基于模糊神经网络(FNN)的赤潮预警预测研究   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

王洪礼  葛根  李悦雷 《海洋通报》2006,25(4):36-41

为研究各种理化因子与赤潮藻类浓度间的非线性对应规律和有效预测赤潮藻类浓度,构建了基于BP算法的一个四层模糊神经网络模型。将模糊神经网络(FNN)技术引入赤潮预测研究,并与普通BP网络、RBF网络的结果作比较,结果表明,该模型能够较好地反演出各种理化因子与夜光藻密度的非线性对应变化规律,有更好的预测功能。  相似文献   

A coupled hydro-mechanical analysis for prediction of hydraulic fracture propagation in saturated porous media using EFG mesh-less method     

《Computers and Geotechnics》2014

The details of the Element Free Galerkin (EFG) method are presented with the method being applied to a study on hydraulic fracturing initiation and propagation process in a saturated porous medium using coupled hydro-mechanical numerical modelling. In this EFG method, interpolation (approximation) is based on nodes without using elements and hence an arbitrary discrete fracture path can be modelled.The numerical approach is based upon solving two governing partial differential equations of equilibrium and continuity of pore water simultaneously. Displacement increment and pore water pressure increment are discretized using the same EFG shape functions. An incremental constrained Galerkin weak form is used to create the discrete system of equations and a fully implicit scheme is used for discretization in the time domain. Implementation of essential boundary conditions is based on the penalty method. In order to model discrete fractures, the so-called diffraction method is used.Examples are presented and the results are compared to some closed-form solutions and FEM approximations in order to demonstrate the validity of the developed model and its capabilities. The model is able to take the anisotropy and inhomogeneity of the material into account. The applicability of the model is examined by simulating hydraulic fracture initiation and propagation process from a borehole by injection of fluid. The maximum tensile strength criterion and Mohr–Coulomb shear criterion are used for modelling tensile and shear fracture, respectively. The model successfully simulates the leak-off of fluid from the fracture into the surrounding material. The results indicate the importance of pore fluid pressure in the initiation and propagation pattern of fracture in saturated soils.  相似文献   

Retrieval study of lake water depth by using multi-spectral remote sensing in Bangong Co Lake     

Pu Zheng  ZhengDong Deng  Xin Ye 《寒旱区科学》2014,6(3):0266-0272

This paper reviewed studies on remote sensing of water depth retrieval. Four water depth retrieval models （single-band, dou- ble-ratio-band, multi-band, and BP network models） were evaluated using TM image and water data from Bangong Co Lake, which is located in China＇s Tibet Autonomous Region and Indian Kashmir. Tested by independent data, comparison of these four models demonstrates that BP network model performed better than the multi-band model, with the single-band model performing the worst. To sum up, this study demonstrates that first, BP network model performed better than the traditional model; second, precise atmospheric correction and radiation study, affected by different water level sand sediment, could improve the precision of water depth retrieval.  相似文献   

K-Ar和⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar定年数据质量评价与Q值提出   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

权伍勋  季建清  周晶  李蔚然  涂继耀 《岩石学报》2013,29(8):2803-2810

K-Ar和K-Ar/39Ar的定年测试质量的评价是正确运用测试结果的前提.过去的研究,多通过仪器测试的偏差和误差传递来评价测试结果可靠性和精度.MSWD和Probability的提出,给出测试的内外误差概念,因考虑了仪器和样品二者的匹配性而得到广泛应用.这也说明,影响K-Ar和40Ar/39 Ar的定年测试结果的因素可以是来自仪器设备,也可以来自样品自身的特性.本文由K-Ar和40 Ar/39 Ar的定年技术的原理、流程为出发点,通过对各个测试项的误差传递和对结果精度影响的数学方法评估,提出了影响测试精度的Q1和Q2参数,分别代表与样品有关的属性.Q1是样品钾含量、囚禁36 Ar的含量、以及样品40Ar/36Ar的初始比值的综合参数,是决定仪器测试中误差传递系数大小的重要影响因子.Q2是样品钾含量、囚禁36 Ar的含量、以及样品40 Ar/36 Ar的初始比值误差的综合参数,用来评价样品等时线年龄精度.在地质意义上,Q2是评价样品是否满足“同源、同时、封闭”特性的重要量化指标.根据这两个参数,可以判别测试数据质量优劣是源于测试仪器,还是样品属性.由Q1和Q2的分析可知,任何一项K-Ar和40Ar/39 Ar的定年测试都应该充分考虑仪器性能和样品属性,设计合理的测试流程是K-Ar和40 Ar/39 Ar的定年获得较高质量数据的关键.  相似文献   

中美洲海域第二模态内孤立波的地震海洋学研究          下载免费PDF全文

范文豪  宋海斌  龚屹  张锟  孙绍箐 《地球物理学报》2021,64(1):195-208

以往利用地震海洋学方法发现的内孤立波大多是第一模态内孤立波,本文利用地震海洋学方法首次在中美洲太平洋沿岸海域发现了第二模态内孤立波群.通过叠前偏移观察该第二模态内孤立波群细结构的变化,发现位于陆坡上的第二模态内孤立波ISW4在大约50 s的采集过程中,出现反射同相轴分叉、合并以及密跃层中心深度变化.利用共偏移距道集叠前偏移剖面计算的这些第二模态内孤立波视相速度在0.5 m·s^-1左右,其视传播方向都是沿地震测线从SW到NE(44°N方向,0°指向北).通过对视相速度误差相对较小的三个第二模态内孤立波(ISW1、ISW3和ISW5)的视相速度进行分析,发现总体上第二模态内孤立波视相速度随着水深的增加而增加,另外一般情况下具有较大最大振幅的第二模态内孤立波的视相速度较大.  相似文献   

