A Study of the Extended-range Forecast for the Low Frequency Temperature and High Temperature Weather over the Lower Reaches of Yangtze River Valley in Summer     

Qiuming Yang 《地球科学进展》2018,33(4):385-395

Based on the observational data, the variations of Intraseasonal Oscillation (ISO) of the daily temperatures and its relationships to the high temperature in summer over the lower reaches of the Yangtze River Valley (LYRV) were studied for the period of 1979-2011. It is found that the daily temperatures over LYRV in May-August was mainly of periodic oscillations of 1525, 3060 and 6070 days, and the interannual variation of the intensity of its 3060-day oscillation had a strongly positive correlation with the number of days with daily highest temperature over 35 ℃ in July-August. Low frequency components of daily temperature in the LYRV, and the principal components of the Eastern Asian 850 hPa low frequency temperature, over a time period ranging from 1979 to 2000, were used to establish the Extended Complex Autoregressive model (ECAR) on an extended-range forecast of the 3060-day low frequency temperature over the LYRV. A 11-year independent real-time extended-range forecast was conducted on the extended-range forecast of low frequency component of the temperature over the LYRV in May-August, for the period ranging from 2001 to 2011. These experimental results show that this ECAR model, which is based on a data-driven model, has a good forecast skill at the lead time of approximately 23 days, with a forecast ability superior to the traditional autoregressive (AR) model. Hence, the development and variation of the leading 3060-day modes for the Eastern Asian 850 hPa low frequency temperatures and temporal evolutions of their relationships to low frequency components of the temperature over the LYRV in summer are very helpful in predicting the persistent high temperature over the LYRV at a 20 to 25 days lead.  相似文献   

扬子地台东南缘下寒武统清虚洞组风暴沉积特征及其重要意义   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

郑斌嵩  牟传龙  梁薇  陈超 《地质学报》2018,92(7):1524-1540

在扬子地台东南缘,下寒武统龙王庙阶清虚洞组主要由浅水碳酸盐岩组成。在野外露头剖面实测和室内镜下薄片观察的基础上,大量风暴沉积被发现于不同剖面清虚洞组的不同层位中,同时大量风暴诱发形成的沉积构造被识别出来,包括侵蚀基底、粗粒滞留沉积、粒序层理、平行层理、丘状交错层理(少见并且值得怀疑)以及沙纹层理,组成了多种类型的风暴沉积序列。结合更靠扬子东南缘的深水剖面中重力流沉积的缺乏,可以推断早寒武世龙王庙期扬子地台的沉积模式为碳酸盐缓坡。结合风暴的形成机制以及清虚洞组风暴沉积的发育特征(尤其是粗粒滞留砾屑的定向排列和典型丘状交错层理的缺乏),可以推断研究区风暴沉积形成于强烈的冬季风暴作用,并且早寒武世龙王庙期华南的古地理位置应当位于中纬度地区,这一结论对一些著名的全球古地理重建方案提出了质疑。同时中纬度地区大规模发育蒸发岩和碳酸盐岩还佐证了寒武纪地球处于热室(Hothouse)时期。  相似文献   

Study of late-Mesozoic magmatic rocks and their related copper-gold-polymetallic deposits in the Guichi ore-cluster district,Lower Yangtze River Metallogenic Belt,East China     

Huangling Gu  Zhangxing Nie  Jianghong Deng  Liuan Duan  Qing Hu 《International Geology Review》2018,60(11-14):1404-1434

