缓倾角塔柱状危岩压裂损伤-突变失稳预测     

周福川  唐红梅  王林峰 《岩土力学》2022,43(5):1341-1352

陡高边坡灰岩地区缓倾角塔柱状危岩常具有底部压裂诱发整体失稳破坏模式,其损伤-突变失稳机制属于山地灾害关键科学问题之一。以重庆南川区甑子岩W12#危岩崩塌为例,建立了荷载、水致弱化效应耦合下的损伤突变地质力学模型,获得了基于应变等价原理的损伤本构方程及总损伤度演化方程,并将水致弱化函数改进为软化系数的一元三次函数。将地质力学模型概化为等效弹簧模型,通过能量平衡原理建立损伤-折叠突变模型,获得了塔柱状危岩系统压裂失稳判据及临界突变位移特征值表达式。计算表明：W12#危岩压裂失稳时,该系统的控制变量为–0.003 251,小于0,表示该系统进入不稳定状态;计算理论突变位移起始值148.70 mm比实测位移第一拐点值154.34 mm偏小,相对误差约3.65%,偏于安全;理论损伤本构曲线、理论损伤演化曲线与现有文献数值模拟结果趋于一致,所构建的理论预测模型具有较好的适用性。其研究成果可用于预判塔柱状危岩压裂失稳损伤演化过程及突发失稳特征位移值,为灰岩区陡高边坡危岩崩塌监测预警和防灾减灾提供理论依据。  相似文献   

1980—2017年祁连山水源涵养量时空变化特征   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

薛健  李宗省  冯起  缪驰远  邓晓红  狄振华  叶爱中  龚伟  张百娟  桂娟  高文德 《冰川冻土》2022,44(1):1-13

祁连山是中国西北地区十分重要的生态安全屏障,也是当地极为关键的水源涵养区。基于InVEST模型中的产水量模块,对祁连山水源涵养量和时空变化进行了分析并探讨其影响因素。结果表明：祁连山多年平均产水总量和水源涵养总量约为93.03×10⁸ m³和57.83×10⁸ m³。从时间变化来看,水源涵养量呈上升趋势,上升速率约为0.196 mm·a^-1;在空间上呈“东多西少”的分布格局,与年降水量的空间分布大致相同。不同土地利用类型下的水源涵养总量依次为：草地（31.87×10⁸ m³）>林地（16.71×10⁸ m³）>耕地（4.92×10⁸ m³）>其他用地（2.29×10⁸ m³）>建设用地（0.63×10⁸ m³）。降水量与水源涵养量在所有研究时段内均存在显著正相关性。不同时期土地利用类型的变化也会对水源涵养量产生重要影响,研究区草地面积变化对水源涵养量影响较大。根据建立的经验公式并参考已有研究成果,估算得出研究区多年冻土地下冰储量在550 km³以上,在全球气候变暖的背景下,消融趋势明显。研究可为祁连山水资源合理配置和生态系统保护提供参考。  相似文献   

Assessing the utility WorldView-2 imagery for tree species mapping in South African subtropical humid forest and the conservation implications: Dukuduku forest patch as case study     

《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2015

Indigenous forest biome in South Africa is highly fragmented into patches of various sizes (most patches < 1 km²). The utilization of timber and non-timber resources by poor rural communities living around protected forest patches produce subtle changes in the forest canopy which can be hardly detected on a timely manner using traditional field surveys. The aims of this study were to assess: (i) the utility of very high resolution (VHR) remote sensing imagery (WorldView-2, 0.5–2 m spatial resolution) for mapping tree species and canopy gaps in one of the protected subtropical coastal forests in South Africa (the Dukuduku forest patch (ca.3200 ha) located in the province of KwaZulu-Natal) and (ii) the implications of the map products to forest conservation. Three dominant canopy tree species namely, Albizia adianthifolia, Strychnos spp. and Acacia spp., and canopy gap types including bushes (grass/shrubby), bare soil and burnt patches were accurately mapped (overall accuracy = 89.3 ± 2.1%) using WorldView-2 image and support vector machine classifier. The maps revealed subtle forest disturbances such as bush encroachment and edge effects resulting from forest fragmentation by roads and a power-line. In two stakeholders’ workshops organised to assess the implications of the map products to conservation, participants generally agreed amongst others implications that the VHR maps provide valuable information that could be used for implementing and monitoring the effects of rehabilitation measures. The use of VHR imagery is recommended for timely inventorying and monitoring of the small and fragile patches of subtropical forests in Southern Africa.  相似文献   

“Yes to Peace”? Environmental peacemaking and transboundary conservation in Central America     

《Geoforum》2015

The use of transboundary conservation as tools for improving interstate relations has become a widely supported initiative in nature conservation. The rationale follows the environmental peacemaking hypothesis, which argues that seemingly neutral environmental issues can provide a sound basis for cooperation between states. The paper investigates the hypothesis’ premise through the case of International System of Protected Areas for Peace (Si-A-Paz), a transboundary protected area shared by Costa Rica and Nicaragua. In recent years, both countries have been involved in a number of border conflicts within Si-A-Paz and linked to the use of the San Juan River, contested land areas, and oil resources. The case of Si-A-Paz shows that transboundary environmental issues can provide arguments for maintaining or even strengthening conflicts rather than fostering peace between states. The case also shows the emergence of environmental issues as a new arena for geopolitical play, where actors not only justify their actions through an environmental discourse but also, the environmental discourse is stretched to include a variety of issues through which actors can obtain international support. The events in Nicaragua and Costa Rica raise questions about the role of transboundary conservation as a peacebuilding tool.  相似文献   

