基于有限比较法研究万州区滑带土干重度的概率分布     

刘莲花  罗文强 《山地学报》2009,27(4)

对万州区滑坡滑带土干重度的86个测试数据进行拟合优度检验,发现多种传统的检验方法都既可以接受正态分布也可以接受对数正态分布.在传统检验方法失效的情况下,引入了有限比较法,确定了干重度的最优概率分布为正态分布,并用统计模拟的方法分析了有限比较法选中真实分布的概率.  相似文献   

基于熵权法的土地覆被动态遥感监测与评价——以新疆伊犁地区和博州为例     

肖继东  王智  师庆东  常顺利  邢文渊 《广东气象》2012,31(4)

基于MODIS数据,选取植被净第一性生产力（NPP）、温度植被旱情指数（TVDI）、改进型土壤调整植被指数（MSAVI）、陆地表面温度（LST）4个对干旱地区地表覆被具有显著指示作用的指标,结合IGBP土地利用类型分类图,以新疆伊犁地区和博尔塔拉蒙古自治州（简称博州）为例,对研究区2003—2007年土地覆被动态进行监测,并利用熵权法确定各个指标的权重,在此基础上进行土地覆被动态的综合评价。结果表明,不同指标对不同的土地利用类型具有不同的适宜性和指示度;在新疆伊犁地区和博州,土地覆被动态地域差异性明显,土地覆被退化程度较大的土地类型为水体、草地、永久湿地、城镇,而森林、灌木林、荒漠草原和农田等土地类型有所改善,呈现出＂局部改善、总体退化＂的局面;引用熵权法将多个遥感指标综合起来进行土地覆被动态的监测与评价的途径是可行且有效的,可为干旱区土地覆被、荒漠化、土地退化、植被变化等工作的监测与评价提供可靠的技术方法与有价值的案例。  相似文献   

Optimizing layout of pumping well in irrigation district for groundwater sustainable use in northwest China   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

Xin Liu  Sufen Wang  Zailin Huo  Fusheng Li  Xinmei Hao 《水文研究》2015,29(19):4188-4198

Optimizing layout of pumping well plays a vital role in curbing the groundwater level decline. A novel optimization model is presented in this study. First, the optimal well number is obtained by taking into account factors of local economy and environment based on nonlinear programming model. Then, the well spatial layout assessment model is attained based on information entropy weight and technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS). After that, the relative closeness to positive ideal solution of alternative (c_i) on the rationality of well spatial layout in cultivated land is calculated, and a set of alternatives are ranked according to the descending order of c_i. Finally, the well optimization layout is obtained by combining the optimal well number with well spatial layout assessment result based on the GIS data of pumping wells. As a case study, this method was applied in Yongchang Irrigation District of Shiyang River Basin, the arid region of northwest China. Results show that under the conditions of sustainable use of water resources, the irrigation district needed 724 wells for irrigation, with a decrease of 31.0% when compared with the existing number of wells. The wells with low flow rate and operating efficiency distributed in high density where groundwater is over‐exploitation were recommended to be closed. This well optimization layout method is expected to play a significant role in helping make plans for exploiting groundwater at more sustainable level, curbing the groundwater level decline trend, and improving the local ecological environment. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

基于合理权重赋值方法选择的多因素综合评价模型——以JCR中70种人文地理期刊为例   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

钟赛香  胡鹏  薛熙明  杨硕  朱佩娟 《地理学报》2015,70(12):2011-2031

针对地理学多因素综合评价中较少探讨指标权重赋值方法的选择,以及少有研究涉及人文地理期刊的多因素综合评价,本文设计了基于合理权重赋值方法选择的多因素综合评价模型,并将其应用于科学网数据库内的“期刊引证报告（JCR）”中分类为人文地理类的70种人文地理期刊的综合评价。该模型针对7种指标权重客观赋值方法,采用“异同比较”,分析不同方法在不同参数设置下和聚类与否情况下的权重值、评价值和评价序的变化特征与分布规律,并依据该变化特征与分布规律,实现了对各种方法的“优劣比较”和最优选择。应用该模型对JCR中70种人文地理期刊进行排序分等,其中排名第一的“全球环境变化和政策”等14种期刊为位列第一等分的高影响力期刊。本研究完善了多因素综合评价体系,也丰富了对人文地理期刊的认知。  相似文献   

多因素作用下石膏岩软化特性     

任松  李振元  邓高岭  刘伟  蒲文明 《岩土力学》2018,39(3):789-796

为了研究隧道施工过程中石膏质围岩软化特性,以三叠系下统嘉陵江组地层中的石膏岩为研究对象,进行了多因素正交软化试验研究,分析了浸泡时间、溶液温度、 浓度对石膏岩软化后力学参数的影响规律。研究结果表明：石膏岩的软化系数和弹性模量随着浸泡时间的增加而减小,减小速率也随之降低;软化系数和弹性模量随溶液温度的升高而呈线性减小;在影响石膏岩软化后力学参数3个因素中浸泡时间的影响最大,权值高达80%,温度次之,权重为16%左右,而 浓度对石膏岩的软化影响非常微弱;建立了浸泡时间与溶液温度两个因素耦合作用下石膏岩软化后单轴抗压强度与弹性模量变化情况预测公式。在试验数据及结论的基础上从围岩坚硬程度划分、防排水措施及支护措施等方面提出了石膏围岩隧道的施工措施及建议。  相似文献   

