Coupled and complex: Human-environment interaction in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, USA     

David Bennett  David McGinnis 《Geoforum》2008,39(2):833-845

Complexity theory has received considerable attention over the past decade from a wide variety of disciplines. Some who write on this topic suggest that complexity theory will lead to a unifying understanding of complex phenomena; others dismiss it as a passing and disruptive fad. We suggest that for the analysis of coupled natural/human systems, the truth emerges from the middle ground. As an approach focused as much on the connections among system elements as the elements themselves, we argue that complexity theory provides a useful conceptual framework for the study of coupled natural/human systems. It is, if nothing else, a framework that leads us to ask interesting questions about, for example, sustainability, resilience, threshold events, and predictability.In this paper we attempt to demystify the ongoing discussions on complexity theory by linking its evocative and overloaded terminology to real-world processes. We illustrate how a shift in focus from system elements to connections among elements can lead to meaningful insight into human-environment interactions that might otherwise be overlooked. We ground our discussion in ongoing interdisciplinary research surrounding Yellowstone National Park’s northern elk winter range; a tightly coupled natural/human system that has been the center of debate, conflict, and compromise for more than 135 years.  相似文献   

An operational multiscale system for hazards prediction, mapping, and response     

David P. Bacon  Nash’at N. Ahmad  Thomas J. Dunn  Michael C. Monteith  Ananthakrishna Sarma 《Natural Hazards》2008,44(3):317-327

By definition, a crisis is a situation that requires assistance to be managed. Hence, response to a crisis involves the merging of local and non-local emergency response personnel. In this situation, it is critical that each participant: (1) know the roles and responsibilities of each of the other participants; (2) know the capabilities of each of the participants; and (3) have a common basis for action. For many types of natural disasters, this entails having a common operational picture of the unfolding events, including detailed information on the weather, both current and forecasted, that may impact on either the emergency itself or on response activities. The Consequences Assessment Tool Set (CATS) is a comprehensive package of hazard prediction models and casualty and damage assessment tools that provides a linkage between a modeled or observed effect and the attendant consequences for populations, infrastructure, and resources, and, hence, provides the common operational picture for emergency response. The Operational Multiscale Environment model with Grid Adaptivity (OMEGA) is an atmospheric simulation system that links the latest methods in computational fluid dynamics and high-resolution gridding technologies with numerical weather prediction to provide specific weather analysis and forecast capability that can be merged into the geographic information system framework of CATS. This paper documents the problem of emergency response as an end-to-end system and presents the integrated CATS–OMEGA system as a prototype of such a system that has been used successfully in a number of different situations.  相似文献   

运用3DEEMs及荧光偏振方法研究pH、离子强度及浓度效应对腐殖酸荧光光谱特性的影响   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

梅毅  吴丰昌  王立英  白英臣 《地球化学》2008,37(2):165-173

利用三维荧光激发.发射光谱(3DEEMs)及荧光偏振法研究了3例腐殖酸和1例湖泊溶解有机物(DOM)在不同腐殖酸浓度、离子强度和pH条件下的荧光光谱特性.实验结果表明,随着浓度增大,各腐殖酸样的荧光强度增大,其中垃圾渗滤液腐殖酸和Pahokee泥炭腐殖酸的荧光峰出现红移.随着浓度进一步增大,腐殖酸的荧光偏振值增大,由此推断在此浓度范围内腐殖酸由于分子间的排斥作用使其构型出现伸展.离子强度增大导致腐殖酸及阿哈湖DOM的荧光强度降低.随着氯化钾(KCI)浓度增大,Fluka腐殖酸的荧光峰A蓝移,荧光峰B的荧光偏振值出现减小,推测是由于静电中和作用使其荧光基团发生卷曲造成的.离子强度对其余腐殖酸样和阿哈湖DOM的其他荧光特性没有明显的影响.总的来说,pH值的变化对腐殖酸和湖泊DOM的荧光特征的影响是很明显的.随着pH值增大,腐殖酸和湖泊DOM的荧光强度增强.而pH值减小时,Fluka腐殖酸和Pahokee泥炭腐殖酸的荧光峰(A峰)蓝移,当pH值降到5时,Fhka腐殖酸的荧光峰突然红移到最大,随后又继续蓝移;垃圾渗滤液腐殖酸和阿哈湖DOM的荧光峰位无明显的漂移.所有样品的荧光偏振值都减小(但阿哈湖DOM的A峰变化不大),但在pHi≤5时又增大,这种现象表明随着pH值降低,腐殖酸和湖泊DOM中有机大分子发生卷曲,但在pH≤5时由于羧基的质子化又以平面伸展构型出现在溶液中.  相似文献   

