沙尘暴常规观测资料中若干问题的解析   总被引：3，自引：2，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

周自江  艾 《应用气象学报》2004,15(Z1):60-67

沙尘暴常规观测资料主要来自地面气象观测系统,是揭示沙尘暴的时空分布特征和变化规律的重要基础,其内在属性明显地受到地面气象观测规范和统计规范的制约,而且同样明显地受到两个规范变革的影响,但是这些问题在以往的沙尘暴研究中没有引起足够的重视,常常被忽视掉了,因此最终形成了一些似是而非的认识.该文从中国沙尘暴的观测规范和统计规范入手,探讨了其变革对沙尘暴内在统计特征的影响.另外,文章还分析了沙尘暴与其它沙尘天气的同日出现问题,以及沙尘暴资料时间序列的统计分布特征.  相似文献   

Late Quaternary chironomid community structure shaped by rate and magnitude of climate change     

Roseanna J. Mayfield  Peter G. Langdon  C. Patrick Doncaster  John A. Dearing  Rong Wang  Gaute Velle  Kimberley L. Davies  Stephen J. Brooks 《第四纪科学杂志》2021,36(3):360-376

Much is known about how climate change impacts ecosystem richness and turnover, but we have less understanding of its influence on ecosystem structures. Here, we use ecological metrics (beta diversity, compositional disorder and network skewness) to quantify the community structural responses of temperature-sensitive chironomids (Diptera: Chironomidae) during the Late Glacial (14 700–11 700 cal a bp ) and Holocene (11 700 cal a bp to present). Analyses demonstrate high turnover (beta diversity) of chironomid composition across both epochs; however, structural metrics stayed relatively intact. Compositional disorder and skewness show greatest structural change in the Younger Dryas, following the rapid, high-magnitude climate change at the Bølling–Allerød to Younger Dryas transition. There were fewer climate-related structural changes across the early to mid–late Holocene, where climate change was more gradual and lower in magnitude. The reduced impact on structural metrics could be due to greater functional resilience provided by the wider chironomid community, or to the replacement of same functional-type taxa in the network structure. These results provide insight into how future rapid climate change may alter chironomid communities and could suggest that while turnover may remain high under a rapidly warming climate, community structural dynamics retain some resilience.  相似文献   

p—范分布的近似表示   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

孙海燕 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》2001,26(3):222-225

p-范分布是一个包含拉普拉斯分布、正态分析、均匀分布等常见分布的分布族。用p-范分布描述观测误差的统计特性，只需假定误差的分布为单峰、对称，因此、p-范分布似然平差可以避免事先假定误差的具体分布模式，而在平差过程中确定未知参数及误差的分布具有自适应的特点。但是p-范分布的密度函数比较复杂，不利于理论分析和实际应用。 的研究表明，p-范分布可以近似地表示为拉普拉斯分布与正态分析或正态分布均均匀分布的线性组全。p-范分布与本文给出的近似分布具有相的前四阶矩。由于拉普拉斯分布。正态分布。均匀分布的密度函数都比较简单，用近似分布代替p-范分布会使相关的问题得到简化。  相似文献   

暴雨和降水偏态系数分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

王家祁  姚惠明  关铁生 《水科学进展》2006,17(3):365-370

采用统一的统计参数计算方法分析计算了全国0.51万~1.36万个雨量站历时为10 min~3 d的暴雨资料、210个站历时为1 d~90 d和1 a的降水资料的偏态系数和变差系数比值R_sv。探讨了皮尔逊Ⅲ型频率分布曲线的R_sv特性;分析了R_sv的地域分布、R_sv与雨量历时的关系,并研究了对R_sv有影响的多个因子。研究表明,在目前资料条件下,不宜对各个地区各种历时的暴雨频率分析均采用单一的R_sv值(3.5)。  相似文献   

Small Target Extraction Based on Independent Component Analysis for Hyperspectral Imagery   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

LU Wei YU Xuchu 《地球空间信息科学学报》2006,9(2):103-107

IntroductionFeature extraction or transformation is a key stepfor target detection in hyperspectral imagery. Thepurpose is to transform the high-dimensional imageinto low-dimensional image series so that the differ-ences between the targets and the backgr…  相似文献   

Onshore sandbar migration at Tairua Beach (New Zealand): Numerical simulations and field measurements   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

