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101.
文章介绍了广西石油资源及消费概况 ,特别是阐明石油资源不足的事实。提出实施石油勘探的战略性转移和开源节流的政策 ,抓住有利时机 ,进入国际石油市场  相似文献   
102.
A number of growth models have been developed and used in an attempt to project the historical pattern of oil activities to some estimate of their upper limit. Techniques are outlined for the estimation of parameters of the logistic and Gompertz curves. Factor analysis indicated a close relationship between production and demand, whereas annual discoveries and discoveries classified by year of discovery tended to comprise unique factors which were indifferent to changes in time. The growth models projected relatively high values for ultimate demand and production in comparison to the figures for ultimate reserves. Inasmuch as these trends seemed to be occurring independently, some reconciliation of the results was necessary. Using the highest projections of estimates for reserves suggests that over 420 billion barrels of oil in place will eventually be discovered in the United States, with perhaps 200 billion barrels of this eventually to be proved in the form of reserves. Projections for production were higher, corresponding to a trend indicating high levels in demand for crude oil. The only credible long-term estimate of demand was given by a bounded exponential growth model, in which ultimate cumulative demand for crude oil would reach about 416 billion barrels. These figures imply that over 150 billion barrels of oil would be imported into the United States from 1970 to 2070. Provided the time pattern for one of the variables has been determined, then estimates of the other variables probably would be facilitated because of the high interrelationship between variables. Models are suggested in which accurate pivotal forecasting in the short term might be possible—assuming the particular future trend in some of the independent variables has been predetermined.Research Council of Alberta Contribution No. 596.  相似文献   
103.
A Bayesian version of the discovery process model was applied to the pre-rift Lower and Middle Jurassic play of the Halten Terrace, Mid-Norway. The Bayesian approach estimates the lognormal parameters, the discoverability parameter, and the distribution of sizes of the undiscovered fields as well as the play potential, conditioned on a discovery sequence averaging for all possible prior choices weighted by their likelihood. This approach avoids the problem of having to make arbitrary choices for the parameters. The estimates of parameters and play potential based upon the present methodology compares well with previous estimates, if the play is divided into two sub-plays representing the overpressured and normally pressured zones. These sub-plays have been estimated independently and aggregated in order to get the total undiscovered resource potential. This study estimates that the expected remaining play potential is 100 × 106Sm3 o.e., about 9% of the total resources in the play. There is however a 90% chance that the remaining potential ranges from 13 to 282× 106 Sm3 o.e. and a 5% possibility of exceeding this value.  相似文献   
104.
The article discusses the importance of services as agents of internationalisation. Services are seen as dynamic agents of change, and services and commodities are considered composite in production processes. Modes of entering the global scene such as trade in services, foreign direct investment, forming of alliances, franchising and intrafirm trade are focused on, and limits to globalisation are highlighted. Some services, particularly advanced business services, more easily fall prey to institutional and cultural constraints than others. Empirically, Norway is analysed as an arena of international services against the background of its historical tradition particularly in shipping and affiliated activities. Recently, however, manufacturing has gained in importance, mainly in exports and to a lesser extent in imports, due to the petroleum economy. This appears to indicate that export of services has lost momentum over time. The development profile in shipping is highly negative. The negative picture changes somewhat when not only the trade balance, but also investment abroad is considered. In this respect, services have grown in relative importance, notably in the financial sector and in telecommunications. When juxtaposing outgoing and incoming investments, petroleum-related services have gained an increased export and investment surplus in recent years, from a balance in the mid-1990s.  相似文献   
105.
大庆油田勘探50年:陆相生油理论的伟大实践   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4       下载免费PDF全文
文章系统分析了陆相生油理论和大庆油田的勘探实践,总结了大庆油田的勘探历程并划分为三大阶段:构造油藏勘探阶段,岩性油藏勘探的探索阶段,岩性油藏勘探大发展阶段。详细阐述了“十五”以来,大庆油田依靠创新理论与技术,丰富完善了大型陆相坳陷盆地岩性油藏勘探理论与配套技术,深层火山岩气藏勘探理论与配套技术,复杂断陷盆地油气勘探理论与配套技术,从而带来了松辽盆地北部中一浅层、深层和海拉尔盆地油气勘探的大发展,大庆油田再次进入油气储量增长高峰期。在详细分析大庆探区的勘探实际和资源潜力的基础上,提出了“百年油田”勘探的工作思路,通过扎实推进科学勘探,努力为油田可持续发展提供有力资源保障的勘探战略。  相似文献   
106.