Methodology for preliminary assessment of Natech risk in urban areas   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Ana Maria Cruz  Norio Okada 《Natural Hazards》2008,46(2):199-220

Concern for natural hazard-triggered technological disasters (Natech disasters) in densely populated and industrialized areas is growing. Residents living in urban areas subject to high natural hazard risk are often unaware of the potential for secondary disasters such as hazardous materials releases from neighboring industrial facilities, chemical storage warehouses or other establishments housing hazardous materials. Lessons from previous disasters, such as the Natech disaster during the Kocaeli earthquake in Turkey in 1999 call for the need to manage low frequency/high consequence events, particularly in today’s densely populated areas. However, there is little guidance available on how local governments and communities can assess Natech risk. To add to the problem, local governments often do not have the human or economic resources or expertise to carry out detailed risk assessments. In this article, we propose a methodology for preliminary assessment of Natech risk in urban areas. The proposed methodology is intended for use by local government officials in consultation with the public. The methodology considers possible interactions between the various systems in the urban environment: the physical infrastructure (e.g., industrial plants, lifeline systems, critical facilities), the community (e.g., population exposed), the natural environment (e.g., delicate ecosystems, river basins), and the risk and emergency management systems (e.g., structural and nonstructural measures). Factors related to vulnerability and hazard are analyzed and qualitative measures are recommended. Data from hazardous materials releases during the Kocaeli, Turkey earthquake of August 17, 1999 are used as a case study to demonstrate the applicability of the methodology. Limitations of the proposed methodology are discussed as well as future research needs.

Norio OkadaEmail:

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无机盐类对天然矿物低温催化混合酯生烃反应的影响   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

刘会平  张在龙  籍志凯  李波 《沉积学报》2008,26(5):886-890

脂肪酸酯是一类重要的生烃母质。选择了十四烷酸甲酯、十六烷酸甲酯和十八烷酸甲酯的混合酯为模型反应物,以方解石、白云石、伊利石、钙蒙脱石和黄铁矿为催化剂,分别考察了氯化钾、氯化镁、氯化钠、硫酸钠以及混合盐对天然矿物低温催化混合酯生烃反应的影响。结果表明,无机盐类对矿物催化下混合酯的生烃反应均有不同程度的影响,硫酸钠具有反催化作用,其它盐类具有正催化作用。且在各无机盐存在下,不同的矿物表现出不同的催化活性。  相似文献   

气举反循环采矿方法单井试验及应用探讨     

周团正  杨述起  王自强  张西坤 《探矿工程》2008,35(6):19-22

湖南道县一个矿区,铁锰矿体储量约2200万t。由于复杂的水文地质和工程地质条件,从20世纪70年代发现后,一直没有开采。笔者通过多年大直径工程井的实践经验,查阅国内外资料后,提出了钻井-气举反循环法试开采的方法,并在现场进行了单孔开采试验,获得了比较满意的效果。以该矿体Ⅱ号矿为例,介绍了钻井-气举反循环法采矿的适用条件、工艺过程以及试采情况,并就以后大面积开采提出了若干技术措施。  相似文献   

大型越江盾构隧道施工安全与风险管理探讨          下载免费PDF全文

安政翃  季玉国 《探矿工程》2008,35(12):78-83

对大型泥水盾构隧道施工安全与施工风险进行详细全面的分析,指出了施工安全与施工风险对人身安全、工程结构和施工机械设备带来的危害。结合工程实例和实践经验,对大型越江盾构隧道施工安全与风险管理进行全面探讨。  相似文献   

当前贵州省矿产资源储量勘查地质报告存在的主要问题及建议     

万朝元 《贵州地质》2008,25(4)

就贵州省当前矿产资源储量勘查地质报告中出现的问题进行了梳理,指出了问题的所在,提出应引起注意和重视的问题及改进建议。  相似文献   

从汶川地震看遥感技术在突发自然灾害中的应用     

许亚平 《贵州地质》2008,25(4)

现代遥感技术具有获取信息范围大、速度快,适应性强和信息量大等特点。"5.12"汶川地震后,交通堵塞、通信中断,遥感技术成为信息获取和灾害监测的重要手段。本文以遥感图像特征和遥感解译在汶川地震中的应用为例,阐述了遥感技术在突发自然灾害中的应用。  相似文献   

Viewpoint: the interface between scientific advice and fisheries management     

Hoydal  Kjartan 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2007,64(4):846-850

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