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31.
单键群方法与昆仑山—阿尔金山弧型构造顶部地震时空群集特征 总被引:9,自引:2,他引:9
本文以单键群分析方法为基础,进行以下研究;1.对一个地区的地震目录进行分析得到特征键开,并用其对该区地震的时空群集性和离散性进行分析,进而建立分类子目录,以便作针对性的细致处理;2.定义了几个描述SLC构架特点的参数,发展和实现了按时间逐段滑移计算SLC构架和这些参数的办法及程序,考察这些参数随时间的变化;3.用以上各软件处理昆仑山阿尔金山弧型顶部区域的地震目录,得到了一些有意义的结果。 相似文献
32.
Witold Dzwinel David Yuen Yoshihiro Kaneko Krzysztof Boryczko Yehuda Ben-Zion 《Visual Geosciences》2003,8(1):1-32
We use modern and novel techniques to study the problems associated with detection and analysis of multitudinous seismic events, which form the background for isolated great earthquakes. This new approach involves multivariate analysis of low and large magnitude events recorded in space over a couple of centuries in time. We propose here the deployment of the clustering scheme both for extracting small local structures and large-scale trends in synthetic data obtained from four numerically simulated models with: uniform properties (U), a Parkfield-type asperity (A), fractal brittle properties (F), and multi-size-heterogeneity fault zone (M). The mutual nearest neighbor (mnn) clustering scheme allows for extraction of multi-resolutional seismic anomalies in both the spatio-temporal and multi-dimensional feature space. We demonstrate that the large earthquakes are correlated with a certain pathway of smaller events. Visualization of the anomalies by using a recently introduced visualization package Amira reveals clearly the spatio-temporal relationships between clusters of small, medium and large earthquakes, indicating significant stress relaxation across the entire fault region. We demonstrate that this mnn scheme can extract distinct clusters of the smallest events, which precede and follow a singularly large magnitude earthquake. These clusters form larger spatio-temporal structures comprising a series of large earthquakes. The link between the large and medium magnitude events is not so clearly understood. Short-ranged correlations are dominated by strong spatio-temporal anomalies, thus reflecting the global seismic properties of the entire fault zone.Electronic Supplementary Material Supplementary material is available for this article if you access the article at . A link in the frame on the left on that page takes you directly to the supplementary material. 相似文献
33.
Patterns in the spatial distribution of Peruvian anchovy (Engraulis ringens) revealed by spatially explicit fishing data 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Peruvian anchovy (Engraulis ringens) stock abundance is tightly driven by the high and unpredictable variability of the Humboldt Current Ecosystem. Management of the fishery therefore cannot rely on mid- or long-term management policy alone but needs to be adaptive at relatively short time scales. Regular acoustic surveys are performed on the stock at intervals of 2 to 4 times a year, but there is a need for more time continuous monitoring indicators to ensure that management can respond at suitable time scales. Existing literature suggests that spatially explicit data on the location of fishing activities could be used as a proxy for target stock distribution. Spatially explicit commercial fishing data could therefore guide adaptive management decisions at shorter time scales than is possible through scientific stock surveys. In this study we therefore aim to (1) estimate the position of fishing operations for the entire fleet of Peruvian anchovy purse–seiners using the Peruvian satellite vessel monitoring system (VMS), and (2) quantify the extent to which the distribution of purse–seine sets describes anchovy distribution. To estimate fishing set positions from vessel tracks derived from VMS data we developed a methodology based on artificial neural networks (ANN) trained on a sample of fishing trips with known fishing set positions (exact fishing positions are known for approximately 1.5% of the fleet from an at-sea observer program). The ANN correctly identified 83% of the real fishing sets and largely outperformed comparative linear models. This network is then used to forecast fishing operations for those trips where no observers were onboard. To quantify the extent to which fishing set distribution was correlated to stock distribution we compared three metrics describing features of the distributions (the mean distance to the coast, the total area of distribution, and a clustering index) for concomitant acoustic survey observations and fishing set positions identified from VMS. For two of these metrics (mean distance to the coast and clustering index), fishing and survey data were significantly correlated. We conclude that the location of purse–seine fishing sets yields significant and valuable information on the distribution of the Peruvian anchovy stock and ultimately on its vulnerability to the fishery. For example, a high concentration of sets in the near coastal zone could potentially be used as a warning signal of high levels of stock vulnerability and trigger appropriate management measures aimed at reducing fishing effort. 相似文献
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35.
This paper provides an empirical framework that applies spatial statistics methods to assess the relation between the change
in the geographical clustering of firms and the emergence of urban form. We contend that where firms locate and eventually
cluster give rise to the way commercial and industrial land uses are organized over space, which in turn defines the shape
of urban form. Accordingly, the objectives of our work are twofold: (1) to identify the extent and shape of firm clustering
and co-location at the intra-metropolitan level, and (2) examine how the change in the geographic clustering of different
industries contributes to decentralization and the evolution of urban form. Spatial statistics methods and tools were vital
and helped to fulfill these objectives.
相似文献
36.
