有序聚类分析法的改进及其在水文序列突变点识别中的应用   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

袁满  王文圣  叶濒璘 《水文》2017,37(5):8-11

有序聚类分析法是水文学中识别突变点的有效方法,但该法只考虑了同类之间的离差较小原则,忽略了类与类之间的离差较大原则。基于此,提出了改进的有序聚类分析法,改进法同时考虑了同类之间的离差较小和类类间的离差较大原则。将改进的有序聚类分析法应用于年平均流量序列突变点识别中,并与传统有序聚类分析法进行对比分析,研究结果表明,改进的有序聚类分析法原理明确,识别突变点更加有效。  相似文献   

露天矿边坡变形监测中BP神经网络模型优化设计     

钱建国  高晨 《测绘与空间地理信息》2017,(4)

提出了一种提升露天矿边坡位移量预测精度和收敛速度的基于自适应混合跳跃粒子群算法(AHJPSO)改进的BP(Back Propagation)神经网络模型。传统的BP神经网络模型在位移量预测过程中存在收敛速度慢、预测精度低、易陷入局部极小值的问题,而自适应混合跳跃粒子群算法具有快速寻优能力以及能够在迭代计算的过程中有效避免陷入局部极小值的能力,所以采用自适应混合跳跃粒子群算法优化后的BP神经网络模型,能够使BP神经网络模型对露天矿边坡位移量的预测精度更高、算法收敛速度更快,并有效跳出局部极小值。  相似文献   

梅雨雨带北跳过程研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

陈艳丽  宋洁  李崇银 《大气科学》2016,40(4):703-718

利用1979～2007年逐日再分析资料和高分辨率逐日降水资料,通过定义确定了每年梅雨雨带北跳的日期,对梅雨雨带的北跳过程及其可能的物理机制进行了研究。分析结果表明:梅雨雨带北跳日期存在明显的年际变化,本文合成得到的雨带北跳过程与前人的工作相一致。水汽输送的变化和对流层中层的垂直运动是影响梅雨雨带位置分布的关键因素。Omega方程诊断结果表明,在梅雨雨带北跳前期,对流层高层的环流异常导致江淮流域出现异常下沉运动,不利于梅雨雨带的北跳;而涡度方程的诊断结果表明,江淮流域的异常下沉运动导致的非绝热冷却在中国东部的对流层低层引起异常反气旋涡度倾向,有利于副热带高压西伸,从而有利于梅雨雨带的北跳。因此,当对流层高层环流发生变化（主要受纬向涡度平流影响）,使得江淮流域的异常下沉运动转变为异常上升运动时,高低层相互配合,造成了梅雨雨带的突然北跳。  相似文献   

Depositional processes and stratigraphic architecture within a coarse-grained rift-margin turbidite system: The Wollaston Forland Group,east Greenland     

《Marine and Petroleum Geology》2016

The Wollaston Forland Basin, NE Greenland, is a half-graben with a Middle Jurassic to Lower Cretaceous basin-fill. In this outcrop study we investigate the facies, architectural elements, depositional environments and sediment delivery systems of the deep marine syn-rift succession. Coarse-grained sand and gravel, as well as large boulders, were emplaced by rock-falls, debris flows and turbulent flows sourced from the immediate footwall. The bulk of these sediments were point-sourced and accumulated in a system of coalescing fans that formed a clastic wedge along the boundary fault system. In addition, this clastic wedge was supplied by a sand-rich turbidite system that is interpreted to have entered the basin axially, possibly via a prominent relay ramp within the main fault system. The proximal part of the clastic wedge consists of a steeply dipping, conformable succession of thick-bedded deposits from gravity flows that transformed down-slope from laminar to turbulent flow behaviour. Pervasive scour-and-fill features are observed at the base of the depositional slope of the clastic wedge, c. 5 km into the basin. These scour-fills are interpreted to have formed from high-density turbulent flows that were forced to decelerate and likely became subject to a hydraulic jump, forming plunge pools at the base of slope. The distal part of the wedge represents a basin plain environment and is characterised by a series of crude fining upward successions that are interpreted to reflect changes in the rate of accommodation generation and sediment supply, following from periodic increases in fault activity. This study demonstrates how rift basin physiography directly influences the behaviour of gravity flows. Conceptual models for the stratigraphic response to periodic fault activity, and the transformation and deposition of coarse-grained gravity flows in a deep water basin with strong contrasts in slope gradients, are presented and discussed.  相似文献   

中国北方夏半年最长连续无降水日数的变化特征   总被引：20，自引：2，他引：18  

刘莉红  翟盘茂  郑祖光 《气象学报》2008,66(3):474-477

利用1951-2004年中国北方各气象台站夏半年逐日降水资料,建立最长连续无降水日数时间序列,采用经验模态分解(EMD)求出该序列的本征模态函数(IMF),分析原序列内在的多尺度振荡变化.用小波分析原序列的突变.结果表明,连续无降水日数的变化主要是由IMF1、IMF2和IMF3这3个本征模态构成,3-4 a、8-10 a尺度的振荡对整个变化起主要作用.近50年来,最长连续无降水日数呈线性增加趋势;显著增加的年份在1960年和1994年前后,与干旱现象的发生有紧密的联系.  相似文献   

On the Parameterization of Convective Entrainment： Inherent Relationships among Entrainment Parameters in Bulk Models     