Error Calculation in Maritime Delimitation between States with Opposite or Adjacent Coasts     

Milan Horemuz 《Marine Geodesy》1999,22(1):1-17

The sea boundary between two states with opposite or adjacent coasts is defined by the median line between baselines realized on shore lines. As defined in UNCLOS (United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea), every point of the median line must be equidistant from the nearest points on the baselines from which the breadth of the territorialseas of each ofthe two states is measured. The coordinates of breakpoints of the median line are computed based on known coordinates of baseline points on the shores. What is the precision of computed coordinates? Here we study the error propagation on two reference surfaces: (1) plane and (2) sphere. Moreover, four approaches to breakpoint determination are investigated. Algorithms for computation of the covariance matrix of median line breakpoints both on sphere and plane were developed.  相似文献   

长城站与新乡短波通信试验与传播方位研究          下载免费PDF全文

孙宪儒  李忠勤 《极地研究》1988,1(2):59-65

本文首先简要介绍了1985年12月至1986年3月南极长城站与新乡的短波通信效果,可通信的时段与频段,并将频段与计算的MUF进行了比较.结果表明,经过南极区的短大圆路径的通信频段上限与计算的MUF基本相符;经过北极的长大圆路径的通信频段上限与计算的MUF有偏差.其次详细介绍了在1986年1月和2月进行的传播方位测量结果.在南极长城站至新乡电路上沿大圆路径传播是主要的,而在一定时间内存在着一些非大圆路径传播.经分析研究,我们认为构成非大圆路径传播的主要原因是地表的散射,而且较强的天线副瓣和较小的电离层吸收有助于非大圆路径的形成.  相似文献   

数字地形模型自动获取的一种新方案——辐射法   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

钱曾波  万志龙 《测绘学院学报》1992,(3)

利用数字影像自动提取数字地形模型(DTM)的关键是影像匹配。匹配算法有基于特征的相关匹配和基于影像区域匹配两类,前者利用某种抽象的“特征”(一般为线段或点),而后者直接比较像素。但要同时满足DTM的精度,密度、可靠性和速度等要求,单纯引用某种特定的相关方法是不能有效地解决生产实际问题的。本文在分析现有几种典型方法的基础上,提出了基于特征点的辐射法,从而较为合理地兼顾了精度、密度、可靠性以及速度等指标。在AST 386微机上,无任何加速处理器,运行速度达到每秒1～3点,精度为子像素精度。  相似文献   

Failure mechanisms of post-earthquake bedrock landslides in response to rainfall infiltration   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Yong Wu  Siming He  Yu Luo  Xinpo Li 《山地科学学报》2011,8(1):96-102

Among the triggering factors of post-earthquake bedrock landslides,rainfall plays an important role.However,with slope variation,the mechanism of its effects on the failure of rock landslides is not clear.Here,from the viewpoint of fracture mechanics,and based on post-earthquake conditions,the mechanisms of crack propagation,water infiltration and development of the sliding surface were investigated.Then,according to the upper boundary theorem,the effects of water infiltrated into fractures on the stability of rock slopes were analyzed quantitatively.Finally,an example is presented to verify the theory.The results show that the propagation and coalescence of cracks and the lubrication of incipient sliding surfaces are the main causes of the failure of post-earthquake rock landslides in response to rainfall.  相似文献   

Comprehensive analysis and artificial intelligent simulation of land subsidence of Beijing, China   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

ZHU Lin  GONG Huili  LI Xiaojuan  LI Yongyong  SU Xiaosi  GUO Gaoxuan 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2013,23(2):237-248

Mechanism and modeling of the land subsidence are complex because of the complicate geological background in Beijing, China. This paper analyzed the spatial relationship between land subsidence and three factors, including the change of groundwater level, the thickness of compressible sediments and the building area by using remote sensing and GIS tools in the upper-middle part of alluvial-proluvial plain fan of the Chaobai River in Beijing. Based on the spatial analysis of the land subsidence and three factors, there exist significant non-linear relationship between the vertical displacement and three factors. The Back Propagation Neural Network (BPN) model combined with Genetic Algorithm (GA) was used to simulate regional distribution of the land subsidence. Results showed that at field scale, the groundwater level and land subsidence showed a significant linear relationship. However, at regional scale, the spatial distribution of groundwater depletion funnel did not overlap with the land subsidence funnel. As to the factor of compressible strata, the places with the biggest compressible strata thickness did not have the largest vertical displacement. The distributions of building area and land subsidence have no obvious spatial relationships. The BPN-GA model simulation results illustrated that the accuracy of the trained model during fifty years is acceptable with an error of 51% of verification data less than 20 mm and the average of the absolute error about 32 mm. The BPN model could be utilized to simulate the general distribution of land subsidence in the study area. Overall, this work contributes to better understand the complex relationship between the land subsidence and three influencing factors. And the distribution of the land subsidence can be simulated by the trained BPN-GA model with the limited available dada and acceptable accuracy.  相似文献