A methodology for drought preparedness     

Donald A. Wilhite 《Natural Hazards》1996,13(3):229-252

Drought is a normal, recurrent feature of climate that affects virtually all countries to some degree. The number of drought-induced natural disasters has grown significantly since the 1960s, largely as a result of increasing vulnerability to extended periods of precipitation deficiency rather than because of an increase in the frequency of meteorological droughts. This increase in drought-induced natural disasters has resulted in a considerable growth of interest in drought mitigation and preparedness worldwide. The purpose of a national preparedness plan is to reduce societal vulnerability to drought through the adoption of preventive, anticipatory policies and programs. This paper describes a ten-step planning process that nations can follow to develop a drought preparedness plan. This process, originally developed in 1987, has been the basis of discussions at training seminars on drought preparedness for developing nations in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. It has also been adopted, with appropriate modifications, by state or provincial governments and by municipalities. The process is intended to be flexible so that governments can add, delete, or modify the suggested steps, as necessary.Published as Paper No. 10946, Journal Series, Nebraska Agricultural Research Division. The work reported here was conducted under Nebraska Agricultural Research Division Project 27-007. This material is based in part upon work supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant ATM-8704050.  相似文献   

Comparative study of activation energies of conductance and desiccation rates of some marine algae     

David G. Rands  Joseph S. Davis 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》1997,59(3):275-281

Measurements of the activation energy of electrical conductance and desiccation rates on subtidal marine algae from Florida were compared to similar data from the Bay of Fundy, Nova Scotia, on intertidal marine algae frequently subjected to long periods of exposure to air. We have developed a method for calculating the reaction rate constant of desiccation of fully hydrated marine algae. Values of activation energies and desiccation rate constants are consistent with the requirements for survival of these algae under widely different environmental conditions.  相似文献   

Large, moderate, small earthquakes and seismic fortification criterion     

沈建文  石树中 《地震学报(英文版)》2004,17(5):589-595

IntroductionAccordingtoEarthquakeResistanceandDisasterReductionLawforthePeoplesRepublicofChina,twomethodsareadoptedforseismicdesignoftheconstructionprojectsinChina.Forkeyprojectsandtheprojectseasytocauseserioussecondarydisasters,seismicsafetyevaluationsmustbecarriedout.Andbasedontheresults,seismicfortificationstandardsaredeterminedtomakeseismicdesign.Forgeneralindustrialandcivilbuildings,seismicdesignsarecarriedoutaccordingtotheseismicfortificationstandardsstipulatedbyseismiczonationmap(Ch…  相似文献   

岩浆岩侵入地层的富水性及找水方法的探讨     

曹文凯  禹海峰  师庆广 《地下水》2004,26(2):134-136

本文分析了岩浆岩侵入中岩脉、岩盘对围岩富水性的影响及富水层的电法辨认,提出了在不同侵入的围岩地层内用电法寻找地下水的方法.  相似文献   

模拟试验法确定桩基承载力   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

亓宾  佴磊  江娟 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2004,(Z1)

通过室内中型剪切摩擦试验确定桩与地层间的C、Φ值,依据莫尔—库仑准则确定桩侧摩阻力。桩侧法向应力采用桩土上部荷载引起的作用于桩身的侧向应力,桩端承载力通过室内三轴试验确定,两者之和即为单桩承载力。该方法用于肇源松花江大桥桩基承载力的测试,得出的桩承载力与实测值吻合较好,取得了预期的效果。  相似文献   

Bedload transport resistance in rough open‐channel flows     

Peng Gao  Athol D. Abrahams 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2004,29(4):423-435

During bedload movement by saltation, streamwise momentum is transferred from the ?ow to the saltating grains. When the grains collide with other grains on the bed or in the ?ow, streamwise momentum is reduced, and there is a decrease in streamwise ?ow velocity and an increase in ?ow resistance, herein termed bedload transport resistance f_bt. Based on experiments in two ?umes with ?xed and mobile plane beds and previously published data, an equation is developed that may be used to predict f_bt for both capacity and non‐capacity ?ows. The variables in this equation are identi?ed by dimensional analysis and the coef?cients are determined by non‐linear regression. This equation applies to rough turbulent open‐channel ?ows, where the relative submergence is between 1 and 20 and the entire sediment load moves by saltation. An investigation of the relative magnitudes of f_bt and grain resistance f_c suggests that where dimensionless shear stress θ is less than 1 and saltation is the dominant mode of bedload transport, f_bt/f_c increases with θ but never exceeds 1. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

长江中下游旱涝中期预报方法及其业务应用   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

金荣花  李月安  晁淑懿  任金声 《气象》2004,30(12):47-52

介绍了双层多因子综合相似的长江中下游旱涝中期预报模型。该模型引入了具有明确动力学和热力学意义的地转西风动量经向输送和经向温度梯度诊断量，同时强调了西太平洋副热带高压对长江中下游夏季降水的关键作用，并考虑了对流层中、低层500hPa高度和850hPa温度的大尺度环流背景场。与过去业务应用的单层相似预报模型相比较，不仅物理意义和天气学含义明确，而且更符合对具有复杂动力和热力机制的降水预报的考虑。5年的预报试验和业务应用结果表明，该方法对长江中下游地区旱涝的中期趋势预报有较好的预报能力。  相似文献   

鹤壁市春旱动态监测及分析     

王军王福州  周官辉郭魁英秦成福  杜滨鹤 《河南气象》2004,(1):17-18

利用鹤壁市淇县1971～2000年降水、底墒、蒸发资料，建立了适用于对春旱进行实时业务监测的动态模型；根据干旱指数大小确定春旱等级，并通过实例对比分析证实干旱指数在分析干旱动态演变过程中的作用。  相似文献   

冬小麦遥感冠层温度监测土壤含水量的试验研究   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7       下载免费PDF全文

刘云  宇振荣  孙丹峰  Driessen P.M  刘云慧  王纯枝 《水科学进展》2004,15(3):352-356

在冬小麦主要生育期(2002年4月初到5月底),对不灌溉的冬小麦测定了冠层温度、地温、气温以及土壤含水量,计算了冠气温差且分析了冠层温度和冠气温差与不同土层厚度的土壤含水量相关关系。结果表明:14:00的冠层温度能较好地反映20cm土层的土壤含水量变化,但与其它各土层相关性有较大的波动性;14:00的冠气温差能较好地反映40cm以上土层的土壤含水量变化,二者的相关性很高,在20cm、40cm土层,两者相关系数R2分别为0.98866、0.99389,这为用区域遥感数据反演主要生育期冬小麦的冠气温差进而监测区域40cm土壤含水量提供了实验性的依据;拔节期和灌浆期,用14:00冠气温差来拟合各土壤层的土壤含水量有较高的精度,从而为用区域遥感数据监测区域土壤含水量提供了经验性的模型。  相似文献   

砾岩在不同矿化度下的岩电参数变化规律   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

赵发展  王赟  何亿成 《物探与化探》2004,28(2):116-118

为解决地层含油饱和度计算误差的问题,用不同矿化度地层水进行了地层因素和电阻增大率的实验,发现了砾岩储层岩电参数的变化规律。进一步有效地利用这一规律可以对含油饱和度的计算误差进行校正,从而修正开发储量中的计算误差。这一规律的研究对克拉玛依砾岩油藏的开发具有重要的指导意义。  相似文献