B. van Maanen  P.J. de Ruiter  Giovanni Coco  K.R. Bryan  B.G. Ruessink 《Marine Geology》2008,253(3-4):99-106

We observed the onshore migration (3.5 m/day) of a nearshore sandbar at Tairua Beach, New Zealand during 4 days of low-energy wave conditions. The morphological observations, together with concurrent measurements of waves and suspended sediment concentrations, were used to test a coupled, wave-averaged, cross-shore model. Because of the coarse bed material and the relatively low-energy conditions, the contribution of the suspended transport to the total transport was predicted and observed to be negligible. The model predicted the bar to move onshore because of the feedback between near-bed wave skewness, bedload, and the sandbar under weakly to non-breaking conditions at high tide. The predicted bathymetric evolution contrasts, however, with the observations that the bar migrated onshore predominantly at low tide. Also, the model flattened the bar, while in the observations the sandbar retained its steep landward-facing flank. A comparison between available observations and numerical simulations suggests that onshore propagating surf zone bores in very shallow water (< 0.25 m) may have been responsible for most of the observed bar behaviour. These processes are missing from the applied model and, given that the observed conditions can be considered typical of very shallow sandbars, highlight a priority for further field study and model development. The possibility that the excess water transported by the bores across the bar was channelled alongshore to near-by rip-channels further implies that traditional cross-shore measures to judge the applicability of a cross-shore morphodynamic model may be misleading.  相似文献   

河口往复流中潮流不对称与推移质输沙的关系   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李谊纯  董德信  陈波 《海洋科学》2015,39(6):99-103

潮流不对称现象是近岸潮波运动的基本特征之一,为了研究潮流不对称对推移质泥沙长期净输运的作用机制,首先在往复流情况下对Bagnold推移质输沙率公式(1966)由于不包含起动流速所可能导致的误差进行理论分析,进而由统计学中的"偏度"的概念出发,推导了河口潮流不对称与推移质输沙之间的定量关系。研究认为,虽然Bagnold推移质输沙率公式不包含泥沙起动流速,但是只要泥沙起动流速和最大流速的比值在一定范围内,则在理论上公式的计算误差是可以接受的。由偏度结合Bagnold公式导出了潮流不对称与推移质输沙之间的关系,表明推移质泥沙的长期净输运不仅与余流有关,而且与不同分潮组合之间、余流与分潮之间的相互作用紧密相关。该关系还给出了一个由潮流调和常数估算河口推移质输沙的简便方法。经对比,从潮流不对称出发估算推移质输沙与直接采用推移质输沙率公式结果一致。  相似文献   

崎岖列岛海域沉积物粒度特征比较研究     

李玉中 《海洋地质前沿》2014,30(5):1-8

崎岖列岛海域表层沉积物平均粒径在0.1~0.2mm之间的细砂通常具有较好的分选性,平均粒径细于4Φ的沉积物通常分选性较差;平均粒径在4.5Φ~7.5Φ的沉积物通常表现为正偏态,且粒度越粗,偏度越正偏;平均粒径粗于4Φ的砂质沉积物偏度无显著的正偏或负偏倾向;崎岖列岛海域中值粒径位于4Φ~5Φ的样品数较少,因该粒级位于悬移质与跃移质之间。  相似文献   

基于Kriging方法的负偏态分布数据的空间插值研究     

黄静  王爱倩  翟世龙 《测绘工程》2015,(8):16-19

Kriging插值方法的前提是数据符合或基本符合正态分布的假设,或通过对非正态数据进行正态变换,使其满足要求。但对于拖尾的负偏态分布数据,正态变换方法无法奏效,若直接对数据进行Kriging插值,精度较低。文中在对样本数据深入分析的基础上,借助GIS平台,从不同透视角度对数据进行趋势分析,利用二次多项式模型对数据进行全局趋势拟合,并对随机的短程变异进行Kriging插值,选取不同的变异函数模型进行拟合比较,最终确定最优的模型参数,达到较为理想的插值结果。  相似文献   

Analysis of stochastic characteristics of the Benue River flow process     

李致家 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2008,26(2):142-151

Stochastic characteristics of the Benue River streamflow process are examined under conditions of data austerity. The streamflow process is investigated for trend, non-stationarity and seasonality for a time period of 26 years. Results of trend analyses with Mann-Kendall test show that there is no trend in the annual mean discharges. Monthly flow series examined with seasonal Kendall test indicate the presence of positive change in the trend for some months, especially the months of August, January, and February. For the stationarity test, daily and monthly flow series appear to be stationary whereas at 1%, 5%, and 10% significant levels, the stationarity alternative hypothesis is rejected for the annual flow series. Though monthly flow appears to be stationary going by this test, because of high seasonality, it could be said to exhibit periodic stationarity based on the seasonality analysis. The following conclusions are drawn： （1） There is seasonality in both the mean and variance with unimodal distribution. （2） Days with high mean also have high variance. （3） Skewness coefficients for the months within the dry season period are greater than those of the wet season period, and seasonal autocorrelations for streamflow during dry season are generally larger than those of the wet season. Precisely, they are significantly different for most of the months. （4） The autocorrelation functions estimated ＂over time＂ are greater in the absolute value for data that have not been deseasonalised but were initially normalised by logarithmic transformation only, while autocorrelation functions for i = 1, 2 365 estimated ＂over realisations＂ have their coefficients significantly different from other coefficients.  相似文献