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31.
Correlation census shows that the correlation between the tree-ring chronologies in theUrumqi River Basin and precipitation during July in the last year to February in the concurrent yearis significant,and the best single correlation coefficient is 0.74,with significance level of 0.0001.Using two residual chronologies collected from west Baiyanggou and Boerqingou,precipitation for348 years can be reconstructed in the North Slope of middle Tianshan Mountains,its explainedvariance is 62%.According to much verification from independent precipitation data,historicalclimate records,glacier and other data.it shows that the reconstructed precipitation series of 348years is reliable.Analysis of precipitation features indicates that there were three wet periodsoccurring during 1671(?)—1692,1716—1794 and 1825—1866 and three dry periods during 1693—1715,1795—1824 and 1867—1969.Two wet periods,during 1716—1794 and 1825—1866,correspond to the times of the second and the third glacial terminal moraine formation,which is infront of No.1 glacier in Urumqi River source.According to computation,corresponding annualprecipitation amounts are 59mm and 30mm more than now.The reconstructed precipitation serieshas a significant drying trend from 1716 to 1969.and has better representativeness to theprecipitation of Urumqi and Changji Prefecture on the North Slope of Tianshan Mountains.  相似文献   
32.
The paper discusses quantitatively the influence of the Yutian MS7.4 earthquake of March 21,2008 and Wuqia MS6.9 earthquake of October 5,2008 on regional seismicity in Xinjiang,and explains primarily the possible reason of earthquake activity feature in Xinjiang after the Yutian MS7.4 earthquake by analyzing the static Coulomb failure stress change produced by the Yutian MS7.4 earthquake and Wuqia MS6.9 earthquake,and the seismicity feature of MS≥3 earthquakes in the positive Coulomb stress change region of...  相似文献   
33.
塔里木板块巴楚隆起区寒武系盐下勘探潜力分析   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
巴楚隆起区主体部位的寒武系多为典型浅水局限台地蒸发相、潟湖相沉积,因此不存在与柯坪地块露头区玉尔吐斯组类似的黑色优质烃源岩,仅为含石膏泥质白云岩或白云质泥岩型烃源岩。生烃和排烃过程发生于加里东晚期—海西晚期,储层以微晶白云岩为主,残余颗粒白云岩次之。理想勘探区块位于潟湖边缘斜坡带及后期构造作用较强的断裂带,下部烃源岩与下—中寒武统盐岩—石膏层构成良好的储—盖组合,具备油气成藏基本条件。以巴什托—先巴扎构造带与康塔库木构造带、古董山构造带—卡拉沙依构造带北段间夹区块、和田1井构造带最具优势勘探潜力。  相似文献   
34.
Based on the runoff and meteorological data of Langan(兰干) Hydrological Station from 1957 to 2009 in Keriya(克里雅) River,the periodicities,abrupt changes,and trends of climate factors and runoff were investigated by wavelet analysis and nonparametric test;then,the future change of the annual runoff was predicted by a periodic trend superposition model.In succession,the influencing volumes of climate change on the annual runoff were separated from the observation values of the an-nual runoff in Keriya River.The...  相似文献   
35.
阿尔金断裂乌尊硝段的现今活动速率   总被引:11,自引:1,他引:10  
利用GPS和水准观测资料 ,对阿尔金断裂的现今活动速率进行研究。阿尔金断裂西段的活动水平普遍高于东段 ,水平分量存在自西往东减弱的趋势。乌尊硝段左旋走滑的断错地貌极为发育。GPS测量表明乌尊硝段断裂相对左旋运动 ,目前最大的走滑速率是 (9± 5 )mm/a ,和东段安南坝附近的观测结果一致。水准测量反映断裂附近并无明显抬升 ,垂直断裂的最大水平缩短速率在 (3± 1)mm/a以下 ,说明阿尔金断裂现今仍以水平运动为主  相似文献   
36.
通过对吉木萨尔县大龙口非海相二叠系-三叠系界线上下地层磁性特征的研究,在梧桐沟组-锅底坑组共发现78个极性异常,其中以负极性为主,间隔了一系列的正极性和过渡极性.梧桐沟组上部以负极性为主,间隔了2个正极性和过渡极性.这可与巴基斯坦盐岭和四川广元上寺的大隆组下部对比,即相当于Da段.梧桐沟组顶部和锅底坑组底部,正、负极性变化频繁,极性特征可与巴基斯坦盐岭和四川广元上寺大隆组中部对比,即相当于Db段.锅底坑组下部以负极性为主,间隔了2个正极性段,可与四川广元上寺大隆组中上部对比,即相当于Dc段.锅底坑组中下部以负极性为主,上部夹1个正极性段,可与四川广元上寺大隆组上部磁性特征对比,即相当于Dd段.锅底坑组中上部以负极性为主,间隔了4个正极性段,可与四川广元上寺飞仙关组下部对比,即相当于Fa段.根据磁性段的划分对比,将二叠系三叠系界线置于Fa和Dd之间,即本次研究测制剖面的41层和42层之间.根据各岩组的古地磁特征求得岩组形成时的古地磁极:梧桐沟组79.1°N,238.1°;锅底坑组72.3°N,322.2°;下三叠统77.5°N,320.8°.古纬度基本一致,为32°~35°N.  相似文献   
37.
改进模拟退火法在估计河流水质参数中的应用   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
将模拟退火法应用于求解分析河流水团示踪试验数据,确定河流水质参数的函数优化问题。针对标准SA算法收敛速度缓慢的弱点,采取了增加附加约束条件、设置内阈值提前降温和增加记忆功能等综合措施对算法进行了改进。算例表明,综合改进措施能够明显地提高算法收敛速度,并可以得到满意的参数计算结果。计算结果也表明,内循环次数不会对外循环次数产生明显的影响。由于算法对目标函数没有附加要求,而且算法的收敛性与待估参数的初值无关,因此,改进SA算法在分析河流水质试验数据、确定水质参数方面.将会具有非常广的应用范围。  相似文献   
38.
新疆准噶尔盆地边缘部分地段生态环境特征   总被引:8,自引:11,他引:8  
新疆准噶尔盆地边缘部分地段降水少,蒸发量大,干旱多风,土壤肥力低和盐碱化较强,自然条件比较恶劣。但不同地貌单元自然条件又不尽相同,特别是土壤质地、盐分和养分的差异,导致植物群落发生相应变化。在水资源严重匮乏的情况下,植被整体呈现出群落组成简单、优势度高、多样性和覆盖度较低等特征。它们所构成的生态环境非常脆弱,敏感性很高,在水土开发和重大工程建设时必须充分注意这些特点。  相似文献   
39.
During the preparation process of a great earthquake, there are certain patterns of less randomness but more order in the space-time distribution of micro-earthquakes, which had been proved by seismic events and experiments. The information entropy concerning the dimension of the order in seismic distribution is systematically defined from the point of modern statistical physics in this paper. Relations of dynamic variations of information entropy with a strong shock occurrence time and the distribution of information with a strong shock occurrence place were approached through seismic data from the Wuqia, Xikar, Wushi, and Manasi regions in Xinjiang. It is indicated that before strong earthquakes, the value of information entropy often noticeably drops in seismic region, and generally much lower in the epicentral area than the surrounding regions. These two characters are of important significance in strong shock risk region determination and large shock tendency prediction.  相似文献   
40.
韩月鹏  吴秀莲 《内陆地震》1990,4(3):222-229
用定点形变观测的契氏预估方法对新疆9个地倾斜台的观测资料进行了外推预估计算。结果表明,契氏多项式拟合预估方法在新疆应用效果尚好。  相似文献   
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