“Love for sale”: Biodiversity banking and the struggle to commodify nature in Sabah,Malaysia     

《Geoforum》2015

In Malaysia, second largest palm oil producer worldwide, logging companies, palm oil corporations, and even responsible citizens can now compensate their biodiversity impacts by purchasing Biodiversity Conservation Certificates in an emerging new biodiversity market: the Malua BioBank. Biodiversity markets are part of a wider trend of marketisation and neoliberalisation of biodiversity governance; introduced and promoted as (technical) win–win solutions to counter biodiversity loss and enable sustainable development. The existing neoliberalisation and nature literature has tended to analyse these processes as consequences of an inherent drive of capital to expand accumulation and submit ever more areas of nature to the neoliberal market logic.In contrast, I aim (a) to problematise the agency and the “work” behind marketisation of biodiversity, challenging the story of (corporate-driven) neoliberalisation as the realisation of an inherent market-logic (based on the a false conceptual state–market divide, often prevalent even in activist academic circles working on neoliberalisation of nature) and to see the state not only as regulator, but driving force behind, and part of “the market”; (b) to question the myth of neoliberalisation as state losing control to the market and to show how the state is using the biodiversity market as mode of governing; re-gaining control over its forests and its conservation policy; and (c) to demonstrate empirically the distinction between neoliberal ideology and practice, and to show that marketisation was based on pragmatic decisions, not ideology-driven political action. My analysis is based on 35 qualitative interviews with actors involved in the BioBank.  相似文献   

GRAPES_GFS中三维参考大气的研究：参考态构造和实际预报试验   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

苏勇  沈学顺  张红亮  刘永柱 《气象学报》2020,78(6):962-971

GRAPES_GFS（Global Regional Assimilation and PrEdiction System, Global Forecast System）采用基于等温大气构造的一维参考大气,前期的研究工作已在GRAPES_GFS的动力框架中引入了三维参考大气,并通过一系列理想试验检验了新方法的正确性以及计算精度。本部分研究工作,主要针对实际资料的预报试验,对比分析了不同三维参考态给定方法的优劣,并采用气候平均法,进行夏季两个月的四维变分循环预报试验。检验结果显示,使用三维参考大气后,模式的综合预报性能得到了提升,对流层高度场、温度场的预报偏差有所减小,长期积分过程中模式质量损失较为严重的问题也得到了明显的缓解。另外,通过动能谱的对比也可以看到使用三维参考大气后,模式在高层的能量耗散明显较小,能谱变化与观测更加吻合。   相似文献   

Urban green commons: Insights on urban common property systems   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Johan Colding  Stephan Barthel  Pim Bendt  Robbert Snep  Wim van der Knaap  Henrik Ernstson 《Global Environmental Change》2013,23(5):1039-1051

The aim of this paper is to shed new light on urban common property systems. We deal with urban commons in relation to urban green-space management, referring to them as urban green commons. Applying a property-rights analytic perspective, we synthesize information on urban green commons from three case-study regions in Sweden, Germany, and South Africa, and elaborate on their role for biodiversity conservation in urban settings, with a focus on business sites. Cases cover both formally established types of urban green commons and bottom-up emerged community-managed habitats. As our review demonstrates, the right to actively manage urban green space is a key characteristic of urban green commons whether ownership to land is in the private, public, the club realm domain, or constitutes a hybrid of these. We discuss the important linkages among urban common property systems, social–ecological learning, and management of ecosystem services and biodiversity. Several benefits can be associated with urban green commons, such as a reduction of costs for ecosystem management and as designs for reconnecting city-inhabitants to the biosphere. The emergence of urban green commons appears closely linked to dealing with societal crises and for reorganizing cities; hence, they play a key role in transforming cities toward more socially and ecologically benign environments. While a range of political questions circumscribe the feasibility of urban green commons, we discuss their usefulness in management of different types of urban habitats, their political justification and limitation, their potential for improved biodiversity conservation, and conditions for their emergence. We conclude by postulating some general policy advice.  相似文献   

解流体动力弥散问题的等参数溶质质量均衡近似有限元法     

郭东屏 《地球科学与环境学报》1990,(3)

本文根据流体动力弥散理论,按地下水中溶质局部质量守恒原理,采用非线性基函数,对单元内的渗透速度和弥散系数作了平均化近似处理,导出了求解流体动力弥散问题的另一种新的数值法——等参数溶质质量均衡近似有限元法。与作者在文献〔1〕中给出的较精确的算法相比,虽不甚精细,但计算工作量大为减小,并保持了文献〔1〕中方法的主要优点,比较简便易行。  相似文献   

解流体动力弥散问题的等参数溶质质量均衡有限元法     

郭东屏 《地球科学与环境学报》1988,(3)

本文根据流体动力弥散理论,按照地下水中溶质局部质量守恒原理,采用非线性基函数,导出了求解流体动力弥散问题的一种新的数值法,即等参数溶质质量均衡有限元法。该法与采用同样非线性基函数的等参数里茨(Ritz)法或伽辽全法相比,具有物理意义明确、能准确反映局部质量均衡关系、计算公式简单和易于应用等优点。  相似文献   

关于正确处理对流－弥散方程和渗流方程中源汇项的若干问题     

郭东屏 《地球科学与环境学报》1995,(3)

对流─弥散方程和渗流基本微分方程中的源汇项，分别是决定含水层中任一内点上水质量和溶质质量时变率的重要因素之一。而关于源汇项不适当的乃至是错误的表述，在文献中却不乏其见，其影响之大是显而易见的．本文深入分析了某些表述的不当或错误之处，给出了正确的处理与表述方法。  相似文献