孙鉴泞 《大气科学进展》2009,26(5):1005-1014

  相似文献   

西安地区气温的年代际变化及其受城市化进程的影响   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

王建鹏  孙继松  杜继稳  张弦  薛春芳  高维英 《气候与环境研究》2009,14(4):434-444

利用西安及周边14个观测站1966～2005年冬季(12～2月)、夏季(6～8月)平均气温及城市化信息的相关统计资料,以各站与14站区域平均气温的差值(空间距平值)反映城市热岛空间分布,以城区站与区域平均气温的差值代表城市影响程度,探讨了城市影响及城市化指数在气温突变和热岛效应中的作用。分析结果表明:1)冬夏季,近城区、平原区、浅塬山区与整个区域平均气温变化一致,表现为大尺度的气候变化特征,而城区和全区变化同步性差,呈现小尺度气候变化特征。2)冬季全区在1977年发生增温突变,这次突变以自然增温为主,与全国(1980年)突变时间基本同步,但略显偏早,比西北区(1984年)偏早7年。夏季全区在1988年发生第一次气温突变增温,比西北区(1993年)偏早5年,偏早原因可能是地形和城市化共同作用。3)冬、夏季平均热岛强度分别为0.65℃、0.46℃,具有典型性。4)城区冬季突变点(1989年)后西安城区的平均气温增加1.3℃,城市影响在气温突变中贡献了0.35℃。夏季突变点(1987年)后平均气温增加了0.4℃,城市影响贡献增温0.39℃,夏季气温突变可能主要是由城市影响造成的。5)城市房屋竣工面积、市区总人口、公...  相似文献   

浅谈液动冲击锤施工工艺在硬岩层中的应用   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

密士光  周志明 《安徽地质》2010,20(1):65-66,73

在河南禹州煤田景家洼矿区勘探中,遇到一层约90米左右的长石石英砂岩(俗称平顶山砂岩),钻进效率低,材料消耗大,通过ZK—09孔改用冲击回转钻进,取得了较好效果,介绍在硬岩层运用多工艺技术的施工方法。  相似文献   

数字图像监测系统应用于高压导线覆冰试验(英文)   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

李鹏辉  赵文光  文银平  陈勇  胡伟 《地球空间信息科学学报》2009,12(1):61-65

A real-time system of numeral image manipulation technology is employed to inspect the dynamic displacement of an engineering structure. First, the CCD vidicon aims at the fixed point. The image of the fixed point on the structure is gathered by a picture gathering card. By processing pictures with a self-programmed software, the real-time space coordinate of the calibration device can be obtained. Finally, the data is dealt with to get the movement curve, and the dynamic displacement is carried out. The system is applied to the test of a high voltage icing conductor. The result indicates that the dynamic data of the ice shedding conductor includes jumping amplitude, displacement-time curve and attenuation process. Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.50778077, No.50608036).  相似文献   

Turbidite system architecture and sedimentary processes along topographically complex slopes: the Makran convergent margin     

JULIEN BOURGET  SEBASTIEN ZARAGOSI  NADINE ELLOUZ‐ZIMMERMANN  NICOLAS MOUCHOT  THIERRY GARLAN  JEAN‐LUC SCHNEIDER  VALENTINE LANFUMEY  SIGFRIED LALLEMANT 《Sedimentology》2011,58(2):376-406

This study investigates the morphology and Late Quaternary sediment distribution of the Makran turbidite system (Makran subduction zone, north‐west Indian Ocean) from a nearly complete subsurface mapping of the Oman basin, two‐dimensional seismic and a large set of coring data in order to characterize turbidite system architecture across an active (fold and thrust belt) margin. The Makran turbidite system is composed of a dense network of canyons, which cut into high relief accreted ridges and intra‐slope piggyback basins, forming at some locations connected and variably tortuous paths down complex slopes. Turbidite activity and trench filling rates are high even during the Holocene sea‐level highstand conditions. In particular, basin‐wide, sheet‐like thick mud turbidites, probably related to major mass wasting events of low recurrence time, drape the flat and unchannellized Oman abyssal plain. Longitudinal depth profiles show that the Makran canyons are highly disrupted by numerous thrust‐related large‐scale knickpoints (with gradients up to 20° and walls up to 500 m high). At the deformation front, the strong break of slope can lead to the formation of canyon‐mouth ‘plunge pools’ of variable shapes and sizes. The plunge pools observed in the western Makran are considerably larger than those previously described in sub‐surface successions; the first insights into their internal architecture and sedimentary processes are presented here. Large plunge pools in the western Makran are associated with large scoured areas at the slope break and enhanced sediment deposition downstream: high‐amplitude reflectors are observed inside the plunge pools, while their flanks are composed of thin‐bedded, fine‐grained turbidites deposited by the uppermost part of the turbidity flows. Thus, these architectural elements are associated with strong sediment segregation leading to specific trench‐fill mechanisms, as only the finer‐grained component of the flows is transferred to the abyssal plain. However, the Makran accretionary prism is characterized by strong along‐strike variability in tectonics and fluvial input distribution that might directly influence the turbidite system architecture (i.e. canyon entrenchment, plunge pool formation or channel development at canyon mouths), the sedimentary dynamics and the resulting sediment distribution. Channel formation in the abyssal plain and trench‐fill characteristics depend on the theoretical ‘equilibrium’ conditions of the feeder system, which is related closely to the balance between erosion rates and tectonic regime. Thus, the Makran turbidite system constitutes an excellent modern analogue for deep‐water sedimentary systems with structurally complex depocentres, in convergent margin settings.  相似文献