试论温室效应对我国西部河川径流的影响   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2  

赖祖铭 《冰川冻土》1997,19(1):10-16

大气中日益增多的温室气体使我国西部地区的气候近三四十年来出现了干暖化趋势，导致河川径流量明显减少。据统计，从５０年代后半期到８０年代，新疆地区的河种径流量减少了６．４％，西藏东南部的３条大河从６０年代到８０年代则平均减少了１３．２％，其减少量大于新疆，这主要是因为气温升高使冰雪融水增加，新疆的河流受到冰雪融水的补偿，虽然西藏东南部的河注也有冰川存在，甚至冰种覆盖面积远大于新疆一些内陆河流域，但那里  相似文献   

RILL EROSION PROCESS ON STEEP SLOPE LAND OF THE LOESS PLATEAU     

ZHENG Fenli  TANG Keli 《国际泥沙研究》1997,(1)

IntheLoessPlateau,alongtheslopelengthfromthetoptothebottom,soilerosionischaracterizedbyobviousverticalzonaldivision,thatis,sheeterosionzone,sheeterosionandrillerosionzone,rillerosionandshallowgullyerosionzoneandgullyerosionzone.Inthesheetandrillero..sionzone,rillerosionamounttakesup70%ofthetotalsoilloss[TANGKenetal.,1983,ZHENGFenlietal.,19871;intherillandshallowgullyerosionzone,rillerosionamountaccountsfor30--40%ofthetotalsoilloss.Sorillerosionisamajorerosionpatternonsteepslopeland.Riller…  相似文献   

A bivariate meta-Gaussian density for use in hydrology   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

K. S. Kelly  R. Krzysztofowicz 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1997,11(1):17-31

Convenient bivariate densities found in the literature are often unsuitable for modeling hydrologic variates. They either constrain the range of association between variates, or fix the form of the marginal distributions. The bivariate meta-Gaussian density is constructed by embedding the normal quantile transform of each variate into the Gaussian law. The density can represent a full range of association between variates and admits arbitrarily specified marginal distributions. Modeling and estimation can be decomposed into i) independent analyses of the marginal distributions, and ii) investigation of the dependence structure. Both statistical and judgmental estimation procedures are possible. Some comparisons to recent applications of bivariate densities in the hydrologic literature motivate and illustrate the model.  相似文献   

树轮──流域径流变化的记录     

刘广深  戚长谋  林学钰 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》1997,(3)

根据树轮稳定碳同位素组成（δ１３Ｃｔ）序列可较灵敏地记录降水变化的事实，利用长白山红松树轮δ１３Ｃｔ序列与松花江年径流量之间的平行变化关系，重建了近２００年来松花江年径流量的变化：年径流量变化有明显的准２２年周期；１９００年之前，径流量在周期波动中呈上升趋势，１９００年之后，波动中呈下降趋势  相似文献   

利用Cole-Cole模型组合得到SIP真参数的联合频谱最优化反演   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

张辉  李桐林 《地震工程学报》2004,26(2):108-112

利用Cole-Cole模型组合和稀释系数理论，可以描述测量得到的视复电阻率频谱与地下多个电性体SIP真参数之间的正演关系。本利用此正演关系进行反演试算，并比较了几种Cole-Cole模型反演方案的效果；提出固定极化目标体和围岩体的极化率同时反演其它各SIP真参数的反演方案。结果表明在固定极化率为真值时，利用此反演方案可以稳定、准确、快速地得出地下电性体SIP真参数。  相似文献   

VICARIOUS RADIOMETRIC CALIBRATION OF SATELLITE FY-ID SENSORS AT VISIBLE AND NEAR INFRARED CHANNELS          下载免费PDF全文

ZHANG Yuxiang  QIU Kangmu  HU Xiuqing  RONG Zhiguo  ZHANG Lijun 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2004,18(4):505-516

For the problem of in-flight test site radiometric calibration for the FY-1D Meteorological Satellite onboard sensor's visible and near infrared channels,this paper described the calibration method,satellite-ground synchronous observation data acquired at China Dunhuang Calibration Test Site,parameter derivation and radiative transfer computation during the calibration,and the calibration result analysis.At FY-1D seven channels (with central wavelength at Channels 1:630 nm,2:865 nm;6:1610 nm;7:455 nm,8:505 nm;9:555 nm;10:932 nm),calibration coefficients obtained during the ground site calibration were compared with that respectively of prelaunch calibration.It is demonstrated that results of FY-1D onboard two sensors' (A and B) at channels 1,2,6 and 10 were close to pre-calibration,and the absolute difference of Gobi desert reflectance computed using test site and pre-launch calibration coefficients was no more than 2%. At other channels,large pre-launch calibration errors resulted in a poor consistency between the test site and pre-launch calibration.The errors can be corrected by the test site calibration results. Based on a rough estimation,the overall error of the calibration was about 6%. The paper also presented the in-flight vicarious calibration at the visible and near infrared channels of FY-1C sensor A which was launched in 1999 and has been put into operational mode since 2002.The results exhibit that FY-1C sensor's response has 23% attenuation at Channels 7 and 8,while only minor degradation at the other channels was found. During the mission,calibrations were also conducted at NOAA-17's Channels 1 and 2 (1:430-830 nm,2:500-1072 nm).A very good consistency has been achieved between the test site and pre-launched calibration results.  相似文献   

