods. The limits from the instrumental and atmospheric instability are discussed, and a subsequent observational strategy is proposed.  相似文献   

大气对地球自转参数（ERP）的高频激发   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

谢伯全  郑大伟 《天文学报》1996,37(2):113-123

本文采用１９８３—１９９２年期间由空间大地测量技术观测和归算的地球自转参数（ＥＲＰ）序列，以及由全球气象资料归算的大气角动量（ＡＡＭ）序列，分析和研究了大气对地球自转参数的日长变化（ＬＯＤ）和极移（ｘ和ｙ）在一个月时间尺度以内的高频激发作用，得到的主要结果如下：１大气对ＬＯＤ分量高频潮汐的估计值存在着影响，但是，潮汐形变参数ｋ／ｃ随时间和频率的变化却是受非大气因素的扰动引起的．２．大气可以解释３０天以下ＬＯＤ非潮汐的大部分变化．３．极移分量３０天以内的高频变化也主要由大气激发．ｘ分量与大气的相关性要强于ｙ分量，而且更为稳定，主要表现为平均时间尺度约为２７天的波动，大气对这个波动的贡献可达７０％．  相似文献   

Acceleration of adaptive optics simulations using programmable logic     

A. G. Basden  F. Assémat  T. Butterley  D. Geng  C. D. Saunter  R. W. Wilson 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2005,364(4):1413-1418

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