基于密度峰值聚类的中尺度涡轨迹自动追踪方法 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
中尺度涡信息的提取包括涡旋的识别和轨迹追踪,其自动识别与追踪对于基于海量数据的中尺度涡分析十分重要。传统涡旋轨迹自动追踪方法一般需要预先设定搜索半径的阈值,存在一定的主观性。针对传统中尺度涡轨迹追踪方法存在的问题,论文从聚类的角度出发,提出基于密度峰值聚类算法实现对涡旋轨迹的自动追踪,并以南海中尺度涡追踪为例,将基于聚类的追踪算法与传统的相似度追踪算法进行比较分析。结果表明:(1)基于密度峰值聚类算法,可实现对海洋中尺度涡的自动追踪,该算法涡旋追踪准确率优于传统相似度算法;(2)该涡旋追踪算法对资料的完整性依赖度较低,特别是对于存在部分缺损数据的情况仍能较准确追踪;(3)该追踪算法克服了传统涡旋追踪算法需要预先设定搜索半径阈值的问题,自适应性更强。 相似文献
37.
Biogeography and phenology of satellite-measured phytoplankton seasonality in the California current
Thirteen years (1998–2010) of satellite-measured chlorophyll a are used to establish spatial patterns in climatological phytoplankton biomass seasonality across the California Current System (CCS) and its interannual variability. Multivariate clustering based on the shape of the local climatological seasonal cycle divides the study area into four groups: two with spring-summer maxima representing the northern and southern coastal upwelling zones, one with a summer minimum offshore in mid-latitudes and a fourth with very weak seasonality in between. Multivariate clustering on the seasonal cycles from all 13 years produces the same four seasonal cycle types and provides a view of the interannual variability in seasonal biogeography. Over the study period these seasonal cycles generally appear in similar locations as the climatological clusters. However, considerable interannual variability in the geography of the seasonal cycles is evident across the CCS, the most spatially extensive of which are associated with the 1997–1999 El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) signal and the 2005 delayed spring transition off the Oregon and northern and central California coasts. We quantify linear trends over the study period in the seasonal timing of the two seasonal cycles that represent the biologically productive coastal upwelling zones using four different metrics of phenology. In the northern upwelling region, the date of the spring maximum is delaying (1.34 days yr−1) and the central tendency of the summer elevated chlorophyll period is advancing (0.63 days yr−1). In the southern coastal upwelling region, both the initiation and cessation of the spring maximum are delaying (1.78 days yr−1 and 2.44 days yr−1, respectively) and the peak is increasing in duration over the study period. Connections between observed interannual shifts in phytoplankton seasonality and physical forcing, expressed as either basin-scale climate signals or local forcing, show phytoplankton seasonality in the CCS to be influenced by changes in the seasonality of the wind mixing power offshore, coastal upwelling in the near-shore regions and basin-scale signals such as ENSO across the study area. 相似文献
38.
Multi-period calibration of a semi-distributed hydrological model based on hydroclimatic clustering 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Changing climatic conditions contribute to a time varying nature of hydrological responses over different temporal scales. The temporal dynamics of hydrological systems bring uncertainties into hydrological simulation which are different to uncertainties from spatial heterogeneity of soil and land use. This study develops a new approach to improve the calibration of hydrological based on hydroclimatic similarities. Six climatic indexes are integrated using Principal Component Analysis and Fuzzy C-mean Clustering methods to transform hydrological years into hydroclimatic periods. Parameter sets of SWAT model are calibrated independently for each period and used together to generate continuous simulation for a prairie watershed in southern Canada. Results indicate that the multi-period model exhibits comprehensive advantages over the traditional single-period model under various flow conditions. The simulation ability of the model is improved through using period-specific parameter sets in fitting the observations to compensate for deficiencies in the model structure or input data. 相似文献
39.
40.
致密砂岩流体识别难度大,智能算法能够较好地建立其流体识别模型.相较于单一智能算法,分类委员会机器通过联合多个专家(智能算法)有助于提升智能模型整体性能.而针对分类委员会机器中单个专家性能难以提升的问题,添加门网络构建动态分类委员会机器是一种更有效的模块化学习方式.本研究首先采用门网络将输入数据划分为多个子数据集,然后联合决策树、概率神经网络、贝叶斯分类、BP神经网络、最近邻算法分别训练子数据集得到多个子模型,最后利用组合器最优化子模型组合得到最佳的流体识别模型.针对塔里木盆地库车坳陷大北、克深、博孜地区致密砂岩地层测井数据和测试数据,采用平均影响值法优选敏感测井系列作为输入,构建了动态的测井流体识别模型,其训练、验证准确率分别为96.29%和91.39%.利用此模型以BZ9井为例进行流体类型判别,预测结果与测试结果一致.该方法将无监督与有监督学习相结合,引入门网络提高了数据集利用效率,避免了数据集分布不均衡对模型构建的影响;采用投票机制集成多种专家,建立了子模型与专家的适应关系,流体识别模型预测精度和泛化能力大大提高. 相似文献