基于两种插值算法的三维地质建模对比   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

冯波  陈明涛  岳冬冬  李胜涛  贾小丰  宋丹 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2019,49(4):1200-1208

三维地质建模过程中,插值算法对模型准确性具有显著影响。为评价不同插值算法对三维建模准确性的影响,本文选取反距离权重插值法和自然邻域插值法开展对比研究。通过理论分析和案例研究,从统计学原理、插值误差和可视化效果等三方面进行了对比分析。结果表明：反距离权重插值法在建模中精度较高,适应面更广。与自然邻域插值法相比,反距离权重插值法更加适用于地层缺失严重的层位,能够更好地保留地层缺失的特征;同时,反距离权重插值法能够更好地处理断层构造,对于地层的错断起伏情况表现效果更好;反距离权重插值法在沉积地层中误差更小,与实际情况更接近。  相似文献   

基于熵权-正态云模型的泥石流灾害易发性评价     

薛喜成  朱清华 《地下水》2019,(3):97-99,150

近年来,由于极端天气事件频发和工程建设活动加剧,泥石流灾害对人类的威胁愈加严峻。因此,在综合分析泥石流灾害发育特征及形成机理的基础上,进行泥石流灾害易发性评价对防灾减灾工程活动具有指导意义。选取沟谷岸坡坡度、沟床纵坡比降、植被覆盖率、单位面积固体物源储量、汇水面积、雨季降雨量建立评价指标体系,采用熵权法确定评价指标权重,将泥石流灾害易发性分为高易发、中易发、低易发和不易发四级,建立基于正态云模型的泥石流灾害易发性评价方法,并以西秦岭地区5条泥石流沟为例验证了该评价模型的合理性。进一步将该模型用于陕西吴堡井沟泥石流灾害易发性评价,结果表明井沟泥石流具有中易发性,评价结果与实际相符。  相似文献   

易发程度指数法在宣州区地质灾害易发区划分中的应用研究     

张刘柱  陈雪梅  郑立博  席恺  李宗洋 《地质灾害与环境保护》2019,30(2):92-96

在分析地质灾害成因的基础上,选取了地形地貌、地质背景、气候、地质灾害点密度、人类工程活动等5个主要影响因素对宣州区地质灾害的易发性进行分区评价,并对区内的地质灾害易发区进行划分。根据分析评价结果,将宣州区划分为4个地质灾害易发区。分区结果较符合宣州区地质灾害发育实际情况,为宣州区的防灾减灾工作提供科学依据。  相似文献   

模糊多属性决策法在海底电缆路由方案比选中的应用          下载免费PDF全文

徐国强  徐翠玲  张志卫  闫文文 《海洋开发与管理》2017,34(11):37-41

海底电缆预选路由方案的比选需要参考多种指标,这些指标包含定量和定性两种,但各指标间的不可公度性,给路由方案的选择提出挑战。文章提出了一种基于离差思想和模糊向量投影的多属性决策法。首先引入三角模糊数,将定性指标合理量化,构建决策矩阵,规范化后运用离差思想求解各指标权重,然后计算各方案在正理想方案和负理想方案上的投影,最后求出相对贴近度,依据其大小比选出最佳方案。  相似文献   

Analysis of bycatch in the South African midwater trawl fishery for horse mackerel Trachurus capensis based on observer data     

JR Reed  SE Kerwath  CG Attwood 《African Journal of Marine Science》2017,39(3):279-291

The South African midwater trawl fishery targets adult horse mackerel Trachurus capensis. The bulk of the catch is taken by a single freezer-trawler, the biggest fishing vessel operating in South African waters. As fishing takes place off the south coast in ecologically sensitive areas, there are concerns about the potential impacts of this fishing operation on non-target species. Fishing behaviour and bycatch of this fishery from 2004 to 2014 were investigated by analysing observer records with regard to catch composition, volume and temporal and spatial patterns. The midwater trawl fishery was estimated to have caught 25 415 tonnes annually, with a bycatch of 6.9% of the total catch, by weight. There are species overlaps with various fisheries, namely the demersal trawl, small-pelagic, line, shark longline and squid fisheries, yet the total bycatch estimates from this fishery are generally small relative to catches taken in the target fisheries. Bycatch species with the highest average annual catches were chub mackerel Scomber japonicus, redeye roundherring Etrumeus whiteheadi, ribbonfish Lepidopus caudatus and hake Merluccius spp. Large-fauna bycatch species included sunfish Mola mola as well as a number of CITES II- and IUCN-listed species, such as Cape fur seal Arctocephalus pusillus, dusky shark Carcharhinus obscurus, smooth hammerhead shark Sphyrna zygaena and thresher sharks Alopias spp. The 97.9% observer coverage is high and the 6.9% bycatch rate low compared to other South African fisheries; however, due to the large size of the individual hauls (average of 46.3 t), the average sampling rate of 1.56% is low. Our analyses suggest that bycatch in the South African midwater trawl fishery has been lower than in other South African fisheries and similar fisheries elsewhere, but due to the combination of high catch volumes and low sampling rates, estimation errors for rare species are high and there is a substantial risk of incidental unmonitored bycatch of rare large fauna and aggregations of small fauna. This could be mitigated by spatio-temporal management of this fishery, to avoid fishing in high-risk areas, and the introduction of an electronic monitoring programme.  相似文献