ABSTRACT

The Guichi ore-cluster district in the Lower Yangtze River Metallogenic Belt hosts extensive Cu–Au–Mo polymetallic deposits including the Tongshan Cu–Mo, Paodaoling Au, Matou Cu–Mo, Anzishan Cu–Mo, Guilinzheng Mo and Zhaceqiao Au deposits, mostly associated with the late Mesozoic magmatic rocks, which has been drawn to attention of study and exploration. However, the metallogenic relationship between magmatic rocks and the Cu–Au-polymetallic deposits is not well constrained. In this study, we report new zircon U–Pb ages, Hf isotopic, and geochemical data for the ore-bearing intrusions of Guichi region. LA-ICP-MS U–Pb ages for the Anzishan quartz diorite porphyrite is 143.9 ± 1.0 Ma. Integrated with previous geochronological data, these late Mesozoic magmatic rocks can be subdivided into two stages of magmatic activities. The first stage (150–132 Ma) is characterized by high-K calc-alkaline intrusions closely associated with Cu–Au polymetallic ore deposits. Whereas, the second stage (130–125 Ma) produced granites and syenites and is mainly characterized by shoshonite series that are related to Mo–Cu mineralization. The first stage of magmatic rocks is considered to be formed by partial melting of subducted Palaeo-Pacific Plate, assimilated with Yangtze lower crust and remelting Meso-Neoproterozoic crust/sediments. The second stage of magmatism is originated from partial melting of Mesoproterozoic-Neoproterozoic crust, mixed with juvenile crustal materials. The depression cross to the uplift zone of the Jiangnan Ancient Continent forms a gradual transition relation, and the hydrothermal mineralization composite with two stages have certain characteristics along the regional fault (Gaotan Fault). Guichi region results from two episodes of magmatism probably related to tectonic transition from subduction of Palaeo-Pacific Plate to back-arc extensional setting between 150 and 125 Ma, which lead to the Mesozoic large-scale polymetallic mineralization events in southeast China.  相似文献   

肥东杂岩的锆石U-Pb年龄及其地质意义——兼论下扬子地区新元古代岩浆活动历史     

李云剑  朱光  顾承串  张帅  刘程  牛漫兰  苏楠  肖世椰 《地质论评》2018,64(3):551-568

近年来在下扬子西缘地区厘定的一系列新元古代火成岩,为认识该区扬子板块新元古代岩浆活动历史与规律提供了窗口。结合本次与前人锆石U-Pb年代学数据,指示下扬子地区张八岭群、肥东杂岩与董岭杂岩内变火成岩的原岩时限分别为767~748 Ma、812~745 Ma和829~754 Ma。这些新元古代火成岩分别是峰期为750 Ma、800 Ma和825 Ma岩浆活动的产物。下扬子地区峰期为825 Ma的岩浆活动只出现在靠近江南造山带的南部。锆石年代学信息显示,下扬子地区还发生过峰期为840 Ma、2010 Ma和2454 Ma岩浆活动,但缺失1000~860 Ma的岩浆活动。通过区域对比表明,攀西—汉南弧没有延入下扬子地区。下扬子地区南部受到峰期为840 Ma的弧岩浆活动的影响。扬子板块上峰期为825 Ma的岩浆活动及早阶段的南华裂谷应是江南造山带后造山伸展的产物;而峰期为800 Ma和750 Ma的岩浆活动与相应的南华裂谷扩展,代表了Rodinia超大陆裂解的全面影响。  相似文献   

滇西云县地区团梁子岩组变质岩锆石U-Pb年龄及其构造意义   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

刘军平  胡绍斌  李静  孙柏东  孙载波  王伟  关学卿  徐桂香 《地质通报》2018,37(11):2079-2086

滇西云县—景洪一带广泛出露的中元古界团梁子岩组是一套与扬子基底岩系密切相关的中低变质沉积岩夹火山岩系,其形成时代、沉积充填序列及大地构造属性一直存在争议。出露于云县漫湾地区的团梁子岩组发育厚数米的绿片岩(原岩玄武岩)及绢云石英千枚岩(原岩流纹岩)。采集绢云石英千枚岩样品进行LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年,分别获得1497±14Ma的岩浆结晶年龄和893±17.3Ma、425±15.7Ma、321±27Ma的变质年龄。认为团梁子岩组中以绿片岩、绢云石英千枚岩为主体的原始沉积岩系形成于中元古代中期,在新元古代全球性的格林威尔造山过程中被青白口纪花岗岩侵入并发生变质作用;在古特提斯洋俯冲过程中,经历古生代造弧作用;同时还获单颗粒2310±15Ma的碎屑锆石,推测滇西云县地区应存在古元古代的结晶基底,由此可知,团梁子岩组应是扬子陆块褶皱基底岩系的组成部分。  相似文献   

