东南沿海地震形势分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

彭美凤  林世敏 《地震》1996,16(2):197-201

研究１９００年以来东南沿海地震活动序特征，并进行了地震活动分幕，结果表明，１９８６年开始进入了本世纪以来的第Ｖ地震活跃幕，本活跃幕将延至２０００年左右，期间有发生６级左右地震的危险，最大可能的发震区是闽粤交界及其沿海地区。  相似文献   

“广义信息维”在首都圈地震中期预报中的应用     

陈绍绪  李淑莲 《地震》1996,16(3):249-254

给出了“广义信息维”的计算公式和计算方法，研究了首都圈和周期地区的广义时间分维和华北地区的广义空间分维。结果表明，在该地区Ｍｓ≥５．３地震前０．５－３ａ，时间分维都有一个较明显的降维过程；空间分维也有较好的对应效果，但是存在漏现象。  相似文献   

云南普洱地区6级以上地震前的Y值异常特征   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

陈学忠  宋治平 《地震研究》1996,19(4):352-356

本利用加卸载响应比方法研究了云南省普洱地区ＭＬ６．０级以上地震前的加卸载响应比随时间的变化，计算了这个地区近期的加卸载响应比，结果显示，普洱地区６级以上地震前Ｙ值出现明显异常，近期的Ｙ值显异常，表明该地区或在以其为中心方圆１００－２００公里的区域内在１９９５年或稍长时间内发生６．０级以上的地震的可能性很大。  相似文献   

华北地区地震立交成因研究及山西地震带强震预测     

郭星全  王玲英  王跃杰 《高原地震》1996,(3)

利用立交模式的原理，对华北地区历史地震进行了回顾性检验，并对山西地震带具有立交成因的强震危险地区进行了预测。结果表明太原盆地南端、大同盆地南端和北端、忻定盆地中段是可能孕育大震的地区。  相似文献   

通渭温泉水汞映震能力的初步分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

景世林  李佐唐  李彤起 《高原地震》1996,(3)

介绍了通渭温泉观测点的基本情况，分析了水汞测量中的干扰因素，对水汞异常与地震的对应关系作了探讨。  相似文献   

有序性分析与新疆7级强震预测     

王兰英  门可佩 《高原地震》1996,(4)

自然数可以视为反映世界客观本质的一种重要秩序，即信息，它不因加法处理而失真［１］。强地震在一定的时空范围内重复出现的现象称为有序性。自１７１６年以来，新疆及其邻区７级以上强震在时间上具有良好的有序性，有些强震在空间上亦表现出一定的有序性。强地震时间间隔值以６０、３０、４１、１９和１１年占据主导分布，并且相互之间关系密切。根据强震活动的有序性结构可进行预测：该地区未来Ｍ≥７强震可能发生在２００４年和２０１５年前后。  相似文献   

The　relationships　between　earthquakes　and　positions　of　the　sun　and　moon（Ⅱ）——Sometemporalcharacteristicsoftheaftershocksequencesofstrongearthquakes     

高伟  刘蒲雄  许绍燮  彭克银  吕晓健 《地震学报(英文版)》1996,(3)

Ｔｈｅｒｅｌａｔｉｏｎｓｈｉｐｓｂｅｔｗｅｎｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓａｎｄｐｏｓｉｔｉｏｎｓｏｆｔｈｅｓｕｎａｎｄｍｏｏｎ（Ⅱ）——Ｓｏｍｅｔｅｍｐｏｒａｌｃｈａｒａｃｔｅｒｉｓｔｉｃｓｏｆｔｈｅａｆｔｅｒｓｈｏｃｋｓｅｑｕｅｎｃｅｓｏｆｓｔｒｏｎｇｅ...  相似文献   

Research　on　the　seismotectonics　of　the　Jan－uary　17，1995　Hanshin　M7．2　earthquake   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

韩竹君  任伏虎  小川雄二郎  谷口仁士 《地震学报(英文版)》1996,(4)

ＲｅｓｅａｒｃｈｏｎｔｈｅｓｅｉｓｍｏｔｅｃｔｏｎｉｃｓｏｆｔｈｅＪａｎ┐ｕａｒｙ１７，１９９５ＨａｎｓｈｉｎＭ７．２ｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅＺＨＵ－ＪＵＮＨＡＮ１）（韩竹君），ＦＵ－ＨＵＲＥＮ２）（任伏虎），ＹｕｊｉｒｏＯｇａｗａ２）（小川雄二郎）ａ...  相似文献   

Seismic anisotropy beneath Tibet: evidence for eastward extrusion of the Tibetan lithosphere?   总被引：11，自引：0，他引：11  

J. Lav    J.P. Avouac  R. Lacassin  P. Tapponnier  J.P. Montagner 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1996,140(1-4):83-96

Strong seismic anisotropy beneath Tibet has recently been reported from the study of SKS shear wave splitting. The fast split waves are generally polarized in an easterly direction, close to the present day direction of motion of the Tibetan crust relative to stable Eurasia, as deduced from Holocene slip rates on the major active faults in and around Tibet. This correlation may be taken to suggest that the whole Tibetan lithosphere is being extruded in front of indenting India and that the anisotropic layer is the deforming asthenosphere, that accommodates the motion of the Tibetan lithosphere relative to the fixed mantle at depth. Uncertainties about this motion are at present too large to bring unambiguous support to that view. Assuming that this view is correct however, a simple forward model is used to compute theoretical delay times as a function of the thickness of the anisotropic layer. The observed delay times would require a 50–100 km thick anisotropic layer beneath south-central Tibet and an over 200 km thick layer beneath north-central Tibet, where particularly hot asthenosphere has been inferred. This study suggests that the asthenospheric anisotropy due to present absolute block motion might be dominant under actively deforming continents.  相似文献   

Astronomical calibration of the Matuyama-Brunhes boundary: Consequences for magnetic remanence acquisition in marine carbonates and the Asian loess sequences   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

L. Tauxe  T. Herbert  N.J. Shackleton  Y.S. Kok 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1996,140(1-4):133-146

We have compiled 19 records from marine carbonate cores in which the Matuyama-Brunhes boundary (MBB) has been reasonably well constrained within the astronomically forced stratigraphic framework using oxygen isotopes. By correlation of the δ¹⁸O data to a timescale based on astronomical forcing, we estimate astronomical ages for each of the MBB horizons. In all but one record the MBB occurs within Stage 19.

Most magnetostratigraphic sections in Asian Loess place the MBB within a loess interval. Since loess deposition is presumed to be associated with glacial intervals, loess horizons should correspond to even-numbered oxygen isotope stages. A glacial age for the MBB is at odds with the results presented here, which firmly place the MBB within interglacial Stage 19. Inconsistency among the many loess sections and between the loess and the marine records suggests that the magnetic interpretation of loess sections may be more complicated than hitherto supposed.

The mean of the Stage 19 age estimates for the MBB is 777.9 ± 1.8 (N = 18). Inclusion of the single Stage 20 age results in a mean of 778.8 ± 2.5 (N = 19). The astronomical age estimate of the MBB compares favorably with an (unweighted) mean of 778.2 ± 3.5 (N = 10) from a compilation of ⁴⁰Ar/39^Ar results of transitional lava flows. Combining the two independent data sets yields a grand mean of 778.0 ± 1.7 (N = 28).

The new compilation shows virtually no trend in placement of the MBB within isotope Stage 19 as a function of sediment accumulation rate. We interpret this to mean that the average depth of remanence acquisition is within a few centimeters of the sediment-water interface.

Separating the cores into two geographic regions (an Indo-Pacific-Caribbean [IPC] Group and an Atlantic Group) results in a significant difference in the position of the mid-point of the reversal with respect to the astronomical time scale. The data presented here suggest a difference of several thousand years between the two regions. This observation could be caused by systematic differences between the two regions in sedimentation rate within the interval of interest, systematic differences in remanence acquisition, or by genuine differences in the timing of the directional changes between the two regions.  相似文献