Scattering Properties of Atmospheric Aerosols over Lanzhou City and Applications Using an Integrating Nephelometer   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

张武  胡波  陈长和  杜萍  张镭  冯广泓 《大气科学进展》2004,21(6):848-856

The data, measured by a three-wavelength Integrating Nephelometer over Lanzhou City during the winters of 2001/2002 and 2002/2003 respectively, have been analyzed for investigating the scattering properties of atmospheric aerosols and exploring their relationship and the status of air pollution. The aerosol particle volume distribution is inverted with the measured spectral scattering coefficients. The results show that the daily variation of the aerosol scattering coefficients is in a tri-peak shape. The average ratio of backscattering coefficient to total scattering coefficient at 550 nm is 0.158; there exists an excellent correlation between the scattering coefficients and the concentration of PM10. The average ratio of the concentration of PM10 to the scattering coefficients is 0.37 g m-2, which is contingent on the optical parameters of aerosol particles such as the size distribution, etc.; an algorithm is developed for inverting the volume distribution of aerosol particles by using the histogram and Monte-Carlo techniques, and the test results show that the inversion is reasonable.  相似文献   

云宵县5月暴雨客观预报模型     

赖惠贞陈荣平  朱昌桂廖燕珍 《河南气象》2004,(3):9-11

采用文献[1]提出的技术模型，研制了云宵县5月暴雨预报方法，建立了4个因子结构简单而天气学意义明了的客观预报模型。经2000～2003年试用，这种基于场量因子的预报模型，未漏报，严格评定的准确率为67％，明显优于主观预报。  相似文献   

Hydrological connectivity of soil pipes determined by ground‐penetrating radar tracer detection     

Joseph Holden 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2004,29(4):437-442

Soil pipes are common and important features of many catchments, particularly in semi‐arid and humid areas, and can contribute a large proportion of runoff to river systems. They may also signi?cantly in?uence catchment sediment and solute yield. However, there are often problems in ?nding and de?ning soil pipe networks which are located deep below the surface. Ground‐penetrating radar (GPR) has been used for non‐destructive identi?cation and mapping of soil pipes in blanket peat catchments. While GPR can identify subsurface cavities, it cannot alone determine hydrological connectivity between one cavity and another. This paper presents results from an experiment to test the ability of GPR to establish hydrological connectivity between pipes through use of a tracer solution. Sodium chloride was injected into pipe cavities previously detected by the radar. The GPR was placed downslope of the injection points and positioned on the ground directly above detected soil pipes. The resultant radargrams showed signi?cant changes in re?ectance from some cavities and no change from others. Pipe waters were sampled in order to check the radar results. Changes in electrical conductivity of the pipe water could be detected by the GPR, without data post‐processing, when background levels were increased by more than approximately twofold. It was thus possible to rapidly determine hydrological connectivity of soil pipes within dense pipe networks across hillslopes without ground disturbance. It was also possible to remotely measure travel times through pipe systems; the passing of the salt wave below the GPR produced an easily detectable signal on the radargram which required no post‐processing. The technique should allow remote sensing of water sources and sinks for soil pipes below the surface. The improved understanding of ?owpath connectivity will be important for understanding water delivery, solutional and particulate denudation, and hydrological and geomorphological model development. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Fundamental study on the response characteristics of drivers during an earthquake based on driving simulator experiments     

Yoshihisa Maruyama  Fumio Yamazaki 《地震工程与结构动力学》2004,33(6):775-792

After the 1995 Kobe earthquake, the expressway structures in Japan were retrofitted and they will not now be seriously damaged under a certain level of strong earthquake motion. However, the stability of a moving vehicle has not been investigated yet. It has been reported that drivers feel seismically induced vibrations, especially in the transverse direction of vehicles. Owing to this phenomenon, drivers have some difficulty in controlling the vehicles during strong shaking. For further safety promotion of the expressway networks, it is important to understand the drivers' reactions to seismic motion. The present authors have performed a series of seismic response analyses of a moving vehicle to investigate its response characteristics based on numerical simulation. However, the responses of the driver were not considered in the simulation process. In order to investigate the drivers' reactions during an earthquake, a series of virtual tests were conducted using a driving simulator. This driving simulator has six servomotor‐powered electric actuators that control its motions. Several types of tests were carried out for different examinees to investigate drivers' responses while controlling the simulator under seismic motion. The results of this study showed that a larger response time lag to strong shaking and over turning of the steering wheel may shift the vehicle into the next lane. According to this finding, trafficaccidents could possibly occur under strong ground shaking in the case of heavy traffic. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献