扬子陆块西缘安益南华纪火山岩的厘定及其地质意义     

刘兵  李静  邓仁宏  熊波  关奇  李小军  刘军平  陈光艳  胡绍斌  张虎  李维科  曾文涛 《地质通报》2018,37(11):1980-1990

扬子陆块西缘安益大湾山地区出露一套由变质玄武岩等组成的变质基性火山岩,前人将其归为中元古界,并作为寻找磁铁矿的主要对象。调查发现,安益大湾山变质基性火山岩与下伏浅变质岩系间发育一套稳定沉积的砾岩。应用LA-ICP-MS技术对其底砾岩之上最底部的变质玄武岩进行了锆石U-Pb年龄测定,获得了781.3±1.9Ma的岩浆锆石~(206)Pb/~(238)U年龄加权平均值和1008±14Ma、1142±15Ma、2714±10Ma的继承性岩浆锆石~(207)Pb/~(206)Pb年龄,指示该套变质基性火山岩形成于南华纪,并将其从浅变质岩系中解离出来,对比为澄江组。继承性锆石年龄数据指示,扬子地块西缘安益地区存在新太古界和中元古界物质记录。结合前人研究成果和近来获得的年龄数据,将滇中澄江组的时代界定于820～740Ma,并将南华系的底界界定于820Ma。大湾山中-大型磁铁矿产于扬子地块西缘澄江组的变质基性火山岩中,其主成矿期为南华纪,可能属于热液氧化物-铜-金矿床。  相似文献   

基于潮汐动态淹没过程的长江口潮滩地形信息反演研究     

章敏  吴文挺  汪小钦  孙玉 《地球信息科学学报》2022,24(3):583-596

潮滩是陆地与海洋之间重要的生态过渡地带,具有复杂的生态过程和重要的服务功能。受陆海交互作用及人类活动的影响,潮滩处于高度动态变化过程中,而传统测绘技术受到潮滩可达性影响无法快速获取潮滩地形信息。为解决潮滩高程数据获取困难的问题,本文提出一种基于潮汐动态淹没过程和时序遥感影像的潮滩地形信息提取算法,利用K-means++聚类方法实现水域提取,并通过时序淹没特征计算潮滩淹没频率提取潮滩范围信息,最终综合区域潮汐特征反演潮滩地形。研究以崇明东滩为例,利用2016—2020年所有可用Sentinel-2和Landsat-8时序遥感影像,实现潮滩范围提取与高程反演,并通过实测高程数据进行精度验证。研究结果表明,潮滩范围提取总体精度为97.73%,F1_score为0.98;高程反演平均绝对误差为0.15 m,潮滩高程的反演精度与可用影像的数量呈正相关。研究利用该算法进一步反演长江口地区主要潮滩地形特征,结果表明区域内潮滩面积为346.93 km²,高程范围为1.00~3.84 m,且与现有潮滩范围数据集相比,本研究提取的长江口潮滩范围更为完整。该算法为潮滩地形的快速反演提供了可能,对潮滩资源动态监测和管理具有重要意义。  相似文献   

Monthly Variations of Atmospheric Circulations Associated with Haze Pollution in the Yangtze River Delta and North China     

Xinyu ZHANG  Zhicong YIN  Huijun WANG  Mingkeng DUAN 《大气科学进展》2021,38(4):569-580

Haze pollution in early winter(December and January) in the Yangtze River Delta(YRD) and in North China(NC)are both severe;however, their monthly variations are significantly different. In this study, the dominant large-scale atmospheric circulations and local meteorological conditions were investigated and compared over the YRD and NC in each month. Results showed that the YRD(NC) is dominated by the so-called Scandinavia(East Atlantic/West Russia)pattern in December, and these circulations weaken in January. The East Asian December and January monsoons over the YRD and NC have negative correlations with the number of haze days. The local descending motion facilitates less removal of haze pollution over the YRD, while the local ascending motion facilitates less removal of haze pollution over NC in January, despite a weaker relationship in December. Additionally, the monthly variations of atmospheric circulations showed that adverse meteorological conditions restrict the vertical(horizontal) dispersion of haze pollution in December(January) over the YRD, while the associated local weather conditions are similar in these two months over NC.  相似文献   