基于GIS技术的"数字油田"建设与应用   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
石油石化工业是我国的支柱能源工业,石油石化企业的信息化不仅需求迫切,且因其研究对象是地下流动的物体而变得极其复杂:油田是其企业的主体和利润的主要来源,“数字油田”的建设是石油石化企业信息化成功的关键,由于油田一般空间跨度大、地上地下资料多而复杂,GIS技术是“数字油田”建设的关键技术;现主要介绍基于GIS技术建设“数字油田”的技术、方法和应用。  相似文献   
107.
Based on a detailed survey of the distribution and organic geochemical characteristics of potential source rocks in the South Slope of the Niuzhuang Sag, Bohai Bay Basin, eastern China, a new approach to assess the amount of hydrocarbons generated and expelled has been developed. The approach is applicable to evaluate hydrocarbons with different genetic mechanisms. The results show that the models for hydrocarbon generation and expulsion vary with potential source rocks, depending on thermal maturity, types of organic matter and paleoenvironment. Hydrocarbons are mostly generated and expelled from source rocks within the normal oil window. It was calculated that the special interval (algal-rich shales of the ES4 member formed in brackish environments) in  相似文献   
108.
走滑断裂、"挤压性盆-山构造"与油气资源关系的探讨   总被引:25,自引:0,他引:25  
了解含油气盆地的形成及其演化的影响因素对于含油气盆地的勘探和开发是至关重要的.以美国西部的圣安德烈斯断裂带及伴生的南加州油气盆地作为参考,对中国青藏高原北部与阿尔金走滑断裂系相关的盆-山构造进行了剖析.探讨阿尔金走滑断裂系在其演化过程中,怎样控制区域应力场、变形构造及盆地的形成,进而制约油气的迁移和圈闭.分析结果表明与圣安德烈斯断裂带在美国南加州的盆-山构造体系所起的作用相比较,阿尔金走滑断裂系在青藏高原北部的盆-山构造体系的形成和演化中起相似的作用.青藏高原相对于塔里木盆地的斜向运动导致在阿尔金走滑断裂的东南形成走滑-挤压构造域.形成一系列的走滑和推覆构造,在地形上表现为包括柴达木盆地在内的有序的盆-山相间的构造体系,与南加州富含油气的盆地相似,阿尔金走滑断裂及相配套的走滑-逆冲推覆构造促使在这些盆地中形成富集油气的构造。  相似文献   
109.
南华北地区的构造演化与含油气性   总被引:16,自引:2,他引:14  
本文对南华北盆地进行了深入细致的研究后认为其经历了12个演化阶段:变质结晶基底的形成(Ar-Pt1)、拗拉槽-裂谷盆地阶段(长城纪Ch)、克拉通—裂谷盆地阶段(蓟县纪Jx-新元古代青白口纪Qb)、克拉通-被动大陆边缘盆地阶段(Z-O2)、整体隆升-弧后盆地阶段(O3-D2)、克拉通-(弧后)前陆盆地阶段(D3-T1)、印支运动阶段(T2-T3)、类前陆盆地阶段(T3-J2)、压扭背景下的挤压冲断-走滑拉分盆地阶段(J3-K11)、冲断抬升剥蚀阶段(K21-K2)、裂陷盆地阶段(E)及坳陷盆地阶段(N-Q)。南华北盆地石炭-二叠系煤系地层是南华北盆地的主要烃源岩。石炭-二叠系煤系地层经历了沉积→埋深→抬升剥蚀改造→再埋深的过程,在再次埋深过程中具备二次生烃的条件。  相似文献   
110.
柴达木盆地英雄岭地区新生代构造演化动力学特征   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
通过分析柴达木盆地英雄岭 (YL)地区地质、2D/ 3D地震、遥感、重磁电和钻探等资料 ,提出了喜马拉雅运动几个阶段在该区的构造动力学响应特征。研究认为喜马拉雅运动晚期 ,英雄岭地区西南侧的阿卡腾能山因近SN向的区域挤压作用 ,产生了顺时针方向的旋转及隆升作用 ,从而在干柴沟一带形成了强烈的SE向局部挤压应力场 ,基底大幅隆升 ,而在英雄岭隆起的南侧则产生了局部的拉张构造环境。喜马拉雅山中期运动在该区的主要表现形式就是使古近纪的张扭构造环境转变为新近纪的坳陷构造环境 ,英雄岭西南的阿尔金地区发生隆升作用 ,沉积中心发生向东和向北的迁移。通过分析主干断裂、构造块体和沉积凹陷的分布特征等 ,得出喜马拉雅早期英雄岭及邻区发育局部拉张环境 ,为较为稳定的断陷湖盆发育期 ,沉积了一套优质烃源岩。英雄岭地区潜在勘探领域主要有构造裂缝型圈闭、地层岩性圈闭及渐新世断凸构造圈闭等。  相似文献   
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