Seasonal Variations of CH_4 Emissions in the Yangtze River Delta Region of China Are Driven by Agricultural Activities     

Wenjing HUANG  Timothy J. GRIFFIS  Cheng HU  Wei XIAO  Xuhui LEE 《大气科学进展》2021,38(9):1537-1551

Developed regions of the world represent a major atmospheric methane(CH_4) source, but these regional emissions remain poorly constrained. The Yangtze River Delta(YRD) region of China is densely populated(about 16% of China's total population) and consists of large anthropogenic and natural CH_4 sources. Here, atmospheric CH_4 concentrations measured at a 70-m tall tower in the YRD are combined with a scale factor Bayesian inverse(SFBI) modeling approach to constrain seasonal variations in CH_4 emissions. Results indicate that in 2018 agricultural soils(AGS, rice production) were the main driver of seasonal variability in atmospheric CH_4 concentration. There was an underestimation of emissions from AGS in the a priori inventories(EDGAR—Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research v432 or v50), especially during the growing seasons. Posteriori CH_4 emissions from AGS accounted for 39%(4.58 Tg, EDGAR v432) to 47%(5.21 Tg, EDGAR v50) of the total CH_4 emissions. The posteriori natural emissions(including wetlands and water bodies) were1.21 Tg and 1.06 Tg, accounting for 10.1%(EDGAR v432) and 9.5%(EDGAR v50) of total emissions in the YRD in2018. Results show that the dominant factor for seasonal variations in atmospheric concentration in the YRD was AGS,followed by natural sources. In summer, AGS contributed 42%(EDGAR v432) to 64%(EDGAR v50) of the CH_4 concentration enhancement while natural sources only contributed about 10%(EDGAR v50) to 15%(EDGAR v432). In addition, the newer version of the EDGAR product(EDGAR v50) provided more reasonable seasonal distribution of CH_4 emissions from rice cultivation than the old version(EDGAR v432).  相似文献   

The Seasonal Prediction of the Exceptional Yangtze River Rainfall in Summer 2020     

Chaofan LI  Riyu LU  Nick DUNSTONE  Adam A.SCAIFE  Philip E.BETT  Fei ZHENG 《大气科学进展》2021,38(12):2055-2066

During June and July of 2020, the Yangtze River basin suffered from extreme mei-yu rainfall and catastrophic flooding. This study explores the seasonal predictability and associated dynamical causes for this extreme Yangtze River rainfall event, based on forecasts from the Met Office GloSea5 operational forecast system. The forecasts successfully predicted above-average rainfall over the Yangtze River basin, which arose from the successful reproduction of the anomalous western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH). Our results indicate that both the Indian Ocean warm sea surface temperature (SST) and local WNP SST gradient were responsible for the westward extension of the WNPSH, and the forecasts captured these tropical signals well. We explore extratropical drivers but find a large model spread among the forecast members regarding the meridional displacements of the East Asian mid-latitude westerly jet (EAJ). The forecast members with an evident southward displacement of the EAJ favored more extreme Yangtze River rainfall. However, the forecast Yangtze River rainfall anomaly was weaker compared to that was observed and no member showed such strong rainfall. In observations, the EAJ displayed an evident acceleration in summer 2020, which could lead to a significant wind convergence in the lower troposphere around the Yangtze River basin, and favor more mei-yu rainfall. The model forecast failed to satisfactorily reproduce these processes. This difference implies that the observed enhancement of the EAJ intensity gave a large boost to the Yangtze River rainfall, hindering a better forecast of the intensity of the event and disaster mitigation.  相似文献